Andres Lopez
Analyst · Citigroup. Please go ahead
Thank you, Dave, and good morning. I’m pleased to report that our operational results in the third quarter were very solid. Our earnings were $0.77, up 13% compared with prior year. Operations delivered in about $0.74, right on top of our guidance and tax added an incremental $0.03. The Company is more resilient than ever. In years past, the natural disasters we have seen, plus unplanned downtime and standard supply chains might well have caused us to stumble. Today’s team though has risen to the challenge. We are delivering, doing what we said. Let me say congratulations to the O-I team across the globe with the one enterprise mindset that is making the Company resilient and improving its year-on-year performance. In fact, we have met or beat expectations for the last seven quarters. We continued to improve our response on service to customers and our focus on building long-term partnerships. We use structural cost through a Total Systems Cost approach, improve our ability to operate effectively and efficiently, organize O-I to be safer, more agile and capable to adapt and invest in capabilities to drive top and bottom line growth. That’s it. I don’t want to suggest we are impervious to external conditions; they are affecting us, but they’re not weighing us down. In the third quarter, our net sales were higher than prior year, price was up more than 1% and currency was a tailwind as well. Shipments were on par with last year as higher than expected volumes in Latin America offset lower local sales in North America. While prices tracked well with cost inflation, operating profit benefited from our Total Systems Cost initiatives and higher equity earnings. Segment operating profit was up 10% year-on-year, while margins expanded 70 basis points. While the net impact of non-operational items was almost neutral year-on-year, I would like to point out that Jan’s team has done an outstanding job in managing where possible to limit the impact of interest and tax expense. [Ph] A bit later, in the presentation, we will touch on our announcement about CBI as well as the outlook for the rest of this year. Now, let’s turn to our regional review starting with Europe on slide four. We are seeing a solid overall business environment in Europe with volume holding up well and a constructive pricing environment. For O-I specifically, sales in the quarter were up 6%, primarily due to strengthening euro. While shipments were essentially flat year-over-year, we benefitted from some favorable mix in the quarter. The European team’s focus on Total Systems Cost is certainly contributing to their improving cost profile. Be mindful that the inclusion of the energy credit in this quarter and not a fourth quarter as was the case last year, does cause some swing in profit margins within the year but no impact on the full year. Even so, excluding that credit, Europe is performing well year to date, generating higher profits and margin expansion of about 90 basis points. In the fourth quarter, we expect essentially flat operating profit. On the upside, we expect to see modest sales growth, ongoing benefits from product system cost initiatives, and savings from the plant closure in the Netherlands. These gains will more or less be offset by the timing of the energy credit that came at the very end of last year. For the full year, good performance; we are expecting higher profits and a strong margin expansion. Let’s turn to slide five. North American local sales volume were under pressure, worse than we thought going into the quarter, due to challenging mainstream beer dynamics as well as impact from the hurricanes. As we have suggested at the recent sales side conference, bottom line results were lower than in the prior year. While we saw more contraction in beer this quarter compared with the first half of the year, the food, wine and spirits segments performed better than average in the third quarter. September results were impacted by hurricanes as some customers shut down, freight costs increased and truck availability was disrupted. There might be a further impact in the fourth quarter. So, we are conscious about our sales outlook in North America. As I mentioned on our last earnings call, we are combating the ongoing decline megabeer sales by repositioning the enterprise to better capitalize on a strong growth in Mexican beer imports through our joint venture with CBI and some supply contracts. This is a perfect transition to the next slide. I’m very pleased by our evolving relationship with Constellation Brands. In late 2014, we embarked together on a partnership to supply glass containers for their acquired beer business. We created a 10-year joint venture with a vision to build and operated four world-class furnaces adjacent to a brewery in Nava, Mexico. The JV has exceeded expectations at most every turn, adding an incremental furnace this year, ramping up smoothly on time and on budget, reflecting the knowhow that OI brings to this partnership. Productivity has been higher than expected. Capital costs on the partners were considerably less than initially anticipated. And earnings have been growing every year and right in line with our original expectations, the JV is expected to initiate cash dividends in 2018. This all adds up to a sound investment yielding a very solid return on capital that we are now expanding and spending. We will build out a fifth furnace following the long planned fourth furnace, which should come on line in the first half of 2018, and we are extending the life of the joint venture by 10 years out to 2034. Stepping back for a moment, some of our investments like this one take time to develop yet are well worth the wait. Others, like the acquisition that became O-I Mexico are immediately accretive. Whatever the case, we are squarely focused on delivering long-term, sustainable value to our shareholders. Let’s turn attention to the slide seven. Latin America is performing at a very high level. Brazil recorded double-digit gains in sales volume in most every category and led by beer. And Mexico continues to report record shipments with solid growth in beer, spirits and non-alcoholic beverages. Latin America price cost spread in the quarter was the modest tailwind, allowing us to partially recapture the fairly significant headwind we reported in the first half of the year. The Latin America team continues to improve their bottom line performance due to their Total Systems Cost approach. In the third quarter, they achieved improvements in spending on energy and labor. In all, higher profits and 20% margins, a clear standout in the quarter, and we anticipate even more impressive results as the same trends continue into a seasonally high fourth quarter. Turning to slide eight. Market trends in Asia Pacific remained favorable with growth throughout the region. And O-I has seen the growth as evidenced by an 11% increase in sales in the quarter, driven by price, volume and currency. However, we have not seen this translate into the bottom line for several reasons, ongoing downtime from repair activity, changing customer needs and increasing supply chain complexity. In order to grow with our customers today, the response to those challenges has been to ship containers from where the product is readily available. In Australia for instance, we presently have quite long extended internal supply lines to support the needs of our customers. In turn, our supply chain costs are relatively high and definitely impacting our bottom line. To restore expected financial returns, we are accelerating investments that will enable flexibility to support changing market trends with a focus customer service and growth, broaden our asset stability efforts within the region and expand our supply chain capabilities. Going forward, then, we must retool [ph] our assets in this region similar to what we have done in Europe, North America and Latin America. Our investments will begin in earnest in Q4 2017 and be largely completed by mid-year 2018. While we project subdued margins in the interim, we expect a significant rise in margins, exiting 2018. We know we can do this well because we have already done it successfully in other regions. With that update, let me turn the call over to Jan.