Michael B. Polk
Analyst · Citi Investment Research
Thank you, Nancy. Good morning, everyone and thank you for joining the call. We have 2 objectives for today, the first and most obvious is to share a solid set of results for Q3 and certainly a step up in our performance from the first half of 2011. The second is to tell you about some changes we're making to simplify our organization for growth. First, let's get into the results. Our third quarter results represent a step up in our sequential sales trend and good business performance across most of our portfolio. Reported net revenue growth was up 5.8%, core sales rose 3.3%. These are competitive levels of growth and represent solid progress over the 0.2% core sales growth we delivered in the first half. Q3 actuals bring our year-to-date core sales into the full year guidance range of 1% to 3%. Q3 normalized EPS was $0.45, up 7.1% versus 2010 and $0.03 above consensus despite $0.01 negative impact in the quarter from the BernzOmatic disposal. Operating income margin was 13.7%, up 20 basis points versus prior year and 40 basis points versus prior quarter. Importantly, we generated strong operating cash flow of $295 million and strengthened our balance sheet by paying down about $229 million worth of debt. Our debt is now the lowest it's been since 2007. Also during the third quarter, we allocated a little over $24 million to repurchase 1.9 million shares under our 3-year, $300 million share buyback program. Those repurchased shares represent about 0.6% of the total shares outstanding. The 20 basis point improvement in operating margin was achieved despite gross margins being below our expectation at 37.4%, 100 basis points below prior year. Our gross margin shortfall was mainly due to resin and source goods inflation and our choice to maintain price competitiveness through targeted promotions in a couple of categories, most notably Rubbermaid Commercial Products, Rubbermaid Consumer products and Everyday Writing instruments. Maintaining price competitiveness and driving profitable market share growth is essential to unlocking the full growth and value potential in our business. We intend to do that smartly, while being very tough on costs and even more aggressive on productivity. In Q3, productivity mix and pricing were not significant enough to cover what was the peak inflation period in the year. Input cost inflation had a negative 270 basis point impact on gross margin. We've actively managed Q3 SG&A to more than offset the gross margin headwinds, clamping down on structural SG&A while continuing to invest in strategic SG&A for growth. Strategic SG&A, as a percentage of sales, was up 80 basis points in the quarter. We expect fourth quarter gross margins to sequentially improve as a result of increased productivity, continued flow through of pricing and lower levels of inflation. However, we now anticipate that gross margins on the full year will be flat to down 30 basis points. On the full year, we expect total SG&A as a percentage of sales to be in line with 2010, but strategic SG&A to be up 50 to 75 basis points. All 3 operating groups delivered accelerated year-over-year growth in Q3 versus their first half performance. Tools, Hardware & Commercial Products had another strong quarter, with reported sales up 10.3% and core sales up 7.5%. Office Products delivered reported sales growth of 5.5%, with core sales up 2.2%. Home & Family delivered reported sales growth of 2.9%, with core sales up 1.1%. Five of our global business units delivered core sales growth greater than 5%, with 2 of those 5 growing core sales more than 10%. About 85% of our sales are generated in the developed markets, where our core sales grew about 2%. About 15% of sales are generated in the emerging markets. Core sales grew over 18% in Latin America and nearly 6% in Asia Pacific. Our top 14 brands generate nearly 85% of our revenue. 10 of those top 14 brands grew reported sales over 5% and of these 10, 5 grew over 10%. As I hope you can tell from the numbers, we're building momentum across most of our portfolio. For our businesses which are primarily professional facing, we have a strong set of results supported by a number of breakout initiatives. For the seventh consecutive quarter, our Industrial Products & Services business grew core sales greater than 10% behind our powerhouse Lenox expand. Our Irwin brand continues to perform well, delivering high single-digit core sales growth behind the tremendous brand-building ultimate Tradesman challenging and this year's Inaugural National Tradesman Day, which recognized and celebrated America's professional tradesmen. Our Rubbermaid Medical Solutions business delivered strong double-digit Core Growth as it continues to build share as the innovation leader in mobile medical parts and mobile electronic medical record solutions for healthcare facilities. Rubbermaid Medical is on track to nearly double its revenue in 2011. In our DYMO office technology unit, our Endicia Internet postage business delivered strong core sales growth of over 25% and gained market share. Endicia processes well over $1 billion of postage annually on behalf of the U.S. Postal Service. For our businesses which are primarily consumer facing, we have some great stories as well. Paper Mate launched a new subline called Ink Joy into Latin America in late Q3 and we're getting great results at sell-in as well as sell-through. This innovation will roll out globally over the next 3 to 6 months. Since joining Newell Rubbermaid, I've told all the writing folks that my favorite Paper Mate pen is Paper Mate profile but today, I can report that I have a new favorite in its Ink Joy. Ink Joy has the smoothest, easiest write of any everyday pen I've ever used. They leverage a new ultralow viscosity ink technology and nip configuration. On Fine Writing, we continue to build our presence in the emerging markets such as China and Russia with luxury shop-in-shops. In Q4, the Fine Writing team will introduce their most significant innovation in decades, Parker Ingenuity, featuring Parker's proprietary Parker fit technology, which provides an exceptionally smooth and fluid writing experience that actually adjusts to your personal style of writing. You can google Parker Ingenuity and order these new extraordinary pens today. I bought one online for my wife, Trisha [ph] last week and she is New Jersey tough, as I've told you previously, so I've got to be careful what I bring home as a gift and she absolutely loved it, thankfully. In our strong North American markets, our Calphalon brand delivered their highest U.S. sales quarter ever, with double-digit core sales growth. We shipped our big distribution win in the quarter with JCPenney, and Calphalon also won share with new products, such as our refreshed contemporary nonstick line, our new contemporary bronze nonstick line and our expanded kitchen electrics offerings. And the Sharpie brand in North America continues to roll, with a 1.6 share point gain in Q3 to about an 82 share of the Markers & Highlighters market behind the start with Sharpie campaign and great merchandising results at back-to-school. So some exciting momentum across our portfolio. We're also making good progress against most of the challenges we've called out in our late July earnings call. Let me first focus you on the North American back-to-school drive period. As you recall, we had strong sell in at back-to-school, with some benefit from the retailer-driven June timing shift into July. Our sellout was also very good in total, with particularly strong performance on Sharpie and Expo. In aggregate, we executed really well and grew share nicely through the back-to-school drive period. Bottom line, we're motoring on Sharpie and Expo, and with the Q4 launch of Paper Mate Ink Joy, we should see a strengthening profile across the portfolio as we exit the year. Rubbermaid Consumer performed largely on plan this quarter, although competition remains intense. As I said in July, we priced, but we will remain competitive and make the choices necessary to maintain our strategic price gaps versus competition. We will not lead pricing down, but we will stay on pricing principle, irrespective of the pressure this could create on gross margins. Building market share in our targeted Rubbermaid Consumer priority segments is the best path to value creation on this business. At the same time, we're looking at every aspect of the business system to further drive out costs, to increase gross margins so that we can support the brand more strategically with value-added innovations like Rubbermaid Reveal Spray Mops, Rubbermaid Easy Find Lids and Rubbermaid Easy Find Glass Containers. This same priority exists on Rubbermaid Commercial Products. That said, for the second consecutive quarter, sales growth on Rubbermaid Commercial Products was strong and a great set of innovations are moving rapidly to market. This is particularly nice to see given the hard work that Neil Eibeler and his new management team have done to reverse the late 2010 operational issues this business faced. While there are still some execution challenges which have hampered productivity and put pressure on gross margins, he and the team are moving fast to accelerate the growth even further while simultaneously driving gross margin improvement. Juan and I were at our Cachoeirinha factory outside Porto Alegre in Brazil and in Mexico City with the Rubbermaid Commercial Latin American leadership team last month. This is a top class team, with a very clear vision of how to build our business in these important markets and I have no doubt that Rubbermaid commercial products will feature strongly in our global strategy going forward. Baby & Parenting continues to present challenges. That said, there is some good news here, core sales in Q3 were down only 1%, which is an important step forward from the 12% core sales decline in the first half of 2011. Our North American new products, including Century from Graco, the broadened Graco Signature Series and the new Aprica launch at Babies R' Us have all shipped. And the Aprica business in Japan appears to have turned the corner over the last 4 months, delivering strong double-digit growth behind our new innovations, including the Karoon ultra lightweight stroller and the new Fladea car seat. While this is clearly helpful and a positive development, what I don't like about the current situation is that our 1% core sales decline is flattered by the positive Japan results and the North American pipeline benefit of new products. I would like to see more sellout data on the North American new products and more positive evidence of our strength in second half merchandising before declaring we've stabilized the business. Longer term, we need to address the strategic issues in the business by becoming more of an innovation leader than we are today, by more broadly deploying our unique 3 brand portfolio and by partnering more collaboratively with our key retail partners to develop the market. Of course, this will take investment and we will need to work with our key sourcing partner to release the investment capacity for growth that is currently trapped across the total enterprise. This will be key if we're going to unlock the full potential and value of this business. Baby & Parenting should be one of the most exciting businesses we have in the portfolio given the population growth in the world, the strength of our 3 brand portfolio and our global leadership position. We obviously have not been able to crack the code and unlock a compelling value creation story over a number of years. As a result of the sustained challenges on Baby & Parenting, I'm going to make a leadership change in this global business unit, placing one of our strongest leaders on the business while also bringing Baby & Parenting much closer to me. More on this in a few minutes when I discuss Project Renewal. So, for Q3. Positive results for the quarter in a very challenging economic environment. Core growth of over 3%, operating margin income expansion of 20 basis points, earnings per share growth of 7.1% and strong operating cash flow of $295 million. So what does all this mean for guidance? We've created some good momentum and our underlying performance has the potential to steadily improve. Our ability to deliver on our guidance will likely be influenced more by the macro environment than anything else at the moment. While we're becoming pretty adept at delivering results in the current environment, we're looking forward to the day when our category growth tailwinds finally reappear behind our businesses. I doubt that day is likely to come anytime soon, and we are building our plans assuming that we have to deal with another very tough year in 2012. We're going to have to continue to deliver growth in the context of slow to no growth markets. This could very well increase the cost of delivering growth, which is something we'll have to deal with as we manage the business over the next 12 to 15 months. For 2011, we are reaffirming our previously articulated guidance of 1% to 3% core sales growth, operating cash flow in the range of $520 million to $560 million and normalized EPS in the range from $1.55 to $1.62 despite the $0.04 negative impact of the BernzOmatic disposal, which was not incorporated into our previous guidance assumptions. We now expect gross margin to finish out the year flat to down 30 basis points. We will balance gross margin risk by being very tough on structural SG&A costs, while continuing to increase strategic SG&A, as we invest to strengthen our brands and build our capabilities. We grew value market shares in most of our businesses in Q3 and delivered 3.3% core sales growth and grew EPS 7.1%. Unless there's some positive external event or something changes substantially in our own algorithm, these results offer a pretty good reference point for our business potential over the near term. In this context, we are once again reaffirming guidance for 2011. We will not provide 2012 guidance until we report full year results on January 27, 2012. However, given all the [ph] factors I've mentioned, what is likely to be a higher cost of growth in slow to no growth markets over the foreseeable future, I think it'll be very difficult for us to get our core sales growth consistently into the middle or higher end of the long-term core sales guidance range of 3% to 5%. Let me turn it over to Juan, who'll provide additional details on the Q3 numbers and the impairment charge we took today.