Earnings Labs

OppFi Inc. (OPFI)

Q4 2021 Earnings Call· Fri, Mar 11, 2022

$9.05

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good afternoon. On today's call are Todd Schwartz, OppFi's Executive Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; and Shiven Shah, Chief Financial Officer. The company's fourth quarter and full year 2021 earnings press release and supplemental presentation can be found at investors.oppfi.com. During the call, the company will discuss certain forward-looking information. These forward-looking statements are based on assumptions and assessments made by OppFi's management in light of their experience and assessment of historical trends, current conditions, expected future developments and other factors they believe to be appropriate. Any forward-looking statements made during this call are made as of today and OppFi undertakes no duty to update or revise any such statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Important factors that could cause actual results, developments and business decisions to differ materially from forward-looking statements are described in the company's filings with the SEC, including the section entitled Risk Factors. In today's remarks by management, the company will discuss non-GAAP financial metrics. A reconciliation of these non-GAAP financial measures to the most comparable GAAP measures can be found in this afternoon's earnings press release. This call is being webcast live and will be available for replay for 1 month on our website. I would now like to turn the call over to Todd.

Todd Schwartz

Management

Thank you, and good afternoon, everyone. First, I want to say how proud and excited I am to return as CEO of OppFi and lead this dynamic company in its next phase of growth. As some of you know, 10 years ago, I founded OppFi with a compelling mission to help millions of consumers who are locked out of mainstream options to gain access to credit. The goal is clear, provide simple credit to help people with unforeseen expenses and help millions build a better financial path. Today, I remain as passionate about this mission for financial inclusion as I did in 2012, and I'm extremely confident in our future. As I will detail in the next few minutes, this year, we are focusing on our core business, which we believe will position us to continue to achieve consistent profitable growth. Therefore, we are pursuing initiatives we believe that represent the best allocation of capital and yield the highest return on investment to unlock the potential to further expand our market share and continue to lead our industry. As OppFi's Executive Chairman, CEO and the largest shareholder, I want to underscore that OppFi's Board of Directors is committed to maximizing long-term stockholder value. To this end, we recently announced our $20 million corporate share repurchase authorization that we intend to utilize when we believe OppFi's share price is disconnected from the long-term value and potential of the company. In addition, my family and I are and have been strong believers in the long-term potential of OppFi and are prepared to further invest and support the stock when we see such a disconnect in the market. Now, I would like to go over 3 topics before I turn over the call to our CFO, Shiven. Number one, offer some reflections on…

Shiven Shah

Management

Thanks, Todd, and good afternoon, everyone. To start, I would like to note that our 2020 income statement is presented on a pro forma fair value adjusted view to present like-for-like comparison. You will recall that on January 1, 2021, the company transitioned to the fair value accounting method for its core installment receivables. Turning now to our results. Despite a challenging macroeconomic backdrop, 2021 adjusted net income increased 19% year-over-year to $66 million, in line with our original outlook at the time of our business combination announcement in February of last year. This is a testament to the resiliency of our business model through varying economic cycles. Adjusted revenue increased 9% to $351 million, while adjusted EBITDA grew 16% to $117 million. In addition, originations were up 23% year-over-year to $595 million, driving a 22% increase in ending receivables to $338 million. Strong financial performance during the fourth quarter led to record full year earnings and the high end of our guidance ranges for adjusted net income and ending receivables. More specifically, revenues of $96 million were up 11% compared to the fourth quarter of 2020 and increased 4% from the prior quarter. Our ending receivables balance on an amortized cost basis was $338 million at the end of the year, up 15% from September 30 and up 22% compared to the end of 2020. Much of that growth was tied to accelerating origination volumes, which totaled $187 million for the fourth quarter, up 25% year-over-year and up 14% sequentially. From a mix perspective, more than half of the quarter's originations were extended to new customers versus 43% in the fourth quarter of 2020. On an absolute basis, new customer loan originations for the quarter increased by 51% compared to the prior year quarter and were up 14% sequentially.…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions]. First question comes from David Scharf with JMP Securities.

David Scharf

Analyst

And I guess, Todd, you haven't necessarily gone anywhere all these years, but welcome aboard anyway to the first earnings call.

Todd Schwartz

Management

Thank you.

David Scharf

Analyst

Maybe one kind of macro question and then a follow-up. As we think about consumer demand and credit performance, I mean, obviously, the topic of credit normalization has been front and center for several quarters now among consumer lenders with the eventual dissipation of all the stimulus and so forth. But I'm wondering, are you seeing any incremental changes in consumer behavior either on the demand side or on the credit performance side as it relates to the emergence of steep inflation? And are those factored into kind of your underwriting models going forward, because obviously, it's been 15 years since we've seen really any inflation in 4 decades since we've seen it at these levels?

Todd Schwartz

Management

Yes. It's a great question and one that has -- over the last couple of years through the pandemic, the answer has been changing. But I think we're starting to get some certainty. And I think with the burn off of some of the federal stimulus, we're getting to a more normalized environment, which looks more like 2019. I can assure you that there is demand. The demand is back. We're working through it. But as the CEO, the way I think about this is that's a perfect time to look at credit, right? When things are going well and the demand is there, I'm getting -- I'm thinking about credit, where can we optimize credit. And that's why the second half of last year, we optimized our credit model to be able to better target borrowers and better segment them and then also like stay away from what we deemed more high-risk customers. Listen, OppFi is a place where we want people to be successful with our product. We want people that are going to improve their financial health. We report all the payments to the bureaus. And we get rewarded with our -- we have an 85 NPS and the way we get rewarded is when customers are successful in our system. And so delinquency is front and center and something that is not going to -- we're not going to allow it to happen and we're going to get to the bottom of it when we're growing. So, it's always top of mind for us.

David Scharf

Analyst

And that's a great segue just to my follow-up, which I wanted to make sure I sort of understood correctly the commentary about maybe those late 2021 vintages because you had 2 consecutive quarters of record origination volumes, but combined with what seems like maybe some credit underperformance relative to finance. Were these channel related or FICO band? A little more color maybe on who was targeted.

Todd Schwartz

Management

It's a great question. So, I'll just be straightforward. So, the changes were made at the end of last year. Obviously, they flow through in the first quarter. But I'll tell you this, we have seen an increase in neobanks. So, neobanks are chime and some of these new age digital bank customers that are coming through. And what we did in a combination of channel and in some -- the style of bank that customers are using, more significant percentage of that population, we tested into some things. And frankly, we had mixed results. right? And what we decided was that they -- those customers were probably not the right fit for us for the long term and they weren't going to be successful in our system, which is really to build financial health. And so we since ceased it. And going forward, we may revisit. But I think right now, due to the increased demand and the strong growth and the ability to really -- we're the leader, and so we're able to continue to gain market share without having necessarily having to test into riskier segments.

Operator

Operator

Next question, Chris Brendler with DA Davidson.

Christopher Brendler

Analyst

Todd, also welcome aboard in terms of the public forum. I want to start with credit just real quickly. Shiven you mentioned, I think delinquency trends looked encouraging. Can you give us a little more color there? I don't see we get delinquencies until we get the K.

Shiven Shah

Management

So, we had -- as Todd mentioned, we have seen some normalization of credit and elevated credit loss in the first quarter. What we've seen in -- what we've seen recently in the recent vintages based on our new underwriting model, we've seen growth with losses kind of coming down. We'll report more kind of those stats for Q2, but we see trends going forward into the second quarter, third, fourth quarter and beyond, coming back to kind of conversion banks [Technical Difficulty].

Todd Schwartz

Management

Yes. And to add to that, the early trends in loans are highly correlated to the final vintage numbers. And so we have -- and we have the most history. We've been doing this for 10 years. So, our data is pretty robust. So, that's the great thing about -- on the forecasting side is when we see trend lines, we can identify where things are working pretty quickly. So, yes.

Christopher Brendler

Analyst

The benefit of having short-term paper too. A separate question is the off-balance sheet securitization sounds interesting and compelling. What are the challenges? Why have you not done it earlier and just the overall health of the credit markets, given what's happening in the world these days?

Todd Schwartz

Management

I mean, that ties into a -- that ties into the vision and a little bit of why now for me it's coming back. There was thought that like we have a customer base and we want to provide a suite of products. And I think we're a little bit of a different approach is we are really, really good at servicing the installment product. And our belief is that our service and our brand resonates across all credit. And there are ways that sub-36% we can be originating and earning service and fee-based income. We have an incredible brand to acquire customers. We also are great at product market fit and positioning. I think there's, if you will, a turndown in the sub-36% space that we could position and come -- so it's not people who necessarily qualify for the core installment but people who kind of are falling down in the sub-36% space where we can start to service and do more of a fee and servicing-based model for the business. And then it also provides an incredible turn-up opportunity for our customers. So, it fits really well with our story. And as far as our tech and infrastructure, keeping it as an installment loan is very favorable.

Christopher Brendler

Analyst

Just the last one, the most exciting part of this release, I think this buyback and given where the stock is, any reason why you wouldn't take advantage of that from a cash and liquidity perspective? It looks like you've got a pretty good sizable cash flow to go after that buyback.

Todd Schwartz

Management

Yes, that's the plan. The plan is to aggressively defend our share price. I'm prepared -- the Schwartz family, including myself, are prepared to defend it and the company will be defending it. We believe it's disconnected from reality. There's others in the peer group that came public via SPAC mergers that -- I'm not going to say any specific names, but don't have the financial profile we have or the brand and the success we've had operationally that we've been -- I feel like we've been grouped into. And we really want to differentiate ourselves at this point and get credit for the great work we're doing, the great team and the great brand we have. So, we're going to be defending our service and I think it's a great installment.

Operator

Operator

Next question, Brian Lombardi with Seaport.

Brian Lombardi

Analyst

I feel like maybe I missed part of the, I guess, intro, but I guess, welcome back to the management side. I want to try and get maybe a little bit of a narrative as to like where we were, where we are, how long are you committing to be with us? I think I'm kind of extrapolating, but I think I'm right when I could say, it sounds like you had a management that wanted to grow maybe got over at skis too much. You've got skin in the game, you want to run this like a business, you're rolling off some bad investments and you're going to get that back on track. Like am I wrong about that? And if I'm right about that, how long will you stay?

Todd Schwartz

Management

Yes. First, I'll say this is an indefinite move. I'm here to stay. I am energized and passionate about this and when I started this in 2012. It's always been the mission of providing access in safe, simple terms and helping people. And I'm more driven by that than ever. I'll tell you this, like I was doing other things, Managing Principal at Schwartz Capital. We have a couple different business lines under that. I had an honest conversation with first and foremost, my wife and then my immediate family and the Board and everyone was incredibly supportive of me coming back into the business and saw my passion and excitement. And it wasn't in a temporary way. It's indefinitely. And I'm here actually in the Chicago office today, had an unbelievable town hall with the team yesterday, and we're really connecting again and I feel really good about the situation.

Brian Lombardi

Analyst

Okay. Thank you. I guess maybe -- look, I'm looking at the situation I think like as long as we don't like have a wheel come off, we're in good shape, but I'm looking at -- the recent past hasn't been as seemingly troubling for a business like this as perhaps the near future and yet this business was challenged. And so what's the like lesson that or the kind of reassurance that like, okay, we maybe made some bad loans as we leaned into some newer areas and we're going to roll off those? And in this environment of accelerating inflation, we feel confident because x?

Todd Schwartz

Management

I mean that's what it was. It's something that we identified quickly and we're no longer originating or facilitating on behalf of the bank partners. And it's -- obviously, I can only say that, but I feel really good about the trend lines and the direction and also the volume, the new origination volume is coming back, and we're very happy with that to see a more normalized environment. Is that -- does that answer your question, or --?

Brian Lombardi

Analyst

I think so. I mean it's more of a field type answer, but you see what I'm getting at is that like I feel like the challenges now are greater than they were in the near past, but the near past causes a ripple and you're saying it's -- it was a relationship-based segment of business that you've stopped?

Todd Schwartz

Management

Yes. Yes. I mean, we have -- I'm very confident in our model, in our segmentation of customers, it was a choice, right? And we wanted -- our job and by fault is to find credit access for people who are turned down by traditional banks. By definition, that is some of the neobank customer set. And we ran a test and also we tried some new channel partners and we had mixed results, right? And it didn't align with the mission of the company. The company's mission is clearly to provide credit access, but they have to be successful in our system. We report all payments to the bureaus and we provide positive trade lines and we allow people to be successful and then we build a relationship with them and then try to graduate people, right, to lower cost of capital. If people are too high risk or they're not using our system effectively, we're probably not -- it's not the right customer company fit. So, we determine that and decided to move on.

Shiven Shah

Management

Yes, I think the discipline in the underwriting is really kind of what we're focusing on and we're not going to be chasing after growth in segments that are not profitable. So, we're really looking at unit economics and profile on early-stage delinquencies to see what the lifetime loss trends are going to be and we're committed to getting this charge-off ratio in line with historical levels.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from Mike Grondahl with Northland Capital Markets.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst · Northland Capital Markets.

This is Mike on for Mike. Most of mine have been answered, but maybe if you can just talk a little bit on the newer products like salary cap and what the kind of competitive environment looks like today as we sit here?

Todd Schwartz

Management

Yes. So the newer products, there's still in more of a test mode and product market fit mode. I think like there's 2 ways to go about our business, right? There's a way where we can take our customer and surround them with a bunch of products. And I think there's a lot of risk and uncertainty from an investment standpoint and a financial performance standpoint and that -- and I think what I'm coming in and saying is like, hey, we have this unbelievable Net Promoter Score and customer relationship and a tech platform that can service this installment loan, there is absolutely with the market-based offer approach in the installment category and our current core business an unbelievable opportunity. We're seeing a huge ROI there that we're going to be focused on. And it better services our customers by pricing them with terms, rates and better aligned with their goals as a consumer and allows us to better compete on marketing partner channels and in direct mail. There's stuff we can be doing at sub-36% with the installment product. And these are things that can be done in our system that don't require that heavy essentially riskier investment that doesn't have the proven probability of ROI. I think like we can be looking at that. I think there's some stuff that's interesting on small business that we're considering, it's installment-based stuff. So, I mean there's a lot of opportunity with the installment base. And I think what we came to the realization is like we're going to have -- we have these products, credit card and salary cap and we'll continue to test to see if it fits. But I think there's a lot more we can be doing with our current installment product and a lot more potential and high ROI. And ROI can look high, but it has to have high probability too of success, right? So, there's 2 factors there. You have to say, hey, that's high ROI, but what is the probability at the end of the tunnel that we actually achieve it.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst · Northland Capital Markets.

And then just maybe on timing and size of like investment spend as we look at 2022, what are your kind of high-level thoughts on that?

Todd Schwartz

Management

I just want to make sure I understood the question. Is it --?

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst · Northland Capital Markets.

Investment spend.

Shiven Shah

Management

So, in terms of the timing on investment spend, so what we're going to be doing is really we've looked at our cost structure and we found a lot of efficiencies. And we mentioned that in my script that we found -- we identified about $15 million of cost efficiencies, which we will then reallocate a portion of that to focus on market-based offers and our core business. So, we're committed to driving margins up through the year and making calculated investments in our core product to be able to extrapolate those excess returns.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. I will now turn the floor over to management for closing remarks.

Todd Schwartz

Management

So first of all, thank you and thank you for those questions. Listen, I'm back. I'm excited. It's been great to reconnect with the team. The principles that got us here are the same principles that are going to get us to the next frontier. I think right now, the stock is completely -- it's at extreme value. I'm somebody who -- I'm obviously biased, but I think that there's a lot of value and maximization here that can happen. There's a lot of improvements we're making operationally. We're focused on credit. We're focused on the right things. So, I'm excited to be back and just excited for the journey. So thank you, everybody, and more to come.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today's teleconference. You may disconnect your lines at this time, and thank you for your participation.