Andres Lopez
Analyst · Bank of America Merrill Lynch. Please go ahead
Thank you, Dave and good morning. In short, we are executing well. We are doing what we set out to: enhancing the customer experience, we're using the structural cost through a Total System Cost approach, operating effectively on efficiency, investing in the next phases of capabilities to drive top and bottom line growth and meeting or beating earnings guidance for six consecutive quarters. In the second quarter, our net sales were down slightly compared with prior year. Price was up about 1%, and sales volume and mix were down about 1.5%, largely influenced by the timing of the Easter holiday as we expected. Year-to-date, shipments were up nearly 1%, driven in large part by our key account teams, which are supported by the entire organization and are driving a customer-centric culture at O-I. As expected, segment operating profit was up 8% in the quarter. Total System Cost initiatives, higher production volumes and higher equity earnings were key contributors. In turn, margins expanded 120 basis points year-on-year. Adding a significant contribution from non-operational items, we've delivered adjusted earnings of $0.75 in the quarter, which is up 15% compared with prior year. And even when excluding the favorable tax rate on which Jan will provide more color, we hit the high end of our guidance, driven by a strong contribution from our business operations. Our year-to-date results coupled with a favorable outlook for the rest of the year led us to increase our earnings guidance for the full year. And here, please let me pause to recognize the vast number of cross-functional O-I teams, squarely focused on meeting and beating their commitments that ultimately generate shareholder value. Let's now dig deeper into our key strategic initiatives on the next two slides. I continue to be excited about the work we're doing in the commercial space. New business development continues to aid our sales growth. Starting with key account management, cross-functional teams across the organization are fully aligned to support our customers, to interact with customers around the world like never before across all segments and tiers of the market. We did a deep cultural and mindset change that will serve our customers and O-I well. Before drilling down on Total System Cost on the next slide, let me mention that with respect to working capital, we continue to make progress towards our targeted year end reduction in inventory. On to Slide 5. Recall that Total System Cost or TSC fully incorporates end-to-end supply chain costs. While we have functional expertise in the various areas that integrate end-to-end supply chain, we need to focus on the interdependencies as we reduce cost, so we avoid any unintended consequences. For instance, again in managing energy might have implications for downstream production efficiencies. So we need a light, nimble organizational structure focused on an integrated view of Total System Cost, that also as specializes in ensuring ideal and effective replication across the enterprise. In this way, we can become the most cost-effective producer of glass containers across the globe. Latin America has been ahead of the curve in this approach, since it serve as the pilot location for the methodology, processes and practices. The team quickly adopted the approach with dedicated resources focused on TSC. Managing costs across the factory, across the region and ultimately, across the corporation has become part of the fabric of the culture. With solid execution, Latin America is showing us the way to favorably impact the bottom line through a TSC approach. Europe and North America as well have fairly well-developed structures, but they are not quite as mature yet. We see significant gains, for instances in areas, where replicating best practices has been driven by the new global supply chain team, particularly in logistics. In this regions, the TSC mentality is taking hold. With respect to TSC in Asia Pacific, they are in the earlier stages. Resources at the plant-floor level are focused on the program, ready to leverage global earnings. So what are we focusing on? Let me give you a few examples. In China, the local team converted the heating process of the layers from high-cost electrical energy to gas burners with a minimum investment. In Europe, the engineering team is reducing the capital requirements in furnace rebuild by leveraging new agreements with a strategic equipment provider. And in the Andean region, our supply chain team is piloting new specifications for pallets to reduce system costs. So you can see that momentum is certainly building, especially as we replicate these and other learnings and best practices across the globe. In the second quarter, total systems costs initiative added an incremental $10 million in segment operating profit, bringing the year-to-date to nearly $20 million, well on our way to achieve the $35 million to $45 million targeted benefit to operating profit for the full year. I will now like to give you a brief review and outlook of our regions. Beginning with Europe on Slide 6. The overall business environment in Europe has not substantially changed, with industry volumes growing well and a constructive pricing environment. For O-I specifically, sales in the quarter were down 2%. Currency was still a headwind compared with prior year. Price declined in line with cost inflation as expected, and shipments were on par with prior year, a good result in light of the Easter holiday in the quarter as well as the unusually strong sales volume in the first quarter. Overall, demand in Europe is solid, ending a bit better than the 1% growth rate we targeted for the full year. After adding in benefits from Total System Cost that I just mentioned, plus higher production volumes, the region continues to deliver higher profits and solid margin expansion. And we expect more of the same trends through the back half of the year, which when coupled with the benefits of the plant closure in the Netherlands should drive a strong earnings growth and margin expansion for the full year. Let's move to North America on Slide 7, where industry dynamics remain challenging yet quite manageable. The ongoing low single-digit decline in mainstream beer continues to be more or less offset by growth in beer imports and non-beer segments. And turning to O-I as specifically, despite a 5% sales decline, North America reported higher margins on a stable operating profit. That is, the impact from the sales decline compared with prior year is not as severe as one may initially expect. Temporary timing headwinds include a fewer number of shipping days and our customer managing their returnable flows in Canada. These two items comprise about two-thirds of the sales volume decline. The decline also reflects the conversion of carton sales to bulk sales that we have discussed for over a year. This has practically no impact on the bottom line as we are saving the cost of packing bottles into cartons. It is important to point out that we are combating the ongoing decline in megabeer sales by repositioning the enterprise to better capitalize on the strong growth in American -- in Mexican beer imports through supply contracts and our joint venture with CBI. Our achievements in beer from North America plus Mexico and the JV with CBI are up mid-single digits for the first half of the year. So our strategy is working, but not all of it is seen in top line sales within just the North America region. Further, the team is also squarely focused on TSC with early gains in logistics coming from the distribution footprint rationalization program. In the second quarter, we were able to reduce costs by rationalizing our distribution centers in Canada, yielding a better cost structure and generating a small gain on the sales of a warehouse. In all, North America reported solid profits and healthy margin improvement. In the second half, we expect a stronger year-on-year performance than we reported in the first half. Nonbeer sales are projected to be higher, and the region will benefit from further logistics cost savings. The ramp-up of the JVs third furnace has gone exceptionally well, and we now anticipate a bit higher equity earnings in the back half of the year. Let's turn to Latin America on Slide 8. Regarding the macros and industry outlook in the region, we are a bit more bullish today than we were at the beginning of the year. Brazil seems to have turned the corner economically even as the volatile political environment is likely to remain. Turning to our results in the quarter, Latin America turned in an impressive performance. Revenues increased 7%, driven by both price and volume. Shipments in Mexico are at record levels. Volumes in Brazil turned positive year-on-year in June although our books, our inflows, July was in growth mode, too. As we have mentioned before, cost inflation weighed particularly hard on this region. Over half of company inflation manifest here. That said, we are implementing price increases and expect that price gains in the second half will begin to capture back some of the ground lost through inflation. My earlier remarks on Total System Cost highlighted the efforts and results in Latin America. We can deliver solid growth through a structural cost improvements even in volatile, uncertain conditions. Both sales volume and TSC performance combined to drive outstanding year-on-year margin improvement. As Brazil records in the second half of the year, we anticipate even better year-on-year performance for the entire region, in terms of both absolute operating profit and expanding margins. Turning to Slide 9. Market trends in Asia Pacific remain quite positive, continued growth in emerging markets and also in wine and beer in Australia and New Zealand. Regarding our performance, segment operating profit was essentially flat, in line with our guidance. And we are seeing no substantive change in trends we face. Domestic sales in China are lower year-on-year as production in China continues to be diverted to support sales in Australia and New Zealand, where production is returning to normal levels. And of course, fewer shipping days in the second quarter was a drag on Asia Pacific's overall sales. In the second half of the year, we anticipate that higher local production to support local sales will also reduce logistics costs. In all, we expect a second half that builds upon investments in the first half, allowing for substantial margin improvement for the year. With that update, let me turn the call over to Jan to review our financial performance as well as our outlook for the third quarter.