Justin Loweth
Analyst · Scotia Howard Weil. Please proceed with your questions
Thanks, Dave and good morning, everyone. The fourth quarter concluded a great year for Seneca Resources. Production came in at 79.6 Bcfe nearly a 20% increase from the prior year's fourth quarter. This increase was driven by strong operational performance from our two rig development program as well as an additional month of production from our Appalachian acquisition that closed in July 2020. For the full year, production increased 36%, which along with significant realized synergies from our acquisition helped to drive a 7% reduction in cash operating unit costs. We've also updated our reserve estimates with proved reserves increasing nearly 400 Bcfe to 3.9 Tcfe up 11% from last year. We remain conservative in our approach to reserve bookings with 84% of our reserves being proved developed. Before diving into some operational and marketing updates, I wanted to hit on the growing benefits of last year's Appalachian acquisition. The growth in production and related drop in unit costs help to expand operating margins and deliver significant accretion to Seneca's earnings and cash flows. Additionally, as we talked about in the past, given the depressed natural gas price environment at the time of the acquisition, we ascribe no value in our [technical difficulty] long-term upside. Since closing the acquisition last July, our team has continue to evaluate the undeveloped potential. From a geologic operational and Midstream synergy perspective, this highly economic inventory has been more fully incorporated into our development plans both this year and into the future, resulting in a shift of more drilling activity to Tioga County. In fiscal '22, we expect to bring online thee pads in Tioga with two targeting the Utica and the other in the Marcellus, incorporating more of this inventory into our program enhances capital efficiency further improving consolidated upstream and gathering returns. Our ability to ship activity across our three major operating areas is supported by our diverse marketing portfolio including the incremental 330,000 per day of new Leidy South capacity expected to come online in December. As we've discussed previously, Leidy South will provide an outlook to valuable Mid-Atlantic markets for each of our three major operating areas, giving us additional flexibility to optimize our development activity and maximize returns. As Dave mentioned, the project is on track and we should be able to start using this capacity next month. With more clarity on the Leidy South in service date, we've been very active on the marketing front. Since last quarter, we've converted a significant portion of our existing Leidy South firm sales from a Transco Zone 6 index sale to a NYMEX based sale, providing basis certainty on those volumes. Overall, at this point we have hedges and fixed price firm sales in place for about three-quarters of our expected fiscal '22 natural gas production. We have another 17% with basis protection that is not hedged, which leaves less than 10% of expected production exposed to in basin pricing. This is a great spot to be in and allows us to be opportunistic in our marketing and hedging activities over the remainder of the year. Shifting gears, our operating and spending plans for the year remain largely unchanged. As we talked about previously, our plan to ramp up production over the course of the year to fill our new Leidy South capacity is right on track. I expect Q1 production to be sequentially flat, and we are timing several pads to come online during the quarter in conjunction with the new Leidy South capacity. From there production should ramp up in Q2 and Q3, then level out around 1 Bcf a day net towards the end of the fiscal year. Capital is the opposite, with the extensive completion activity driving capital higher in Q1 and Q2 then decreasing over the second half of the year. Also on capital, there has been a lot of industry discussion around cost inflation and service availability. On the latter point, we think we're well positioned to avoid meaningful impacts. We've been in regular communication with our key vendors and do not expect service availability will pose any issues. However, we do see some modest headwinds on the cost front as is the case with most industries, labor challenges, supply chain issues and increased fuel costs are impacting our service providers. Cost of certain materials such as tubulars are up as well. All that being said, we expect these increases to be largely offset by continued operational efficiencies. In aggregate drill and complete drill and complete costs are likely going to rise a few percent, but this is all accounted for in our capital guidance range, which remains unchanged from last quarter. In California, our team has done a great job managing through the last 18 months and we are forecasting relatively flat oil production from fiscal '22 to fiscal '20, excuse me, for fiscal '21 to fiscal '22. This is a result of long-term planning for permits for our drilling program and a more active workover program in the second half of fiscal '21 that will carry into fiscal '22 while we are facing some modest cost headwinds largely from increasing steam fuel costs, those are more than offset by rising oil prices and we expect to generate significant free cash flow this year. Also, our new solar facility at South Midway is substantially complete and should go in service very soon and we are moving full speed ahead with our next solar facility at South Lost Hills, which is expected to go in service late next year. Lastly, I want to provide an update on Seneca's sustainability efforts. As I mentioned last quarter, we are undertaking a comprehensive study of emissions generated by various types of completion equipment. We have completed all testing and are working with our completion service providers as well as air hygiene and West Virginia University to evaluate the data and develop a comprehensive report. This is a landmark study that will provide truly comparative data across a wide array of completions equipment including e-frac technology. Most importantly, with this data, we will be able to make more informed decisions and selecting completions equipment that aligns with our sustainability values as well as our cost and performance requirements. We also announced our plans to seek a responsible natural gas certification for 100% of our Appalachian production through Ekahau origin. This ISO based framework evaluates our operations under a rigorous set of ESG performance criteria with independent verification. The third party verification is ongoing and we expect to conclude the process in the next couple of months. Additionally, we are working with project canary towards the responsibly sourced gas designation for approximately 300 million a day of our production utilizing their trust well process. As part of our relationship with project canary, we are also installing continuous emissions monitoring devices on three of our well pads. We expect these installations to be completed by the end of the year. In addition, since June of this year, we have committed to the use of compressed air or electric power pneumatics on every new Seneca development pad. And we are retrofitting existing natural gas pneumatics on return trip pads to also run on compressed air. This will continue to reduce our already low methane emissions intensity as we strive to meet our long term emissions reduction goals. All of these initiatives are key steps that demonstrate our commitment to sustainability and we will remain focused on furthering and building upon these efforts throughout the coming years. In closing Seneca's business is fundamentally sound with a great outlook. The added scale and synergies from our 2020 acquisition and recent growth have reduced operating costs and strengthened our margins. Our larger scale and increased inventory has given us the opportunity to further optimize our development program leading to improved capital efficiency and driving earnings and cash flows higher. We also operate in one of the lowest emissions intensity basins in the world and work hard to be on the leading edge of the industry sustainability initiatives. This dual focus on enhancing free cash flow, while reducing our environmental footprint positions us well for ongoing success. And with that, I'll turn it over to Karen.