George Gleason
Analyst · Stephen Scouten with Piper Sandler
Stephen, what I would tell you is, yes, we hope to use the ample capital. We've got to grow our portfolio and capitalize that on that opportunity. I will tell you that we do expect payoffs and prepayments to be quite a bit larger in Q4, and we do think 2021 will be a -- likely be a record payoff year. So, the RESG guys are keenly aware that the payoff treadmill is running full speed again. And they have got to pick up their game without in any way degrading our credit quality or the performance of our portfolio, to continue to try to grow their book of business in light of a rigorous payoff environment. We've run on this treadmill in the past, and we've continued to maintain or grow the RESG portfolio. We would like to grow it, certainly, the next five quarters, because we've had a bunch of payoffs pushed from the first three quarters of this year into the next three or four quarters, and we've got payoffs that would normally be occurring on that cycle. We're going to have payoff headwinds for four, five quarters here, and the guys are going to have to play their A game to put on lots of high quality volume in an environment where there are fewer transactions probably being executed for new construction and development. But, we've also historically, in past, been able to, in times of economic turbulence, participate in a lot of restructuring and repositioning of assets that other lenders and other sponsors are getting out of and our sponsors have been very opportunistic. So, I think capitalizing on some of those opportunities is going to be important to us achieving our growth goals. No guarantees here, but as we said in the management comments, we feel pretty good about the top line that we've got at RESG, now that we're working on for Q4 and early 2021. The guys are getting coached regularly by Brannon and Mike Moran, the leadership down at RESG, on the need to get out, hunt hard, find good opportunities on good projects that make sense even in this economy with quality sponsors. They're working hard to do that. We've got a great origination team. So, we'll see how they execute, but we are cautiously optimistic about that. But, your question is spot on point that, that's the big challenge now is being able to generate quality growth that meets our standards. And I assure you we won't generate it if it doesn't meet our standards, but quality growth that meets our standards to overcome the payoffs that are coming and generate some decent growth in average earning assets. So, that's the new focus for us.