Stephen C. Taylor
Analyst · Lake Street Capital
Okay. Thank you, Alicia, and thank you, Erika. Good morning, everybody, and welcome to the Natural Gas Services Group's 2013 full year and fourth quarter earnings review. 2013 was a good year for NGS, and I'm happy to report that it was a record-setter in a few ways. Rental revenues increased 22% over the year, and net income and EBITDA each rose 13%. This year, we recorded the highest levels of rental revenue, gross margin and EBITDA on the company's history. We did have some at the end of the year adjustments that affected our fourth quarter results, including a higher tax rate in the quarter and year-end inventory adjustments, and these had a cumulative, negative after-tax impact of approximately $0.04 per diluted share. I'll touch on these later, but we are optimistic going forward and anticipate steady growth in 2014. Looking at total revenue, 2013 full year revenues were $89.2 million, a decrease of 5% from $93.7 million in 2012. This decrease is attributable to the onetime sale in 2012 of $11 million worth of rental equipment. If, however, 2012 total revenues are adjusted for the one-time sale, full year revenues would've increased $5.5 million or nearly 7%. While compressor sales were down as part of it at nonrecurring sale, compressor rentals grew vigorously and are up 22% on a year-over-year basis. The sequential quarters of the fourth quarter of '13 compared to the third quarter of 2013, total revenues increased $1.3 million or 6%. In the year-over-year comparative fourth quarters, total revenues decreased $400,000 or 2% to $23.1 million, primarily due to a $2 million drop in compressor sales. Compressor rentals in the same year-over-year quarters, however, increased 24% from the fourth quarter of 2012. This dynamic demonstrates why I've mentioned in the past that since it is the volatile part of our business, we have generally reduced our reliance on compressor sales and opportunistically shift sales of fabrication space to rental fabrication as required. Looking at total gross margin and comparing the full years of 2012 to 2013, total gross margin increased $4.5 million or 10% to $48.3 million. Total gross margin percentage increased from 47% to 54%, primarily due to our shift to higher-margin compressor rentals. In the sequential quarters of Q3 and Q4 of 2013, gross margin was essentially flat while the year-over-year comparative fourth quarters grew 4%. SG&A continues to run in the 8% to 9% range for all applicable time periods. Comparing the operating income in the full years of 2012 and 2013, operating income increased 9% from $20 million to $22 million. In sequential quarters, operating income was down $140,000 with the year-over-year fourth quarter reflects a $570,000 decrease. This is largely driven by increased depreciation of almost $700,000 this quarter for rental fleet growth additions versus a year-ago quarter -- or no, this quarter, actually. Looking at net income, for the full comparative years, net income in 2013 was $14.4 million, which was a 13% increase from the $12.7 million earned in 2012. In the sequential quarters of the third quarter of 2013 to the fourth quarter of 2013, net income dropped by $240,000 to $3.2 million, with a comparative fourth quarter of the respective years shrank by 11.6%. These decreases were mainly driven by higher depreciation, which increased 16% for the year, and income tax rate that increased from 34.9% in the third quarter of 2013 to 38% in the fourth quarter of 2013. EBITDA increased 13% from $35.9 million in 2012 to $40.7 million in 2013, a record high and a 74% increase over the past 3 years. Sequentially, comparing the third and fourth quarters of 2013, EBITDA was essentially flat $9.9 million. While EBITDA grew 3% from the fourth quarter of 2012 compared to the same quarter in 2013. EBITDA of 2013 averaged 46% of revenue. On a fully diluted basis, earnings per share for the fourth quarter of 2013 was $0.25 per common share, with the full year finishing at $1.15 per share, a 12% increase compared to full year of 2012. As noted at the beginning of the call, we had a cumulative negative after-tax impact of approximately $0.04 per diluted share this quarter and a higher tax rate. Inventory adjustments led to slow-moving in non-stock inventories. Compressor rental revenue had a full year increase of $12.6 million or 22% from $56.5 million in 2012 to $69.1 million for this current year, bringing rental revenues again at a record level. Sequentially, compressor rentals grew over 4% between the third quarter of 2013 and the fourth quarter of 2013, while the year-over-year quarterly change experienced an increase of 24%. Gross margins were constant at 58% of revenue for both 2012 and 2013. Without the inventory adjustment impact, gross margins between the third quarter and fourth quarter were essentially flat, and that's the quarters of 2013. Our compressor overhaul expenses in both quarters continue to reflect cost at the higher end of our typical operating range. As we have seen in the past, we expect these to be recouped through future revenues as the overhauled units are rented. The fleet size at the end of the year was 2,556 compressors. This is a net addition of 277 compressors for the year. In the last 3 years, we've experienced rental fleet growth of 34%, with rental revenue growth of 70% with a combination of more units on rent, utilization growth and higher rental rates. Over 40% of our rental fleet is now deployed in the oil shale or liquids-oriented plays. We had the year of rental fleet utilization at 80% and horsepower utilization at 81%. This compares to unit utilization of 77%, again, in the year. While a 300-basis-point increase may seem nominal, this is on top of rental fleet growth of about 12%, which resulted in 17% more compressors on active rental, earning revenue at year end 2013 compared to year end 2012. If we look at utilization a little deeper, while unit and horsepower utilization both grew over the year, utilized fleet horsepower growth was relatively lower than total fleet horsepower growth. This means that we rented relatively more small horsepower units in 2013 than we did in 2012. It's a small change in a dozen initiated trend, but it's interesting because we are seeing some smaller units moving to VRU and other lower-horsepower applications. From a pricing perspective, monthly rental on an average utilized fleet unit increased 5.3% in 2013 and has gained 10% over the last 2 years. This is also evident from the 22% rental revenue increase in 2013 compared to our 12% rental growth -- rental fleet growth. If you recall, we started 2013 projecting our growth capital needs at between $30 million to $35 million, and we raised that to $35 million to $40 million midyear. We finished the year spending a total of $41 million in 2013 for rental fleet growth. Looking forward to full year 2014, we anticipate spending between $45 million to $50 million, a 10% to 20% increase. To accomplish this level of build, we will need an added capacity. I've mentioned in the past that we look at the option of outsourcing some rental fabrication or possibly adding internal capacity through facility expansion. Based on our cost of outsourcing versus adding roofline, we have decided to move ahead with an expansion of our Midland fabrication facility. This will allow us to increase our potential throughput by 40 to 50 units this year and approximately 100 units in 2015. Construction will start within 30 days and should be completed midyear, probably early in the third quarter. Based on outsourcing cost versus this internal expansion, we will need only 12 to 18 months to achieve a break-even point to pay for this project. Since we started moving into oil shale basins in 2010, NGS has been one of the fastest, if not the fastest-growing rental companies in relative fleet size. This trend continues with the latest available figures, showing NGS as the second most active fabricator in the industry, as measured by units built, whether for rental or sales and in play in all of our North America and all export markets, markets we don't even participate in. This demonstrates our continued high relative rate of growth in the industry and corresponding market penetration. Looking at sales revenue for the full year comparison of 2012 versus 2013. Total sales revenue, which includes compressors, flares, parts and rebuilds, dropped from $36 million in 2012 to $19 million in 2013. But when we account for the onetime rental compressor sale in 2012, the decrease was equivalent to a $6 million drop to $19 million. This lower level of sale is not only due to the prior onetime sale, but it's also coincident with our emphasis on rentals and the use of more sales fabrication space in our Tulsa facility for rental fleet production. Total sales revenues increased a little over $500,000 sequentially and was off $4 million in the year-over-year quarters. Looking at compressor sales only, revenues decreased from $26.2 million in 2012 or approximately $15 million without the onetime sale to $10.7 million in 2013. In the year-over-year quarters, revenues were up $1.9 million, but up about $400,000 sequentially. Despite the revenue decreases, gross margins for compressor sales increased to 29% from 19% in 2013 compared to 2012. And we saw the same increasing trends for the comparative year-over-year sequential quarters. Our compressor sales backlog at the end of the year was approximately $3 million, which is about the level we expect going forward on a quarterly basis. However, since the end of the year, 2013 has grown to roughly $7 million presently due to additional contracts received in January and February. Just mentioned in the past, we expect our compressor sales revenues to run in the $10 million to $15 million annual range. Looking at the balance sheet, our cash position was approximately $24.4 million as of December 31, 2013. This is $3.7 million less than our cash on hand a year ago due to the deployment of cash in the rental fleet expansion. Our debt is less than $600,000 and cash flow from operations for the year was $39.3 million. Now referencing my comment about additional fleet capacity and our decision to expand our throughput, we obviously think that 2014 will be a growing year for the company. Proper equipment need will continue to be the wellhead gas-lift type units that we are currently building for the oil and liquids-oriented basins, and they continue to be utilized in the 95% to 100% rate. With any luck, we may also see some smaller units going out. We continue to see our largest opportunities in the Permian Basin, the Niobrara Shale, the Granite Wash and the Utica Shale. These are all areas that we are well established in and that should provide incremental growth to us. The Bakken is anticipated to grow, but we think we're still a year or 2 ahead of the curve there. So it would be a measured growth this year. Coming on the Quad O and VRU landscape, we see a little movement there, but not near what we thought it might be a year ago. I think this will be a growing market, but it remains to be seen how fast and by how much. Our custom fabrication sales business has had a strong start this year with our present backlog at about 50% of what we anticipate to be full year revenues. As you know, this is the unpredictable and variable part of the business, and we have been using the sales fabrication space as a swing component for rental fabrication. Our planned expansion will enable us to take advantage of both the rental and sales markets as required. We think our business looks positive over the year, and that commodity prices will generally hold on the oil side and potentially increase gas-wise towards the end of the year. As everyone is aware, natural gas prices have spiked recently due to the severe winter weather experienced across the country. But since it is weather-driven, there really hasn't been much of an increase in dry gas activity due to its temporary nature. However, we have seen significant draws from natural gas storage. We are presently 39% below the 5-year average level. And depending on the winter weather -- or I mean, summer weather, the hotter, the better. We may see a relatively low level of storage going into fall. If so, that may set us up for a better 2014 and 2015 winter from a dry gas activity perspective. EIA expects that the Henry Hub natural gas spot price, which averaged $3.73 per MMBtu in 2013, will average $4.44 per MMBtu in 2014, or 20% higher. This is an increase of $0.28 per MMBtu from the 2014 projection in EIA short-term energy outlook just from last month. WTI prices averaged in '13 $98 a barrel and EIA projects that it will average as little over $95 in 2014. This is, of course, good enough pricing to keep activity at an active level. We're encouraged by what we've seen here in the market and from our customers, and anticipate another growing year from NGS. That's the end of my prepared remarks. But I do want to -- I think I may have bobbled the depreciation number. I just want to give everybody that number again. For full year 2013, depreciation was $18.1 million. So that's a $2.4 million increase for the year. So yes, the $700,000 I mentioned before was an increase in the quarter. That's the end of my prepared remarks. I'm turning the call back over the Erika for questions that anyone might have.