Ron H. Wirahadiraksa
Analyst · JPMorgan Cazenove
Thank you, Frans. Good morning, and welcome to all of you on the call. I will begin by giving you some color on the developments in the markets we serve and then walk you through the financial performance for the second quarter. Let me start with Healthcare. In the U.S., market conditions remained challenging, with hospitals working through the implications of the sequestration and healthcare reform and the resulting delay of some of their purchasing decisions. We expect the related market uncertainties to continue in the short term, also pending the upcoming round of budgetary decision-making. Healthcare construction is forecasted to grow by 2% in 2013, and patient procedural volume is expected to slightly grow in the low-single-digit range. In Europe, we continued to see significantly differing market dynamics on a country-by-country basis. The U.K. and Benelux displayed signs of moderate growth, while the Nordics experienced some market softness. The larger markets, such as Germany and France, are soft. Southern Europe continues to face market declines as a result of the austerity measures undertaken. In the growth geographies, the ASEAN region and China continued to record good growth during the second quarter of 2013. On the other hand, Middle East, Turkey and Russia witnessed low tender activity, which resulted in lower market momentum in the second quarter. We expect market growth to be double digits for the overall growth geographies in 2013. We estimate market growth to be at the low end of the 3% to 4% growth estimates we made earlier in the year. In Q2, consumer markets continued to follow the fluctuating patterns seen earlier. The Eurozone real GDP growth continues to show a weak trend. Unemployment increased further to reach 12.2% overall. This the highest since 2003. The European Union consumer confidence index has been improving since January 2013, with Germany poised for modest economic growth. Total retail sales volume shows an increasing year-over-year trend since the beginning of 2013. The U.S. picture for consumer markets is improving, with the June unemployment rate remaining stable at 7.6% and improving May retail sales. That excludes motor vehicles and parts dealers. The June U.S. consumer confidence index is encouragingly on a positive trend and at its highest level of the last 5 years. In China, the year-over-year growth rate for retail sales is improving since the beginning of the year. The Lighting market in Q2 2013 showed decelerating year-on-year growth. The transition to LED products and growth markets were the main drivers. While the transition to LED continues, demand in Western Europe remains impacted by the weak economic environment. During the quarter, real GDP growth forecasts for most markets were lowered. As a result, France is now also expected to be in a recession in 2013. Germany remains one of the few markets where real GDP is expected to grow in 2013. The outlook for the construction market in Western Europe remains subdued. The U.S. Q1 real GDP growth was revised down to 1.8% from 2.4%. Full year consensus growth outlook is expected to be 1.8%, below the 2012 real GDP growth rate of 2.1%. The U.S. construction market remains driven by the residential sector as sales of new and existing homes continue to grow. The Architecture Billing Index also points to a continuation of growth. Growth of the nonresidential market is lower due to excess capacity and austerity measures, which will limit government investment. LED transition remains the key growth driver of the Chinese Lighting market, which continues to show growth in all segments, apart from retail, which is still impacted by weaker store openings and renovations. Following a slight year-over-year contraction in Q1 2013, global light vehicle production returned to growth in Q2 2013 and remains on track for growth in the full year 2013. Let me now move to the Philips group results for the second quarter of 2013. As in the first quarter this year, we report profit and loss on the Audio, Video, Multimedia and Accessories business under discontinued operations, and the net assets for the business in the balance sheets in the line assets held for sale. The cash flow of the Audio, Video, Multimedia and Accessories business is reported under cash flow from discontinued operations. Therefore, all commentary that will follow in terms of sales and earnings at Philips group level and Consumer Lifestyle sector level does not include Audio, Video, Multimedia and Accessories-related information. Also, when I refer to adjusted EBITA on this call, this represents EBITA excluding restructuring, acquisition-related charges and other charges and gains above EUR 20 million. Comparable sales in the second quarter grew by 3% when adjusted for currency and portfolio changes. Comparable sales in our growth geographies increased double digits in the second quarter. Our growth geographies are defined as all markets, excluding the U.S., Canada, Western Europe, Australia, New Zealand, South Korea, Japan and Israel. Sales from these growth geographies increased to 30% of group revenues compared to 34% for Q2 last year. On a comparable basis, sales in North America declined by mid single digit in the quarter. Healthcare was affected by lower order intake in the previous quarters as sentiment was affected by the uncertain environment. Consumer Lifestyle sales in North America had mid-single-digit comparable sales growth, while Lighting sales declined mainly due to lower sales for Professional Lighting Solutions. Group sales in Europe saw a decline in comparable sales of 1% in the quarter mainly due to Lighting and Healthcare, while Consumer Lifestyle grew by mid single digits. In the other mature geographies, the group saw a high-single-digit increase in comparable sales, with Japan continuing to remain strong. Reported EBITA was EUR 603 million or 10.7% of sales, which is EUR 264 million higher than the EUR 399 million or 6.1% of sales reported for Q2 last year. EBITA for Q2 2013 included net positive one-off gains of EUR 74 million higher than Q2 2012, mainly due to the past-service pension gain -- pension cost gain in the U.S. Restructuring and acquisition-related charges in Q2 2013 were EUR 68 million lower than Q2 2012. Adjusted EBITA was EUR 530 million or 9.4% of sales in the quarter compared to EUR 408 million or 7.3% for Q2 2012. The 30% improvement in the adjusted EBITA was due to improved operational performance in all sectors. Net income amounted to EUR 317 million, a year-on-year increase of EUR 215 million, which reflected better operating results across all sectors, lower restructuring and acquisition-related charges and higher past-service pension cost gains in Q2 2013 compared to Q2 2012. Cash inflow from operating activities for the quarter improved to EUR 124 million compared to an inflow of EUR 81 million in Q2 of 2012. With that summary, let me now walk you through the performance of each of our businesses during Q2, starting with our Healthcare businesses. Currency-comparable equipment order intake in Healthcare increased 7% in Q2 2013 compared to Q2 2012. The increase in order intake was driven by the growth geographies and North America. Order intake in North America grew by mid single digits after 4 quarters of decline. To clarify the point, only part of the Georgia Regents Medical Center order that Frans talked about earlier has been recognized in the order intake data. Let me clarify for you that we recognize orders where equipment delivery or, in the case of software, where implementation begins within specific time horizons. These time horizons are 15 months for Imaging Systems, excluding ultrasound; 12 months for PCCI; and 6 months for ultrasound. Order intake in Europe declined by low single digits mainly due to decline in the Nordic countries. Excluding the Nordics, order intake in Europe increased by high single digit. Order intake in the growth geographies grew by a robust 90% on a comparable basis, with both Imaging Systems and PCCI registering double-digit order intake growth. Order intake in China, LATAM, the ASEAN region and Africa grew by strong double digits. Patient Care & Clinical Informatics order intake decreased -- sorry, Patient Care & Clinical Informatics order intake increased double digits, while order intake for Imaging Systems increased low single digit. On a currency and portfolio comparable basis, Healthcare's year-on-year sales were flat after growing 7% in Q2 2012. Growth in consumer services, home healthcare and Patient Care & Clinical Informatics was offset by a decline in Imaging Systems. Comparable sales in the growth geographies increased double digits in the quarter. Comparable sales in China and LATAM grew by double digits in the second quarter of 2013, while sales in India grew high single digit. Comparable sales in Europe declined by low single digit, with Southern Europe declining by double digits and the rest of Europe growing by low single digit. Sales in North America declined by mid single digits in the quarter. Growth in Patient Care & Clinical Informatics, Customer Services and home healthcare was offset by a decline in Imaging Systems. As Frans mentioned earlier, this was due to the lower order intake in the previous quarters. Healthcare reported a second quarter EBITA of EUR 420 million, which is 17.8% of sales. This includes EUR 61 million of the past-service pension cost gain in the U.S. and a EUR 21 million gain on the sale of a business. The adjusted EBITA amounted to EUR 338 million or 14.3% of sales, which is 120 basis points higher than the adjusted EBITA in the same period last year. Higher gross margins and a reduction in overhead costs resulted in improved earnings for the quarter despite a flat top line. Consumer Lifestyle comparable sales grew by a very strong 13% compared to Q2 of last year. The growth geographies had a comparable sales increase of 20% in the quarter, led by Russia, China, Brazil and the ASEAN region. Sales in North America grew mid single digits, driven by a high-single-digit growth in personal care, while even Europe grew mid single digit, with Germany being particularly strong with double-digit growth. Other mature markets, comprising of Japan, South Korea, Australia, New Zealand and Israel, recorded 20% growth in the quarter, with all countries growing by double digits. This is all driven by the success of bringing local relevance into our innovation strategy and improving execution through Accelerate! EBITA for the quarter was EUR 82 million or 7.6% of sales. Adjusted EBITA for this sector for Q2 2013 was EUR 84 million in the quarter or 7.8% of sales compared to EUR 48 million or 5% of sales for the second quarter of 2012. The improvement in adjusted EBITA was driven by higher sales and gross margin, overhead cost reductions as well as the elimination of stranded costs related to the Television business which were part of the Q2 2012 results. The lower adjusted EBITA compared to Q1 2013 is due to normal seasonality of additional advertising and promotional expenses incurred in the second quarter. For the Audio, Video, Multimedia and Accessories business, which, as explained earlier, is reported in discontinued operations, the net income declined to breakeven compared to EUR 33 million in Q2 2012. The net income of Q2 2012 included a gain of EUR 20 million on the sale of the Speech Processing business, while Q2 2013 has higher disentanglement costs of EUR 70 million. On Page 17 of the press release, we have provided a simple reconciliation of the results of this business. In Lighting, comparable sales were up 2% in the quarter compared to Q2 of last year. In our growth geographies, sales increased, on a comparable basis, by double digits. On a more granular basis, sales in LATAM, China and the ASEAN region showed good growth. Europe sales were down 2% in the quarter, with declines in the Benelux, Southern Europe and France, offsetting growth in the rest of Europe. North America recorded mid-single-digit sales decline in the quarter, which is in part related to the transformation taking place in our organization there, which is related to Professional Lighting Solutions business. We expect, however, the performance to recover once the restructuring is completed. When taking a deeper look into each of the Lighting businesses, we continue to see strong sales of our LED products with growth of 28% compared to the same quarter in the previous year. Light Sources & Electronics, Lumileds, Automotive and Consumer Luminaires all recorded year-on-year growth, while Professional Lighting Solutions declined by 1%. The reported EBITA from Lighting was EUR 153 million or 7.5% of sales, which is a significant improvement compared to the EUR 78 million or 3.8% of sales in the second quarter of 2012. The EBITA for Q2 2013 included EUR 15 million less restructuring and other charges compared to Q2 2012, as well as a past-service pension cost gain in the U.S. of EUR 10 million. Adjusted EBITA was EUR 166 million or 8.1% of sales, a significant increase again compared to the EUR 116 million in the second quarter of 2012. The improvement was also driven by a lower Bill of Materials, including lower phosphor prices, as well as overhead cost savings. Reported EBITA for Innovation, Group & Services amounted to a net cost of EUR 52 million compared to a net cost of EUR 87 million in Q2 2012. The improvements was primarily due to the restructuring costs being EUR 40 million lower in Q2 2013 compared to Q2 2012. The EBITA for Q2 2013 included a EUR 6 million gain on past-service pension cost in the U.S., while the EBITA for Q2 2012 included a gain of EUR 25 million on the past-service cost on a medical retiree benefit plan. Excluding these items, the lower net cost was mainly due to the remeasurement of environmental provisions. Inventory as a percentage of sales improved by 150 basis points to 15.7% at the end of Q2 2013 compared to 17.2% in Q2 2012. There was a significant reduction in Healthcare, where inventory as a percentage of sales declined by 260 basis points compared to the end of Q2 2012. Imaging Systems reduced inventories by 330 basis points, while Patient Care & Clinical Informatics, Home Healthcare Solutions and Customer Services decreased their inventory by 130, 60 and 360 basis points, respectively. Consumer Lifestyle reduced its inventories as a percentage of sales by 10 basis points at the end of Q2 2013. In Lighting, inventory as a percentage of sales improved by 120 basis points compared to the end of Q2 2012, with Consumer Luminaires inventory down by 380 basis points and Lumileds down by 320 basis points. Return on invested capital at the end of Q2 2013 improved to 6.1% from 4% in the previous quarter. Excluding the European Commission fine, the return on invested capital increased from 7% in Q1 2013 to 9.2% at the end of Q2 2013. The discount rate for the group is 8.9%. The increase in ROIC was largely due to the effects of higher earnings and improved working capital management. As far as capital allocation is concerned, we have completed the EUR 2 billion program at the end of Q2 2013. This year, we'll see a relatively high outflow of cash since we have paid out the EUR 509 million related to the European Commission fine, as well our paying out on the various restructuring programs that are currently running. As mentioned on the Q1 2013 Earnings Call and as Frans mentioned earlier, we have continued our risk-mitigation efforts to reduce our risk on pension liabilities with changes in the U.S. and the Dutch pension plans. The Q2 2013 results contain a one-off curtailment gain of EUR 78 million, reported as a past-service pension cost gain, and this is related to a change in the group's U.S. pension plan rules. In Q3 2013, a settlement resulting from a lump sum offering to terminated vested employees in our U.S. pensions plan will be reported as part of EBITA. This concerns the same U.S. pension plan for which a past-service cost gain was reported in Q2 2013. That settlement results, which is dependent on the discount rate on the payment date in September, relates to inactive members and, therefore, will be reported in IG&S. Further, as a part of the change in funding of the Dutch pension fund, Philips intends to make a one-off EUR 600 million contribution to the Philips pension fund. The new funding agreement and its implementation are subject to necessary approvals and are expected to become effective on January 1, 2014. Ladies and gentlemen, let me briefly summarize before opening the line to questions. The improved results for the second quarter of 2013 demonstrate further progress on our path towards our 2013 financial targets. The development of the order book, particularly in Healthcare, means that the sales and earnings for the second half of the year will be weighted more towards Q4 as Q3 is a seasonally lower earnings quarter for Healthcare compared to Q2. However, we remain confident in our ability to continue improving the operational and financial performance of the company, driven by the Accelerate! program. With that, let me now open the lines for your questions, which Frans and I and the team here will be happy to answer. Thank you.