Ronald Faris
Analyst · KBW
Thank you, Bill. The ESOP award really speaks to the hard work and dedication of our entire Ocwen team in helping homeowners in distress wherever possible. We are grateful to ESOP and all of our non-profit community partners around the country such as HomeFree-USA, National Community Reinvestment Coalition, National Council of La Raza and so many others for their relentless work and homeowner outreach and counseling. They are truly indispensable in our success in keeping struggling families in their homes.
I will cover a few areas today, including our operating results, our strong loss mitigation capabilities and our integration plans for Homeward and ResCap. A Slide 9 shows the revenue ramp on the newly boarded Saxon and Chase deals are meeting or exceeding our pro forma expectations.
The Chase and Saxon portfolio is boarded in April at delinquency reductions of 1.5 and 1.0 percentage points respectively. While delinquencies on the Litton portfolio fell 1.7 points. Overall delinquencies fell from 24.5% to 23.6% from the end of June to the end of September. The total decline in delinquencies over the past 12 months has been more than 5 points, despite the boarding of highly delinquent loan portfolios during the period.
These improvements occurred despite a slowdown in modification that we had anticipated in our last earnings call. With the expansion of the federal government HAMP2 program Ocwen evaluated all non-HAMP modifications in progress for eligibility under HAMP, which deferred some modifications into the fourth quarter.
Total modifications for the quarter were 18,135. HAMP modifications accounted for 29.3%, up from 20.5% last quarter. The higher level of HAMP mod bolsters our expectations that the impact of HAMP2 will be positive overall as it increases the number of borrowers qualifying for the program. About 3/4 of modifications in the quarter included some principal reduction with about 1/3 of those mods being our shared appreciation modification.
Completed modifications began to rebound in early October and offers for Q3 came in at a solid 22,869, suggesting that modification should be back on track in Q4. For the fourth quarter, we expect modifications to be between 19,000 and 22,000.
As shown on Slide 10, the pace of advance reduction remains strong. In the third quarter of 2012 net advances declined by $347 million, excluding the sale of assets to HLSS. More detail on third quarter results are available in today earning release and our third quarter 10-Q, which we expect to release tomorrow.
I want to talk a little bit about our integration plans for Homeward and ResCap as they differ somewhat from our past acquisitions.
First, with respect to Homeward, it is important to recognize that unlike previous platform acquisitions, Homeward is currently generating positive income on a standalone basis. We expect to improve both performance and costs by transitioning to Ocwen’s world class platform, but we intend to maintain substantial portion of their servicing personnel and the origination business in its entirety.
With respect to ResCap, we will take full advantage of their solid Ginnie Mae and prime loan platform. As such, we anticipate retaining much of the ResCap U.S.-based servicing personnel for the foreseeable future.
I especially look forward to working together with the strong management teams at Homeward, ResCap and Liberty as we continue our positive transformation and evolution.
For both Homeward and ResCap, we are confident that our pricing and opportunities to reduce operating expenses while improving cash flow will provide attractive returns to our shareholders.
At the margin, both transactions are extremely accretive as they can be funded almost exclusively with debt. However, even with our long-term mix of debt and equity, pre-tax returns on equity are targeted on these deals in the world 20% range.
As an indication that how Ocwen achieved the superior performance Bill spoke of earlier, I also want to share with you an analysis based on sub-prime private label securities data sometimes referred to as PLS.
On Slide 11, we broke PLS data into Ocwen and non-Ocwen portfolios. We then look at the percentage of totals loans in the portfolios that have been modified and the percentage of those modified loans that are 60 days or more days delinquent.
As you can see, Ocwen has modified 52.8% of its portfolio, compared to only 46.6% for other sub-prime servicers. Getting more borrowers into modifications is a critical component of our ability to drive down delinquencies. What is just as important as our ability to modify loans is the persistency of these modifications to remain current.
Ocwen modifications that are 60 or more days delinquent are only 27%, compare to non-Ocwen servicers re-defaulted rate of 38%. These results are the opposite of what one might expect as it will seem that we might be modifying less qualified borrowers to attain higher numbers of modifications.
Our better performance is a direct function of our industry leading technology platform and the use of psychological principals that enable Ocwen to deliver modification programs that increase both borrower acceptance rate and adherence. By the way, this analysis is consistent with several third-party studies that show Ocwen modifies more loans and has lower re-default rates. Our results are equally impressive when evaluating our success in getting loans to cash flow.
Slide 12 portraits the percentage of sub-prime borrowers in PLS that have made 10 or more payments in the past 12 months. As chart shows over 72% of Ocwen borrowers made 10 or more payments compared to only 64.7% for other servicers. This means more cash flow to investors and lower advanced rates for Ocwen.
In the third quarter, we began boarding sub-servicing from a large bank adding about 13,200 loan in August and September. We’re also targeting sub-servicing business from a second large bank early next year.
The last thing I’d like to mention is the impact of an improving economy upon our results, especially over the long-term, an improving economy provides substantial potential upside in Ocwen’s results.
First of all, reduced unemployment will likely reduce delinquencies and re-default, and potentially to a more rapid reduction in operating expenses and interest costs as advances decline faster than anticipated. An improving economy will also likely lead to longer duration of assets as many of our borrowers have low rate modifications with little incentive to refinance.
Moreover, many of our borrowers do not qualify for current mortgage offering, so they are not well-positioned to refinance or buy new home. This should keep voluntary prepayments low.
In the third quarter, voluntary prepayments are very low, running 2.8% out of a total CPR of 14.3%. As foreclosures and modifications abate, total prepayment should slow considerably as involuntary prepay typically account for 2/3 of Ocwen CPR.
Now, I’d like to turn the call over to over to John Britti. John?