Craig Dynes
Analyst · Roth Capital
Good evening, and welcome to Pegasystems 2012 Q3 Earnings Conference Call. Alan Trefler, Pegasystems' Founder and CEO, is joining the call from Australia. Before I give this to Alan, I will start with our Safe Harbor statement and then provide my financial commentary. Certain statements contained in this presentation, including statements relating to future earnings, bookings revenue and mix of license revenue may be construed as forward-looking statements as defined by the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. The words anticipates, projects, expects, plans, intends, believes, estimates, targets, forecasting, could and other similar expression identify forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date the statement was made. Because such statements deal with future events, they are subject to various risks and uncertainties. Actual results for fiscal year 2012 and beyond could differ materially from the company’s current expectations. Factors that could cause the company’s results to differ materially from those expressed in forward-looking statements are contained in the company’s press release announcing its Q3 2012 earnings and in the company’s filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including its report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2011, its report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended September 30, 2012, and other recent filings with the SEC. The company undertakes no obligation to revise or update forward-looking statements as a result of new information since these statements may no longer be accurate or timely. Similar to our experience in Q3 of last year, Q3 bookings were suppressed by continued uncertainty about the economy. This is most evident in Europe where on a year-to-date basis, bookings were down almost 50% from the same period last year. There seems to be a lot of hesitation to sign contracts of significant size. The pattern looks very similar to last year, where larger deals were delayed until Q4, when the budget must be spent or lost once the year-end hits. In fact, similar to Q4 last year, we have already seen some larger-than-average-size deals close in this Q4, and we expect this trend to continue. So again, like last year, economic uncertainty has pushed us into a very back-end loaded year for new license bookings. Since Q4 of last year, the mix of term versus perpetual licenses has moved towards term. I hesitate to ever call this a trend. In fact, when I make any prediction as to the future mix, I am usually proven wrong. However, I do expect the movement towards term license will likely continue in Q4. A change in the mix has an immediate impact on revenue and earnings. Revenue from term licenses is generally recognized over 5 years, whereas perpetual licenses are usually recognized in the quarter that they were booked. While bookings were down for the first 9 months of 2012 as compared to 2011, our Q3 bookings were higher than Q3 of last year and our backlog has stayed very strong. Our off balance sheet backlog of signed non-cancelable licenses is up about $75 million from the end of Q3 last year. This increase is shown on Page 23 of the Q, which shows in detail that we are holding $195 million in license revenue backlog as compared to only $120.6 million at this time last year. The increase in term license bookings has dramatically increased the backlog and has a slow but strong cumulative impact on revenue, similar to a Software-as-a-Service model. For example, as detailed on last year's 10-Q, last year at this time, we were holding $29.5 million of 2012 term license revenue and backlog. That's committed revenue for the next fiscal year. This year, at the end of Q3, we are holding $42.8 million of 2013 term license revenue, an increase of about 45%. So our movement to term license bookings is piling up and will have us a strong impact on future license revenue in 2013 and beyond. Maintenance revenue is $32.3 million for the quarter, down from $34.5 million for Q2 due to the onetime $2 million revenue event in Q2. On a year-to-date basis, maintenance is up about 14% over last year. Similar to Q2, professional service revenue on a year-to-date basis is only up about 2% or $2.5 million for 2012 compared to the first 9 months of 2011. Partners and customers are increasingly becoming enabled and are therefore, doing the vast majority of the implementation work. This is a very positive development as it greatly expands the Pega ecosystem. An additional benefit is the increase in professional services margins. With our slower growth, we're spending less on recruiting, hiring and onboarding new consultants. Not only are we spending less, but with fewer new staff being trained, we have fewer people on the bench. So utilization rates are much higher, which has driven the improvement of margin. Overall, in spite of the current economic climate, revenue is still up $16.5 million or 5% for the first 9 months of the year. And with the revenue mix changing in favor of more license and maintenance as compared to professional services, gross profit is up $19.5 million as compared to last year. Operating expenses for the quarter of $63.6 million were virtually identical from Q1. Q2 operating expenses were higher than both Q3 and Q1, primarily due to an increase in marketing events and programs of which the lionshare was PegaWORLD. Given the back-end loaded nature of the year and the move to more term licenses, we will continue to tightly manage any growth in operating expenses, with the objective of hitting our earnings targets. Even at lower growth rates, we will still increase the sales organization to provide additional capacity for growth beyond 2012. We increased the sales and marketing organization by 10 in Q3, of which 8 were in sales. We will also continue to grow our R&D capabilities. During Q2, we opened our first office in Bangalore, which is allowing us to replace contractor R&D with employees as we find that we are more effective with our own people. The contractor replacement was the primary reason why R&D headcount increased by 114. So for the first 9 months, GAAP net income was $1.4 million or $0.04 a share. In order to provide a normalized run rate of financial information and to allow comparisons to those building and publishing financial models, we have provided supplemental information in our press release to reconcile to a non-GAAP model. Following the same format that was used when we provide guidance as our -- part of our Q1 earnings release, there are 3 reconciling items: FAS 123R charges for stock-based compensation for Q3 were about $1.9 million or $0.05 per share on a post-tax basis; the amortization expense of the intangible assets created by purchase accounting for our Chordiant acquisition was also approximately $1.9 million or $0.05 per share on an after-tax basis; and lastly, as we explained on our Q4 call, we built out a move to a new office in Q3. GAAP accounting rules make us accelerate depreciation straight line the new lease cost. This results in double or overlapping noncash rent expense for both offices, while in reality, we have free rent for the new office until the old office license term ends next May. As we did in Q4, Q1 and Q2, we've added back this overlapping noncash lease expense, as well as the onetime cost of moving the offices to present a more normalized or run rate model. In Q3, we recorded $1.6 million or $0.04 per share on an after-tax basis for these non-recurring expenses associated with the office move. The supplemental GAAP to non-GAAP reconciliation shows a non-GAAP EPS of $0.13 per share for the third quarter, $0.45 for the year-to-date. We had a great quarter for cash collections and ended with $111.3 million in cash, an increase of about $8.4 million from the $102.9 million in cash at the end of Q2. Our cash flow from operations is now a very strong $29 million at the end of Q3. Collections dropped accounts receivable from $92.5 million at the end of Q2 to $80.8 million at the end of Q3. The age of these receivables dropped from 54 to 50 days. At the end of Q2, we've noted that one customer represented 10% of our trade receivables. This receivable has now been collected in full, and there are no other 10% accounts. Through the first 3 quarters, we have purchased 127,583 shares for $3.9 million in cash at an average price of $30.64 per share. At quarter end, we had a balance remaining of approximately $10 million available for future repurchases. Overall, the year, through 3 quarters, it appears to be eerily similar to last year. But then, why shouldn't it be the same? Business conditions are virtually unchanged. Customers delay executing new agreements, especially ones for large projects from quarter-to-quarter due to their sense of uncertainty when it comes to the economy. This is especially true in Europe where several times a year there is a debt or currency crisis. While it is easy to delay from a Q2 to a Q3, it is a different situation when it comes to Q4. This is usually the end of the fiscal year. Last year, customers were not able to delay from one budget year to another. So in Q4, we had a fantastic bookings quarter driven by "use it or lose it" spending. Similar to last year, while customers are cautious and are delaying spending in this environment, we have not seen deals disappear or go to competitors. Our pipeline is very strong and so we work hard for the remainder of the year. Lastly, as I said in the press release, I will be leaving Pega next year after filing the 2012 10-K. I have now been here for more than 6 years. There have a lot of Qs, Ks and calls like these. It has been a great journey. Over the past 5 years, in the face of some of the worst economic conditions in recent history, we have more than tripled annual revenue. The company is really mature and looks a lot different than when I arrived 6 years ago. We just moved into beautiful new modern offices, and after we moved, I realized that I'd accomplished many of my objectives and Pega was now a different company. And as crazy as it sounds, I started thinking about starting all over again with some late-stage private company. So I feel extremely happy and satisfied with regard to all of our achievements over the last 6 years, and I'll leave confident that Pega will continue to do well in the future. It may seem hard to believe, but I have enjoyed my time talking with all the investors that I've met, even some of the crazy, speed-dating investor conferences. I thank you all for giving me the time to listen to me talk about this great software company. Lastly, I want to thank all of the Pega employees and especially, Alan, for all the laughs we've shared when we were supposed to be working serious issues. Thankfully, no one has thought of having too much fun on a day-to-day basis. So now, for the last time, I'd like to turn the call over to Pega's Founder and CEO, Alan Trefler.