Kevin Neveu
Analyst · TD Cowen
Thank you, Carey. Good morning and thank you for joining our first quarter earnings call. So I'll begin by saying that I'm feeling very good about our first quarter financial results and the momentum we're carrying into the second quarter. While macro events and economic uncertainty are somewhat obscuring forward visibility, I'm comforted that capital discipline across the upstream oil and gas industry has dampened the traditional knee-jerk reaction to commodity price volatility. Our customers in both the United States and Canada are telling us that they are cautiously watching the macro events and the impact on oil prices, while they remain optimistic about LNG and gas opportunities. And while our customers are closely monitoring these trends, oil-targeted drilling plans remain largely unaffected by the current commodity price range and our customer discussions regarding gas drilling opportunities continue to have a positive tone. Now as Carey mentioned, we've taken steps to tightly control aspects of our business and strictly manage our spending and the organization is well focused on free cash flow, while we remain poised and well-positioned for any and all emerging opportunities. So beginning in Canada, after a strong winter, we're rolling into a spring breakup period with our most active fleet in over a decade. Today, we have 47 rigs operating and are essentially at the seasonal low. In this mix, we have 24 Super Triples and 23 Super Singles running straight through breakup, about 10% above last year's level. We expect to begin adding rigs in the first week of May and should climb back up into the mid-60s by early July, in line or slightly ahead of last year's trend. The rig mix will remain in the same proportions as this last winter with approximately 40% of our rigs in the Montney, Duvernay Deep Basin drilling gas and condensate targets and those should be relatively unaffected by any WTI volatility. I'll remind the listeners that for many of our customers, the condensate volumes these wells produce more than covers the drilling and completion costs and the Canadian market remains short condensate. With LNG Canada's first shipments imminent and the potential for Phase 2 approval later this year, we expect long-term stability in the Montney with additional rigs likely required when the first phase is at full capacity early next year and with further rig additions if Phase 2 achieves FID. The balance of our Canadian activity will be almost all heavy oil related and that is Clearwater, Mannville, Marten Hills, SAGD and conventional heavy oil. During the first quarter, we upgraded and reactivated an additional Super Single, increasing our fleet of 46 rigs available with all of these committed for work through the summer and the fall. We have 2 remaining Super Singles cold stacked that are ready to reactivate and we believe there are several good opportunities which may lead to firing up these rigs before next winter. Despite the macro uncertainties, our Canadian customer base has learned to operate in a lean market with historically wider differentials, exercising capital discipline and with operating efficiency as a prime strategy and they've been doing this for a decade. Our customers' balance sheets are in the best shape they've been in since early 2000s. The Trans Mountain pipe has narrowed the oil differentials. Drilling and completion costs are tightly managed and our customers are well positioned to continue their programs through periods of market uncertainty. LNG Canada will be the first LNG export facility for Canada and this new capacity will drive stable Montney gas activity for a very long time. My enthusiasm for our Canadian segment is well supported by these fundamentals and I see a good runway for the next several years. So shifting gears for a moment, I'll discuss our Canadian Well Service segment which is also experiencing strong, although slightly lower-than-expected customer demand. It seems that during the first quarter, our customers prioritized spending on drilling programs and perhaps held back a little on abandonments and delayed some prospective workovers. Despite the 10% reduction in activity this year versus last, rig mix was focused on higher-margin projects and net cash flows were almost flat with last year. Our customers continue to give us indications that this activity with the activity this summer should be in line with last year and we will have no problem responding with available rigs and crews. Now we mentioned in our press release that we're exiting -- that we've exited North Dakota, where we operated a fleet of 10 service rigs. We originally entered this market to provide services to Canadian customers operating in North America and North Dakota. And for several years, this business performed well. With our Canadian customers exited the market, we were left competing with local mom-and-pop service providers for highly price-sensitive customers. And although last year was a positive cash flow year for this segment, we did not achieve our targeted return on capital and we decided to exit the market. We are moving 6 of the rigs back to Canada and we'll sell the balance of the assets in the market. In our U.S. drilling business, as Carey mentioned in his comments, we remain challenged by low utilization and subscale activity levels with an average of 30 rigs operating in the first quarter. As mentioned in our press release in the Carey's comments, we've restructured our U.S. sales and operations group to better focus on our customers' needs, their key performance metrics and enhance our customer relationships. These changes included flattening the organization, eliminating several management positions, aligning sales, operations and technology with collaborative customer objectives and streamlining decision-making and internal communication chain. Early indications are that our restructured organization is working very well as our current activity level is now 34 rigs, up from 30 in the first quarter. And while contract churn will continue, we see a path to increase our U.S. activity back to a level of appropriate scale. In my opening comments, I mentioned that our customers remain cautious regarding oil-directed drilling, yet drilling plans remain in place. How we've seen this play out in one case is where a customer is indicating that our rigs will continue to operate through the year but they will suspend completion activities for a period until they have more confidence in the oil price. I remain cautiously optimistic that our Permian, our DJ and South Texas activity will remain stable through the summer and into the fall. Now we continue to see a lot of interest in gas-directed drilling, both in the Haynesville and the Marcellus and we currently expect to mobilize an additional ST-1500 rig to the Marcellus later this quarter. Now we continue to experience very active bidding activity in the Haynesville and expect rig activations later this quarter and into the summer. With 10 Precision Super Triple rigs stacked near Haughton, Louisiana, we believe we are very well positioned as our customers begin to pick up more rigs. Regarding leading-edge pricing, with customer demand firm and rig supply tight in the gas basins, we are seeing stronger pricing in the Haynesville and Appalachia than in the Permian, where contract churn is prevalent and most of the price competition seems to be focused. I'll also add that customer interest and plans in these gas plays seems to be relatively unaffected by the macro uncertainties pressing on commodity prices. Now turning to our international business. In Kuwait, we continue to operate 5 rigs. Precision Rig 906 which was due to expire during the third quarter, has been extended and will continue to work through the end of this year. We believe that will either be extended further or recontracted after that. The remaining 4 rigs in Kuwait are contracted well into 2028. We have 1 idle rig in Kuwait that we continue to bid for projects in Kuwait and other areas in the region. However, contract awards have slowed and we do not expect this rig to be contracted this year. In Saudi Arabia, we are currently operating 3 rigs but we have received a suspension notice for 1 rig which will take effect in May and reduce our activity for 2 rigs likely for the balance of this year. Now we have no indications from our customer that either of the 2 remaining rigs will be affected and they should continue working for the balance of the year. So turning back to our planned reduction in capital spending. As Carey mentioned, we reduced our capital spending from $225 million down to $200 million. Let me break this down to $8 million reduction in upgrade capital and a $17 million reduction in our maintenance or sustaining capital. So first, on the sustaining capital reduction, I'll point out that we usually take advantage of year-end vendor discounts and prebuy drill pipe and other rig components for the coming year. We did that in 2023. We did that again in 2024. And in our 2025 budget, we anticipated a similar year-end investment. At this point, we removed that from our budget and comment that the remaining $158 million is in line with our initial activity estimates for the year. Regarding the $8 million reduction in upgrade capital, this was a budgeted placeholder for unidentified projects primarily in the United States and international markets. Should either of these markets rebound in 2025, we'll consider additional upgrade spending but only if the financial returns and contract terms meet our financial thresholds. So now regarding the steps we are taking to reduce our fixed costs and restructure our U.S. operations team. These are very difficult steps for the Precision organization. And certainly, we will miss the dedicated folks who are no longer on our team and I thank them for their many contributions. That said, we believe it's essential to be sized and organized for the market that we see. It's also a key component of our core strategy to have tight control over every element of our business and our hand on every lever we control. This gives me confidence that we'll continue to deliver on our 3 strategic objectives despite whatever macro events impact our industry. We'll continue to provide high-value, high-performance services to our customers and remain well-positioned for any market opportunities we uncover. So I'll conclude by thanking the employees of Precision for their dedication, their loyalty and hard work and the strong safety, operational and financial results our team continues to deliver. With that, I'll now turn the call back to the operator for questions.