Sean Roosen
Analyst · Very Independent Research. Your line is open
Thank you very much, Fréd. I just wanted to give a snapshot of your company, the shareholders own this company. And things are going exceptionally well. I think in terms of where we are from an asset standpoint, obviously from a share performance standpoint, we have some ground to make up, but the fundamentals of the company remain exceptionally solid in a space that's very difficult. The next slide will show you the quality of our portfolio, over 135 royalties and streams and precious metals offtakes. Diversified cash flow from 16 producing assets, 91% going to 95% cash flow operating margins in terms of most of our assets are in royalties. So we don't have margin compression the way that others do. And that sort of I think, distinguishes the portfolio from a lot of other and so this is a dominantly royalty portfolio, as opposed to a streaming portfolio. Page 12, the quality of investments, I mean, we've done a lot in terms of making sure that we had quality and our dividends sits at 1.5%, which is the best in the space. As you can see here, Wheaton and Royal and Franco are all at a 1% or less, whereas we're at 1.5%. So we do offer kind of a wait and see attitude. And I thinking that, obviously, as an increased gold price, we have leverage to a significant amount of growth assets, in our portfolio, as we always said, we were strong growth company with our accelerator model. So we're well leveraged to take advantage of this gold price as we move further into it. Significant undervalued amount there in terms of re-rate, it's surprising to me that that we haven't seen the re-rate yet, but for those who come in now I think that the re-rate is fairly eminent as this goal price persists. And we see what the actual upside of Osisko can be here. In terms of our trading, we've been highly liquid stock and over $18.5 million per day. The balance sheet over $202 million of cash on the balance sheet, over $900 million of finance capacity, if you include our available debt capacity and our equity book, we sit with one of the biggest dry powder. We have the ability to fire capabilities of all the royalty companies in the world. Right now, it's over C$900 million in available firepower to get going on a new transaction. We do think that there are some transactions that will happen at this price level. However, we've always rebuilt our portfolio in the past. So even if nothing were to happen we see quite a bit of opportunity for us. And if you look forward to Page 13, you see what that we go for about 140,000 ounces of GEO, just on our organic growth of things that our shareholders have already financed and paid for. So we have the organic growth. We don't have to reach, we don't have to stretch, and we don't have to pay premiums that we've seen people paying in the space, that are quite high in terms of achieving assets. All we really have to do is just sit back in harvest rate. Now Page 14, I think it’s probably the most exciting slide of this entire presentation today. And then terms of things that we knew about when we sold Canadian Malartic back in 2014, that are now being documented and drilled to resource and reserve level by our partners that Agnico and Yamana and congratulations to them on a great job in terms of transitioning this project from what we always know was a great open pit mine to what it looks like, it may be one of the best ever underground gold mines. This is – it was quite exceptional deposit produced 8 million ounces by the time we got there in 2003, we documented another plus 8 million ounces in the open pit, and now there's another 10 million ounces in the underground. So this was ranked as one of the best gold deposits ever discovered in the world. And it continues to deliver value for both the Agnico and Yamana shareholders, and also the Osisko shareholders. And we congratulate them on a job well done, and we look forward to seeing the underground pits that deliver here. We haven't really seen it calculated in our share price, but we think it's high time that everybody understands that Canadian Malartic underground is a significant contributor to Osisko Gold Royalties as we move forward. And we wish our partners well on that, and we want to see it come forward. And if you see, look, it's Page 18, you can see that the dominantly things that are important to the new mine plan are on the Osisko 5% ground as we move forward. And we see some of the other assets that are there continue to contribute that really weren't in the calculation I hope things for Osisko. So that's all good news for Osisko shareholders. And we look forward to seeing the evolution of that mine, the underground translation, obviously, these gold prices, I think that everybody being incentivized to move forward quickly. The next slide that we have here shows that the Eagle project, obviously, on target for ramping up to 200,000 ounces a year, for which we have a 5% royalty on. We continue to be – we have a sliding scale up on our Éléonore mine. In Québec and Mantos has been seeing an increase as well. And congratulations to John Burzynski and the Osisko mining team in terms of success that they've enjoyed at Windfall Lake and come back with just a massive discovery there with over 5 million ounces of high-grade ounces at plus 8 grams and continued to drill here with over 30 drills onsite as we speak today. So just knock it out of the park success there. Osisko Gold Royalties shareholders, this is obviously, shows why our accelerator model is important. We backed John at the very beginning of this process, and we were able to achieve exceptional numbers in terms of what we ended up paying for the royalty. But the reality is we took the risk early on. And our model I think is proven beyond a shadow of a debt by Windfall and Hermosa, where we've taken these risks to the bets early on. And we just had exceptional returns and there's so much better than anybody else's royalty and streaming deals in the space that it's hard to argue that we wouldn't want to continue on with that business, with the returns on some of these deals being in the thousands of percent, as opposed to the 1% or 2% returns that we're seeing currently go off in the bank run processes for it. There's a lot of bidding going on, but not much is being accomplished in terms of net return. So we continue to believe in that model, the accelerator model is demonstrated well here, I think by both the Windfall and Hermosa. Horne 5 continues to be a significant asset that's in our portfolio has been undervalued is currently at 6 million ounces of GEOs in reserves, not in resources. And then on to Cariboo, which has been sort of a controversial topic within the Osisko portfolio. Last week, Cariboo was at 4.4 million ounces. There will be an upcoming resource out. And this is mining project. This is a mining camp. And we're going to give you more information on that as we get further into the year. But I can tell you that things are going extremely well at Cariboo and the drill results are starting to build a case to confirm what we always believe, which is, this is not just a mining project, but it's a mining camp. Onto Page 19, we do have a high exposure to the gold prices. We believe in terms of royalty and streaming companies that we are the purest of them all, in terms of being mostly exposed to gold, a lot of other companies are sidebar to copper mine or polymetallic mines or they have other ingredients in their cake that make them a little bit less exposed to gold. So we continue to be proud champions of the highest gold component in the space with 81% at our center. On Page 20, there – the business plan for Osisko hasn't changed since 2014. We were allocating 25% to our earlier stage accelerating models and do the things like Cariboo, and 75% to our sort of last money in strategy, where we're bidding on things like we did with Victoria Gold. The plan hasn't changed too much. And I realized there's been a discount on the stock because of our hybrid strategy. But at the end of the day, when I look around the gold price today, I have to think that we were pretty much right on the money, in terms of what we bet on. And we need to deliver those returns in the share price now. So that will be the challenge for the management team as we go forward into the fourth quarter. And as we see the summer end to really bring it home, that the hybrid model where we put that 25% of the accelerated companies, and we've seen some of these accelerate companies like Barkerville will advance through the accelerator business, into the development business and we need to take advantage of that for our shareholders. So that will be the challenge for Sandeep and myself as we come in to the end of the year to really make sure that we transition that valuation that we've created there into the share price. In terms of opportunity, we've looked at our accelerator model and we've created quite a bit of value here. I just wanted to recap for shareholders, the things that we did do, the incubation of Osisko Mining happened in 2015, it was an $8 million market cap is now $1.3 billion to $1.4 billion market cap. We did Osisko Metals with our friend Bob Wares that started out as a $5 million, $6 million market cap is now $70 million, $80 million Falco Resources. We started that company out in 2015 really, Luc Lessard stepped in and really put the meat on the bones in terms of that project is trading at about $100 million right now, but it certainly can be bigger than that. Talisker Resources led by Terry Harbort really another brownfield camp in BC. That's sort of seeing the light of day and benefited from the tactical and structural geology that Terry brought to the team to really advance that project forward. Minera Alamos, we saw that company go from $13 million market cap to currently $230 million. So if you does this only invested in the sidecar companies to Osisko, you've done pretty well. And we continued to be that incubation and that source of really hardcore grinder incubation companies, where we take an opinion on an asset, we take it and we build it. And we get in there early and we work at hard and that people like Chris Lodder and Ruben Padilla, and Terry Harbort and Bob Wares and John Burzynski, they all bring that extra effort and that extra personality and character to these assets that we've been able to uncover as we move forward. And I'm pretty proud of what we've done, the incubation strategy. So on the final slide here today, [Audio Dip] the upside, we have the opportunity, we have a team and we have the ability to acquire assets, to mobilize those assets and take them through to fruition. And I thank everybody for supporting us as Osisko shareholders. We look forward to bringing you to the latest fold, and obviously, Cariboo will be a big part of the story as we get into the rest of the year. But also what John is doing with Osisko Mining, Terry doing with Talisker and Bob is doing with Osisko Metals are pretty important parts of our story as we go forward. So I like to thank everybody for [Audio Dip] today and then we'll see to get to, but we don't think that there's anything wrong here, if ever there has been a time when we are arise, this is it now. So thanks everybody. And I'll turn it over for Q&A.