Isaac Angel
Analyst · Oppenheimer. Please go ahead
Thank you, Doron. Starting with Slide 22, for an update on operation. During the first quarter, we have added approximately 56 megawatts, and increased our fleet to 851 megawatts by bringing new power plants online and acquiring power plants from U.S. Geothermal. As part of the USG acquisition, we become the owner of three operation power plants at Neal Hot Springs in Oregon, San Emidio in Nevada and Raft River in Idaho. With a total net generation capacity of approximately 38 megawatts, in Neal Hot Springs, we are partners with Enbridge Incorporation, which holds 40% ownership interest. in addition, we become the owner of development assets, which includes the project at the Geysers, California, a second phase project at San Emidio, Nevada; a Greenfield project in Crescent Valley, Nevada and El Ceibillo project located near Guatemala City, Guatemala. Turning to Slide 23, generation in this quarter was positively affected by the contribution of Tungsten and Platanares as well as from Puna. the overall generation year-over-year increased by 6.7%. on May 3, 2018, the Kilauea volcano located in close proximity to our Puna geothermal power plant in the Puna district of Hawaii’s Big Island erupted following a significant increase in seismic activity in the area in the recent weeks. We have taken steps to secure the Puna facilities including among others taking electricity generation offline, evacuated nonessential personnel from the power plant and we are in the progress of moving pentane [ph]to an off-site location. We are still assessing the impact of this eruption on our Puna facilities. Any significant physical damage to the plant are extended shutdown of the Puna power plant could have an adverse impact on the electricity generation and availability, which in turn could have a material adverse impact in our revenues. We continue to monitor the condition of the Puna facilities, coordinate with HELCO, the offtaker and without other local authorities and are taking steps to both further secure the power plant and restore its operations as soon as it’s safe to do so. As of today, there is no damage to the power plant; however, we don’t know yet the impact of the eruption on our production injection wells. We have a business interruption of property insurance coverage; however, this is an ongoing event and until it stabilize, we will not know the potential indemnification we can recover from the insurance company or if at all. Turning to Slide 24, for an update on our backlog. As of May 7, 2018, our product segment backlog increased to $881 million. We were able to sign new contracts in the amount of over $80 million, which most of them are in Turkey, which continue to represent a significant share of our total backlog. As I mentioned on the beginning, we are evaluating the timing of the new contracts, and we will update next quarter if there will be an additional contribution to 2018 revenues. We anticipate that our backlog contract mix, together with the revenue volume to break a product segment margin to be in the range of 27% to 30%. Longer term, we believe opportunities in the other regions will help us to diversify our product backlog and will positively impact our revenue and margin in 2019 and beyond. Moving to the next slide. We remain on track with our near-term growth and we are updating our target between 172 megawatts and 182 megawatts by the end of 2020 from organic growth following the commencement of Brady and NIL 2. This target is supported by the list of projects presented on Slide 25 and additional projects under development. In 2018, we expect to add additional 58 megawatts from the repowering of Olkaria complex in Kenya, and from the third phase of McGinness Hills in Nevada. In Olkaria, we expect to add approximately 10 megawatts at the complex in the second quarter of 2018. With respect to the 48 megawatts McGinness Hills three in Nevada engineering, procurement and equipment transportation is ongoing. Drilling is on process and we expect commercial operations towards the end of 2018. Turning to Slide 26. In early 2018, we initiated three storage projects. In mid-April, Viridity announced commencement of a new behind-the-meter 1 megawatt hour project, which could serve Atlantic County Utility authorities, unique ecological green facility by a Battery Storage as a Service model, optimizing the facility economics as well as providing PJM interconnection, grid ancillary services. Additionally, on Slide 27, we announced that Viridity expects to start the construction of two 20-megawatt each utility scale in front of the meter, battery and energy storage systems located in New Jersey. The projects were initiated by Viridity and are expected to be operational in the fourth quarter of 2018. Ormat’s through Viridity, will finance, construct, own and operate the projects. The battery energy storage systems will be utilized to provide ancillary services to assist PJM interconnection in balancing the electric grid. In 2019, the projects are expected to generate average revenues of between $7 million and $8 million, mainly from ancillary services. The project’s revenues are based on spot prices and may vary from period-to-period. We continue to participate in RFPs on the East and West Coast and build a portfolio that will contribute to our earnings in the mid and long-term. Turning to Slide 28. Our estimated capital needs for the remainder of 2018 include approximately $111 million for construction of new projects and enhancement of our existing power plants. In addition, we estimate approximately $40 million for maintenance CapEx for our operating power plant, including $18 million investments for standby wells that we plan to drill at our Puna power plant. For our exploration and development activity, we plan to invest approximately $35 million, and additional $36 million is planned for our storage activity. We also plan to invest in our production facilities approximately $9 million. In the aggregate, we estimate total capital expenditures of approximately $231 million for the remainder of 2018. In addition, we expect $52 million for long-term debt repayment in 2018. Please turn to Slide 29 for a discussion of our 2018 guidance. We are updating our guidance to reflect the contribution of U.S. Geothermal. In 2018, we expect total revenues between $711 million and $735 million. By segment, we expect electricity segment revenues between $523 million and $533 million. Product segment revenues expected to be between $180 million and $190 million. In the other segment, we expect revenues of between $8 million and $11 million. We expect adjusted EBITDA between $368 million and $378 million, and we expect annual adjusted EBITDA attributable to minority interest to be approximately $28 million. As we previously stated, we are focused on increasing the portion of revenues from the electricity segment. In 2018, we expect that the increase in profitability of the electricity segment will mainly come from full contribution of the new capacity that came online in 2017, including Platanares and Tungsten Mountain as well as from Sarulla. Sarulla contribution is accounted under the equity method and is expected to have notable contribution to our EBITDA in 2018 and beyond. Please turn to Slide 30. In summary, this was a very strong start for 2018 for Ormat as we are benefiting from organic and electricity growth to further strengthen our leadership position. Ormat remains the only vertically integrated participant in a growing industry. We hope and expect that situation in Puna will stabilize soon. I’m very optimistic that we will continue to see the benefits of our strategic initiatives in 2018 and beyond. This concludes our prepared remarks. Now, I’d like to open the call for questions. Operator, if you may please.