Earnings Labs

Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation (OCSL)

Q2 2022 Earnings Call· Thu, May 5, 2022

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Welcome and thank you for joining Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation Second Fiscal Quarter 2022 Conference Call. Today’s conference call is being recorded. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode, but will be prompted for a question-and-answer session following the prepared remarks. Now I would like to introduce Michael Mosticchio, Head of Investor Relations, who will host today’s conference call. Mr. Mosticchio, you may begin.

Michael Mosticchio

Management

Thank you, Operator. And welcome to Oaktree Specialty Lending Corporation’s second fiscal quarter conference call. Our earnings release, which we issued this morning and the accompanying slide presentation can be accessed on the Investors section of our website at oaktreespecialtylending.com. Our speakers today are Armen Panossian, Chief Executive Officer and Chief Investment Officer; Matt Pendo, President; and Chris McKown, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer. Also joining us on the call today for the question-and-answer session is Matt Stewart, Chief Operating Officer. Before we begin, I want to remind you that comments on today’s call include forward-looking statements reflecting our current views with respect to, among other things, our future operating results and financial performance. Our actual results could differ materially from those implied or expressed in the forward-looking statements. Please refer to our SEC filings for a discussion of these factors in further detail. We undertake no duty to update or revise any forward-looking statements. I’d also like to remind you that nothing on this call constitutes an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to purchase any interest in any Oaktree fund. Investors and others should note that Oaktree Specialty Lending uses the Investors section of its corporate website to announce material information. The company encourages investors, the media and others to review the information that it shares on its website. With that, I would now like to turn the call over to Matt.

Matt Pendo

Management

Thanks, Mike, and thank you everyone for joining the call today. OCSL generated solid results in the second quarter. Adjusted net investment income was up, supported by a higher prepayment fees and we increased our dividend for an eighth consecutive quarter. We produced robust origination activity, including several new investments in the attractive life sciences sector, while maintaining the portfolio’s excellent credit quality. Adjusted net investment income per share was $0.18 for the quarter, compared with $0.17 for the prior quarter. Extending the momentum we steadily built throughout the calendar year 2021. Earnings were supported by the portfolio’s improved yield and larger size, higher prepayment fees and OID acceleration related to investment exits, as well as modestly lower professional fees. Based on the strength and consistency of our earnings, our Board increased the quarterly dividend by 3% to $60.5 per share. Our dividend is now up more than 70% from its pre COVID level. We reported NAV per share of $7.26, down 1% from the prior quarter. The decrease was primarily driven by the impact of wider credit market spreads and associated mark-to-market price declines. We also experienced a modest decline in the valuation of certain equity investments, given the broader stock market volatility. Now, turning to the portfolio, we originated $220 million of new investment commitments in the second quarter. Of these 70% were first-lien loans consistent with the prior quarter and included $162 million in private transactions and $26 million in the new issue primary market. We also took advantage of some of volatility in the liquid credit markets by purchasing $40 million of discounted loans and bonds, at an average purchase price of 96%. The weighted average yield on all the new debt originations in the quarter was 8.7%, up from 8.1% the prior quarter. Drawing upon…

Armen Panossian

Management

Thanks, Matt, and hello, everyone. I’ll begin with comments on the market environment and continue with some additional highlights from our fiscal second quarter. Overall, credit quality held strong throughout the quarter, supported by broadly favorable conditions, including low unemployment and steady demand for products and services across sectors. That noted, potential uncertainties remain from the lingering impact of the pandemic on supply chains surging costs. The U.S. inflation rate reached a 40-year high in March. The war in Ukraine and Western government sanctions against Russia in protests with a conflict curtailed global oil supply and exacerbated already high gasoline costs. This conflict has also disrupted already fragile supply chains and boosted other commodity prices, putting even more pressure on the Fed to bring down the elevated inflation rates. At the same time, Coronavirus flare ups in China and its renewed restrictions on business and travel threatened to further disrupt supply chains, potentially adding to inflationary pressures. Against this backdrop, the Fed started to raise short-term interest rates in March to taper demand and cooled the economy. And while markets have widely expected these and future rate hikes, uncertainty surrounding the pace of tightening and the economic implications of the war, created volatility in the calendar first quarter, adversely impacting credit spreads across all sectors and leading to the modest write-down in our portfolio. Historically, in periods of Fed tightening, the risk of recession increases, given the possibility that policymakers may overreach, raising interest rates too much or too quickly. At Oaktree, we don’t invest based on macroeconomic predictions. But we do believe that it is important to pay attention to the major forces impacting securities markets, the economy, industries and individual companies. If this volatile environment intensifies and causes market dislocations, we are well prepared to act. Oaktree’s roots…

Chris McKown

Management

Thank you, Armen. OCSL delivered another quarter of solid financial performance, continuing strong momentum from the first fiscal quarter of 2022 and fiscal year 2021. For the second quarter, we reported adjusted net investment income of $32.3 million or $0.18 per share, up from $31.2 million or $0.17 per share in the first quarter. The increase was primarily the result of higher income from prepayments and lower professional fees. Partially offsetting this was higher interest expense related to the impact of rising LIBOR on our floating rate liabilities. Net expenses for the second quarter totaled $24.2 million, down $5.1 million sequentially. The decrease was mainly due to lower incentive fees, driven by a $5.5 million decrease in accrued capital gains incentive fees resulting from the unrealized losses during the quarter and $0.5 million of lower professional fees. This was partially offset by $0.5 million increase of higher interest expense due to an increase in borrowings in our larger investment portfolio. Turning to our credit quality which continues to be excellent. As Matt mentioned, we had no investments on non-accrual at quarter end, as all of our portfolio companies made their scheduled interest payments. Now moving to the balance sheet. OCSL’s net leverage ratio at quarter end increased moderately from the December quarter to 1.02 times. Net leverage continues to be at the high end of our target range of 0.85 time to 1 times and will tend to fluctuate every quarter depending on the timing of investment fundings and portfolio prepayments. As of March 31st, total debt outstanding was $1.4 billion and had a weighted average interest rate of 2.5%, up from 2.3% at December 31st, due to a rising LIBOR. Unsecured debt represented 47% of total debt at quarter end, down slightly from 50% in the prior quarter. At…

Matt Pendo

Management

Thank you, Chris. Our strong financial results for the quarter enabled us to generate an annualized return equity of 9.7%, slightly higher than the 9.5% we generated last quarter. While we were very pleased with our results this quarter, we believe there are still ways for OCSL’s ROA to increase going forward. First, we remain focused on positioning our portfolio for an improved yield by rotating and of lower yielding investments and into higher yielding loans. At quarter end, we had $41 million of loans priced at or below LIBOR plus 4.5%, which we will look to opportunistically exit over time. Our new investments continue to come on the book at attractive yields, which means there’s more upside in yield on that portion of the portfolio that we expect to realize over time. As we discussed before, another ongoing opportunity for us to support our ROE target is to further optimize our joint ventures. We can accomplish this by selectively rotating at a low yielding investments into higher yielding ones, as well as increasing leverage at the JVs. We make good progress on this to-date as both vehicles are generating ROIs to OCSL of just over 10%. That said, the joint ventures continue to have capacity and we will selectively rotate and grow these portfolios over time, which we believe will be accretive to ROA. Finally, we believe OCSL is well positioned for a rising rate environment, with 89% of our investment portfolio was fully rate assets, an increase in base rates over our weighted average interest rate floor of approximately 80 basis points may positively impact our net interest margin. In conclusion, we’re very pleased with our strong second quarter financial results. We are excited about our prospects for the remainder of the year and are optimistic that we will continue to be able to identify new attractive risk adjusted investment opportunities, allowing us to provide strong returns to our shareholders. Thank you for joining us on today’s call and for your continued interest in OCSL. With that, we’re happy to take your questions. Operator, please open the lines.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our first question comes from Kevin Fultz with JMP Securities. Please go ahead.

Kevin Fultz

Analyst

Hi. Good morning, everyone. Clearly, there’s been a significant slowdown in deal activity so far in 2022 relative to 2021. Parsing out sponsor activity versus non-sponsor, it appears that non-sponsor activity levels have been more resilient than on the sponsor side. Just curious if that’s what you’ve seen so far in 2022 and maybe also if you could share your thoughts on why that’s been the case?

Armen Panossian

Management

Thanks for the question. This is Armen. Yeah. I think it’s hard to deduce meaningful conclusions from just one quarter. Well, what I would say is that, and this is more anecdotal, but on the sponsor side, I think there was a flurry of activity last year, the debt capital markets were pretty open, the private credit markets were quite strong, valuation multiples were high. And then as we got into November and December of last year, there’s a little bit of volatility and then a lot more volatility in January and February. What we found is that sponsor activity with new LBOs, as well as re-pricing activity in the broadly syndicated loan market. Both of those took a really big step back, just given the volatility in the markets and so very few deals got done on with all those buyer sponsors in the first few months of the year. And again, anecdotally, it sort of felt like it was coming back in March and April. The last two weeks of March were quite strong, and then into April, for the first two weeks, it was okay. And so we did see some new LBOs get announced. But if -- as we look forward this year and if we look at the broadly syndicated loan market as an indicator of health for the -- for sponsored LBO activity, it would suggest that LBO activity is going -- is down. And that sponsors are taking a little bit of a step back and/or prospective sellers are not interested in transacting at depressed valuation multiples. So I think it’s true that on the sponsor side, things appear slower as -- in comparison to last year and we would expect that if the current market conditions persist, that they will continue to…

Kevin Fultz

Analyst

Okay. That’s really helpful color, Armen. And then just one follow-up in regards to portfolio positioning, are there any pockets or industries that you find particularly attractive in the current climate?

Armen Panossian

Management

I think life sciences is definitely the one that comes to mind, mainly because, well, it’s kind of two things. One is, if you look at the equity index for life sciences companies, it is down, they are over 30% year-to-date, over 50% year-over-year and that volatility in the equity market and the depressed valuation multiples for some of these life sciences companies makes it such that those borrowers would prefer to finance themselves differently rather than tapping equity, diluted equity and so we’ve seen a meaningful uptick in our pipeline of potential deal volume on the life sciences side. And the second reason we like it. So the first was just taking advantage of market volatility. And we’d like doing that at Oaktree. The second is that life sciences as an industry, I wouldn’t say it’s entirely this way, but it’s substantially this way, it is fairly uncorrelated with global GDP. The reason is, if -- the reason is the pace of scientific innovation is what drives the profitability and growth and value of these businesses. It isn’t what -- it isn’t kind of like a general industrial or consumer packaged goods or a discretionary item. It is, generally speaking, the places that we invest in life sciences, these are need to have, must have a life saving, life changing therapies and drugs. And therefore, if a company is successful in innovating in those areas, there is a large unmet need that will buy that product or will need that product irrespective of what’s going on in the global economy. So that lack of correlation from a portfolio management perspective is quite attractive, so that you don’t have an entirely procyclical sponsor-only set of deal flow that will correlate to one in a pandemic type of, of setting or some other global economic slowdown. I think we’re more focused on…

Kevin Fultz

Analyst

Make sense…

Armen Panossian

Management

We are more focused on the industries that are or the companies that are going to be problematic and that’s where we’re spending most of our time. We are just avoiding land mines, to be honest with you. We’re rather than kind of pivoting towards what’s most attractive. I think there’s more danger in the market than there is opportunity right now.

Kevin Fultz

Analyst

Got it. I’ll leave it there and thanks for taking my questions.

Armen Panossian

Management

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Bryce Rowe with Hovde Group. Please go ahead.

Bryce Rowe

Analyst · Hovde Group. Please go ahead.

Thanks. Good morning. I wanted to -- maybe start on balance sheet leverage and prospects going forward. So, obviously, you’re slightly above your targeted range, kind of curious how you think about balance sheet leverage at this point? And I mean, do you see -- is there some appetite to go even higher if some of these maybe secondary market opportunities continue to present themselves or do you feel more comfortable trying to push the balance sheet leverage back into that 85 to 100 range?

Matt Pendo

Management

Hey, Bryce. It’s Matt. Matt Pendo. I think while we were at 1.02 times and I really kind of view that as just one times. And we had a loan coming back after the quarter end that we knew of. So that’s one of the reasons why we’re just -- we’re slightly above. But I still kind of think of it as we were 0.85 to 1. We have lots of liquidity and capacity across our capital structure. I think we’re at the lower range of many of our peers. So, I feel like we’ve got a lot of capacity if there’s a great opportunity to invest. As Armen just said, we’re going to be very, very disciplined here, just given some volatility in the market. But as you saw last time going into the pandemic, we had a lot of dry powder, a lot of flexibility and we invested pretty aggressively and effectively and took leverage up. So I think it’s a little too early to kind of predict that. I think -- but I think we’ve got the flexibility and the capacity to do what makes sense here. I think we’re really, really well positioned with our leverage and our capital structure and our liquidity. And so we’ll be -- we’ll prepare if an opportunity presents itself. But I think it’s too early to kind of call that right now.

Bryce Rowe

Analyst · Hovde Group. Please go ahead.

Okay. That’s helpful, Matt. I appreciate it. And then, maybe one other question just around the dividend and the dividend level, I certainly appreciate the eighth consecutive dividend increase here. Just want to try to understand kind of what the thought process might be against the current macro backdrop with layering in the prospects for higher interest rates having a positive impact on the revenue stream and on NII. Just kind of wondering if we should think about maybe future dividend increases despite a murkier backdrop and just want to understand how much cushion you might want to have for any kind of deterioration or down turn? Thanks.

Matt Pendo

Management

Sure. It’s Matt again. Great question. I think the -- as you pointed out, we have been able to increase the dividend for eight quarters now, and we obviously, like doing that. In terms of the future, it’s -- obviously, it’s up to the Board, as we’ve explained previously that the dividend has the output of the earnings of the portfolio. To your point, as interest rates go up, that’s going to be helpful to the portfolio and we get more specifics on that. That being said, we’re kind of in a period now as LIBOR is going up and/or so far and it’s -- we’re kind of transitioning above the floor, some loans above the floor, some below floors. So how that kind of plays out in the dividend is -- and earnings is a little too early to predict. So, I think for now, I just kind of leave you with we felt great about the ability to increase the dividend. We’re pretty thoughtful about what we do with the dividends function of the portfolio. And I don’t want -- I don’t think you should necessarily model out a bunch of dividend increases just based on interest rates, because rates are obviously moving pretty dramatically kind of day to day or week to week. So I just wouldn’t do that just yet.

Bryce Rowe

Analyst · Hovde Group. Please go ahead.

Okay. Thanks for that. Guys appreciate the time this morning.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Ryan Lynch with KBW. Please go ahead.

Ryan Lynch

Analyst · KBW. Please go ahead.

Hey. Good morning. First question I had is just looking at your investment activity this quarter. After several quarters of basically staying out of the secondary market, you guys got back into that marketplace with $40 million of funding this quarter. My question is, can you explain what is the nature or the investment thesis behind those investments? Obviously, there was some volatility in the marketplace this quarter. Is it the intent that you find good companies there that you can get it at a price that you think will make an attractive return and hold those securities until maturity and discounted price will allow you to generate a sufficient return for OCSL or are those more dislocations that you see that are more temporary securities that you can buy and what you think at a discounted price and then trade out of them, whether it’s a couple of months or a couple of quarters down the road?

Armen Panossian

Management

Thanks for the question. This is Armen. So, the first statement I would make is that whatever we do buy, whether it’s primary or secondary, is always with the intention of holding it to maturity and feeling comfortable with both that risk and that return. Now with tradable credit, you may be in a situation where you buy something and it trades up more rapidly than you thought or it trades down because of some sort of change in the picture for the company and you have to reassess because you always need to look at risk-adjusted return, prospective return at every -- with any kind of meaningful change in price in those securities. So, we -- so, again, we buy things with an intention to hold them to maturity, but we are happy to trade out of them if they do move the other direction. The reason you see some elevated activity in secondary purchases is because we’re always looking for the best relative value in credit for OCSL and for all of our clients at Oaktree. So, when we look at the spectrum of what’s available in the market, there’s sponsor lending, non sponsor lending, episodically some sort of opportunistic or rescue lending, and then there’s tradable credit, both loan and bond. And when we looked across that spectrum, there really isn’t, I would say, a lot of opportunistic or episodic rescue lending right now. But on the sponsor side, what we saw was that there was muted deal flow. But in terms of terms on the deals that did get done, they were no different than where they were at in most of 2021, same sort of spread, same sort of return, same sort of legal protections. Meanwhile, the publicly traded market was meaningfully backing up. Spreads…

Ryan Lynch

Analyst · KBW. Please go ahead.

That makes sense. That’s helpful color. So I would assume based on how markets have kind of acted so far in the calendar second quarter, based on your kind of outlook for a lot more economic uncertainty, I would assume that you guys are anticipate continuing to be fairly active in that secondary market and that could become more of a consistent component of funding going forward. Is that a fair assumption?

Armen Panossian

Management

Yes. I wouldn’t go that far, but what I would say is that it is a very active area of interest for us and we will always think about the incremental publicly traded opportunity versus the private opportunity we’re seeing. And I don’t want to make any sort of forward-looking guidance or statement on that. But it is -- it continues to be a very attractive opportunity set right now, but you have to understand that there is likely to be continued volatility this year with inflation, with Fed action and to be measured in pace and approach and always think about what the alternative is. So, that’s all I’ll be able to say about, Ryan.

Ryan Lynch

Analyst · KBW. Please go ahead.

Okay. Fair enough. I appreciate the time today. Thanks.

Armen Panossian

Management

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Melissa Wedel with JPMorgan. Please go ahead.

Melissa Wedel

Analyst · JPMorgan. Please go ahead.

I appreciate you taking my questions this morning. The first thing I’m trying to reconcile a little bit is what sounds like a somewhat cautious tone on your part in terms of potential Fed policy. And I know that your general approach is often to keep some dry powder available and yet you’re running towards the higher end of your target leverage range. Can you sort of help reconcile that? Are there any larger anticipated repayments coming up that we should be thinking about?

Armen Panossian

Management

I mean we’re always getting some repayments. I wouldn’t want to give any sort of forward guidance on anticipated repayments. We feel very good about the performance of our portfolio. We also have, as I mentioned, this uncorrelated life sciences book that is both high yielding and performing quite well. So we’re -- we will always evaluate the proper makeup of our capital structure. We generally run more conservative than -- on leverage than a lot of publicly traded BDCs, and we like doing it that way. But it’s just -- frankly, it’s just a blocking and tackling day-to-day decision. It isn’t -- we are cautious for sure, about what we’re seeing in the market. But we’re always -- we’re very comfortable with the portfolio that we have. So, we’re not looking to generate cash or sit on cash or anything like that. We feel like we have, if needed, we feel like we do have ample liquidity to take advantage of opportunities. But we’re staying cautious and building up our portfolio from bottoms up.

Matt Pendo

Management

And we do have -- Melissa, it’s Matt. We do have, as we’ve talked a lot of times a -- some very, very high quality, liquid, relatively lower-yielding assets that to the extent we wanted to redeploy that into higher-yielding investments as we’ve been doing over the quarters. We have that lever as well.

Melissa Wedel

Analyst · JPMorgan. Please go ahead.

Sure. I appreciate that. And I guess another question is bigger picture in nature. Given the volatility that we’ve seen in the forward curve, I think back to a couple of quarters ago when you were talking about potentially investors, there being a greater risk of rate increases or rate hikes that weren’t being priced into the forward curve. It seems like we’ve come full circle on that a little bit with a lot of volatility in the forward curve. So to the extent that you think about sort of policy mistakes, I guess I’m curious about your thoughts if you think that the forward curve is -- has overshot to any extent.

Armen Panossian

Management

That’s a tough one to gauge. I would say I don’t know. I don’t know that it’s overshot, but it certainly now reflects the Fed’s hawkishness, at least for -- in the short run for rate hikes to combat inflation. If you look at the euro-dollar forward curve, which is effectively short-term rates and the expectation of the rate hikes, it is expected that there will be continued rate hikes this year. I think we need to pull it up. I think it’s probably another 75 or 100 basis points that it assumes for the rest of this year. But it also predicts a rate decline, a short-term rate decline next year. And so there’s this sort of upside down V-shape on the expectation, market expectation on short-term rates, which would indicate that inflation is too high, north of 8%, and the Fed must do something to stop that. But with some of the inherent issues in the economy around inflation but also some of the demand destruction that could be caused by higher rates, the market generally thinks that there can be a recession in 2023. And therefore, the Fed will need to reduce rates in 2023. So, I think that’s probably -- that inflection of when rates rise to stop inflation versus when they need to decline to combat some sort of recessionary outcome. I think that’s going to create continued volatility. So, that’s what I’m most focused on in terms of Fed policy and what their tone is. In terms of long-term rates, the return on the 10-year is north of 3% now, which is, frankly, I mean, if it were to go up to4% and stay at 4% for an extended period of time, that would be a dangerously high level, which could create significant stress amongst consumers and companies without any sort of Fed or treasury action to counter that. We would need to stay there for a couple of years rather than a couple of months. But that -- if you were to ask me what keeps you up at night, it would be that. It would be high rates for a longer-than-expected period of time on the long end of the curve, which impacts real estate values, impacts other types of lending and could create a need for deleveraging that I don’t think very many consumers or corporations are thinking about right now.

Melissa Wedel

Analyst · JPMorgan. Please go ahead.

Armen, I appreciate that. Thank you.

Armen Panossian

Management

Welcome. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

I am showing no further questions. This concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Mr. Mosticchio for any closing remarks.

Michael Mosticchio

Management

Great. Thanks, Sarah, and thank you all for joining us on today’s earnings conference call. A replay of this call will be available for 30 days on OCSL’s website in the Investors section or by dialing 877-344-7529 for U.S. callers or 1-412-317-0088 for non-U.S. callers with the replay access code 4588025 beginning approximately one hour after this broadcast.

Operator

Operator

The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today’s presentation. You may now disconnect.