Lida Wang
Analyst · MetLife
[Technical Difficulty]. Hello, Can you hear me? Sorry, technical problem. Anyway. Thank you, Marrie. Hello, everyone, and thank you for joining our conference call. I will make it short and swift. So we have plenty of time for Q&A with our CEO, Gustavo Mariani, who is here; and our CFO, Nicolas Mindlin, who is here as well. Let's start with the quarter's figures. It's been another solid quarter for our businesses. Though gas made it to the headlines again as expected. Revenues increased 11% year-on-year and 7% quarter-on-quarter to $621 million, mainly driven by seasonal gas sales, commodity prices, electricity spot prices and Energía Plus. However, the end Loma and Piquirenda PPAs last year mainly offset these increases as well as Loma's gas turbine number 5 of outage and lacked regulated tariffs. 87% of our sales were dollar-linked, the remaining are electricity spot and regulated utilities. Those are in pesos. The adjusted EBITDA amounted to $246 million, 5% less year-on-year, but similar quarter-on-quarter, basically explained by the same reasons detailed before, plus higher payroll in U.S. terms -- dollar terms. As you can see on the right below, the business share flip, and now oil and gas leads the consolidated adjusted EBITDA, thanks to our gas business, which took almost half of our EBITDA. CapEx in Q3 was 87% higher year-on-year and 27% up quarter-on-quarter, mainly due to the fast pace at our power expansion project, PEPE III and to a lesser extent, the finishing touches in Barragán. E&P remained similar to last year, but it's 27% lower than Q2 as drilling and completion activity slows down during the winter peak. Moving on to power generation. As seen on Slide 4, we posted an EBITDA of $89 million in Q3, down 29% year-on-year and 10% quarter-on-quarter, mainly due to the maturity of these PPAs that we talk about and outages at Loma that we mentioned before, plus higher pesos expenses, offset by better spot energy. This is thanks to the price increases back in February and June, and increased thermal B2B sales known as Energía Plus. Q3 dispatch was 17% down year-on-year mainly due to limited gas procured by CAMMESA for power generation, affecting mostly Genelba Barragán, which trigger higher dispatch fire in liquid fuels. This quarter we also experienced certain outages and program overhauls, offset by higher water impact. The power generation business model relies on take-or-pay capacity payment. So availability is what matters the most. In Q3, we reached an outstanding rate of 96%, just a little bit above the 95% recorded last year. It will be higher if it wasn't for Loma number 5 outage. So again, Pampa's availability was way above the system average that it recorded 78%. And regarding our expansion at Ensenada Barragán, the closing to CCGT is advancing as we are entering the last stages towards the COD. We successfully performed the steam low, and carry out our facilities, restatement, works to deliver the first team to the turbine. We also keep working on commissioning the water treatment plant and the cooling tower. Around 200 people are working daily on this project to achieve the COD forecast by the end of this year. So moving to PEPE III wind farm expansion. The project is now 72% advanced. We completed the civil works and the wind turbine basis. We also received all the wind turbine components at the port of Bahía Blanca. As of today, we have 9 wind turbines ready to be assembled. Vestas, who is our supplier is already assembling the first section of the towers and [indiscernible]. The estimated COD is split in 2 stages, the first 54 megawatts by February 2023, and the remaining 27 megawatts by March 2023. Moving on to E&P. Between May and August, we delivered close to 11 million cubic meters per day as stipulated in Plan Gas. Still because of better weather and hence, lower demand, we reduced to almost 10 million cubic meters per day in September. However, our gas production in Q3 outperformed by growing 20% year-on-year and 6% quarter-on-quarter, averaging 10.7 million cubic meters per day, and outpacing nationwide growth that only increased by 4%. 76% of the quarter's production came from only 1 block that's El Mangrullo and almost all its tight gas. This month, we are adding 3.3 million cubic meters per day of evacuation and treatment capacity at El Mangrullo, reaching 14 million cubic meters per day of capacity, more than doubling last year's. Río Neuquén and Sierra Chata also contributed to the growing output but at a smaller pace. So tight gas is our primary production source. We are drilling shale gas wells to increase our share. We drilled 4 shale gas wells at Sierra Chata, and also drilled and completed 2 tight gas wells. Last Friday, we also received news regarding the tender tapping the new pipeline, the extension of Plan Gas until 2028, and exports can be done on a take-or-pay basis during winter season but following certain restrictions. So all are good signs towards bringing more stability to the gas market, but we are still waiting for more details. Briefly commenting on the E&P business figures as seen on Slide 8. We posted an adjusted EBITDA of $117 million in Q3, the highest quarter since 2018. This figure is 13% up year-on-year and 15% up quarter-on-quarter, explained by the gas performance we mentioned before, and the higher realized oil prices, offset by increased costs related to the growing activity, exports and payroll expenses. Our total production averaged more than 68,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, of which 92% is gas. Our lifting costs grew by 45% year-on-year and 16% quarter-on-quarter, explained by the Plan Gas increased commitment. However, the lifting costs only increased 22% year-on-year and 8% quarter-on-quarter recording 6.6% -- $6.6 per BOE, evidencing the efficiency of our operations. [indiscernible] crude oil represented 20% of the segment's revenue in the quarter. The volume sold was similar year-on-year, but 20% up quarter-on-quarter, almost 6,000 barrels per day of nearly owned production. During the quarter, local sales increased, offset by reduced exports. Realized price was more than $70 per barrel, primarily due to the brands and the [indiscernible] raise in the domestic price. Back to gas, our average gas price of the quarter was $4.8 per million BTU, 9% up year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter driven by seasonality and export prices. This price is also the highest since 2018. Regarding the sales breakdown. Q3 is in peak season, which is a skew to retail because they hold priority under Plan Gas. As a result, we slightly reduced B2B share and gain exposure to exports despite selling in spot markets. Export share will take off during Q4 as we began exporting 1.5 million cubic meters per day under take-or-pay basis since October until May of next year to Chile. Okay. Briefly about petrochemicals. It delivered another outstanding EBITDA of $19 million in Q3, much higher than the last year's $7 million. This is primarily contributed by better prices of performing plus the higher dispatch of octane basis in the local market, partially offset by higher raw material costs. However, quarter-on-quarter, the EBITDA remained similar because of the higher sales volume was offset by a reduced styrene margin. Sales volume was 7% down year-on-year, mainly due to lower exports and tire industry conflicts offset by local demand growth for styrenics and octane basis. In Q3, 1/3 of the local -- of the total sales volume was exported. Moving on to the cash flow. We recorded a free cash flow of $11 million driven by the outstanding operating performance from all 3 businesses helped by leaner working capital offset by debt service. The increased debt considers the pesos raised in the local market, and net from the 2023 notes exchange we finalized last August. In addition, in Q3, we collected $20 million out of the $40 million from the Edenor sale financed milestone. So we concluded that sale, and acquired the full ownership of Mario Cebreiro wind farm for over $20 million. So in summary, we generated $119 million of net cash flow in the quarter, achieving $685 million of cash in September. Moving on to the Slide 12. This slide shows the consolidated figures of our financial position, including our affiliates at ownership, but let's just focus on the restricted group that reflects the BOM perimeter. The net debt reflects the successful exchange of 2023 notes by issuing $293 million of amortizing 2026 notes, and paying down $122 million in cash. Hence, we lowered our international debt. In addition, taking advantage of the domestic liquidity and from the higher seasonal working capital from CAMMESA, we also issued a local bond for ARS 22 billion due in 18 months and took ARS 7 billion, net peso bearing loans, and $7 million of pre-import credit facility. So we posted a gross debt of $1.6 billion, similar to last quarter. 85% of that is dollar denominated, bearing an average interest rate of 8.3%. Net debt and leverage ratio remained similar at $927 million and 1.3x. The average life decreased slightly to 3.7 years. As you can see, Pampa does not face relevant debt maturities until 2027. Well, so this concludes our presentation. Now I will turn the word to Marrie, who will poll for questions.