Stacy Loretz-Congdon
Analyst
Thanks, Tom, and good morning, everyone. The second quarter results were strong, and we are on pace to meet guidance in all respects. Adjusted EBITDA for the second quarter increased 9%, and year-to-date was up about 4%. The second quarter more than offsetting soft first quarter results. Year-to-date, adjusted EBITDA was $48.4 million and represents about 42% to 43% of our annual guidance, which is $112 million to $115 million for the year. We expect our current momentum and new contract wins will tip the back half of this year and allow us to deliver our EBITDA guidance. Diluted EPS for the second quarter was $1.01 compared to $0.87 last year, a 16% increase. Excluding LIFO expense, EPS was $1.20 for the quarter compared to $1.09 last year, a 10% increase. Year-to-date, diluted EPS was $1.23 compared to $1.18 last year. Excluding LIFO expense, EPS was $1.57 versus $1.54, the second quarter making up and surpassing our first quarter GAAP as expected. We are still forecasting diluted EPS between $3.10 and $3.25 for 2013, which includes an estimate of $16 million for LIFO expense, a 40% tax rate and 11.8 million diluted shares outstanding. Excluding LIFO expense, our 2013 EPS guidance translates to a range of $3.90 to $4.05 per diluted share, a 10% to 14% increase over 2012 results. Moving onto the details for the quarter, sales reached $2.5 billion in the second quarter, an increase of $223 million or 9.7%. Cigarette sales increased 8% for the quarter, and carton sales increased 7.6% driven by the addition of our Carolina division and the new Turkey Hill contract. We also saw a cigarette price increase at the beginning of June that increased our sales and cost of sales. Cigarette product sales increased 10.5% compared to cigarette excise taxes increasing only 1.8% for the quarter. Excise tax growth was low due to carton volumes shifting from higher taxing jurisdictions in Canada to lower taxing jurisdictions in the U.S. Same-store carton sales declined 2.9%, better than the industry decline where 2 of the larger manufacturers reported 3.5% and 4.3% respective decreases during the quarter. Our food/non-food sales were $807 million for the quarter, increasing $97 million or 13.7% over the same period last year. Excluding the acquisitions and new Turkey Hill contracts, food/non-food net sales grew about 6%, driven by an improvement in same-store sales. The increase in same-store sales is indicative of the successful execution of our marketing programs that are focused on selling more items into existing stores with an emphasis on higher-margin category. Notably, excluding Turkey Hill and Carolina, General Merchandise and HBC grew 10%, driven by e-cigarette sales growth, which increased an impressive 5x the sales we recorded during the second quarter last year. This trend took off mid-2012 and has continued, but we may see some tapering in comps as we move into the fourth quarter. We believe e-cigarettes, along with smokeless tobacco categories, will continue to assist in the offsetting declining cigarette carton sales. Within our food category, we were very pleased that Fresh, including dairy and bread, grew about 20%. As we leveraged our marketing programs, we'll start to focus on the entire margin category. During the second quarter of this year, our gross profit increased $14.4 million or 11.7% compared to the prior year, while remaining gross profit increased $13.1 million, up 10.6% for the same period. Margins increased 10 basis points for gross profit and 4 basis points for remaining gross profit, bearing in mind that remaining gross profit excludes cigarette holding gains and LIFO expense. We recorded $3.9 million in cigarette holding gains as a result of the recent manufacturer increase in June compared to $3.2 million last year. Conversely, LIFO expense was lower than prior year, primarily due to lower forecast of inflation rates for cigarettes and certain nontobacco commodities. We will continue to reassess our LIFO projections in the back half of the year. Cigarette remaining gross profit increased 2.8% of $1.1 million to $39.9 million and represented 29% of our total remaining gross profit. As a percent of sales, cigarette margins were 2.34% compared to 2.46% last year. The remaining gross profit on a cents-per-carton basis was essentially flat, excluding the effects of our new Carolina division and the new contract, both which compressed cents per carton and resulted in an overall decrease of 4.5%. Food/non-food remaining gross profit increased 14% or $11.9 million to $96.9 million and represented 71% of our total remaining gross profit. As a percent for sales, food/non-food margins increased 4 basis points from 11.97% last year to 12.01% for the second quarter this year. Before the effects of a large new contract, which we anticipated with compressed margins starting in the second quarter, margins were up 12 basis points. We do anticipate further compression in Q3 from the contracts since we will then have a full quarter of activity in our numbers. In addition, food/non-food margins were compressed by a shift in sales mix within this food/non-food subcategory, most notably, the OTP category, which experienced sales growth of 16.3% all-in and had slightly lower margins than our food category that experienced 13.1% growth all-in. All else being equal, the lift in margins was the result of our key marketing strategies, which are all focused on driving more non-cigarette product sales, especially the ones with the higher margin. We believe FMI, VCI and our Fresh programs will continue to have a favorable impact on our remaining gross profit dollars and margins as we continue to focus on these important strategies to increase our customers' profits as well as our own. Moving to our operating expenses, we saw an 11.1% increase from $104.8 million last year to $116.4 million for the second quarter this year. Operating expense for our new Carolina divisions, including related amortization of intangibles, represented over 60% of this increase. As a percent of sales, operating expenses increased 6 basis points. We've mentioned before that as we grow our food/non-food sales at a higher pace than our cigarette sales, we will see operating expense percentages increase, since food/non-food sales have a lower price point per unit than cigarettes. As we drove down into our costs, warehouse and delivery expenses were $72.8 million, an increase of $6.6 million or 10% over the second quarter of last year. Excluding Carolina, warehouse and delivery grew almost 3.5%, supporting a comparable 6% increase in cubic feet of product shift. This corresponds to the 2.3% reduction in cost per cubes that Tom already mentioned. As a percentage of sales, warehouse and delivery costs were 2.9% compared to 2.89% in the second quarter, or essentially flat. SG&A expenses increased $5.1 million or 13.5%. SG&A expenses, as a percent of sales, were 1.71% compared to 1.65% in the second quarter of 2012. As previously mentioned, as our sales mix shifts, to the more food/non-food, we will see the percent to sales drift upward. That being said, we are monitoring this line very carefully. During the quarter, we did incur some costs related to the rollout of Turkey Hill and are starting to see some costs in preparation for the systems conversion in our Carolina division. Those project costs are isolated in SG&A for tracking purposes. However, amounts were not significant enough to carve out in our Q. Also, we continue to invest in the sales force and believe the recent momentum in sales growth will pay off longer term. And there were a few other line items where we incurred additional costs, increased reserves or chose to continue our investment spending for future leverage. However, none of these items individually are significant, but when taken in tandem with a shift in sales to food/non-food resulted in a lack of leverage. Moving further down the income statement, interest expense was slightly higher than last year driven by a capital lease we entered into last December and not by our external debt. You may have noticed that we amended our credit facility to extend our term 2 years to May 2018 and lowered our interest rates by 50 basis points. Our effective tax rate was 40.9% for both the second quarter of this year and last year, and we are still guiding to 40% tax rate for the full year. Moving to our cash flows, for the 6 months of the year -- first 6 months of the year, free cash flow was approximately $27 million compared to approximately $28 million last year. Both periods reflect some investment in excess cigarette inventory, which generated the cigarette inventory holding gains that has very attractive return characteristics. As an example, during the second quarter of this year, we built up our inventories in anticipation of a price increase that generated $3.9 million in holding gains. Our return on that incremental investment in inventory, net of carrying cost, was above 30%. As a reminder, we measure free cash flow as adjusted EBITDA, plus or minus changes in working capital, less CapEx, cash taxes and cash interest. In addition to our cigarette inventory speculation activities during the first half of the year, we carried slightly higher inventories to ensure high fill rates for our new customers. In addition, we used $3.8 million to repurchase shares, spent $2.2 million on dividend payments, and we recently announced our third quarter dividend of $0.19 payable on September 16 to shareholders of record on August 23. Through June, we spent approximately $7 million on capital projects, which is a bit lower than expected due in part to timing of certain payments and the delay of certain projects. We still expect not to exceed $30 million in CapEx for the year, and we'll monitor this number as the year progresses. Finally, net payments related to our income taxes were lower in 2012 due to some sizable refunds in the first half of 2012 that did not recur at the same pace in 2013. We're still forecasting free cash flow for the year to be between $55 million and $60 million, an increase of over 10% compared to 2012, depending, of course, on any unusual year-end activities. Our capital allocation decisions continue to support our key strategies and focus on ensuring we have sufficient capital to fund CapEx, inventory purchasing opportunities, acquisitions and market expansion, share repurchases and dividends. On these last 2 points, our board increased the authorization for our share repurchase program by $30 million at the end of May, and we continue to look to purchase shares opportunistically. Further, we anticipate continuing our dividend policy balancing our ability to increase dividends with alternate investment opportunities and cash flow availability. To summarize, we have a strong quarter building good momentum for the rest of the year, and we are on track with our guidance. With the additional lift in sales expected during the third and fourth quarters, operating expenses should leverage and additional cash flow will be generated. We are building a solid foundation for 2014. And with that, I would like to thank all of our employees, our vendors, our customers and our shareholders for your continued support. Operator, you can now open the line for questions.