Harry N. Pefanis
Analyst · Barclays
Thanks, Greg. During my portion of the call, I'll review our third quarter operating results compared to the midpoint of our guidance, discuss the operational assumptions used to generate our fourth quarter guidance and provide an update on our BridgeTex acquisition and then our expansion capital program. I'll also provide a little more information on BridgeTex. As shown on Slide 8, adjusted segment profit for the Transportation segment was $237 million, which was approximately $7 million above the midpoint of our guidance. Volumes of 4.2 million barrels per day were approximately 91,000 barrels per day higher than our guidance. Adjusted segment profit per barrel was $0.61 or $0.01 above the midpoint of our guidance. Segment profit benefited from higher-than-forecasted volumes in our Eagle Ford area systems, Basin Pipeline, Capline Pipeline and White Cliffs Pipeline. However, these increases were partially offset by an operational disruption on our Rainbow Pipeline system, which resulted in 18 days of curtailed movements due to the receipt of a large volume of water into the system for at least 1 producer. Adjusted segment profit for the Facilities segment was $149 million, which was approximately $14 million above the midpoint of our guidance. Volumes of 121 million barrels of oil equivalent per month were 1 million barrels below the midpoint of our guidance. However, adjusted segment profit per barrel was $0.41, or $0.04 above our guidance. The increase in segment profit per barrel is most notably due to NGL component gains related to our Canadian fractionation operation and higher throughput volumes at our Cushing terminal. Adjusted segment profit for the Supply and Logistics segment was $141 million or approximately $26 million above our guidance. Volumes of 1.1 million barrels per day were in line with the midpoint of our guidance. Adjusted segment profit per barrel was a $1.36 or $0.22 above the midpoint of our guidance. Over-performance was primarily due to more favorable crude oil differentials, particularly the Midland Cushing differential and differentials in our Canadian -- in Canadian grades of crude oil. Let me now move to Slide 9 and review the operational assumptions used to generate our fourth quarter 2014 guidance, furnished yesterday. For our Transportation segment, we expect fourth quarter volumes to average just under 4.3 million barrels per day or about 54,000 barrels a day higher than that of the third quarter. Most of the volume increase relates to our Sunrise Pipeline, which will go into service in December. We expect fourth quarter adjusted segment profit to be $0.66 per barrel, up from the third quarter, which was adversely impacted by the Rainbow Pipeline disruption. For our Facilities segment, we expect an average capacity of 122 million barrels of oil equivalent per month. Adjusted segment profit per barrel is expected to be $0.40, which is essentially in line with the third quarter segment profit per barrel. The slight increase in volumes as compared to the third quarter is primarily due to our Bakersfield rail terminal, which was place in service in November. For our Supply and Logistics segment, we expect volumes to average just under 1.3 million barrels per day or about 136,000 barrels per day higher than volumes realized in the third quarter. Adjusted segment profit per barrel is expected to be $1.39 or $0.03 per barrel higher than last quarter. The increase from the third quarter is primarily due to seasonal NGL sales volumes forecasted for the fourth quarter, partially offset by less favorable crude oil differentials. With respect to our acquisition announcement, and as Greg mentioned, we acquired an interest in the segment of the BridgeTex Pipeline system that extends from the origination station at Colorado City to Magellan's East Houston terminal. This is a 400-mile, 20-inch pipeline that has approximately 300,000 barrels per day of capacity. As illustrated on Slide 10, this segment of the pipeline was placed into service in October and crude oil is being delivered into the Magellan Houston terminal. I'll note that the portion of this segment we'll acquire will be -- I'm sorry, well, I'll note that the portion of the system that Magellan will acquire will be incorporated into its Houston distribution system. At closing, BridgeTex will enter into a long-term lease with Magellan that will provide BridgeTex with 300,000 barrels per day of capacity on the Houston distribution system. The pipeline system is supported by shipper contracts ranging from 7 to 10 years in length with options to extend. I'll also note that contractually committed volumes account for approximately 80% of the system's current capacity. About 10%, or half of the remaining capacity, is required to be reserved for walk-up customers. Let's now move to our capital program, which is detailed on Slide 11. As indicated by the level of our capital included in our 2014 plan and our expectation of a similar level for 2015, we have been and expect to be very active in several resource plays and demand centers of North America. For 2014, we made an upward adjustment of $100 million to an estimated expansion capital plan which results in a revised target of approximately $2.05 billion. This increase is not attributable to any single -- similar -- single project and, similar to last quarter, remains spread across a number of smaller opportunities. The expected in-service timing of the larger projects in our capital program is included on Slide 12, and I'll provide a status update for a few of those investments. In August, we announced plans to construct the Diamond Pipeline, which is a 440-mile, 20-inch line that will have up to 200,000 barrels per day of our [ph] capacity from our Cushing terminal to Valero's Memphis Refinery. This is a $900 million project underpinned by a long-term shipping agreement with Valero and a related contract restoring terminaling services at our Cushing terminal. The project is expected to be completed in late 2015 and Valero holds an option until January 2016 to purchase a 50% nonoperating interest in the pipeline. Last night, we announced a new pipeline -- a project to build a 16-inch pipeline from Duncan, Oklahoma to Longview, Texas. The pipeline has a potential capacity of up to 150,000 barrels per day and will source barrels off the Basin Pipeline as supported by long-term shipper commitments. The pipeline will have the ability to provide crude oil at local refineries and will also be connected to our Longview terminal, which is connected to pipelines that have access to Gulf Coast markets. The Permian Basin has been and will, for the next few years, be our most active area with respect to organic growth opportunities. As reflected on Slide 13, let me start by saying that we have recently updated our production forecast for the Permian Basin by approximately 500,000 barrels per day, as we expect production to reach 2.5 million barrels per day by the end of 2018 if drilling activities are not curtailed. The resource base in this area is well established and the drilling and completion technology is improvement -- is proven. As a result, if lower prices persist, our production forecast for this time period will be moderated, but we do believe that resource is there and will be developed. We have a couple of projects in the Permian Basin that will go into service in the fourth quarter, and we think we will begin to de-bottleneck portions of the Permian Basin. Our Monahans to Crane Pipeline is expected to go into service later this month, which will add 100,000 barrels a day of takeaway capacity out of Delaware Basin. We also expect to place our Sunrise Pipeline into service in December, which, when fully operational early next year, will add 200,000 barrels a day of takeaway capacity out of Midland. Our Cactus Pipeline should be in service in April 2015, which will initially provide an incremental 200,000 barrels per day of takeaway capacity. And with pumping equipment that is being added, takeaway capacity will be increased to approximately 300,000 barrels a day in 2016. Also, in the second quarter of 2015, we expect to complete the looping of the second of the Basin Pipeline from Wink to Midland. This is a 24-inch pipeline that, coupled with other pipeline expansions currently under construction from Wink to the Delaware Basin will add approximately 500,000 barrels of takeaway capacity from the Delaware Basin. Lastly, we're actively pursuing the project to extend our Sunrise Pipeline from Colorado City to Wichita Falls. This extension would, in essence, increase capacity of Cushing by approximately 200,000 barrels a day. In the Eagle Ford, we will remain on pace to complete the expansion of our joint venture pipeline from Gardendale to Three Rivers in April 2015, matching the timing of the completion of the Cactus Pipeline. In addition, earlier this week, we announced a new gathering project in our Eagle Ford joint venture with Enterprise, along with a project to develop a segment of JV line from Three Rivers to Corpus Christi and to include in the joint venture the new Corpus Christi dock and terminal facility under development. When completed, the JV system will include 2 20-inch pipelines from Gardendale to Corpus Christi and will have both a barge-loading and ship-loading dock in Corpus Christi. The docks in Corpus Christi will have access to production both at Eagle Ford and Permian Basin. In the Mid-Continent, we're nearing completion of our facility at Lindsay, Oklahoma. The facility will allow production from the SCOOP play to be delivered into the Basin Pipeline for delivery to Cushing. We expect to start delivering crude oil into this facility in December. In Canada, we have a number of expansion projects underway at our Fort Sask facility. These projects total approximately $600 million and include increasing our fractionation capacity, developing 2 new 750,000-barrel ethane caverns, developing 2 new 350,000-barrel propane caverns, increasing our brine handling capacity and developing a propane rail loading facility. The expansion of our fractionator and our new ethane caverns are supported by long-term commitments, and our remaining projects are supported by existing activities at our Fort Sask facility. With respect to our rail activities. Our Bakersfield rail unloading terminal expects to receive its first train this month. Our Kerrobert terminal is on track to be in service in mid-2015, and we recently approved plans to enhance our St. James facility to be able to receive heavy crude oil. The St. James enhancements are expected to be completed about the same time as our Kerrobert facility. And lastly, with respect to rail, we have over 1,600 new railcars on order with delivery expected to begin in mid-2015. Before I finish, I also want to mention that last week, the Capline owners announced that we have conducted a study to evaluate alternatives for Capline, given the decreasing demand for south and north movements in North America. The study is expected to be completed in early 2015, but any change in service of Capline requires the approval of all 3 owners. Until the study is completed and the owners meet, we really don't have any additional information to share with respect to the ultimate service of Capline. And lastly, as for maintenance capital expenditures, the third quarter totaled $56 million and we expect maintenance capital expenditures for 2014 to range between $185 million and $205 million. As you can see, Plains has a strategic location in almost all the significant crude oil resource plays is providing PAA with significant fee-based organic growth opportunity. And with that, I'll turn the call over to Al.