Alan Kirshenbaum
Analyst · Credit Suisse. Please go ahead
Thank you, Michael. Good morning, everyone. I'm going to start off by walking through the numbers for this quarter, and then I'll touch on a few other items I want to cover today. I'll be making references to pages in our earnings presentation, so please feel free to have that available to follow along. To start off, this earnings call is going to sound a lot like my remarks from last quarter and the quarter before, and I suspect next quarter will sound a lot like my remarks from this quarter. We built our business with a foundation of permanent capital and steady predictable management fee cash flows. We don't have lumpy vol of carried interest revenues going through our P&L, so we look different than our peers. And we have expected that earnings releases last quarter, this quarter, and next quarter, will continue to differentiate us in the diversified alt industry. Okay, let's cover our quarterly results. Our third quarter was another quarter of strong growth for our business. Management fees are up $54.9 million or 19% from last quarter, and up 70% from the third quarter a year ago. Broken down by strategy, direct lending management fees are up $24 million or 16% from last quarter, and up 50% from the third quarter a year ago. GP Capital Solutions management fees are up $29.1 million, or 23% from last quarter, and up 72% from the third quarter a year ago, and real estate management fees are up $1.8 million, or 10% from last quarter. So, as you can see, we had double-digit management fee growth quarter-over-quarter sequentially in all three of our strategies. FRE is up $12.8 million or 6% from last quarter, and up 48% from the third quarter a year ago. Distribution costs are driving the lower increase in FRE quarter-over-quarter, which also brought FRE margins down a little from last quarter, all in line with the guidance we provided on our last earnings call in August. We continue to be right on track with our 60% FRE margin guidance for 2022, but I'll cover that more in a few moments. Our ratio of compensation as a percentage of revenue is roughly flat to last quarter at 27%. And we announced a dividend of $0.12 per share for the third quarter, up from $0.11 per share last quarter, and $0.09 per share in the third quarter a year ago, resulting in a 33% increase in our dividend year-over-year. All of this is in line with our expectations and what we noted on our earnings call last quarter. Now, I'd like to spend a moment on our fundraising efforts as we posted very large numbers again in the third quarter. As a reminder, in the second quarter we raised $7.2 billion, and now in the third quarter, we have raised $8.8 billion. I'll break down these numbers across our strategies and products. In direct lending, we raised $5.5 billion, over $2 billion from one of the three biggest state pensions in the US, a new relationship for us, $1.7 billion for our tech strategy, $0.8 billion for our retail distributed core income BDC, ORCIC, which has now over $5.25 billion of equity, and approximately $1 billion for other direct lending products. In GP Capital Solutions, we raised $2.9 billion. $2.7 billion was raised for Dyal Fund V, and then an additional $200 million of co-invest. That brings our total funds raised for Dyal Fund V to $12.5 billion through September 30. When you think about a run rate revenue number for the GP Capital Solutions strategy overall, I would think of that as around $525 million to $540 million annualized, which includes all commitments raised through September 30. Not included in these fundraising or run rate revenue numbers, we have the ability to raise an additional up to $500 million through the end of this year in Dyal Fund V. In real estate, we raised $400 million, a good early outcome for the recently launched Net Lease Trust product, our first non-trad REIT, which is leveraging our best-in-class retail distribution network. That momentum continues to build nicely into the fourth quarter, and we are also planning for an initial close of our real estate Fund VI product in the fourth quarter, which we are all very excited about. As you just heard, we have had extraordinarily strong second and third quarter fundraising levels, and we have good momentum heading into the fourth quarter. We are not expecting the same record levels in the fourth quarter as we saw in the second and third quarters, but we are expecting another strong fundraising quarter. As it relates to our AUM metrics, on Slide 11, we reported AUM of $132.1 billion, fee-paying AUM of $84.1 billion, and total permanent capital of $106 billion. AUM not yet paying fees was $10.7 billion as of September 30. AUM grew $13 billion to $132.1 billion, an 11% increase from last quarter, and an 87% increase from the third quarter a year ago. Fee-paying AUM grew $6.6 billion to 84.1 billion, a 9% increase from last quarter, and a 79% increase from the third quarter a year ago, those metrics driven primarily by capital raise and deployment in direct lending, capital raised in Dyal Fund V, and when looking at the growth from a year ago, the addition of our real estate and CLO businesses. Permanent capital grew $10.5 billion to $106 billion, an 11% increase from last quarter, and a 64% increase from the third quarter a year ago, driven primarily by capital raise and deployment in direct lending, capital raised in Dyal Fund V, as well as the addition of our real estate business when compared to a year ago. AUM not yet paying fees was $10.7 billion, including $9 billion in direct lending, $0.8 billion in GP Capital Solutions, and $0.9 billion in real estate. This AUM corresponds to an expected increase in annual management fees totaling approximately $140 million once deployed. As Marc highlighted earlier, we continue to have strong deployment in direct lending, with gross originations of $6 billion for the quarter, and net funded deployment of $3.9 billion. This brings our gross originations for the last 12 months to $26.1 billion, with $16.9 billion of net funded deployment. So, as it relates to the $9 billion of AUM not yet paying fees in direct lending, it would take us about two quarters to fully deploy this, based on our average net funded deployment pace over the last 12 months. Turning to our balance sheet, we continue to be in a strong capital position. As you can see on Slide 22, we currently have over $1 billion of liquidity, with an average 13-year maturity, and low 2.9% cost of borrowing. So, to wrap up here before getting to Q&A, there are a few last items I want to cover. For G&A and distribution costs, on previous earnings calls, I've been talking about larger distribution costs coming in the back half of this year. In the third quarter, we incurred approximately $37 million of distribution costs. Most of this was anticipated, and I had provided guidance on this last quarter during our Q&A session, but some of it, approximately $8 million was due to the much larger final closing of Dyal Fund V. The $37 million of distribution costs this quarter, compares to approximately $12 million of distribution costs that were incurred in the second quarter. As I have mentioned on previous calls, these are incredibly valuable dollars we're raising here, permanent capital that would generate significant management fees, and Part I fees every quarter, every year for our shareholders. As we look to the fourth quarter of this year, we think we could incur approximately $25 million of distribution costs, but as I've said on previous earnings calls, it's sometimes hard to predict the size and timing of these costs. Also, for the third quarter, our regular wage G&A, excluding distribution costs, is slightly down from the second quarter, although I do expect this line item to continue to grow in future quarters, simply as a result of the overall continued growth of our business. As it relates to the financial milestones we've put out guidance on, we are on track with all of them, but here's a more specific update. We are right on track to achieve $1.3 billion of revenues this year. We are right on track to achieve a 60% FRE margin this year. We are right on track to raise $50 billion of fee-paying AUM during 2022 and 2023. Of the $50 billion, we have raised approximately $20 billion through September 30. This amount represents year-to-date equity raised, plus year-to-date debt raised for products where we earn fees on debt, less year-to-date fee-free capital. We are on track to double our 2021 revenues of $900 million to $1.8 billion in 2023. We are on track to achieve $1 billion of distributable earnings in 2023. We are on track to achieve a $1 per share dividend in 2025. When I think about our dividends for 2022, we have posted a $0.10 dividend for the first quarter, an $0.11 dividend for the second quarter, a $0.12 dividend for this quarter, and we feel comfortable we can post a $0.13 dividend for the fourth quarter. Since we had set a target at the beginning of this year of distributing approximately 85% of DE, this has given us the ability to hold some cash back for buying back our stock, funding GP commits to our new products, and investing in the growth of our business. We continue to plan to fix our dividend for 2023, which I will talk more about in February on our fourth quarter earnings call. As I think about all the items I just ran through, I see them as a very strong message about our business model. In these times of market dislocation, volatility, and overall strong headwinds, we continue to demonstrate strong growth quarter-over-quarter, quarter after quarter, and remain on track with all of the milestones we had set for ourselves. Speaking of buying back shares, we have been active buying back our stock this year, in particular over the past few months. Since the beginning of the third quarter, we have bought back $4.3 million shares at an average price of $9.26 per share, for a total of approximately $40 million, incredible value for our shareholders. That brings our year-to-date buyback totals to $6.3 million shares at an average price of $10.17 cents per share, or approximately $65 million. I have commented on these past few earnings calls about the rising rate environment we're in, and the potential impact that could have on our business. We have included here again on Slide 14, the impact of rising rates to our direct lending business. As expected, and in line with our previous guidance, we saw a significant increase in our Part I fees from last quarter. In the third quarter, included in our management fee line, our Part I fees from our BDCs, increased 1$6.1 million or 35% from the second quarter. A large portion of this was driven by higher interest rates, and some of it was from AUM growth in our newer BDCs, like ORCIC and ORTF II. We are expecting to see an additional increase in our management fee line in the fourth quarter due to continued rising rates, and could see possible increases into next year. So, summing it all up, we are very pleased with our results again this quarter, delivering strong growth quarter-over-quarter in all of our key metrics, AUM, fee-paying AUM, permanent capital, management fees, FRE, and DE. Heading into year end, we are very excited about how our first full year as a public company will wrap up, and we can't wait to report those results to you in February. Thank you again to everyone who has joined us on the call today. With that, operator, will you please open the line for questions?