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Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation (OCSL)

Q3 2022 Earnings Call· Thu, Aug 4, 2022

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Welcome, and thank you for joining Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation Third Fiscal Quarter 2022 Conference Call. Today's conference call is being recorded. At this time all participants are in a listen-only mode, but will be prompted for a question-and-answer session following the prepared remarks. Now I would like to introduce Michael Mosticchio, Head of Investor Relations, who will host today's conference call. Mr. Mosticchio, you may begin.

Michael Mosticchio

Management

Thank you, operator, and welcome to Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation's third fiscal quarter conference call. Our earnings release, which we issued this morning, and the accompanying slide presentation can be accessed on the Investors section of our website at oaktreespecialtylending.com. Our speakers today are Armen Panossian, Chief Executive Officer and Chief Investment Officer; Matt Pendo, President; and Chris McKown, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer. Also joining us on the call today for the question-and-answer session is Matt Stewart, Chief Operating Officer. Before we begin, I want to remind you that comments on today's call include forward-looking statements reflecting our current views with respect to, among other things, our future operating results and financial performance. Our actual results could differ materially from those implied or expressed in the forward-looking statements. Please refer to our SEC filings for a discussion of these factors in further detail. We undertake no duty to update or revise any forward-looking statements. I'd also like to remind you that nothing on this call constitutes an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to purchase any interest in any Oaktree fund. Investors and others should note that Oaktree Specialty Lending uses the Investors section of its corporate website to announce material information. The company encourages investors, the media and others to review the information that it shares on its website. With that, I would now like to turn the call over to Matt.

Matt Pendo

Management

Thank you, Mike, and welcome everyone. We appreciate your interest in and support of OCSL. Our fiscal third quarter results reflect our ability to identify and invest in attractive opportunities across public and private markets amid the recent volatility maintained excellent credit quality and drive strong earnings on behalf of our shareholders. Adjusted net investment income per share was $0.17 for the quarter, down slightly from the $0.18 for the prior quarter and on par with our fiscal first quarter demonstrating the strength of our earnings profile. As a result of our ongoing solid portfolio performance and consistent earnings, our board increased our quarterly dividend by 3% to $0.17 per share. This marked our ninth consecutive quarterly dividend increase. Our dividend is now up nearly 80% from its pre-COVID level. We've reported NAV per share of $6.89 down 5% from the prior quarter. However, the decrease was driven by broader equity and fixed income market volatility, leading to widening credit spreads and associated mark-to-market write down. Now turning to the portfolio, we originated $132 million of new investment commitments in the second quarter. Of these 76% were first lien loans, up from 72% in prior quarter – in the prior quarter and approximately half of these were in private transactions and the other half were secondary market purchases. The weighted average yield on new debt investments in the quarter was attractive at 9.2%, up from 8.7% in the prior quarter. While we are highly selective and focused on new deals with favorable prices and structures, we expect to continue identifying interesting investment opportunities across private and public markets given the breadth of the Oaktree platform and our team's focus on finding the best relative value in all market conditions. We received $130 million from prepayments, paydowns and exits in the third quarter. Our non-core portfolio further declined in the quarter following $7 million paydown in one of our debt positions. This book represented $77 million at the close of the quarter or about 3% of the portfolio at fair value. Credit quality remains excellent supported by our disciplined underwriting. We again had no investments in non-accrual at June 30th. Importantly, we continue to be rated investment grade by both Moody's and Fitch, and we maintain borrowing flexibility and ample liquidity to meet funding needs. We closed the period with $455 million of undrawn capacity under our credit facilities and $34 million of cash. With no near term maturities and significant amount of dry powder, we believe our current capital structure positions us well to invest in today's ever changing market. The weighted average interest rate on debt outstanding was 3.2% in the June quarter, up from 2.5% the prior quarter. With that, I'll turn the call over to Armen.

Armen Panossian

Management

Thanks, Matt, and good day everyone. I'll begin with comments on the market environment and continue with highlights from our fiscal third quarter. Our consistently solid credit quality underpinned by our commitment to prudent underwriting and highly selective investing, again, provided an excellent foundation for our performance in the quarter. We believe this will serve us particularly well in an increasingly volatile market and broader economy that is vulnerable amid elevated inflation and rising interest rate. Broad based inflation in the U.S. reached a 41 year high in June, amplified by the war in Ukraine and Western government sanctions against Russia's energy complex and opposition to the conflict. This injected more uncertainty into the global oil and gas market that was already grappling with supply demand imbalances. For the U.S., this is evident in lofty gasoline and industrial power prices on top of high food, real estate and other costs. Additionally, China continues to struggle with coronavirus outbreaks. The government there has repeatedly imposed business and travel restrictions that threaten to compound the supply chain issues that initially ignited inflationary pressures. Central banks, including the U.S. Federal Reserve, have responded with tightened monetary policy, notably including aggressive interest rate hikes. Historically, in periods of rapid rate increases, U.S. consumers have pulled back on spending and tipped the economy into recession. Markets had widely anticipated rate increases, but the pace at which the Fed has moved and the pace it signaled it will continue to move exceeded prior expectations and spurred volatility across equity markets in the second calendar quarter, while spreads widened across public credit asset classes. At Oaktree, we don't make investment decisions based on economic forecast, but we believe it is important to be aware of evolving macro conditions and their impacts on markets and industry. While the…

Chris McKown

Management

Thank you, Armen. OCSL delivered another quarter of solid financial performance, continuing this strong momentum from the second fiscal quarter of 2022. For the third quarter, we reported adjusted net investment income of $31.4 million or $0.17 per share, down slightly from $32.3 million or $0.18 per share in the second quarter. The decrease was primarily the result of higher interest expense related to the impact of rising LIBOR on our floating rate liabilities, as well as lower OID acceleration. Partially offsetting this was higher adjusted total investment income and lower management and part one incentive fees. Net expenses for the third quarter totaled $22.8 million down $1.4 million sequentially. The decrease was mainly due to lower incentive fees, driven by a decrease in accrued capital gain incentive fees resulting from the unrealized losses during the quarter and slightly lower management fees due to the decline in the fair value of the portfolio. This was partially offset by $2 million of higher interest expense. Turning to our credit quality, which continues to be excellent. As Matt noted, we had no investments on non-accrual at quarter end. With respect to interest rate sensitivity, OCSL remains well situated to benefit from a rising rate environment. As of June 30, 88% of our debt portfolio at fair value was in floating rate investments. We anticipate that further increases in short term interest rates will have a positive impact on earnings. Importantly, we have not yet experienced a full quarter benefit from higher interest rates as most of our investment rates reset on June 30, while our floating rate liabilities reset during the June quarter. If base rates as of June 30 were in effect for the entire quarter, we estimate that our adjusted net investment income per share, would have been about a…

Matt Stewart

Management

Thank you, Chris. Our strong financial results for the quarter enabled us to generate an annualized return on adjusted net investment income of 9.4%. We have generated an average ROE of approximately 9.5% over the last six quarters and we believe OCSL remains well positioned to increase ROE going forward. First, we believe OCSL is well positioned for a rising rate environment. As Chris noted earlier, with the majority of our investment portfolio in floating rate assets, we expect that further increases in base rates will positively impact our net interest margin. Additionally, with our increased leverage target range, we have the opportunity to continue to deploy more leverage at the portfolio level. However, we will only grow the portfolio as we find opportunities that are consistent with our investment approach that we believe offer an attractive risk reward. And as we have discussed before, we continue to focus on positioning the portfolio for an improved yield by rotating out of lower yielding investments and into higher yielding loans. Our new investments continue to come on the books at attractive yields, which means there is more upside and yield on that portion of the portfolio that we expect to realize over time. Finally, another ongoing opportunity for us to support our ROE target is to further optimize our joint ventures. We can accomplish this by selectively rotating out of lower yielding investments into higher yielding ones, as well as increasing leverage with the JVs. We've made good progress on this to date, as both vehicles are generating ROEs to OCSL of over 10%. That said we are seeing more attractive investment opportunities for the JVs in this environment, particularly given their focus on more liquid, broadly syndicated loans and anticipate that we'll continue to rotate and grow these portfolios over time. In conclusion, we are very pleased with our strong third quarter financial results against the volatile market backdrop. Our portfolio is healthy and we are well positioned to capitalize on this increasingly attractive investment environment with our expanded leverage target and ample dry powder. Thank you for joining us on the today's call and for your continued interest in OCSL. With that, we're happy to take your questions. Operator, please open the lines.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. We will now being the question-and-answer session. Our first question today comes from Kevin Fultz of JMP Securities. Please go ahead.

Kevin Fultz

Analyst

Hi, good morning, and thank you for taking my questions. I’d like to start with a high level question for you, Armen. We appreciate your insight on what you’re seeing in the market, both on the sponsor side and the non-sponsored side where you guys like to play. If you could just give a high level overview of the opportunities you’re currently seeing, as well as any changes you’ve seen in deal pricing relative to the last few quarters?

Armen Panossian

Management

Sure. Thanks for the question. So a few observations. The first is that for the first half of 2022, on the sponsor side, there wasn’t really a change in terms either legal or pricing terms in deal flow that we saw in comparison to 2021 or 2019. Obviously, I’m excluding 2020 due to the COVID-related impacts in that year. But the – we really didn’t see wider spreads. We didn’t see tighter legal terms. And I think it was because of a variety of factors. One was a lot of capital has been raised in direct lending over the last few years. It’s been sort of record year of fundraising over the last two or three years. And two, there was a decline in deal flow in M&A volume, LBO volume this year as you saw equity markets having some volatile performance. And so a lot of potential sellers when they saw their evaluation multiples decline, they just became less interested in selling their businesses and the uncertainty around exit multiples for private equity firms also created another reason why some private equity firms decided to kind of tap with brakes a little bit. So we saw in the first half of 2022, a condition where there was too much capital chasing, too few deals on the direct lending side. And that’s why we were quite concerned about the quality of the deal flow that we were generally seeing in sponsor back lending. Now, we took our spots as well, and we found some decent situations to invest into. But by and large, we weren’t happy with the risk adjusted returns in sponsor oriented lending for most of 2022. On the non-sponsored side, it’s very hard to deduce any sort of meaningful high level changes in pricing and terms in…

Kevin Fultz

Analyst

Okay. That’s all really helpful. And then just to touch on expectations around prepayment activity, just curious what visibility you have on the cadence of prepayments?

Armen Panossian

Management

Well, I mean, I’ll keep it very big picture. So on the – on sponsor investing generally, I would expect for prepayments to slow mainly because I would expect spreads to widen on refinancing. And second, generally speaking, these companies were levered according to adjusted EBITDA over the last two, three, four years. And with what’s happened in the economy from inflation perspective, both labor cost inflation and commodity cost inflation. A lot of these companies are not really able to grow into their capital structures and therefore, historically, a lot of the prepayment activity that we saw was because these businesses were able to grow into their capital structures, were able to do dividend recaps at even tighter spreads than the original debt. And that’s just no longer the case. So I would generally say that sponsor oriented direct loans and frankly sponsor oriented broadly syndicated loans are highly unlikely to prepay at the same speeds that they have done historically. On the non-sponsored side, again, every situation is so bespoke and catalyst driven that we do expect to see some level of prepayments associated with the idiosyncratic credit considerations of each company. And so I wouldn’t say that there’s a necessarily a trend there because the trend is not a macro trend. It is more of a company specific matter. But I would generally say that in what we’re seeing on the non-sponsored side and our involvement has shown that the companies we have invested and are generally performing quite well. And any sort of anticipation around prepayments that we would’ve expected in our non-sponsored deal activity around realization of certain catalysts or milestones. Those are kind of happening as one would expect. And so we can’t predict necessarily how those prepayments will go, but the company performance has been consistent with historic performance and according to expectations. And so I would expect some level of prepayments on that side.

Kevin Fultz

Analyst

Okay. I’ll leave it there. And I appreciate your time this morning.

Armen Panossian

Management

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from Kyle Joseph with Jefferies. Please go ahead.

Kyle Joseph

Analyst · Jefferies. Please go ahead.

Hey, good morning. Thanks for taking my questions. I just wanted to get a sense for obviously, no non accruals, your credits good. But just how you expect industry credit to perform over the next call 18 months as companies are faced with higher debt servicing costs? And do you anticipate middle market credit kind of turning for the worst and do you see that as a potential opportunity for you guys?

Armen Panossian

Management

Thanks, Kyle. It’s really hard to make a big prediction. But I would say, I made a prior comment about companies being levered according to adjusted EBITDA and the assumption that they will grow into their capital structures. I think that’s going to weigh on performance, levered free cash flow performance for a lot of these borrowers. And I think that’s going to continue for quite some time. The Fed clearly wants to put some cold water on the economy, and I think that they'll be successful at doing that. So between that and just generally speaking higher borrowing costs and by the way, as of June 30th most borrowers that have floating rate, bank that's subject to a floor are now – LIBOR is now at a place where we are above almost all those floors, if not all of them. And so this is truly a floating rate asset class and a floating rate liability for these borrowers. So I think it is going to get painful broadly speaking for lot of these – a lot of these private equity owned businesses, especially where leverage was maximized. And I think the industries that have the tightest margins, yes, either gross margins or EBITDA margins are going to be the ones that feel it the most. Because when you do have such tight margins it's indicative of you not being a leader in your particular sector or not being a value additive part of the supply chain of whatever eventual good or service that is being sold. And so we're very cautious on those types of businesses. We generally have been avoiding those types of businesses, but I think that's where the pain will be felt. So if you want to look at industries to try to triangulate where industries will have the most pain, I think that's one way to look at it is what industries generally speaking have low margins or what middle market companies generally speaking have low margins. And I would define low margin as sort of mid- to maybe even upper-single digit type of EBITDA merge.

Kyle Joseph

Analyst · Jefferies. Please go ahead.

Got it. Very helpful. Thanks for answering my question.

Armen Panossian

Management

No problem.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from Ryan Lynch with KBW. Please go ahead.

Ryan Lynch

Analyst · KBW. Please go ahead.

Hey, good morning. First question I had was you guys obviously changed your leverage range ticket higher. The bottom and end of that range really didn't move too much, but then the upper end of the range move quite a bit. I'm just curious, how are you thinking about that in today's environments? Not that's a wider range, is that something that you intend to depending on the market opportunity set that you are seeing today in the marketplace of operating close to the upper end of that range? Or is that something where you guys are comfortable sort of where you at or at today and in kind of giving yourself more cushion in case there's further disruption in the credit markets going forward?

Armen Panossian

Management

Thanks for the question. It's really the latter. It is – we don't really have a plan to generally speaking, be operating in the upper end of that range, but we do want to maintain the flexibility around expectations with our shareholders and with the rating agencies that if there is a market event or an economic event that creates the opportunity for us to realize or for us to originate well structured and well priced loans, especially something like a rescue lending opportunity so that we – we may see over the next 12 or 18 months. We'd like the ability to be able to do that and not surprise anybody. So that's really the cause for the widening of that range, but it's not the expectation that we will generally and consistently be operating at the upper end.

Ryan Lynch

Analyst · KBW. Please go ahead.

Okay, understood. I had a question on this, you talked a lot about the primary markets in both the sponsored and the non-sponsored. I have a question in the secondary markets, you guys were obviously very active in that marketplace. I think you guys put up a Slide, Slide number seven I think is a very helpful illustration of your guys willingness to step in, in kind of dislocation and liquid markets. I'm curious, I think loan prices have generally kind of trended a little bit higher in the third-quarter – calendar third quarter. Are you still seeing that same sort of opportunity set that you saw in the second quarter, in the secondary liquid market or not?

Armen Panossian

Management

I would say generally speaking, the market has moved higher, both in high yield bonds and senior loans. High yield is up 6% in July, senior loans are up 1.8% in July and that's obviously a move in the right direction, I guess. But there isn't a lot of liquidity in the market either on the buy side or the sell side. So it doesn't take much to move prices either up or down. So one-month a trend does not make, so I'm not sort of closing the book and calling it good. But I would say generally speaking, the prices have moved in a direction where we are not really investing rapidly. We think that there's sort of more volatility ahead in the economy and probably in the markets and there's sort of a temporary fund flows factor here that is driving prices higher or has driven prices higher in July. But I would expect further volatility. So we continue to be prudent. We're not going to chase the market higher. And so we've been – we were fairly active in the second quarter and we will be active again, but I'm – we don't think that the secondary buying opportunity is necessarily over at this point. We're but – and we're going to just kind of continue to watch it and look to add when the time is right.

Ryan Lynch

Analyst · KBW. Please go ahead.

Okay. Understood. Thanks for taking my questions. I appreciate the time today.

Armen Panossian

Management

Great. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Melissa Wedel of J.P. Morgan. Please go ahead.

Melissa Wedel

Analyst

Good morning. Thanks for taking my question today. You actually answered a few of them already, but I was hoping we could touch on timing of activity in the June quarter. I'm wondering if activity was particularly skewed towards the back end of the quarter and maybe not fully – maybe the top line not fully reflecting the earning power of that, the new investments. Was there anything like that going on in the June quarter?

Armen Panossian

Management

Yes, I'll hand that over to Chris. Maybe to Chris and Matt Stewart. Either of you have a view on that timing. I know it did have an impact, but they could give you a more refined response.

Matt Stewart

Management

Yes. Thanks for the question. I would say that it was not so much of a tiny matter so much as it was matter related to rate resets. We started to see the impact of the rising reference rates during the quarter. A good portion of the portfolio did not reset until June 30th. So as I mentioned in my prepared remarks, we did try to provide some color around the fact that the June 30 rate sets had been in effect as of March 31st or adjusted NII, all else equal would've been up about a penny a share for the quarter. That was more of a driver versus the timing of deployment.

Melissa Wedel

Analyst

Okay. That's helpful. Thank you. That's it for me?

Operator

Operator

We have no further questions, Mr. Mosticchio

Michael Mosticchio

Management

Great. Thanks MJ, and thank you all for joining us on today's earnings conference. call. A replay of this call will be available for 30 days on OCSL's website in the investor section, or by dialing 877-344-7529 for U.S. callers or 1412-317-0088 for non-U.S. callers with the replay access code 7421084, beginning approximately one-hour after this broadcast.

Operator

Operator

The conference is now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.