Earnings Labs

OppFi Inc. (OPFI)

Q3 2021 Earnings Call· Thu, Nov 11, 2021

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Greetings, and welcome to OppFi Third Quarter 2021 Earnings Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A question-and-answer session will follow the formal presentation. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce your host Jason Rosenthal, Vice President of Finance. Thank you. You may begin.

Jason Rosenthal

Analyst

Thank you, operator. On today's call are Jared Kaplan, OppFi’s Chief Executive Officer; and Shiven Shah, Chief Financial Officer. The company's third quarter 2021 earnings press release and supplemental presentation can be found at investors.oppfi.com. During the call, the company will be discussing certain forward-looking information. These forward-looking statements are based on assumptions and assessments made by OppFi’s management in light of their experience and assessment of historical trends, current conditions, expected future developments, and other factors they believed to be appropriate. Any forward-looking statements made during this call are made as of today and OppFi undertakes no duty to update or revise any such statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Important factors that could cause actual results, development and business decisions could differ materially from forward-looking statements are described in the company's filings with the SEC, including the sections entitled Risk Factors. In today's remarks by management, the company will be discussing non-GAAP financial metrics. A reconciliation of these non-GAAP financial measures to the most comparable GAAP measures can be found in this afternoon's earnings press release. This call is being webcast live and will be available for replay for one-month on our website. I would now like to turn the call over to Jared.

Jared Kaplan

Analyst

Thank you and good afternoon everyone. While Shiven will discuss our financial results in more detail, I wanted to start by hitting a few key highlights for what was a strong third quarter. Originations totaled a record $165 million, up 25% compared to the prior year quarter, and up 14% on a sequential quarter basis as demand for short-term credit continued to rebound. As a result, receivables ended the quarter at $293 million, up 22% year-over-year and 13% compared to the end of the second quarter boding well for ongoing revenue growth. In fact, we have now served over 700,000 unique customers to date and expect to facilitate our 2 million at loan this month reinforcing the strength and durability of our platform and robustness of our dataset. Turning to the income statement, adjusted revenue for the quarter of $92 million grew 25% compared to the third quarter of 2020, and 17% on a sequential basis. Profitability remains strong for the third quarter with $32 million of adjusted EBITDA, representing a 35% margin and $17 million of adjusted net income. Through the first three quarters of 2021, we have generated adjusted EBITDA of $96 million and adjusted net income of $54 million. Adjusted diluted earnings per share was $0.21 for the third quarter of 2021 and $0.64 for the first nine months of 2021. We continue to invest heavily in our platform, particularly in talent, product and technology, including our artificial intelligence and machine learning tools. Automation creates less friction for our customers. In this quarter, we continue to make strides in automating the credit approval process on behalf of our bank partners. The percentage of applications automatically approved increased from just about 50% for June to almost 60% for September, 80% of credit decisions whether approvals or denials are…

Shiven Shah

Analyst

Thanks, Jared. And good afternoon, everyone. Now turning to our third quarter 2021 financial results, I would like to note that all comparisons to 2020 from an income statement perspective are based on a pro form fair value adjusted view for 2020 to be able to present a like-for-like comparison. You'll recall that on January 1, 2021, the company transitioned to the fair value accounting methods for its core installment receivables from the incurred credit loss application method. We had solid financial results in the third quarter, highlighted by strong profitability, robust originations and receivable growth and a healthy balance sheet. Third quarter adjusted revenue was $92 million, an increase of 25% versus adjusted revenue for the third quarter a year ago and up 17% sequentially. Ending receivables balance on an amortized cost basis was $293 million at the end of the third quarter up 13% sequentially and 22% compared to the third quarter a year ago. Originations continue to rebound during the quarter as customer demand returns. Total originations were a record $165 million, up 14% sequentially, 25% from the third quarter a year ago, and 14% from the third quarter of 2019. 51% of originations were from new customers, which was up approximately 40% last quarter and the year ago. Originations from new customers grew 57% year-over-year and 41% sequentially. Our annualized net charge off ratio as a percentage of average receivables was 36% for the third quarter. As expected, we saw charge offs begin returning to pre-COVID levels, increasing 750 basis points from the 28% net charge off ratio for the second quarter and up 1,150 basis points from the net charge off ratio for the third quarter of 2020. Looking ahead, we expect the net charge offer ratio to approach historical levels in the mid to…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of David Sharp with JMP Securities. Please proceed with your question.

David Sharp

Analyst

Hi, good afternoon. Thanks. Thanks for taking my questions guys. Maybe I guess just one and then a follow-up. Jared kind of reflecting on the demand environment right now. Obviously is a kind of pretty steep decline in the outlook for year end balances and in kind of in contrast to what a lot of kind of other lenders have been sort of noting as maybe some kind of macro tailwinds, in fact as Delta recedes and employment improves. I'm wondering, as you reflect on kind of the lessening near-term demand relative to kind of your expectations a few months ago, is there any particular channel where conversion rates – either conversion rates or inflow of applications may have fallen off more than others or is it pretty broad based kind of across all your marketing channels?

Jared Kaplan

Analyst

Yes, I think it's broad based. But it's more about I think that the difficulty in forecasting demand in an exogenous environment. I mean, if you look at the growth versus 2019, it's quite healthy. And unlike a lot of others, we never really pulled back in facilitating originations for the bank partners through the pandemic period. So we absolutely thought that we would see the continued acceleration, which we did, but it was less so just because I think it's really, really challenging in this environment to figure out exactly when people are coming back to the market and that's driven by the factors that we outlined in the script, I think on people having more cash in some of the government stimulus pieces and just overall less spending, it's not a channel driven phenomenon. So just overall less than we had expected, but at the same time healthy and certainly healthy when you compare us versus 2019, the less pre-pandemic period.

David Sharp

Analyst

Got it. Got it. And maybe related question may or may not be, you tell me. I'm wondering the comments about sort of the personalized pricing approach that you're exploring. Is this something that is in response to potentially either competitive factors, issues over market share just the current demand environment or is this completely separate, and it's just sort of a widening of the funnel and broadening sort of the target consumer base you're going after?

Jared Kaplan

Analyst

It's separate. I mean, we're always looking at elasticity curves and have been looking at a number of things for the last couple quarters to get conviction on where we think. You can drive accelerated customer and revenue growth and the profit pool stays relatively flat. So that's a good thing for everyone plus with more products we can offer more products to these customers once they're in the ecosystem with us. So that's driving factor. I do think we alluded to like, who's coming back to the market and we see these lower proprietary scoring customers coming back to the market first, which is in line with what you see after a tax refund season. There are some pieces of what's happening macro economically, right, specifically as it relates to higher wages. And some of the government stimulus programs that may be here for a while. So making sure that we can be flexible and have a win-win where we're able to offer through the banks, lower price products and able to generate additional customer growth, I think is a good answer. And we would be doing that anyway, even without a pandemic, but it's all on the – in the realm of getting the best price to these customers and making sure we can build up the products we put them over time.

David Sharp

Analyst

Got it. Great. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Mayank Tandon with Needham & Company. Please proceed with your question.

Mayank Tandon

Analyst · Needham & Company. Please proceed with your question.

Thank you. Good evening. Jared, could you talk a little bit more about the impact of SalaryTap and the credit card product? Like what should we think in terms of timeline when it's going to start to maybe impact the model and just from a longer-term perspective, how does that scale over time just based on your sort of initial investment plans around that and what you're hearing in the market?

Jared Kaplan

Analyst · Needham & Company. Please proceed with your question.

Yes, we're both – both are going to be really interesting products for us. We believe they're in slightly different stages the SalaryTap piece where we think we've got the product market fit today. And we expect that to continue to scale over time. I think for both SalaryTap and the credit card, there's still immaterial to the overall receivables picture. I think we are hopeful that we can start breaking them out as separate products in 2022 as those continue to scale. On the credit card side, we're testing a number of different options in the marketplace to make sure we've got the right product market fit, and we're pretty confident on the use case by the customer, and that will continue here for the near future for sure, but we expect that to scale nicely in 2022 as well. So as it become bigger parts of the portfolio, we'll begin breaking them out and talking about them individually, but before we really step on the gas, there's still pieces of both that we are making sure are ready to go, so that when we do it, we can scale properly.

Mayank Tandon

Analyst · Needham & Company. Please proceed with your question.

Got it. That's helpful color. And then just as a quick follow up and sorry if you already gave this metric, but we look at the marketing cost for funded loan roles, both sequentially and year-over-year. How much of that was driven by higher advertising costs versus a mix shift towards that new versus a repeat borrowers?

Jared Kaplan

Analyst · Needham & Company. Please proceed with your question.

Yes. That was a good question. That was mainly driven by a mix shift. We saw the partner, the channel continue to take kind of be the first place where the demand returned. So the partner channel mix was in the high-60s this year versus in high-50s last year. So that's – and then that came from more of the organic channel. So that's really what drove the increase.

Mayank Tandon

Analyst · Needham & Company. Please proceed with your question.

Okay. Thanks so much.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Mike Grondahl with Northland Securities. Please proceed with your question.

Mike Grondahl

Analyst · Northland Securities. Please proceed with your question.

Hey, thank you guys. And good evening. Could you talk a little bit about the cadence of originations, over July, August, September, and then any comments on October origination activity?

Jared Kaplan

Analyst · Northland Securities. Please proceed with your question.

Yes. I mean, so I think in the quarter the origination growth kind of was steady kind of year-over-year in the – kind of 20% range year-over-year. And that's what we're kind of looking also, you saw that in October and that's kind of what we're projecting in the fourth quarter as well.

Mike Grondahl

Analyst · Northland Securities. Please proceed with your question.

Got it. Got it. And clearly you’re may can progress with SalaryTap and Credit Card. Is there a next product on the roadmap that we should be thinking about that you guys are working on? Like, what do you think number four, and number five might be?

Jared Kaplan

Analyst · Northland Securities. Please proceed with your question.

We've got some ideas on that. I'm not – it's a little premature to talk about them publicly. We did allude to this interesting phenomenon that we're seeing in the customer base, where they're using lots of different products to smooth cash flow, each of them with high friction costs. And so this opportunity to provide a above bundle suite to a customer and to dramatically reduce their friction cost is a very interesting strategy that we'll have more to talk about in the future. And you can imagine that additional products will be set up to serve that vision.

Mike Grondahl

Analyst · Northland Securities. Please proceed with your question.

Got it. Got it. Okay. And I guess, lastly, just anything to call out on the competitive environment, over the last 90 days; do you see any major swings?

Jared Kaplan

Analyst · Northland Securities. Please proceed with your question.

No, we haven't. We haven't seen any new entrance. It is interesting the turn up program, which is a pretty good barometer. We saw that the match rate ticked down a little bit in the quarter. So it was just shy at 2% in the second quarter, and it was right around 1.5% for the third quarter. So we saw a drop off a little bit, which may suggest that some of the near prime folks who have come into the market when the pandemic was still full Blair have been pulling out a little bit, but nothing material.

Mike Grondahl

Analyst · Northland Securities. Please proceed with your question.

Got it. Okay. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Chris Donat with Piper Sandler. Please proceed with your question.

Chris Donat

Analyst · Piper Sandler. Please proceed with your question.

Hey, good afternoon, gentlemen. I know you're not going to comment much on 2022, but just on the kind of follow up on the question about the rollout of SalaryTap and card. And I think I know what your answer's going to be, but should we expect any material impact on yield in 2022 or are they likely to be still pretty darn small in 2022?

Jared Kaplan

Analyst · Piper Sandler. Please proceed with your question.

No. So we do expect them to – we do expect to scale those businesses in 2022. So the overall portfolio yield will kind of come down based on the mix of those products, but we will kind of expect that the volume to be kind of material to offset that.

Chris Donat

Analyst · Piper Sandler. Please proceed with your question.

Okay. I guess I'm partly asking and, so if we see an impact in the future we'll probably – you'll be able, you'll parse it out for us so that we – we know that change in mix rather than something else going on?

Jared Kaplan

Analyst · Piper Sandler. Please proceed with your question.

Yes. We will explain kind of what the drivers of the yield change are and just be very clear on kind of how much of that is mixed versus how much of that is other factors.

Chris Donat

Analyst · Piper Sandler. Please proceed with your question.

Okay. And then just the improvement in your new customer originations in the quarter, are we getting sort of back to normal with that, or like normal being sort of pre-pandemic, or I'm just trying to put this in context your new customer originations as part of the mix.

Jared Kaplan

Analyst · Piper Sandler. Please proceed with your question.

Yes. It’s definitely headed back to normal. And I think the mix of those customers did look like what you would see after a typical tax refund season. And we pick up the pandemic as being like a big tax refund season. So, we would expect that pattern to continue as the macro economy renormalizes here.

Chris Donat

Analyst · Piper Sandler. Please proceed with your question.

Okay. And then just thinking a couple quarters ahead, because we had sort of a funky tax season timing wise during the pandemic and then there’s some, I think normal seasonality in consumer credit’s been a little disrupted, just anything you’re thinking about in terms of seasonal fluctuations that we should be aware of as we think of the fourth quarter and first quarter or should we just focus really on your 2021 guidance for the fourth quarter and that kind of, that hits the highlights?

Jared Kaplan

Analyst · Piper Sandler. Please proceed with your question.

Yes, I think that’s, it hits highlight. We’re not – projecting anything atypical into the future. We would expect a much more normal seasonality cadence next year.

Chris Donat

Analyst · Piper Sandler. Please proceed with your question.

Okay. Thanks very much. Appreciate it.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Chris Brendler with D.A. Davidson. Please proceed with your question.

Chris Brendler

Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Please proceed with your question.

Hi, thanks and afternoon guys. Good to hear from you again, congrats on the results. I wanted to start with credit quality. Just any sort of like color commentary on what you’re seeing. I feel like the demand environment is still somewhat reduced, but we’re sure getting back to that 35% to 40% charge-off rate. Yes, I was just wondering if you sort of how the forward markers are looking as you hit into fourth quarter on credit.

Shiven Shah

Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Please proceed with your question.

Yes. I mean, we had guided in the second quarter of that, we expected charge offs to renormalize it back to, kind of pre-pandemic levels as, stimulus programs kind of weighing. So, going into the fourth quarter, we expect that to happen that fourth quarter typically is also a seasonally higher charge-off a month based on the seasoning of the vintages normally. So that’s baked into that 35% to 40% kind of projections and kind historically like 2019, sorry, I mean historically 2019, the charge-off rate is the percentage of average receivables with 42%. So that’s kind of more normalized level.

Chris Brendler

Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Please proceed with your question.

Got it. Okay, great. And this increasing automation new point to, it’s been a regular disclosure obviously, but it’s nice to see that improving. Where does that show up in as material, I guess, as you increase that, is there material reduction in cost?

Jared Kaplan

Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Please proceed with your question.

So that comes in customer operations expenses. So you get, normally you’d expect customer operations expenses without any automation to grow in line with origination growth. And what we have seen is that customer operation growth has grown half of origination growth. And that’s where that kind of comes into play. And we also mentioned, I mentioned on the script that, we haven’t added any customer head customer center headcount during the growth this year.

Chris Brendler

Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Please proceed with your question.

Great. Okay. The fair value receivables are the OppLoan the accrual accounting is the new products, is that right?

Jared Kaplan

Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Please proceed with your question.

Yes. So on the OppLoan product we are on fair value accounting and on the other two products, we are continuing to reserve under the old methodology.

Chris Brendler

Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Please proceed with your question.

Okay. So it’s a good way of tracking the progress there is to watch that look. Great. Let’s see. I think I had one more, I was going to ask any receivables, pretty close to our number. What are you seeing in terms of like the return or the pay downs or early pay downs is that start to improve yet?

Jared Kaplan

Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Please proceed with your question.

Yes, I mean, so the repayment rate is starting to kind of also kind of get back to normalized levels. They were elevated during the kind stimulus period. And those are kind of returning back and which is kind of corresponding to what you see on the charge-off as well.

Chris Brendler

Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Please proceed with your question.

Okay. I apologize this last, before I’m going to ask anyway just given like where we’ve come from a demand perspective and heading into the holiday season, I don’t think this business has typically been seasonal. It’s like more for like, auto repairs and stuff like that. So, we shouldn’t expect like a holiday ramp. It’s more steady on a seasonal, a quarter-by-quarter basis.

Shiven Shah

Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Please proceed with your question.

The fourth quarter is typically a very, a robust quarter for demand during the holiday season, partly due to spending on the family, but also because cash is fungible. So if you spend it elsewhere and then, you don’t have the money for the holiday season, you may use the product to do that. Typically between Thanksgiving and Christmas is a pretty busy time period. So we would expect that again this year.

Chris Brendler

Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Please proceed with your question.

Thanks guys. Appreciate it.

Jared Kaplan

Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Please proceed with your question.

Thanks, Chris.

Operator

Operator

That is all the time we have for questions. I’d like to turn the call back to management for closing remarks.

Jared Kaplan

Analyst

Thank you so much to everyone that has joined us today. We look forward to continuing to make progress on this story. This platform for the everyday consumer, lots of good things in the future. Talk to you soon,

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this does conclude today’s teleconference. Thank you for your participation. You may disconnect your lines at this time and have a wonderful day.