Bahram Akradi
Analyst · SunTrust. Please proceed with your question
Thanks, Brandon. With the recent announcement of the Flywheel acquisition, I’m excited to take this opportunity to reiterate and update our strategy and forward path for Northern Oil and Gas. On our year-end conference call, I listed our priorities and our strategy, and I would like to stay with the same format and update you based on what our expectations will be after closing the Flywheel acquisition later this year. One, remain free cash flow positive with oil prices in the $40 range with the Flywheel acquisition, we expect to expand free cash flow generation; two keeping net debt to EBITDA below two and striving for closer to one times. With this acquisition, we remain under two tines net debt to EBITDA and will continue to pursue further delivering of our expanded – with our expanded cash flow generation; three, growing net adjusted free cash flow per share. Flywheel is accretive to this metric, and we expect debt adjusted cash flow per share to improve; four growing the company’s production and cash flow without compromising one through three. Flywheel once again accomplishes this; five, once we have closed the Flywheel acquisition, we are in better – we are better positioned to replace our second lean bonds on or before May of 2020. This will create incremental cash flow from lower interest expenses; six, coinciding with the interest expense saving from replacement of the second lien bonds, along with expanded free cash flow from acquisition, we are better prepared to initiate a sustainable dividend into 2020. Seven, we really like our position at this point and are excited to be able to raise our production guidance for the year. Thank you for listening, and I look forward to answering your questions later in the call. Now, let me turn it over to Northern’s CFO, Nick O’Grady. Nick?
Nick O’Grady: Thanks, Bahram. I’m going do a brief rundown for context in eight points, and while it’s not my reputation, I’ll be mercifully brief this quarter. Before I begin, if we can leave you with one item today is that our properties through thick and thin just continued to outperform despite the challenging operating environment over the past two quarters. It’s a testament to the quality underlying our business and why we continue to work tirelessly to build an enduring business model. We remain incredibly frustrated and perplexed by the valuation market describes to our business relative to our recent successes. Okay, here’s the rundown. One, capital allocation. Despite of the challenges the business face in the quarter, we continue producing positive free cash flow, the testament to our capital structure and the business model. In addition to our drilling and completion capital spending for the quarter, we spent money on two buckets primarily, shareholder returns in the form of $15.1 million in buybacks and approximately $8 million in ground game acquisitions. The ground game had a stellar quarter and these acquisitions, while small, will have a meaningful impact in future periods. We give some context, the $8 or so million spent, represented 36 separate transactions with almost one-third of these transactions coming from operators attempting to shed other non-op interests. Nothing is too small for us to continue to augment and seek out additional returns. The ground game opportunity as we see today, have never been better. In particular, much of the ground game activity this year will augment activity levels in 2020, given the focus on near-term drilling opportunities and timing of initial production. Rest assured, however, that timing is factored into our analysis on an IRR basis when we make these purchases. Our D&C capital expenditures at $74 million, included both the 7.0 net well completions as well as the 1.9 net will increase in the wells in process. So while our completions are waited for the middle and later in the fiscal year, we are accruing for the expenses of many of these wells in the first half of the year. Suffice it to say at this point, we see no change in the spending for the year as we are keenly aware of investor fears of capital creek. We are seeing more intensive stimulations and longer laterals in our D&C list this year, which we expect to generate at better returns on capital. We stated on the fourth quarter call that we’ll be mindful of increasing activity and growth depending on the environment. Even with commodity price volatility in the past few months, at this point, we see no need to change our activity levels from our previous and current guidance. Number two, production. We’re excited to say that despite the difficult operating environment, well performance continues to surprise us to the upside. The encouraging results allow us to provide solid Q2 guidance as well as a modest production and guidance bump for the year, while leaving our cost and spending unchanged for the year. We’ll update all guidance items further for our Flywheel acquisition with the second quarter results. I’ll remind investors that the Flywheel assets have a modestly lower corporate decline rate albeit with slightly lower oil cuts and slightly higher operating expenses, but better gas pricing yields and most importantly, stellar capital productivity that is competitive with our existing assets. Number three, seasonal issues. Of the 7.0 net wells added this quarter, many were backend loaded as the field came to life as the winter months due to a close with nearly half the new -- the net wells coming online in March alone. Pricing differentials for oil in basin came down from still elevated levels of January, but gas and NGL prices remained depressed throughout the quarter. This alone represents approximately 40% of the sequential quarter-over-quarter declines in adjusted EBITDA. Our expectation is that pricing for gas and NGLs may remain weak until the third quarter in the year as takeaway improves, but operators have provided strong line of sight for improvements on the horizon. This, coupled with the seasonal production slowdown led to adjusted EBITDA of $104.8 million. Number four, operating costs. Last quarter, we discussed at length significant curtailments and shut- ins experienced in the basin, some on timing of infrastructure, some typical for the winter period. In the first quarter, we bore the fixed operating costs of these restrictions directly without the commensurate volumes. This made up about 17% of the declines to EBITDA relative to the fourth quarter. We’ve started to see this trend begin to reverse, and we are confident in our initial outlook for LOE and see no change on a full basis, despite the fact that it may be until well into the third quarter before operations fully return to normal in the field. Number five, G&A. Our total cost were approximately $1.94 per BOE for the quarter and $1.06 per BOE on a cash basis, which was at the low end of our stated guidance. Our pending Flywheel acquisition should improve these metrics even further over time, as we continue to build scale. Number six, hedging. It was an active quarter, and once again, we have used the strength in current and future prices in recent months to further de-risk the asset. Our strategy remains the same, as capital allocators seeking a return on capital, who look to lock-in a portion of those returns, as we deploy the capital. Number seven, outlook. Currently, the second quarter already looks to be a stronger cash flow quarter, despite carrying some residual curtailments, as higher oil pricing is being aided by costs that are beginning to ease. Given our pending Flywheel acquisition, we’ll likely prioritize debt reduction in the next few quarters, which will be augmented further as the Flywheel cash flows are expected to come on board in July. I’ll remind investors that we have placed the cash deposit of $31 million for the Flywheel assets as part of the purchase price, which will show up on the second quarter balance sheet. We’re really excited to bring these assets into the fold. Through this acquisition, we are adding more exposure to another high-quality operator in the core of the basin, providing our land team another avenue to augment these assets upon closing. Number eight, and finally, refinancing. We understand this is front and center for many investors, and just to put a bow on Bahram’s earlier comments, we have consistently said we plan to refinance our senior notes on or before May of 2020 and to commence a dividend to our shareholders upon a successful refinancing. With this future refinancing, Northern’s flexibility to allocate capital to maximize value creation will truly be untethered. In summary, I’ll remind everyone that we remain a company run by investors, for investors, and the year remains on track with an even brighter outlook than even a few short months ago. With that, I’ll turn it back to Brandon.