Tom Lesinski
Analyst · B. Riley. You may proceed with your question
Thank you, Ted and good afternoon everyone. Welcome to our NCM second quarter earnings call. Before we get started, I would like to again thank everyone within and outside our NCM family for all they are doing during this challenging time. I hope everyone is staying safe and making every effort to keep yourself, your loved ones, your colleagues and your community healthy. Today, I will be providing a high level update on what we have been doing to adjust our business in response to the ongoing challenges presented by the COVID-19 pandemic. Ted will then provide more details about our second quarter and plans to continue to navigate these extraordinary and unprecedented times and position the company to hit the ground running once studios begin to release new films and theaters reopen later this month. And then, as always, we will open the line for your questions. After a strong start to the year, no one could have predicted how profoundly the COVID-19 pandemic would impact all our lives. As discussed during our last call when the theaters were forced by local governments to close and film release schedules began to be pushed back, we immediately took steps to build liquidity and cut our operating costs, while at the same time selling in the advertising marketplace that continue to be very active. While almost all the theaters remain closed throughout the entire second quarter, our sales team continues to work with clients to shift existing commitments to future periods and negotiate new business. I am very appreciative and proud of all the hard work our team has been doing during the crisis as it has positioned us very well for when theaters begin to reopen. NCM continues to benefit from our highly variable cost structure and the aggressive steps we took to reduce non-essential costs beginning in late March when the pandemic reached the U.S. We also did not incur any theater access fees or affiliate revenue share cost, while theaters remain closed as these expenses are driven by attendance metrics, in active schemes and active screens, which considerably reduced our monthly operating and administrative costs versus pre-COVID-19 levels. These significantly lower cost levels, combined with our successful account receivable collection efforts, have left us in a very strong liquidity position that should allow us to operate well beyond the negative impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. We currently have a cash balance of $168.7 million and $13.2 million receivable balance at our operating company, NCM LLC. This strong liquidity position, combined with the reduction of our monthly operating expenses, debt service costs and nominal capital expenditures to $9 million to $9.5 million before any benefit from our digital revenue provides enough cash to operate for approximately 18 months even if the theaters remained closed. We also currently have $68.5 million of cash at NCM Inc., the public company that could fund our current dividend level of $0.07 per share for another 3 years, even with no additional cash distribution from NCM LLC. As discussed during our Q1 earnings call in late March, we implemented a plan that established various cost savings measures, including the temporary furlough of approximately 30% of our staff and reduce pay for the remaining employees up to 50%, which in aggregate reduced our total compensation expense by 50%. This in conjunction with the elimination or delay of non-essential operating costs through April we do start core run-rate expense by over 50% from $9.5 million per month to $4.7 million per month. It is important to note that this excludes approximately $500,000 to $600,000 per month of net cash benefit from our digital business during Q2. As theaters in our network begin to reopen in anticipation of attendant launching in September 3, we will continue to adjust our operating cost structure in a disciplined and phased approach to restart our business over the coming weeks. We are continuing to evaluate the needs of the business and our goals remain flexible with our long-term plans and react appropriately as the situation continues to evolve. Until we have a better visibility to the future film release schedule and the related pace of theater re-openings and network attendance levels, many of the measures outlined above will remain in place. Interestingly, throughout the remainder of 2020, we believe our challenge will be whether or not there will be enough impressions to support our existing ad commitments as the ad market has been very active and there has been a reduction of available high-priced TV sports programming, along with TV production schedules getting delayed. Throughout the pandemic, while theaters remain closed, our various sales teams have continued to engage clients and ad agencies to reschedule existing commitments and look – and book new business so that ads are running on our network when theaters reopen. Our national and regional team has been working closely with our clients to adjust their cinema advertising budgets to align with the shifting movie slate to ensure that they will be back up on the big screen in front of our valuable movie audiences as soon as possible this year. Our local team has also been successful in getting clients to put their cinema campaigns on pause, ready to start up again when movie theaters reopen and they have also shifted many in-theater commitments to our digital platforms. While there have been budget cuts across several client categories that have been most impacted by the pandemic, there continues to be an active marketplace as clients make advertising commitments for later this year and 2021. Additionally, fewer professional games and the potential delay at the NFL and College Football may force buyers to begin to look for other high-quality premium video platforms, which is a dynamic that we believe will benefit NCM. As I mentioned, it is critical even in the – even though theaters are closed, we want to keep cinema and NCM top of mind with our clients and agencies. We have been very thankful for the support we have received from our clients so far as many have been very flexible and supportive in moving commitments originally planned for Q2 into Q3 and Q4 and into early 2021, especially within our key advertising categories that have not been affected negatively by COVID-19, including streaming companies, e-commerce companies and gaming companies to name a few. Based on hundreds of video and other calls with clients overall interest in cinema advertising remains strong. In fact, as mentioned, a limiting factor for us throughout the remainder of the year is likely to be the level of movie attendance and corresponding number of impressions we can deliver. Given the momentum we experienced in Q1 and our sales activity over the last few months, we are confident that cinema will continue to be an important part of brand marketing plans going forward, with some live sports and other out-of-home entertainment canceled and much of the new TV production delayed, cinema will benefit from being one of the few entertainment options with fresh, high-quality programming to growing audiences. There are many highly anticipated big budget films like Tenet, The King’s Man, The New Mutants and Wonder Woman 1984 that are currently set for release very soon after theaters are allowed to reopen. Our digital business has continued to bring in revenue by helping advertisers reach movie audiences at home across our NCM digital and OTT offerings. It’s notable that digital which was designed to be a bundled complement to our core on-screen broadcast continued to generate revenue on its own and allowed us to redirect some local commitments by shifting those client campaigns to our digital platforms. This will allow us the opportunity to grow our digital revenue year-over-year from 2019 to 2020 despite the pandemic, which is a promising sign. It’s also important to note that our Q2 net digital revenue funded approximately 20% of our current lower monthly operating expenses. This highlights the importance of diversifying our media inventory to provide a stronger multi-platform product revenue stream that’s not just tied to theater attendance. As such, in addition to the expansion of our digital business, we are continuing to explore out-of-home advertising corporate development opportunities that could augment both our core cinema and existing digital platforms. Our digital platforms have also continued to help us expand our highly desirable moviegoer consumer database to nearly 150 million datasets, which is on track with our with our original business plan. As we continue to increase and improve both the quality and quantity of our consumer data, they will help us strengthen our cinema accelerator product and offer the kind of one-to-one targeting that today’s advertisers demand. As we have discussed, this is a critical part of our plan to improve our overall cinema marketing offering and make it even more attractive than it already is. Throughout the remainder of 2020, we will be enhancing our NCM movie Trivia platform, including the launch of a new movie Trivia app later this summer. We will also continue to expand our cross-selling and data partnerships to further build our digital audience and increase our digital inventory and first-party data. We expect this growth will open monetization opportunity for both advertisers and studios looking to reach the important and highly valuable movie going audience. In addition to all of the other sales activities during Q2, our President, Cliff Marks and Chief Revenue Officer, Scott Felenstein, along with the other of our senior sales management team have held over 200 virtual back to the movies video meetings with top executives at the biggest national brands and advertising agencies in the country to talk to them about the state of our industry and the many great films and advertising opportunities like our premium platinum spot and lifestyle inventory, but they have to look forward to when theaters begin to reopen. The messages that we are getting from all these conversations is that our clients understand the value of our medium and that they want to start advertising in cinema again, just as soon as movie fans are back in theaters. We have also been aggressively competing in the video upfront marketplace for the 2020-2021 upfront buying season that’s currently in process. Upfront deals are made several months to a year out in the campaign year-to-date. So it is critical that our national sales team is out in the marketplace actively pursuing these commitments now to position NCM to be able to hit the ground running in the remainder of 2020 and through 2021. TV upfront discussions have slowed in the advertising marketplace overall due to the uncertainty surrounding TV programming schedules and cancellation or delays and other high CPM video offerings that cinema competes directly with like live sports, concerts and other event programming. However, this delay in the October through September broadcast calendar from marketplace spending will actually be advantageous to us as it will shift budgets to a more cinema friendly calendar year, especially now that many of the big films moved out of 2020 and are expected to now be released in 2021. Throughout this time, we have also engaged in conversation with several regional theater circuits about the possibility of joining our NCM network, with exhibitor operating cash flows being significantly impacted by theater closures. Theater operators are looking for any way they can to increase their future cash flows. Our ability to generate higher advertising revenue per attendee and provide other financial incentives for long-term commitments to join our network looks more attractive than ever to reach out theater operators in the current business environment. Looking ahead, as I mentioned, due to the shift in many big movie titles, the theatrical release schedule for the next 4 quarters is very strong, with tentpoles like Warner Bros. and Chris Nolan’s Tenet; Wonder Woman 1984; this year’s big Marvel movie, Black Widow; the new animated movie, Soul, which is the first black-led Pixar feature; the James Bond film, No Time to Die; the remake of Dune; West Side Story; Coming to America 2 closing out the year. 2021 looks even stronger now with tremendous box office potential, featuring hugely anticipated films like Cinderella; Ghostbusters: Afterlife; Disney’s Raya and the Last Dragon; Fast & Furious 10; A Quiet Place II; Godzilla vs. Kong; Jurassic World: Dominion; Top Gun: Maverick; Batman; and the sequel to Spider-Man; and Mission: Impossible to name just a few. Movies are one of the ultimate forms of escape as we all know that, which is one of the reasons that cinema has historically done so well, during difficult or recessionary times, and we believe that will continue as we emerge from this pandemic. Our NCM research team readily pulls our exclusive behind-the-scenes panel of movie super fans and those that have already returned to see a movie on the big screen and over 98% reported a positive experience. For those in the areas of the country where theaters are yet to reopen, the desire to get back to the big screen continues to grow stronger, as people are tired of watching movies at home or are run out of streaming platform series to watch. 94% of respondents say they miss going to the movies to the theaters to watch movies. Most importantly, going to the movies ranks number one as the top out-of-home activity, survey respondents are most looking forward to do once government restrictions are lifted. Cinema has a long history of resilience and we remain confident that when theaters reopens, the studios start to release new films that audience levels will begin to build back towards normal levels over the next few quarters. Of the moviegoers we surveyed, 75% plan to return to theaters either as soon as possible or within 1 to 3 months after theaters reopen, with another 21% planning to return after 4 months or more for a total of 96% of our core demo of movie lovers planning to go back to the cinemas soon. There was also more recent news out of a study by UC Davis, which indicates that movie theaters may pose less COVID-19 risk than many other indoor venues as masks are being required and enhanced cleaning procedures are being performed by our theater partners. Theaters are also expected to be safer, because people are not facing or talking to each other during a movie and social distancing can be maintained. While there remain uncertainties related to the COVID-19 pandemic, we have positioned our company well and have good reason to be optimistic about NCM’s future as we have successfully balanced the two priorities of maintaining a strong liquidity position and a sales and operating plan that’s very focused on making sure that we hit the ground running on Labor Day weekend with the announced release of Tenet. While not all of our clients will be back to spending at pre-COVID levels, we believe that our efforts to expand and diversify our client base, combined with the delay in sports and other TV scripted programming, will provide us with a strong client demand over the near to medium term. Finally, our Board of Directors has left the NCM, Inc. dividend of $0.07 per share unchanged for the second quarter. It will be paid on August 31 to shareholders of record on August 17. This quarterly dividend will result in a current yield of over 11%, based on Friday’s closing price of $2.47. After the Q2 2020 dividend payment of $5.5 million, the NCM, Inc. cash balance would allow us to pay dividends for approximately 3 years, regardless of any cash being distributed to NCM, Inc. Before I turn the call over to Ted, I would like to thank everyone on the NCM team for their commitment, support and hard work during this very difficult and unprecedented time. None of what we have accomplished over the last several months would have been possible without the dedication and resilience of our NCM team. I remain thankful for the strength and support of our executive leadership team, our theater circuit partners and I want to especially acknowledge how hard it has been for all the people that have been furloughed or that have taken significant pay cuts for now more than 4 months. Although it has been a while, it has helped NCM to make it through this crisis and will be well positioned for the future I look forward to the coming weeks when they can get back to work to deliver on our mission to unite brands with the power of movies and engage movie fans anytime and anywhere. So, thank you all and thank you, Ted for continuing to hold down the fort admirably, while we have temporarily delayed our CFO search until theaters begin to reopen and the business environment becomes more certain. I will now turn the call over to you to discuss our financial picture in more detail.