Tom Lesinski
Analyst · B Riley Securities. Please proceed with your question
Thank you, Ted, and good afternoon, everyone. Welcome to our fourth quarter and full year 2020 earnings call. I hope that you're all continuing to stay safe and healthy and the year is cautiously optimistic as we about the positive impact of the COVID-19 vaccine rollout. We continue to be confident that once the vaccine rollout achieves critical mass later this spring and early summer, people will flock back to the movies after a year of being locked down. Today I'll provide a high level update on steps we've been taking to not only enhance our liquidity position, but also to expand, diversify and improve our business despite the ongoing challenges presented by the COVID-19 pandemic. With our recently announced bank facility amendment that has provided covenant relief through Q3 2020 and a new $50 million debt facility, which will provide additional liquidity for the company to continue to execute on its growth initiatives we believe we are very well-positioned to weather the waning months of the pandemic. Ted will provide more detail on how we continue to manage our expenses and our overall liquidity that will allow us to continue to navigate these extraordinary times and to ensure that the company is ready to quickly benefit from the return of movie audiences that will now start in Q2 as new films begin to get released and then as always, we'll be opened for questions. Looking back on the fourth quarter of 2020 it should come as no surprise that it continues to be a challenging time for our business and the entire out of home entertainment and advertising industries. As of the end of December, 60% of our theaters in our national cinema advertising network remained closed due to State and local COVID-19 restrictions and many continue to operate under reduced operating hours, resulting in significant declines in Q4 network attendance, revenue and adjusted OEBITDA that Ted will discuss in more details in a few minutes. When the global COVID-19 crises began in March, our business was beginning to grow again and we had just increased our dividend and we're in a very strong liquidity position. This financial strength and our highly variable cost structure combined with the significant cost cutting measures we instituted shortly after the pandemic began the US enabled us to not only absorb the impact of COVID-19 but we also made significant progress on our strategic initiatives in 2020 as we expanded our cinema advertising network and took meaningful steps toward diversifying our business into new out of home entertainment measures. Despite this significant decline in our network attendance, several major national clients have remained with us through the pandemic. While this is obviously encouraging, it may also reflect a broader market trend that could be meaningfully beneficial to our business in the future. As consumers have shifted their TV viewing to subscription-based training services, there are now less GRPs available on TV creating a very favorable supply and demand economic benefit per NCM. As demonstrated by the recent Super Bowl ratings, even higher quality sports program maybe finding it more difficult to attract our core younger 18 to 49 year audience. Top brands in key categories including insurance, QSR, digital and streaming services, retail, CPG, gaming, automotive and alcohol beverages have continued to run on screen in our Noovie preshow in those areas of the country where theaters are still open. It's clear that advertiser demand for cinema continues to be strong. The limiting factor for us is movie audiences. We continue to be confident that one's government mandated restrictions are lifted and the rollout of the vaccine progresses, the significant cabin fever that has been building for a year will drive consumers back to the theaters, allowing movies to just reliant theaters once again to be the primary launching path for their films. Since the pandemic began, the studios have delayed the vast majority of the theatrical releases. Those films that have opened in streaming services exclusively ordained with cinema, have not benefited from the huge marketing and PR provided by a broad theatrical launch. I'm confident that once the major market theaters reopen and the audiences return, film producer will once again take advantage of the powerful marketing and PR launch platform that cinema provides. This will also significantly reduce the risk of piracy that a company is in initial online release. We're very encouraged by the recent announcement that theaters can begin to reopen in major cities in particular New York City that can reopen to 25% capacity. Based on the proprietary behind-the-scenes panel of 5,000 movie fans, we know that audiences want to get back to the big screen as soon as they feel safe to do so. Our research shows that it's already been a steady return to movie theaters with 43% of respondents back to the movies since the original theater closures last spring and those respondents said that they have been best movies in average of 5.4 times during the pandemic, consistently reporting an overwhelmingly positive and safe movie going experience. Based on what these movie fans continue to tell us, moviegoing is trending in a positive direction. 92% said that news of the COVID-19 vaccine would positively impact the moviegoing outlook. 88% said that the theatrical window has no negative impact on their desire to watch movies in theaters and 90% agree that the quality of movie watching expenses is far superior in a theater versus at home particularly those who recently saw Wonder Woman 1984. In addition to our own internal research, one can look at the return of moviegoers abroad particularly in China, Japan and South Korea. If the content is available, people will come to the theater. Look no further than the opening-day box office in China for Detective Chinatown 3 closing a greater than expected 163 million in sales, beating the previous record set by Avengers: End Game in 2019. Until the theater audiences return, we've continued to aggressively focus on maintaining a high level of liquidity. The cost reduction measures that we've instituted plus our current cash balances including the new $50 million debt facility will ensure that we have sufficient liquidity to operate our business for the next 12 to 13 month without considering the benefit of any revenue beyond the rollout of the vaccine and return of positive cash flow. As discussed on previous calls, beginning in March 2020, we took significance steps to cut costs and reduce operating capital expenses. Than in November 2020, as the pandemic persisted and there were additional delays in movie releases, we took additional steps to reduce costs including re-implementing a combination of temporary furloughs, permanent layoffs and further salary reductions. In early January of 2021 with the COVID-19 surge following the holidays, we reinstated up to 50% salary reductions for almost all employees and implemented additional temporary furloughs and further salary reductions. To date over a third of our headcount has been permanently eliminated or on furlough since the start of the pandemic. Over 20% of our current headcount is on reduced work schedules of 50 to 60 and almost all remaining employees are salary reductions up to 20%. These cumulative measures reduced our actual total Q2 to Q3 2021 run rate cost by 50% versus the same period in 2019 and by 52% versus our pre-COVID run rate. As we continue to evaluate the short and medium term needs of our business, we've been very focused on also ensuring that we do not permanently impair our business including make sure that we retain a high quality team so that we are ready to quickly return to a normal operating level, when theater are just returned. We've also continued to strategically make capital investments, most notably in our new cinema advertising management system that was launched last month. This new inventory management system will provide a more efficient, seamless sales process, which will allow us to better compete with other video and digital ad platforms. This new streamline end-to-end process is ready to result in significant cost, revenue and another efficiencies for NCM, including more efficient pricing and inventory placement, resulting in reduced make an obligations and expansion of our client base. Our new system also laid the foundation to develop a solution to sell our theater inventory programmatically as we do know with our digital inventory, creating additional monetization opportunities in the future. We've continued to expand our cinema advertising network with the recent announcement of a new long-term network affiliate agreement with Harkins Theater Circuit. Harkins is one of the premier movie exhibitors in the Western US and the fifth-largest exhibitor in America. With the addition of Harkins theaters in May of this year NCM’s national theater network will include all the top five exhibitors in the country. Our Noovie preshow entertainment program will now be seen by millions of additional movie fans across the Southwest and over 500 Harkins screens in 33 premier theater locations in Arizona, California, Colorado and Oklahoma. Harkins' industry-leading and growing attendance per screen in addition to its state-of-the-art theaters in key markets enhances our already strong national media network and will particularly bolster our coverage in Phoenix and number 11 DMA. Harkins joined NCM's network at an optimistic time to both the movie and advertising industry, the 2021 film fade is stacking up for big summer fall and holiday movie season following the COVID-19 vaccine rollout. Meanwhile as mentioned earlier, younger audiences are coming -- are continuing to abandon add supported television and audience are always eager to go up the couch and get back up to the movies. For brands seeking to reach the highly sought-after 18 to 49 and 18 to 34-year-old audience demographic, cinema is an attractive TV GRP replacement. During the pandemic, we've also made significant progress in our strategy to diversify our media inventory in ways that are complementary to our core cinema business and strengthen our unique bundle of on screen and digital advertising products. In October of 2020, we launched our new national CineMedia digital auto home group which was created to unite grants with the power movies by extending moviecentric entertainment content trivia and advertising beyond theaters to a variety of complementary article venues. Our unique bundle of out of home advertising products will be sold by our existing high quality salesforce creating many selling and operating cost benefits. Our initial partners that we've recently announced include some of the top out of home networks in the space, including Captivate, a leading location based digital video network for screens and premier office for most network properties. Coinstar with the new ad planet screens that sit at top Coinstar kiosk and grocery stores and Ziosk, the industry-leading technology platform for guest entertainment and engagement in restaurants and we're also planning to pursue partnerships with other networks in retail locations nationwide. This new high quality out-of-home and inventory gives us over 1 billion additional impression available for existing sales force to sell monthly and allows us to package the strength and effectiveness of cinema, digital and it's new out-of-home venues together to create innovative integrated campaigns for brands that engage movie fans beyond the big screen. All these new out-of-home relationships also provide us access to additional first and second party consumer data that will enhance the newly 171 million data sets in our current consumer database. This consumer data is critical currency in today's highly competitive media environment that we can utilize cost for all of our advertising platforms. Audience data drives ad revenue and increases our ability to deliver the kind of targeting and attribution that our clients demand. The fact that we've been able to continue to generate revenue from our digital business and deliver movie audiences to our brand partners across other complementary mediums while theaters have been closed is directly due to our ability to leverage our unique first and second party data. This continued growth in our consumer database is combined with the capabilities of our recently launched new inventory management system to position us well to provide marketers with an even stronger, unique bundle of advertising products. During the COVID-19 pandemic, our sales teams have been tirelessly working to keep cinema and NCM top of mind in the marketplace. Our local sales team has also done a great job shifting in-theater advertising commitments to our digital platforms as reflected by our Q4 digital business growing 24% over Q4 2019. As a result of all this hard work, media buyers remain enthusiastic about the cinema that will include great -- many great upcoming films and the unique advertising opportunities that we have to offer that have become even stronger since the pandemic began. I'm very proud of the job that our entire NCM team continues to do under very difficult circumstances. I'd like to thank them and our board and our distributor partners again sincerely for their continued support as we navigate this historic and turbulent time together. Finally because of the pandemic continuing into Spring '21 and the extension of our bank amendment waiver to Q3 of '22, our Board of Directors has trimmed the NCM Q4 dividend slightly from $0.07 to $0.05 per share. This will allow adequate question for funding the dividend while available cash distributions from NCM LLC is restricted during the bank amendment period. The dividend will be paid on April 05, 2021 to stockholders of record on March 22 of '21. This quarterly dividend will result in a current yield of 4.2% based on Friday's closing share price of $4.75. Before the Q4 2020 dividend payment of $3.9 million, the NCM Inc. cash balance of $57.9 million that allows to pay dividends well beyond our business recovery period regardless of any cash being distributed to NCM Inc. commenced in LLC. While uncertainties related to the COVID-19 pandemic remain, we believe that we have positioned our company well and have good reason to be confident about our NCM's future as we continue to effectively balance the two priorities of maintaining strong liquidity and executing on sales and operating plan focused on bringing the unparalleled marketing power of the movies to even more brands and finding new ways to engage movie fans anywhere and everywhere. I'll now turn the call back over to Ted to discuss our financial picture in more detail.