Peter Kelly
Analyst · Bank of America Merrill Lynch
Thank you, Rick, and good morning, to everyone on today's call. Overall, we delivered a very good quarter with the main highlights being increased revenues, improved gross margins in both HPMS and Standard Products segments, reduced interest expense, the continued improvement of our capital structure as we completed a debt transaction which converted highest cost, secure debt to lower-cost fixed-rate unsecured debt, stronger-than-expected non-GAAP earnings, and as a result, extremely robust free cash flow. Moving on to the specifics of the quarter, top line revenue was $1.249 billion, up 5.1% versus the second quarter and just below the midpoint of our guidance. We generated $585 million in non-GAAP gross profit or 46.8% non-GAAP gross margin, which was $45 million better sequentially. Total non-GAAP operating expense was $300 million or 24% of revenue, and in line with our plan. We are operating solidly within our expense model, reflecting the positive efforts of all of our business unit managers. And we continue to invest in R&D as a priority. All in all, this resulted in non-GAAP operating profits of $285 million, or 22.8%, about 80 basis points better than our guidance, and 130 basis points higher versus Q2, demonstrating positive operating leverage. Let me now turn to the segment performance. Within our HPMS segment revenue was $922 million, up 5% versus the prior period. A result of weaker-than-expected demand from our mobile customers. HPMS non-GAAP gross profit was $499 million or 54.1%, a 30 basis-point improvement. And HPMS non-GAAP operating profit was $251 million, up about $13 million from the prior quarter or 27.2% operating margin, again, solidly within our long-range model. In our Standard Products segment, revenue was $291 million, up 3.6% sequentially, and again a little weaker than expected in revenues from our mobile customers. Standard Products segment non-GAAP gross profit improved to $85 million or 29.2% gross margin, and this was a 540 basis point sequential improvement successfully flowing through the P&L. Standard Products segment non-GAAP operating profit was $43 million, or 14.8% operating margin. Interest expense was $44 million, in line with our expectations, and noncontrolling interest was $17 million with cash taxes at $5 million. Taken together, our non-GAAP earnings per share was $0.85, about $0.03 better than the midpoint of our guidance, primarily through the result of improved gross profit and slightly lower operating expenses, even with a slightly weaker revenue. Stock-based compensation, which is not included in our non-GAAP earnings, was $20 million in the quarter. Now I'd like to turn to the changes in our cash and debt. Our total debt at the end of the third quarter was $3.7 billion, up $360 million from the second quarter. During the quarter, we completed a $500 million unsecured note transaction. And the new bond carries a fixed interest of 3.5% and is due in 2016. The sequential increase of our gross debt is a result of the timing between the issuance of the new bond and subsequent payoff of the $422 million 2018, 9.75% senior secured note, which has since occurred on October 15. Cash at the end of the quarter was $941 million, up $372 million sequentially, a result of the previously mentioned debt payoff timing. We exited the quarter with net debt of the $2.76 billion, a reduction of $56 million, and a trailing 12-month adjusted EBITDA of approximately $1.3 billion, resulting in a net debt of trailing 12-month adjusted EBITDA leverage ratio of 2.15x. I'm confident we'll be below our 2x leverage ratio during the fourth quarter, which is a significant milestone for the company. We bought back 4.3 million shares at a cost of approximately $159 million, or a weighted cost of about $37.26 per share. Consistent with our prior comments, we believe our shares offer a compelling value and we'll continue to be opportunistically active in our repurchase program. Turning to working capital metrics. Total days of inventory on the balance sheet were 101, a decrease of 3 days. Excluding pre-bills for the restructure of our fabs in Europe, our effective DIO was 88 days. Receivable days were 39, up 1 day, while payable days were 73, consistent with the prior quarter, resulting in a cash conversion cycle of 67 days, a 2-day improvement from the second quarter. Cash flow from operations was $298 million, and net CapEx $54 million, resulting in the very robust $244 million in free cash flow, or approximately 20% free cash flow margin, a new historic level for the company. Now I'd like to provide our outlook for the fourth quarter. Influencing our outlook again this quarter is our continued success with customers, resulting in strong demand for our HPMS products across multiple end markets. We currently anticipate product revenue to be in the range of down 2% to up 4% sequentially, reflecting better than historic seasonal trends. At the midpoint of this range, up 1% sequentially, we anticipate the following trends, all on a percentage point basis: Within our HPMS segments, we expect identification revenue to be flat-ish. Within our Auto business, we expect revenue to be up in the low single-digit range, similar to last quarter, and relatively strong given normal seasonality. Within Infrastructure & Industrial business, we expect revenue to be flat-ish, and within our Portable & Computing business, we expect revenue to be up in the mid-teens percent as our new mobile programs continue to ramp. And finally, within our Standard Products segment, we anticipate revenue will be flat to slightly down. We anticipate the combination of manufacturing and corporate and others to be about $34 million. And taken together, total NXP revenue should be in the range of approximately $1.22 billion $1.29 billion, or $1.27 billion (sic) [$1.265 billion] at the midpoint, up about 1% sequentially. We expect non-GAAP gross profit to be in a range of 48.6% to 50%, or just over 49% at the midpoint, and operating expenses to be about $312 million. At the midpoint of our guidance, we anticipate about 100 basis points negative impact from a one-off crisis tax that the Dutch government is expected to institute on Dutch employee compensation. This translates in a non-GAAP operating profit in the range of $288 million to $332 million, or about 25% operating margin at the midpoint, 24% at the low end and 26% at the high end. Our progress to improving our margin profile has been quite good and consistent with the planned actions we've highlighted over the recent quarters. Interest expense on our debt should be approximately $40 million. Cash taxes roughly $30 million. And noncontrolling interest expense should be about $17 million. Stock-based compensation should be about $27 million, which is excluded from our guidance. And diluted share count should be about 256 million shares depending on share price fluctuations. Taken together, this translates into non-GAAP earnings per share in a range of $0.85 to $1.02 or $0.95 per share at the midpoint of our guidance. In summary, a strong set of third quarter results coupled with a better than seasonal outlook for the fourth quarter. Our revenue growth continues to outpace the broader market, and we continue to generate significant cash and expect to be below our debt to 2x EBITDA leverage target during the fourth quarter. Before I open it up for questions, Jeff has just passed me a note and I may have read out the midpoint of our revenue guidance incorrectly. The midpoint of the guidance is $1.265 billion. So with that, I'd now like to turn it back to the operator for your questions.