Brett Ponton
Analyst · Oppenheimer. Please go ahead
Thank you Maureen, and good morning everyone. Thanks for joining us. I'll get started today with a brief overview of our third quarter results followed by an update on the progress we've made on our Monroe forward strategy. As illustrated on Slide 3, we reported comps down 0.9% in the third quarter as higher year-over-year ticket was offset by negative traffic. In October and the beginning of November, we performed well against difficult comparisons in the prior year. Mild weather conditions towards the end of November and in December caused the slowdown across our core northern markets. These conditions have continued into January with our comparable store sales down 4% during the month. We do not like talking about the weather. However, it is impossible to ignore the impact it has on our business. While we are not satisfied with our financial results this quarter, we are executing well against the areas within our control. In particular, we continue to move deeper into our company transformation and are confident we are on the right path. We are committed to making the necessary changes across the organization to position us to deliver strong results, no matter the external circumstances. Moving on to our performance by category in the third quarter, we were down 1% year-over-year in tire comparable store sales as higher ticket year-over-year was offset by a decline in tire volume. We experienced more normalized retail pricing this quarter and are focused on further refining our tire strategy to drive strength in our largest category. Importantly, we're on track to roll out our tire category management and pricing system beginning in the first quarter of fiscal 2021, which will enable a more dynamic and sophisticated approach to real time pricing. I'll provide more details on this shortly. Turning to our service and repair categories, we saw a 3% decline in brakes year-over-year, falling short of a difficult comparison in the third quarter last year. In maintenance, we were flat while front end shots were down 1% and alignments declined 3% year-over-year. Overall, our southern markets outperformed our northern markets as expected given the mild winter weather conditions we faced in this region. New stores added $22.7 million in revenue during the quarter including $20.7 million from recent acquisitions. Regarding our gross margin performance during the quarter, we saw a decline of 20 basis points compared to the prior year period primarily driven by the decrease in our comparable store. sales, which resulted in higher fixed costs as a percentage of sales. Our variable margin on the other hand, expanded due to lower year-over-year material costs as a percentage of sales. While slightly higher than the prior year quarter, technician labor as a percentage of sales decreased sequentially from last quarter. This is a good example of us executing well against the areas within our control. We identified issues last quarter that arose from our transformation and took corrective action to drive improved results. We will have additional opportunities to continue to improve results in this area as we implement our cloud-based storage staffing and scheduling now towards the end of this fiscal year, which would be critical for us to seamlessly adjust the changes in demand dynamics without sacrificing sales. I'd now like to turn to the progress we've made on Monro Forward strategy. Beginning with our store rebrand and reimage initiative on Slide 4. This initiative focused on creating a more consistent store appearance while also implementing standardized in-store operating procedures, which we call our Monro playbook. Additionally, we are rebranding select stores to a tire oriented banner, where targeted demographics favor this type of store format in order to increase tire sales without sacrificing service revenues. During the first half of fiscal 2020, we finalized the transformations by first group of stores, which includes 44 locations in Rochester, New York, and at Mid-Atlantic, as well as the second group, which includes 43 stores in our southern market. During the third quarter, we continue to scale this initiative across our base and move forward with the transformation of 74 stores in four markets, and 42 of our recently acquired California stores. We have completed the transformation of the 74 stores, and has substantially completed our California stores, which are being rebranded under our Tire choice Auto Service Centers banner to drive higher awareness for tires. Turning to Slide 5, I'd like to provide some additional context regarding our strategic rationale as we transform our store base. As many of you know, we operate in two stores formats, our service brand stores, which generates approximately $600,000 per store in annualized sales, and our tire brand stores, which generate approximately 1.2 million per store in annualized sales. Prior to any rebrand activity, we operated 555 service brand stores and 734 tire brand stores. And as we work to create a nationwide chain of consistently operated stores, we are prioritizing the higher volume tire brand. Throughout this process, we will be consolidating our regional brands focusing on shifting our service brands over the tire brand. The lower number of brands will also allow us to improve our marketing productivity. When we speak to reimage stores, this primarily means modernizing the appearance of our stores with no associated brand change. As we are making decisions regarding rebranding versus reimagining stores, we are leveraging our analytical model as well as taking into account of brand equity in that market. Looking at the bottom left of the slide, you can see here the progress we have made so far. We are very much in the early innings of this transformation with 203 stores substantially completed out of our portfolio. We separate these stores out between comp stores and non-comp stores, which helps us to evaluate their performance post refresh. Of our approximately 900 comp stores that we set out to transform, we've completed 134 stores and of approximately 159 non-comp stores we substantially completed 69. As we move forward with expanding this program across their base, we will continue to prioritize markets that we expect will drive the largest benefit to our sales performance and our approach we measured in order to keep sales disruption to a minimum. To the end of this fiscal year, we're focusing on finalizing the transformation of our recently acquired California stores, while starting the transformation of approximately 80 more stores that will be completed in Q1 of FY ‘21. Moving on to the performance of the stores we've completed so far to help provide some additional granularity, we separated out how rebrand stores have performed versus the stores that have just been reimaged. Importantly, this data only includes comp stores that had a full quarter of performance following the completion of their transformation. This is how we will speak to this performance of our transform stores moving forward. As you can see, and in line with our expectations, we see a significant sales when we rebrand stores. This shift optimizes our brand awareness and increases our tire sales without sacrificing our service revenues The stores that have been reimaged were slightly down, as these are located in our northern markets, which were impacted by the mild weather conditions I mentioned earlier. We believe this performance clearly highlights the strong opportunity we have and the benefits that come with a streamlined brand portfolio. The 74 stores that we recently completed and are not included in this calculation, given they have not had a full quarter post transformation yet. But we're seeing early signs of strength with these stores and are pleased with the results. While we still have a while to go to roll this program out to our tire base, the sustain performance we've seen at the stores that have completed the transformation today underscores the impact of this important initiative. Turning to Slide 6 and the remainder of our Monro Forward initiatives, I'd like to focus my discussion on the initiatives that are top priority, which we believe will be critical to supporting our broader strategy. In the third quarter, we began modernizing our store IT infrastructure at all of our approximately 1,300 locations. This new infrastructure enables state of the art technology, including our new digital phone and texting system, which is a major step towards improving the overall customer experience. This system will allow us to better track customer execution, right and a more consistent phone strategy and improve conversion. Our store infrastructure modernization will be completed by the end of the first quarter of fiscal 2021, allowing us to leverage our new phone system which will be critical to driving traffic to our stores. Another priority for us is that the optimization of our entire category management. We are on track and by the end of this fiscal year we expect our new pricing software will be operational. We believe this will be critical to driving long-term margin expansion by providing improved visibility into demand dynamics, allowing us to better refine our assortment and execute our strategy to become the number one destination for tires at any price point. Finally, we are right on track to roll out our cloud-based store scheduling model pilots by year end. Gaining real time visibility into our labor models via the cloud will help us to be more effective and strategic, ensuring we are not understaffed and losing sales or overstaffed when there is a lack of demand. Regarding our other two main initiatives, we have rolled out the Monro University program to all of our teammates and our continued to expand and enhance the course content. We've also implemented mandatory onboard training to ensure that everyone who joins our team is trained on our Monro playbook operating procedures in order to provide a quality five-star experience to our customers. Moving on to Slide 7 well, while we are very focused on the rollout of Monro Forward acquisitions remain a cornerstone of our growth strategy. During the quarter, we closed the previously announced acquisition of three companies, one with 14 locations in Las Vegas, Nevada, and four in Boise, Idaho, as well as two companies that include nine stores in Northern California, further solidifying our growing position in the Western United States. Our presence in this region allows us to better service, national accounts, as well as benefit from the high concentration of vehicles in this market and a potential long-term consumer shift to ride share. The acquisition in Nevada and Idaho which are new states to Monro is expected to add approximately 20 million in annualized sales, represented sales mix of 75% service and 25% tires. The acquisitions in California are expected to add approximately 25 million in annualized sales, represented sales mix of 55% service and 45% tires. These acquisitions are expected to be diluted to diluted earnings per share in fiscal 2020. Overall acquisitions announced cleared in fiscal 2020 collectively represent and expected to 120 million in annualized sales. We operate in a very fragmented industry with significant opportunities for further consolidation. And we believe we are well positioned to continue to execute on our robust pipeline of attractive M&A targets. We currently have over 10 NDA signed with opportunities ranging from five to 40 stores, which we believe will allow us to maintain our leadership position in the markets we serve, while continue to expand our geographic footprint into attractive and underserved regions. Further by continue to execute our Monro Forward initiatives, including our new brand standards and operating procedures, we expect to integrate our new acquisitions more effectively and efficiently. Lastly, we open one Greenfield location during third quarter, bringing our total Greenfield store openings to seven in fiscal 2020. In conclusion, we are confident we are on the right track to drive future success in our business. We are in the early innings of a significant company transformation that will result in a platform capable of delivering sustainable, long-term growth. We are not there yet, nor do we expect our results to be linear as we move through the transformation. We are committed to drive in the necessary changes to improve our business, making the appropriate course corrections when necessary, and executing well against the areas within our control. I'd like to thank the entire team at Monro for their exceptional work as we execute this strategy, as well as our customers and shareholders for their continued support. With that, I'll turn the call over to our Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer, Brian D'Ambrosia who will provide additional detail on our third quarter financial performance and fiscal 2020 outlook.