Steven Hamner
Analyst · KeyBanc Capital Markets. Your line is now open
Thank you, Ed. On our last quarter's call, we reported that we had completed the capital and portfolio repositioning strategy that we have been focused on for more than a year, resulting in record profitability, liquidity and financial flexibility along with an actionable 2019 acquisition pipeline of $2.0 billion. Since then our acquisition expectations have grown even further. And last week, we demonstrated the strength of that pipeline by announcing agreements to acquire and expand 11 premier hospitals in Australia for as much as $1.2 billion. We'll focus on our outlook for 2019 momentarily, but first I'll review the fourth quarter and full year 2018 results. As expected, this morning we reported normalized FFO of $0.31 per diluted share for the fourth quarter of 2018 and $1.37 for the year. These annual results do not of course include approximately $671 million in gains on the sale of real estate, including a $1.4 million, fourth quarter true-up of the previously completed German joint venture transaction. The only material adjustment from NAREIT FFO to normalized FFO was a fourth quarter $4.4 million tax valuation adjustment caused by the continued profitability of our taxable investments. We have previously noted that our estimates provide for general and administrative expenses to be about 9.5% of total revenue. However, we now report revenue from our joint venture assets through the other income line, making prior periods not comparable. For 2018, this revenue approximated $32 million. Moreover non-cash straight-line rent adjustments during the year, reduced revenue by a further $17.5 million. And finally in 2018, we adopted new accounting policies that reclassified about $6.2 million to G&A. With these movements our 2018 G&A, represents about 8.9% of comparable revenue. Going forward, we remain confident in our estimates of 9% to 9.5% G&A. Before moving on to the update to our 2019 estimates, I will point out that in December and January, and in anticipation of capital needs for our Australian and other likely acquisitions, we activated our $750 million at-the-market equity program and sold approximately 11.9 million shares at an average price of $16.75 or about $200 million in proceeds. Recently as a result, we had cash balances approximating $900 million along with $1.3 billion availability under our revolving credit facility. Given our estimate of in-place EBITDA and outstanding borrowings, our current net debt-to-EBITDA ratio approximates 4.4 times. This morning we reported that we have increased our 2019 acquisitions expectations by about $500 million to $2.5 billion over our estimate from last quarter. Consequently, we now estimate that upon completion of the $2.5 billion in expected 2019 acquisitions, our annualized in-place normalized FFO will be about $1.54 per share. Last quarter our estimate was for approximately $1.50 per share. Built into last quarter's $1.42 to $1.46 calendar 2019 normalized FFO estimate was an assumption of a late December acquisition that is now not included in our 2019 estimates. However, due to the growing pipeline, we are maintaining our $1.42 to $1.46 calendar 2019 normalized FFO estimate. The calendar year estimate is, of course, sensitive to timing, and we intend to periodically update our estimates, as we gain clarity into likelihood of closings. We continue to estimate that the blended GAAP yield of our 2019 acquisitions will fall between 7.5% and 8.5%. To be clear, that is not a range of targeted deal terms, but an average portfolio yield weighted by investment value. We also continue to expect that, nominal capitalization rates will likely be lower in areas outside the United States, where the cost of capital is similarly lower than in the U.S. The Australian opportunity is a good example wherein we invest to achieve yields substantially above our cost of capital. And just to clarify, this investment will be strongly and immediately accretive for our shareholders. Importantly, certain investments can also deliver intangible value that leads directly to even lower cost of capital and higher long-term FFO. These intangibles include diversification from geographic, tenants and credit perspectives, extension of our portfolio average lease terms, improvement of MPT's own credit ratings and borrowing costs, and attraction of other forms of long-term permanent and inexpensive equity-like capital. The best recent example of this last benefit is the creation of $600 million in virtually free capital through our German joint venture. We do not focus solely on the year-one cash capitalization rate when we underwrite a potential acquisition. We will continue to grow Medical Properties Trust as the unchallenged and sustainable, global leader in hospital real estate finance. This requires that rather than simply building a collection of stand-alone leases, we create a portfolio of many assets providing diversity in geographies, operators, and property types that create predictable inflation, protected cash returns for our shareholders. Along with the initial cap rates and immediate accretion, we consider all of these characteristics and their effects on our portfolio taken as a whole. The Healthscope transaction will in addition to creating immediate and long-term accretive returns substantially improve the MPT portfolio considered as a whole. And with that, we will be happy to take any questions. Operator?