Stacy Loretz-Congdon
Analyst
Thanks, Tom, and good morning, everyone. I'd like to begin with a brief discussion on EPS and guidance before moving into the numbers for the quarter. Diluted earnings per share were $0.52 compared to $0.51 last year. Excluding LIFO expense, this translates to $0.63 for the second quarter compared to $0.61 last year, including cigarette holding gains that were approximately $0.01 less than the prior year. We are now expecting EPS, excluding LIFO expense, of $2.12 to $2.20 for the year compared to our split-adjusted prior guidance of $2.07 to $2.15, a $0.05 increase. Including LIFO expense, adjusted guidance is now $1.73 to $1.81 for the year compared to split-adjusted prior guidance of $1.75 to $1.82. Excluding LIFO expense, the $0.05 increase consists of approximately $4 million to $5 billion in candy holding gains, partially offset by about $2 million in startup costs for our new division and new customer integration cost. In addition, we have increased depreciation and amortization estimates between $0.6 million and $0.8 million related to our expansion activities and market share gains. The net impact of these items is an increase to pretax profit of approximately $1.4 million on the low end or approximately $2.2 million on the high end. Share count was also adjusted to reflect current forecasts, which added about $0.01, and all items have been adjusted for rounding. We did increase LIFO expense from $13 million to $15 million, and we'll continue to monitor the Producer Price Index for further increases. At $15 million, this equates to a little over $0.39 per share, which you can subtract from FIFO EPS to arrive at LIFO EPS. Other key assumptions include 23.3 million diluted shares outstanding, about $7 million of cigarette inventory holding gains and a 39% tax rate. We are also decreasing our free cash flow forecast from the previous $55 million to $60 million to $35 million to $40 million for the year, or on a per share basis, free cash flow is now expected to be between $1.50 to $1.70 compared to $2.35 to $2.55 previously. This mainly reflects the increase in capital spending, which we raised from $30 million to $50 million for the year. This $20 million increase includes approximately $16 million of CapEx related to our new distribution center, $2 million for expansion projects related primarily to new customers and the remainder driven by an investment in state-of-the-art smart ordering technology for our customers. With that, I'd like to move to our second quarter results. Sales increased 4.5% in Q2 from $2.5 billion last year to over $2.6 billion this year. Sales, excluding the impact of foreign exchange, increased 5.3%. The weakness in the Canadian dollar reduced Canada's contribution to sales by about $21 million for the quarter. As Tom mentioned, we did see some softness in traditional category sales. This seems to be consistent with the slowing consumer traffic our customers are reporting. Cigarette sales increased 4% to $1.77 billion and cartons sold were essentially flat. Price per carton increased 3.9%, driven primarily by manufacturer price increases. And our same-store carton sales declined 3.4%, which was less than the industry, which reported volume declines of about 4.4%. We are generally pleased with the 5.6% increase in our non-cigarette categories, resulting in sales of $852.4 million this year compared to $807 million last year. Of the $45.4 million increase in sales, approximately 65% was driven by an increase in food sales. We saw particular strength in our bread healthy snacks, fast food and Fresh categories during the quarter, whereas the weakness retailers saw in the center of the store impacted our traditional categories, mainly candy and groceries. It's very reassuring to us that even in a slightly soft sales environment, our core strategies and the commodities associated with them continue to grow. Gross profit increased $6.3 million to $143.3 million, an increase of 4.6% for the second quarter of 2014. Remaining gross profit, which excludes LIFO expense and cigarette holding gains, increased $7.5 million, or 5.5%, to $144.3 million. Cigarette holding gains were $3.3 million this quarter compared to $3.9 million last year. This is slightly less due to the timing of the price increase, which occurred a little earlier than we expected this year, giving us less time to build inventory levels. Total remaining gross profit margins were up 5 basis points, or 14 basis points if you exclude the compressing effect of the 2 large customers added last year. This increase in margins was driven by the food/non-food category. Cigarette remaining gross profit increased $0.6 million, or 1.5%. On a per carton basis, cigarette remaining gross profit increased 1.7%, or 2.5% excluding the compressing effect of the 2 large customers. This increase was driven primarily by incremental cash discounts earned on the 2 cigarette price increases since last year and increased sales in certain geographies that allowed us to qualify for higher incentives for that region. Non-cigarette remaining gross profit increased $7 million, or 7.2%, for Q2 2014. Remaining gross profit margins were 12.2% compared to 12% during the same period last year. This is an 18 basis point improvement and includes a 13 basis point reduction related to the addition of the 2 major customers. We finally started seeing a little inflation in the nontobacco categories, primarily the food categories, during the quarter, with second quarter nontobacco floor gains increasing nearly $600,000 compared to last year's second quarter and almost double what we saw in the first quarter of this year. This was offset, in part, by lower floor gains in our other tobacco product categories this quarter versus last year and versus Q1 '14. As we've previously discussed, the manufacturers have been absorbing the inflation associated with their material input costs for some time. However, we are starting to see some prices increase, primarily in the food categories. And candy manufacturers finally announced the price increase that will benefit us in Q3. We are hopeful to see other manufacturers follow soon. Moving on to operating expenses. We saw a 5.5% or $6.4 million increase to $122.8 million in the second quarter this year compared to $116.4 million for the same period last year. We shipped 6.2% more cubic feet of food/non-food product during Q2, driving labor and other related costs up. Warehouse and delivery expenses increased $5.3 million, or approximately 7.3%, to $78.1 million during the second quarter. We were pleased to see that warehouse costs did see some leverage, increasing less than 4%. However, this was offset by delivery costs that were up 10%. As a percentage of sales, warehouse and delivery increased approximately 8 basis points. Approximately 5 basis points stems from the shift in sales to non-cigarettes, which have a lower price point than cigarettes, driving operating expense as a percentage of sales higher. In addition, transportation costs included approximately $1 million, or about 4 basis points, related to a tightening of the driver labor pool in a number of geographic areas. To address this shortage, we sent drivers from other regions into these areas, utilized outside freight, incurred overtime and temp help to ensure deliveries to our customers were continuing uninterrupted. We anticipate incremental costs related to the driver pool shortage will continue, though at a somewhat lower rate through the balance of the summer month. On a more positive note, SG&A increased only 2.6% to $44 million for Q2 '14 and as a percentage of sales, decreased 3 basis points despite the upward pressure from the shift in sales mix. Moving further down the income statement. Our effective tax rate for the quarter was 39.5% versus 40.9% for the second quarter last year. We are still hopeful for the reinstatement of several tax credits that expired at the end of last year, but I guess we'll have to wait until after the elections to see. Moving to cash flows. Cash generated from operations was $67 million for the first half of 2014 compared to $35.8 million last year. This large difference was driven by a couple of principal things. We had very high inventories at the end of 2013 that were approximately $20 million higher than the same period last year. In addition, our cigarette inventory was approximately $80 million lower at the end of second quarter this year than last. This was driven by the price increase coming earlier in 2014, which allows us to flush out most of the excess inventory by the end of the quarter. Remember, cash flows measure 2 single points in time. So period end inventory levels can have a significant impact on the moving parts. We measure working capital daily, and on average, our cash conversion cycle was approximately 13.8 days year-to-date compared to 14.3 days during the first half of last year. Free cash flow, which we measure as adjusted EBITDA, plus or minus changes in working capital, less CapEx, cash taxes and cash interest, was approximately $52.1 million for the first half of 2014. As previously discussed, with $50 million of CapEx investments we expect to make this year, free cash flow is now expected to be between $35 million and $40 million, depending, of course, on any unusual year-end activities, which I generally call out during our year-end call. Our capital allocation decisions continue to support our core strategies and focus on ensuring we have sufficient capital to fund acquisitions, CapEx, including expansion activities, opportunistic inventory buys, dividends and share repurchases. Unfortunately, we were not able to repurchase many shares during the second quarter because we had a very brief open period. However, our recent market win with Rite Aid as well as our very exciting entry into the upper Midwest region provides us great opportunity for continued growth and operational cost leverage. We expect the return on investment for our new distribution center in Ohio to approach our standard target of 20%. We paid $2.6 million in dividends during the second quarter, and you may have seen our recent announcement for our third quarter dividend for stockholders of record on August 22. It is our intention over the long term to address -- to continue to increase our dividends paid to stockholders to the extent we continue to generate sufficient free cash flow without sacrificing foreseeable acquisition or investment opportunities to grow the business in the future. To summarize, the second quarter was solid given the softness in sales experienced by many retailers. We believe the success of our core strategies is driving our same-store sales growth and helping us gain market share. We continue to generate steady growth and meaningful free cash flow, allowing us to execute our capital allocation strategies. And we look forward to the remainder of 2014 with optimism. And with that, I'd like to thank all of our employees, our vendors, our customers and you, our shareholders, for your continued support. Operator, you can now open the line for questions.