Lida Wang
Analyst · Balanz
Thank you, Raquel. Hello everyone and thank you for joining our conference call. I'll make a quick summary of Q1, you may find more details in our earnings release and financial statements. Today, we are having a Q&A with our CEO, Mr. Gustavo Mariani; our CFO, Mr. Nicolas Mindlin, Mr. Horacio Turri, our Head of E&P and also Adolfo Zuberbuhler, our Finance Director. Let's start with the quarter figures. After a soft Q4, gas and power demand recovered. Pampa delivered 31% higher gas production year-on-year and 32% quarter-on-quarter, thanks to the new gas pipeline online in August of last year. Remember that Pampa was awarded 4.9 million cubic meters per day out of 11 of the pipeline's capacity. This is very important as this late summer bloom prevented the country from importing gas and firing alternative fuels. Therefore, there is more local gas output, lesser FX outflow, a friendlier carbon footprint, and more power efficiency. Also, we kept boosting shale gas production, representing 40% of our total output of this quarter, a significant increase compared to last year's 14%. In contrast, we've been experiencing significant delays in collecting CAMMESA payments, burying higher working capital. We learned that the Secretariat of Energy instructed CAMMESA to pay December 2023 and January 2024's transactions in face value dollar bonds, so we booked a $34 million impairment loss on trade receivables. We are awaiting the final resolution and analyzing the course of action. The adjusted EBITDA for the quarter amounted to $189 million. This is a decrease of 8% compared to last year's amount because of the payment haircut on CAMMESA's January receivables and lower gas exports, in addition to the drop of petrochemicals and energy spot prices, this the latter affected by the sharp peso depreciation in December. Higher domestic gas demand and lower net operating costs partially offset these effects. However, the EBITDA grew 70% quarter-on-quarter, mainly due to this recovery in gas and power demand. Notice that the Q4 '23 EBITDA is also affected by CAMMESA haircut because of December's transaction. CapEx in Q1 slowed down, being 36% lower year-on-year, mainly because of the strong shale gas activity and PEPE 4 was developed in 2023, plus in Q1 we carried out the last divestments of PEPE 6, our last wind farm, which is estimated to be fully commissioned by October of this year. This was partially offset by the beginning of the pilot plan for shale oil in Rincon de Aranda. Moving on to power generation, as seen on slide four, we posted an adjusted EBITDA of $85 million in Q1, 22% lower year-on-year, mainly explained by the $17 million impairment of CAMMESA's January 2024 invoice explained before. It also impacted by the peso devaluation on the spot prices and Mario Cebreiro's divestment, partially offset by lower operating costs and the commissioning of PEPE 4 in June last year. Q4 dispatch increased 3% year-on-year, this is mainly due to Barragan's new CCGT, higher water levels at Mendoza hydros and PEPE 4's contribution, partially offset by lower fuel oil fired generation and Loma's gas turbine number five that, after being out of service for six months, resumed dispatch on January. Take or pay capacity payment, especially from PPAs, explains most of the EBITDA in this sector. It is driven by availability, and in Q1, we reached 96%, this is higher than last year's 93% because last year there was a lot of thermal outages. Let's do a quick review on PEPE 6 expansion, the project's progress is 89% advanced. So it's pretty advanced. We mounted the 8th wind turbine on Monday, as seen in the installation status report that you see here. Meanwhile, the towers components are keep arriving at the site. The four power transformers have already been commissioned, tested and cleared by CAMMESA and Transener, but they are still awaiting for China's approval. Finally, to avoid power transmission curtailments, we connected the wind farm to a new 500 kV high-voltage grid, the first three points line protection system is already online and the second has begun the process for commissioning. The estimated full COD will be in October of this year. PEPE 6 energy will be sold under B2B PPAs in matter. Moving on to E&P, I wanted to quickly comment on the gas deliveries, which recovered after Q4's soft demand, thanks to the late summer bloom. As you can see here, domestic sales are way above take or pay, although exports to Chile are still struggling but better off than last Q4. The winter season began this May and we are hitting peak production soon. Commenting on the segment's performance, on slide seven, our E&P business posted an adjusted EBITDA of $70 million in Q1. This is 14% higher year-on-year. This increase was driven by higher domestic gas demand, unlocked by the commissioning of this new pipeline and hot weather. Lower gas exports, which I mentioned before, and crude oil sales were lower offset this variations. In Q1, our total production averaged above 73,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day. This is 27% higher than last year. Zooming in oil represented 6% of our E&P output, but 16% of the segment's revenue. Gas keeps taking the lead, representing 94% of the total production. Higher maintenance, treatment and transportation costs in El Mangrullo and Sierra Chata due to increased activity explained that our total lifting cost slightly grew by 4% year-on-year. Still, this is very important, the rising output mostly positively impacted the lifting cost per boe, which decreased 19% year-on-year, recording $5.8 per boe. Also, this quarter, we started our activities in Rincon de Aranda, which yielded promising results. We completed one DUC well targeting Vaca Muerta with initial production of over 1,300 barrels and currently producing practically at the same rate. Once the well testing is done and Duplicar is partially commissioned, that is due in this year, a stage of it. We plan to resume production in the well tied-in back in 2018. Focusing on gas, our production in Q1 increased by 31% year-on-year and 32% quarter-on-quarter, averaging almost 12 million cubic meters per day again because of the local demand. 64% of the quarter's production came from El Mangrullo and 20% from Sierra Chata, both our flagship shale gas fields. Regarding the campaign, we drilled one well and completed another three, shale gas wells in Sierra Chata. The productivity was outstanding. So we almost doubled our gas production there. On the other hand, El Mangrullo experienced a 29% increase compared to last year, without drilled new drilled or tie-in wells. In non-operated areas, Rio Neuquen tied-in five wells this quarter, maintaining production levels. The average gas price for the quarter stood at $3.2 per million BTU, this is 18% down due to lower exports in volume and price to Chile as we explained before. We can see right below, the higher deliveries of local gas were destined for thermal power generation. The petrochemicals business posted $11 million of EBITDA in Q1, this is a 58% growth year-on-year mainly because of higher sales in the reformer and lower costs because of the FX, offset by soft domestic sales due to the economic activity and lower international prices. Quarter-on-quarter, the EBITDA decreased by 45%. This is mainly because the export dollar income was lower. The Reformer led the output mostly, offset by the reduced demand for Styrenics. Well, in Q1, moving to cash flow. We recorded a free cash outflow of $187 million. Besides the 17 million haircut on CAMMESA's January invoice that is impacted in EBITDA. This outflow is purely explained by the sharp increase in working capital due to the payment delays from CAMMESA, which rose from 73 to 89 days in the quarter. Now it is over 120 days if all three due bills are paid today. May 10 is the due of March invoice, so the debt will pile four bills if nothing changes. The higher working capital is offset by lower debt service mainly due to reduced peso stock, debt stock. However, we took advantage of the local market conditions and issued new debt to cover the increased working capital. Also, it is worth highlighting that we collected 45 million in dividends from OCP, a co-controlled oil pipeline company. This is the second largest and only private pipeline in Ecuador. In summary, we increased $11 million of net cash in the quarter, despite the high working capital, achieving an 845 million cash position by the end of March. Moving on to slide 12, we show our consolidated financial position, including our affiliates at ownership. But let's just focus on the restricted group that reflects the bond perimeter. We posted a gross debt of almost $1.6 billion, a 6% lower year-on-year and 10% growth in cash. We kept diversifying the currency and source of our debt and, as a result, 73% of the gross debt is in US dollars. The net debt recorded $718 million. It's 21% lower year-on-year, and 1.1 times leverage. The average life was 2.8 years. Until 2027, we do not face any relevant debt maturities. So this concludes our presentation. Now, I will turn the word to Raquel. She will poll for questions. Thank you very much.