Mike Milotich
Analyst · Credit Suisse. Please go ahead
Thank you, Jason. Marqeta delivered another great quarter with revenue growth of 54%, fueled by a 53% increase in TPV. Our top line growth reflects our ability to support our customers’ growth at scale, with 14 of our top 20 customers growing their TPV at least in the triple digits in Q1. Our net revenue and gross profit margin were higher than we expected, largely due to outperformance by customers outside of our top 10. This outperformance was very broad-based, driven by a stronger growth from several dozen customers. This outcome demonstrates our continued success in diversifying our business in terms of the number of customers, the industry verticals where we have achieved scale and the geographies we serve. Also contributing to the better results was a newer customer placing a large card fulfillment order, one of the many services we provide, which is a positive signal for the growth to come for that program. Our net revenue and gross profit upside translated into a better adjusted EBITDA margin. Q1 TPV was $37 billion, an increase of 53% despite tough year-over-year comparisons driven by the government stimulus payments in Q1 2021. The financial services vertical grew over 10 points slower than overall company growth as one of the biggest beneficiaries of the stimulus last year. For Block specifically, the tough stimulus comp was partially offset by a large increase in the tax refund direct deposits, which helps Cash App card spending. On-demand delivery continues to be our slowest-growing vertical. However, it did grow double digits in Q1, accelerating 2 points from last quarter due to two factors: the rise of the Omicron variant lifted volume in January in both the U.S. and Canada; and one of our large customers is successfully expanding into drug stores, retail and grocery driving a meaningful step-up in growth versus last quarter. Lending TPV, including Buy Now, Pay Later, more than doubled versus Q1 2021. This payment option continues to proliferate, and we now have 5 customers who had over 1 million transactions in the quarter. Expense management, more than tripled year-over-year, with 7 customers growing over 100%. We now have 4 customers with TPV greater than 100 million in Q1, twice as many as we had at this time last year. Strong performance by customers who are newer to our platform are driving increased diversification of our revenue as I mentioned earlier as a driver of our Q1 upside. Customers who joined our platform since 2019 are now about 20% of our TPV and are growing more than 5x faster than customers who joined the platform prior to 2019. While our top 5 customers continue to drive the majority of our TPV and grew 39% in Q1, the TPV of our remaining customers grew more than 5x – more than 4x that rate. Net revenue was $166 million and grew 54% in the quarter, consistent with our TPV growth of 53%. Therefore, our net revenue take rate was in line with last year and remained stable in each of our top four verticals. Compared to last quarter, the Q1 net revenue take rate was 2 bps lower due to the reduced contribution of higher-yielding verticals that benefited from holiday shopping. Our Powered by Marqeta revenue, where we purely have a processing relationship with our customer, has grown well over 100% for many quarters. Although the revenue take rate is lower, the gross profit take rate is similar to many of the verticals in our Managed by Marqeta business. The Powered by Marqeta customers are gaining share of TPV, but much of those share gains are coming from other low take rate verticals, which is resulting in a stable overall take rate despite these changes in our business mix. These Powered by Marqeta customers served a variety of verticals, many operate outside the U.S. and now drive more than 10% of our TPV versus being a low single-digit percentage 1 year ago. Gross profit grew 50%, 4 points slower than revenue due to a network incentive catch-up benefit we received in Q1 last year after we hit a new volume tier in our contract. As a reminder, our incentives operate on a contract year that runs from April through March. And in this contract year, we hit the higher volume Tier 1 quarter earlier, given the incredible growth of our business, as you likely remember from last quarter’s results. If you normalize for the catch-up incentive of $3 million in Q1 2021, our gross profit grew 60% this quarter. Our network fees are growing in line with volumes, but there are two factors driving the normalized gross profit growth to be above revenue growth. One, fees to our bank partners are growing materially slower than TPV. And two, our network incentives are growing a little faster than TPV on a normalized basis. Both of these factors demonstrate the strategic relationships we have with our bank and network partners as well as the powerful operating leverage that can be achieved in our business as we scale. As a result, the Q1 gross profit margin was 45%. The Q1 GAAP net loss was $61 million, which includes a $12 million non-cash nonrecurring impairment of an option to purchase a private company we invested in last year. On a non-GAAP basis, adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was negative $10 million, driven by investment in resources and technology that are fueling the growth of the business and the scaling of our platform. The adjusted EBITDA margin was negative 6% and which was a few points better than we expected due to the higher gross profit as well as some operating efficiencies. Now, let’s shift to our expectations for Q2 and the rest of 2022. We expect Q2 net revenue growth to be between 46% and 48%. This is higher than we expected a couple of months ago as many of the drivers of our outperformance in Q1 should continue. This is also consistent with the trends we have seen so far in April. This expected growth rate is a little lower than Q1 as we grow over a larger base. The year-over-year revenue increase in dollars in Q2 is expected to be similar to Q1. Q2 gross profit margin should be in the 40% to 41% range. As we discussed last quarter, Q2 is our lowest gross profit margin quarter as our network incentive contracts run April to March. Therefore, volume tiers reset in Q2 of each year, resulting in lower network incentives, which then rise with growing cumulative volumes as the year progresses. However, this step-down in the gross profit margin in Q2 is expected to be less significant than it was last year, given the increased scale of our business. Therefore, we expect gross profit to grow several points faster than net revenue growth. We expect the Q2 adjusted EBITDA margin to be negative 10% to 11%, our lowest margin quarter due to the gross profit dynamics I just described. Our adjusted operating expense growth in Q2 should slow at least 10 points from Q1 as we grow over the ramping of our investment throughout 2021. Our expectations for the full year 2022 are as follows: net revenue growth is expected to be in the high 30s based on the trajectory of the business year-to-date and our expectations for new business contributing later in the year. As I shared last quarter, growth should step down in Q3 as we grow over the rapid scaling of the business that occurred last year. Q4 growth will then step down more meaningfully as we lap the incredible performance in Q4 2021. Given the current economic uncertainty, the back half of the year is challenging to project, but we will share more with you as we progress through the year. Q4 is particularly tough to forecast since last year was the first time we saw a meaningful impact from holiday spending on our volume. Our expectations for gross profit margin remain unchanged and should be in the low to mid-40s, consistent with our long-term guidance of 40% to 45% on an annual basis. We hope to share a tighter range with you next quarter once we pass the midpoint of the year. But right now, we expect Q3 and Q4 gross profit margins to be a little lower than Q1. Adjusted EBITDA margin is expected to be negative high single digits as we continue to invest in fueling our customer’s success, running the ways we support our customers and increasing the resiliency, reliability and scalability of our global platform. Adjusted expense growth should step down 10 to 15 points each quarter as we progress through the year, and the EBITDA margin in Q3 and Q4 should be roughly in line with the full year expectations. To wrap up, Marqeta had another great quarter that highlighted the many ways we are diversifying our business as we continue to scale. Each of our top 20 customers had around $100 million of TPV or more in the quarter. Our net revenue take rates remain steady as we continue to find ways to add value for our customers with our program management solutions. Gross profit margins remained steady due to great bank and network partners and the powerful operating leverage of our business as we scale both our Managed by Marqeta and Powered by Marqeta businesses. We continue to invest in new capabilities and resiliency but as the business scales, the incremental investment required becomes less significant compared to the incremental revenue that can be captured. In the long run, we remain confident the business will operate at a 20% plus adjusted EBITDA margin once we have captured more of the incredible opportunities in front of us. I will now turn it back over to the operator for questions.