Dave Ciesinski
Analyst · CL King
Sure. So, we will step back and maybe frame it first in the context of input cost and what we saw in the most recent quarter and what the outlook is a little bit further out, you know may be jump into pricing to allow you to put the whole thing together. I’d start by saying on the input costs side, you heard in the comments earlier, I think what we described is that our aggregate commodity inflation net of sourcing activities was about 1% of our consolidated net sales. So, you guys can do that math. And we said, if you looked at freight, in-bound and out-bound together, it was also about one-point. So, you could see those were both quite sizeable numbers and again they were net of sourcing initiatives. If you take out freight and you look at the commodity side, we’ve reached sort of a place where we feel like we’re running pretty close to neutral [indiscernible]. So, pricing and other activities are net of those commodities. We’re able to hold those of. The newer news that’s come on is the freight inflation and the rate at which that has hit us, that’s been probably, if I would describe it simply, the bigger offset that we’ve hit. Now, how do we think about all of this on a go forward basis Mike, and this is again, I’m going to double click on the cost side. You know, our view on commodities is we're going to continue to see inflation, but we expect the rate of inflation beyond Q4, into Q1 and into the next fiscal year to be slightly less aggressive or more modest than we’ve seen to date, but that’s our view today and that could change. Right. That’s one Ag [ph] issue Avian [ph] influence away from changing the dynamic, but our view is that beyond Q4 you should start to see inflation gradually start to moderate. The other thing that we’re seeing is now that was commodities, if you look at freight, essentially as we went from, I guess it was Q2, we saw a step change in freight cost because of the Hurricanes and then a subsequent step change when we reported in January because of the new, the electronic logs, right. And what we are seeing there is, they remain at elevated levels, but they are not going up. So, we sort off are in a situation where there is structural imbalance between the demand for loads or demand for trucks and the supply, but there we are not seeing it continue to run up. So, as you sort of look beyond, what I would expect to see is certainly, I guess I will look to Doug here, well on the fly [ph] I would say, certainly by Q2 we should start to lap the worst of the freight inflation notwithstanding some other event.