Alfred E. Mann
Analyst · Piper Jaffray
Thank you, Hakan, and good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen. As Hakan noted, MannKind recently achieved 2 major milestones. We completed recruitment for both the MKC-171 and 175 trials. We thus now have a clear timeline to the end of both studies. Those 2 key registration trials are intended to lead not only the FDA approval of AFREZZA, but also to support a potentially significant and valuable label. Together, these studies should enable us to validate AFREZZA as a safe and effective therapy that would be valuable throughout a broad range of the entire diabetes spectrum. The major features of the protocol for these 2 trials were generated in close collaboration with the FDA. The agency wanted us to enroll patients with baseline A1Cs targeting an average of 8% to 8.5%, so that we would be able to show truly meaningful improvement in A1C with AFREZZA over the course of the studies. Throughout our extensive clinical and preclinical program for AFREZZA, we have seen no signals to raise any safety concerns about our formulation or our delivery. Both the insulin and the carrier quickly crossed into arterial blood, there is no accumulation in the lungs. Some patients do react with a tiny cough when first inheriting a powder, but we have seen no unusual adverse effect throughout the long series of more than 60 clinical trials. There are patients who have been using AFREZZA and enjoying this therapy for almost 5 years. The main objectives of MKC-171 are to bridge our next-generation Dreamboat delivery device to the data from the earlier trials conducted with the MedTone inhaler and to compare the glycemic effects with the patients -- those with the rapid-acting analog. The primary endpoint for approval is simply not inferiority for the latter comparison, though a secondary endpoint is defined as superiority. The protocol calls for titrating the basal insulin to lower fasting glucose to under 120 milligrams per deciliter. Although the -- in the event of a hypoglycemic event, titration is to be terminated. Patients on AFREZZA, who are compliant in meeting the fasting glucose target should reach near-normal A1Cs, whereas almost all patients are rapid-acting analogs for those fasting glucose likely could not be safely lower that significantly. Our problem in early trials is that our fear for hypos, it has been difficult to get fasting glucose levels much reduced. The most significant cause of hypos with insulin therapies today is the late postprandial hyperinsulinemia seen with current prandial products. That excessive insulin causes a postprandial plunge of glucose below baseline that offsets the higher prandial rise, producing a minimal average change from baseline. A1C, which effectively reflects the average glucose level over 2 to 3 months is largely determined for this deficient insulin by that high fasting level. AFREZZA lowered primarily [indiscernible], but does not exhibit the late hyperinsulinemia that causes hypoglycemic risk. Yet even so because of the fear of hypos is so great -- because it's so great, the basal insulins have not been increased in our earlier studies even for AFREZZA patients. For example, in our earlier MKC-117 trial, fasting glucose was supposed to be adjusted to under 120 milligrams per deciliter. However, even though required in the protocol, average basal insulins in that study were not increased. And as a result, the fasting glucose remained too high, masking the advantages of AFREZZA. The average A1C reduction in the 117 trial for AFREZZA cohort was actually slightly better than for the insulin aspart that is NovoLog, but not enough to show superiority. What is truly different in 171 is the FDA understands this and has authorized us to retain an independent monitor who sees the e-Diary data, and who is charged to contact the clinician with any noncompliance. With this tool, there's a much greater likelihood that fasting glucose for those on AFREZZA will be lowered below the target of 120 milligrams per deciliter. The only non-inferiority in this trial is required for FDA approvals, with such compliance, AFREZZA patients should perform exceptionally well in this study, reaching significantly lower A1Cs. Such improvement would be unlikely for patients on rapid-acting analogs. Let me provide an example to illustrate the significance of what this compliance and the 171 study should make possible. With basal insulin titrated for an AFREZZA patient, to yield an average fasting level of, say, 110 milligrams per deciliter and with prandial glucose likely rising an average of, say, about 40 milligrams per deciliter over 2 hours for each meal, the result in A1C at 3 months would be about 5.8%, essentially normal for a nondiabetic. That would really be outstanding. For those using current prandial insulins lowering fasting glucose significantly would not be safe, and the A1Cs would, thus, not be substantially reduced. The FDA said it would consider approving AFREZZA for basal-bolus therapy would just that MKC-171 study. Yet interestingly, the agency also guided us to do MKC-175, a clinical trial for the early stage type 2. With the second trial, the FDA is giving us the opportunity to validate a significant potential of AFREZZA in this huge population. This would substantially enhance the initial label. In study 175, AFREZZA will be added to early type 2 patients that are independently controlled on metformin or, in some cases, metformin plus 1 or 2 other orals, as Hakan described. To achieve superiority, the aggregate A1C average in this 175 study need only be reduced with AFREZZA by 0.5% more than the comparator, which is a Technosphere placebo. That should certainly not pose a challenge. We do not see any substantive risk in this trial. The 175 study should lead to a label supporting promotion into the roughly 75% of type 2s not using prandial insulins today, and will thus greatly increase the market opportunity for AFREZZA. The guidance for this study seems to be a very positive signal from the FDA. To meet the FDA's objective of an elevated average baseline A1C of 8% to 8.5% in these trials, we ended up screening -- I'm sorry, 1,402 patients for the MKC-171 trial in type 1 and 1,381 for the MKC-175 trial in early type 2. We actually need only 399 at the end for the 171 and 246 for 175. With the recruitment complete, the last patient last visit for both trials should come in the second quarter of next year. Top line data should be available this summer, with 3 submissions of the NDA scheduled for Q3. That is an aggressive timeline for such a substantial effort. The amount of data and supporting information including tables, graphs and listings is to be very extensive. In addition to those 2 key trials, a few other studies not yet reported will also be included in the resubmission. Our team has generated a detailed plan and is fully committed to meet the schedule. With 3 submissions in sight, we are evaluating plans for commercializing this important product. MannKind's focus to date has been the launch of AFREZZA first in the U.S. Filing for the U.S. will follow. No difficulty expected -- is expected there. There are quite a few countries very interested in AFREZZA, the deferral for other market has been deliberate based on business considerations. As I have so often clearly stated, I believe AFREZZA will become a major weapon in the battle against the global diabetes pandemic. AFREZZA is so very significant because it addresses the prandial glycemic problem in the most natural and most effective way. AFREZZA delivers the very same regular human insulin that is supplied from a healthy pancreas. Importantly, AFREZZA's PK/PD profile in the blood quite closely mimics the natural insulin physiology of a nondiabetic in response to a meal. AFREZZA should enable much improved glycemic control without the serious problems, risks and limitations of current anti-glycemic problems -- products, and that means not just today's insulins but also alternative drugs. The American Diabetes Association and many key opinion leaders are urging ever earlier use of insulin. The FDA seems to be in concert with this. After all, with the agency, they guide us to conduct MKC-175 to evaluate the presence in early type 2. Key opinion leaders are becoming increasingly positive enthusiastic about the potential of AFREZZA. Some are suggesting that by reducing pancreatic stress, AFREZZA should slow or perhaps even stop progression of type 2 disease. Wouldn't that be great? Moreover, delivery of AFREZZA by inhalation with our tiny whistle slide inhaler is so simple, so convenient and so very cost effective. And patients love it. I am absolutely convinced that AFREZZA will become widely recognized by patients and clinicians alike as a preferred therapy throughout almost the entire diabetes spectrum. For quite a few years into the future, I'm certain that type 1 and late type 2 diabetes and optimum basal-bolus therapy ought to be AFREZZA plus the basal patch pump. For early type 2, since the first launch is prandial control, not fasting controls, an ideal therapy for most patients should be AFREZZA alone or with metformin. Why am I so confident of the significant opportunity for AFREZZA even in early Type 2? If only there were only truly physiologic exogenous influence, those ought to be clear choices to treat hypoglycemia for almost all diabetics. However, with the significant deficiencies of current insulin, basal, as well as prandial product, the pharma industry has focused more on the alternative anti-glycemic for these people. These alternative type 2 drugs are mostly directed to increasing any remaining pancreatic insulin release, reducing insulin resistance, modifying glycemic metabolism or other means of enhancing the patient's remaining pancreatic insulin function. Almost all of those alternative drugs have side effects and generally limited effectiveness. And for some, there are even safety concerns. Moreover, they do not stop the progression of the disease, and in some cases, even accelerate progression. When the limited effect of this fails, patient should almost always move on to insulin, typically in 8 to 12 years. The commercial viability of those alternate drugs in early type 2 is largely because today there is no truly safe, adequately effective and convenient exogenous insulin products. The American Diabetes Association has changed its recommendation for treatment of type 2 diabetes, proposing that insulin be started much earlier in the disease. However, because of the more significant efficiencies of current prandial products, the first insulin use is almost always the basal formulation. In true early stage, that is medically incorrect. The first loss of glycemic control is for mealtime. Of course, those patients who are not diagnosed until the disease is already advanced will need more than a prandial insulin. They should probably already be on basal-bolus insulin therapy. Although the clinical and commercial opportunities for MannKind seem so enormous and so clear, the approximately 3-year delay in approval of AFREZZA consume most of the company's available capital. We have been working on several nondilutive debt transactions and also some minimally dilutive deals that were to fund us through commercial launch and even beyond. Those potential transactions are still moving forward, but none of them has yet closed. We cannot afford coming in jeopardy so we proceeded with a recent secondary offering. This offering had just closed along with issuance providing us $86 million now and almost certainly will supply almost another $90 million next October. While dilutive, I'd say that the offering was certainly necessary and was the right decision. I remain absolutely committed to MannKind and AFREZZA. As Matt described in parallel with the offering, I am purchasing an equal number of units without issue. Because of NASDAQ rules, I'm even paying a premium of 34.7% more than the other purchasers. That amounts to my paying a premium of $27.75 million. My participation is especially important, because it helps to preserve our valuable $2 billion, that's $2 billion NOL. A portion of my credit line is also being restored and could be available as needed going forward. The key takeaway from all this is that the tranches of this financing should provide the company with about $175 million of new money to fund our operation assuming the warrants are purchased in next October. Recognition of our need for financing has apparently been widely viewed during recent months as the major risk depressing the company stock. With this offering and with what is a rather clear path to FDA approval of AFREZZA to serve an enormous market, our valuation should hopefully not begin to recover. We shall see. I've described before, and I'll say again, that we had a somewhat similar experience when I was at MiniMed. In the early days there, we, too, encountered financial challenges. I recall that at a slow point, the stock of MiniMed was priced at $1.75 per share, not far from where we are here. In 2001, Medtronic acquired MiniMed, now Medtronic diabetes worth -- was adjusted, $192 per share. I'm not predicting the MannKind stocks will reach such a level, but I am confident in AFREZZA will become a hugely successful product, and that this product will alone should create significant company value. Moreover, with our platform technology, there are more products to follow. With the first tranche of money from the offering in the bank, we are now so much more comfortable. Yet I certainly realize that this has been a difficult time for many of our loyal long-time stockholders, and I thank all of you for your patience and your understanding. Thank you all, and now let's open the call to questions.