George Gleason
Analyst · Morgan Stanley. Your line is now open
Well, a couple of things that contributed to our compression in NIM in the quarter just ended is one was our PPP loans that have a 1% coupon and yield under 3%, high 2s, when you factor in the amortization of the fees on those, which we’re amortizing over the life of the loans, so that not a basis points or 2 off NIM in the quarter just ended. And then, our liquidity builds, we're in an environment where we think it's prudent to build more liquidity, and there's not much yield on any securities you can buy out there that you're excited about. I don't even want to keep short for liquidity purposes. So that probably took 10, what was at another 6-8 basis points off our NIM. I think, it's around 5 or 6 basis points in the quarter just ended. So, continued liquidity build and having a full quarter of the PPP loans on the books now, when those forgiveness and repayment start coming in is dependent upon the government's programs and timing for that. So, that's how it predicts. So, that could weigh on margin a little bit. The counter of that is what I think is a very constructive thesis for margin going forward. And that is, as we showed on page 10 -- I'm sorry, figure two of the management's comments document. We do have a pretty good opportunity to continue to lower our cost of interest-bearing deposits with the CD maturity, as you noted. And hopefully, we're going to be able to keep those CD rates coming down, even lower as we roll over. That seems to be the prevailing trend and hopefully that will continue. So, that should help us lower our cost of interest-bearing deposits over the next several quarters. And then, in a lot of parts of the market, competition is very-intense; and other parts, competition is backed off. So, we're getting wider spreads on our new originations in the RESG space than we were getting on those loans six months or nine months ago, which is appropriate because we saw you have to hold more reserves, so you ought to get paid more for those loans. So, we view that as a second leg of our margin thesis. The first leg is keep that positive of interest-bearing deposits coming down over the next several quarters. And then, the loans were closing now and it closed this year in RESG are typically constructions loans that will fund in ‘21 and ‘22. So, as those loans that we are originating this year with what will hopefully continue to be higher spreads than the loans were originated last year begin to fund in the next couple of years, that ought to give us a second leg to our margin expansion thesis. So, we're cautiously optimistic. We've got two key ingredients to improving our margin in place, and one is better spreads versus LIBOR, Prime or whatever the index is on newly originated loans and the other is cost of interest-bearing deposits. And those are two important parts of the puzzle. The mix of the balance sheet, the decision to hold more liquidity, loan yields, or investment securities yield, those things or other factors in there. But the -- we got two big pieces lined up in a very constructive way. So, we're cautiously optimistic.