Martin Hoffmann
Analyst · Morgan Stanley. Kimberly, over to you
13:50 Thank you, Caspar. Let's move on to reviewing our financials for the third quarter of twenty twenty one. As we mentioned in the beginning of today's call, we see an accelerating demand for our brands globally. Our Q3 results are the strong combination of growth and profitability and the first validation of our business model and our long-term targets. Net debt for the quarter were two eighteen million Swiss Frac, up by sixty seven point six percent compared to a third quarter last year when running had already been on fire in many COVID-19 restrictions, had been lifted temporary. So we maintained our strong growth on this elevated level. 14:42 It is driven by the continued success of On’s core strategy, including increasing brand awareness multichannel geographic expansion and the broadening of the product portfolio driven by innovation design and sustainability. Year-to-date, we achieved net sales of five thirty three point five million Swiss Frac, a seventy seven point two percent increase compared to the first nine months last year. And the seventy point one percent CAGR over the past three years, which further validates the strong continued strength of our practice. 15:26 The demand for our products accelerated across both the wholesale the direct-to-consumer channel, as well as all regions and all product categories. As Caspar mentioned, we consider our direct-to-consumer and wholesale channel highly complementary. In Q3, we see the strategy being validated by the strong demand in both channels. DTC grew ninety three percent to seventy five point seven million Swiss Frac and wholesale net sales increased by fifty six point seven percent to one hundred and forty two point three million Swiss Frac. Despite the full reopening of retail stores in most key geographies, we see a very strong continued engagement of existing customers and the growth of new customers in our DTC channel. 16:22 For example, in North America, DTC grew one hundred and twenty nine percent and in Asia Pacific one hundred and fifty two percent. Overall, the contribution of net sales from the direct-to-consumer channel grew to thirty four point seven percent for the quarter versus thirty point two percent in the same period last year. 16:46 We continue to invest in our brands and community by building partnerships with premium wholesale partner. In Q3, twenty twenty one, consumer demand for the on brand in the wholesale channel increased even further and led to strong growth rates in many of our key and fear accounts. Across both channels, we are seeing a strong demand globally with growth rates in all geographic regions exceeding fifty percent. North America continues to be the growth engine, with a net sales increase of eighty two point six percent resulting in United States and Canada being responsible for fifty one point five percent of total net sales. 17:31 The continued acceleration of the demand in North America it best reflected in the fact that DTC sales crude twice as fast as wholesale. As previously mentioned, we see China is one of the key regional growth driver, which was showcased with strong triple digit sales growth in the third quarter. The Asia Pacific region in total grew by seventy one point four percent with the significant growth in China being somewhat offset by a slowdown in Australia wholesale market as local lockdowns continued into Q3. 18:09 Also in Europe, most markets continue to grow strongly with an overall regional growth of fifty point three percent. Here is important to highlight the difference to most other regions, many European market significant COVID restrictions in Q3 twenty twenty, which had driven higher wholesale sales in the same period last year. The growth across our distribution network is fuelled by the successful expansion and development of our innovation driven products. 18:45 Across all our product categories and all key franchises, the demand is accelerating. Net sales in Q3 twenty twenty one increased sixty five point two percent for shoes, one hundred and thirty three percent for apparel, and forty one point five percent for accessories. For the first time, the apparel contributed more than ten million Swiss Frac in one quarter to our overall net sales. Consumer demand is clearly there and the On’s own stores in China apparel already contributes approximately twenty percent of the sales. 19:24 Gross profit in the third quarter was one hundred and thirty one point three million Swiss Frac compared to seventy point eight million Swiss Frac in Q3 twenty twenty. Our gross profit margin increased year-over-year from fifty four point five percent in Q3 twenty to sixty point two percent in Q3 twenty one. This is broadly combined with the strong results we have seen in previous two quarters and another validation of our long-term targets. 19:57 The increase primarily reflects lower customs costs related to the free trade agreement between Vietnam in Europe, lower sourcing costs and the very low share of airfreight products in Q3. In the first nine months of twenty twenty one. Gross profit increased by ninety point nine percent to three and eighteen point five million Swiss Frac reflecting an improvement of our gross profit margin from fifty five point four percent to fifty nine point seven percent. If you leave our share based compensation for the moment, SG&A expenses as a percentage of net sales with forty eight point five percent for Q3 twenty one compared to thirty nine point six percent for the same period last year. 20:49 More comparable year-to-date SG&A expenses with our share based compensation were forty eight point seven percent of net debt for twenty one compared to forty five point three percent for the same period last year. These increase is mainly driven by higher investments, a digital customer acquisitions and demand creating expenses and the resumption of investment increased activities post COVID-19 lockdown. In addition, we incurred seven point three million Swiss Frac IPO transaction costs. 21:25 Then moving on to share-based compensation, which just worth looking at in an isolated way and a big more detailed manner. Share-based compensation expenses in Q3 twenty one decreased to two point four million Swiss Frac or one percent of net sales from five point three million Swiss Frac or four point one percent of net sales in the prior year period. This changes is primarily due to a one of transaction twenty twenty driven by the strong growth acceleration in the past years and by the successful IPO, we expect to trend approximately seven point five million additional stock based awards under our existing equity plant in Q4 twenty twenty one. 22:07 Due to the timing of such plans, this impact is not included in our Q3 numbers. Adjusted EBITDA which excludes share compensation and one of twenty costs related to the IPO was thirty seven point nine million Swiss Frac for the three month period ended September thirty twenty one. Up from twenty two point six million Swiss Frac in the prior year period. 22:35 The EBITDA margin remained consistent year-over-year for the three months period as seventeen point four percent. Due to date adjusted EBITDA increased by one hundred and twenty one percent from thirty eight point six million Swiss Frac to eighty point two million. In percent of net sales, adjusted EBITDA increased year-to-date from twelve point eight percent to sixteen percent and validate our commitment to simultaneously grow net sales and profitability. 23:11 Shifting to our balance sheet and cash flow, on September fifteenth and prior to the end of our third quarter, we completed our initial public offering at the New York Stock Exchange. In Bridge and certain selling shareholders, saw an aggregate of thirty five million seven hundred and five thousand class A ordinary shares at a share price of twenty four US dollars. The net proceeds from the IPO for On were six fifteen million Swiss Frac was six sixty two million US dollar. This has led to a very strong position of net cash and cash equivalents of six hundred and seventy two point one million Swiss Frac, which will enable us to pursue our ambitious growth plan. 24:02 Now let's look ahead, we are confident that demand for our products will remain very strong across all regions, all channels and all product categories. Before we detail out our financial outlook and in order to provide a better understanding of the expected financial performance. We would like to share the recent development and our short-term outlook of the situation in Vietnam and throughout the supply chain. 24:30 There are two challenges that are connected and that will impact our financial performance in the upcoming quarters. Most significantly, we expect supply constraints and the higher airfreight expenses as a result of the recent factory closure in the south of Vietnam. The quantification and mitigation of this impact is being accentuated by a volatile freight and distribution costs driven by higher freight and shipping charges and higher warehouse labor expenses. 25:04 During Q3 twenty twenty one, our production partners in the sales of Vietnam were affected by government [Indiscernible] closures to compare the spread of COVID-19. The impact factories represent about seventy percent of our production capacity. The closure started in July twenty twenty one and factories remained closed as of thirty of September twenty one. 25:32 As of beginning of October, we have seen a gradual reopening in ramp up. Our key message today is that all factories are open since early November and as of this week, operate at more than eighty percent of our planned production capacity. To put this number into perspective, it is very important to highlight the fact that our planned production capacity was based on the anticipation of the continued hypergrowth in twenty twenty one as well as in twenty twenty two. Versus installed goal until today, the accumulated loss of capacity and the affected region is approximately twelve weeks. To mitigate the impact on our business, we continue to take actions, including the reallocation and prioritization of products across all factory partners and the use of airfreight to balance inventory levels against the strong demand. 26:38 In addition already as of Q1 next year, we secured the significant amount of additional production capacity a two new factory partners in Indonesia. We expect to use airfreight to be a headwind to our gross margin of approximately nine hundred to one thousand basis points in Q4 twenty one and in Q1 twenty two. In addition, we are working closely with our retail partners to maximize the number of products available to our end consumers. These measures include a holistic management of all available inventory and the adjustment of launch dates for new product. 27:22 We are confident that the supply chain disruptions in their non temporary, and then our pricing power will allow us to compensate increased freight and distribution costs in the mid to long-term with selective price increases. Turning now to our financial outlook. As this is our first time to provide financial guidance to the public market, we would like to briefly explain how it should be. Philosophically, we aim to provide prudent yet aspirational of guidance that appropriately balances our in the business with potential risks or headwinds we face. We will provide guidance for the full year not on a quarterly basis as this is nearing the way we steer the business in internally and it allows us to take a long-term growth perspective. 28:24 For Q4 twenty one and half year one twenty two, we are expecting our financial results to be constrained by the mentioned supply chain challenges. We see the demand clearly above the available supply. Given the current uncertainties in the supply chain, we will prioritize top line of profitability. In order to protect our retail partners and our long-term growth. Now, for the full year twenty twenty one, we expect net sales of seven hundred and ten million Swiss Frac, representing a six seven percent year-over-year growth. Our outlook reflects the supply restrictions that we foresee in the last three months of the year. We have started to airfreight selected products from factories after reopening to fulfil the demand. Nevertheless, we are still expecting limited product availability in the fourth quarter. 29:26 In the independent of supply chain disruptions, we have taken the strategic decision to shift the launch of our strength summer season products from Q4 into Q1 which really resulted in a channel shift of our seasonality. We expect to just of EBITDA of ninety two million Swiss Frac, representing an adjusted EBITDA margin of thirteen percent and the year-over-year growth of eighty five percent. We will continue to have products throughout Q4. In addition, we will drive investment in prime building with strong investments into returning physical global major running events like the New York City Department. Into upper final marketing during the holiday season, but also continued investments into our team. 30:18 As earlier indicated, we expect to create additional stock based compensation of awards under our existing share-based compensation plans. These awards will best at the current date and therefore, we will record a material share based compensation charge of approximately one hundred and seventy three million Swiss Frac in the fourth quarter of twenty twenty one. And consequently significantly impact our Q4 adjusted net profit. 30:49 As of twenty twenty two, we expect and annual dilution from our equity plans of approximately one point five percent. Looking beyond twenty twenty one, we are very confident that the supply chain challenges, especially to supply chain constraints are temporary and that we should fully focus on our long-term growth opportunities. 31:16 Especially in our half year one, we expect net sales to be adversely impacted and final product availability depends on the continued factory ramp ups and availability and cost of airfreight capacity. At current, we expect a return to strong hypergrowth in the second half of the year, and we expect at least nine sixty million Swiss Frac net sales. Even though our internal ambition is higher than that. We expect to have better visibility in the new year on how quickly we can get additional capacity and we will revisit the guidance then. 32:00 To be very clear again, we are experiencing a transitory supply shortage, not a demand issue. This is not a new situation for over the last decade, strong demand for the on unplanned has regularly outpaced supply. And we have experienced in turning this into an advantage form by tightly controlling distribution to ensure sustainable quality growth. 32:28 In the first half of twenty twenty two, we will face supply shortages on certain products that are higher than what we would like and not all consumers will have the ability to buy exactly the product they are looking. However, we believe in the long run, it will only increase the decidability of the own trend. A tight control of the increase of our SG&A costs in the first half year will allow us to caution mitigate highest rate and distribution expenses. 33:04 Consequently, we expect adjusted EBITDA of one and twenty five million Swiss Frac and to maintain our adjusted EBITDA margin of thirteen percent. As said before, to mitigate disruptions across the international supply chain, we will prioritize net sales growth over profitability. 33:25 In conclusion, we are very proud of our recent performance and excited for the opportunities ahead, but most important, we are extremely proud of our team all around the world. For their passion to grow on at such an incredible speed and for all the hard work that it's required to adapt to the fast changing environment. Thank you so much. 33:50 For the future, we have the right team of talent in place to drive innovation and to develop exciting products. To engage with our customers and wholesale online and our own retail. To continue building a premium trends globally, to make the growth a better and more sustainable place to use our voice to build the more diverse and inclusive run community. Together with our industry partners, all this the goal to deliver on our mission. To ignite the human spirit to movement. And to dream on as a team. 34:34 With that, Caspar [Indiscernible] I would like to open up the session to your questions.