Selim A. Bassoul
Analyst · Baird
So I would like to finish with the following things. I look at literally going forward the next five years or less, I look at three factors that will impact our customers and will impact Middleby. One, I look at sustainability, will have one of the biggest impacts on foodservice over the next three years. Sustainability will be defined by two elements, energy and water savings, which mean utility savings; second, food waste reduction. The next one, which will affect our customer, is the rising cost of labor, which is the second biggest trend and the third thing is food security. So as we look at the drive for sustainability is being propelled by consumer demand who want a feel-good factor and by legislation. The UK is the first country to require restaurants now to require restaurants now to manage food waste. Here in the US, the state of Massachusetts just is following the same legislation and I think we're going to see that within the next three to five years to see every state enact legislation for reducing food waste. So basically let's talk about food waste for one thing. The restaurant industry generates 80% of the food waste in the world. 50% of this food waste ends up in landfills every year. So each year, 50% of the food waste is ending up in a landfill. In addition to just ending up in a landfill, each ton of food waste creates 4 tons CO2 emissions. The reason the barrier for restaurants not having managed their food waste in the past has been cost. So we are now working on a machine, which you will see at our Investor Day, on a waste management system that converts waste to compost or biofuel. We expect that system to reduce waste disposal charges and to have a payback of less than three years. So we started implementing that waste management system in the UK. We've had many installations in Toronto right now, in the Middle East and we have a few installations in the U.S. We expect that waste management system to be a big driver of our sales in the next few years. The next part of sustainability has to do with water. Now a few years ago, we introduced energy-saving appliances having to do with gas, energy and electricity and today, almost 70% of all commercial cooking equipment is now energy – is required to be energy-efficient. So most of our customers are asking for energy efficient. So now the next challenge is for them to start reducing their water usage. So every restaurant is going to have to reduce the water footprint of menus by creating dishes that require less-intensive farming processes and less water to produce. We have been at the forefront of water-saving equipment. So our waterless steamer, our induction dry well are just two examples of saving millions of gallons of waters annually. So between waste management, water saving, we see those are being two major drivers for us in the next five years. The next one is the fact that rising costs of labor will continue to happen significantly in the next three years due to two factors. The minimum wage increase, the entire restaurant industry shall face a significant rise in wages due to higher wage legislation and number two, the shortage of skilled workers. Today, in our industry, we have 4 million people working in restaurant kitchens. I'm not talking our waiters and waitresses; I'm just talking about people working in the kitchen, cooking, prepping, cleaning. By 2017, we will need another 200 more workers just in the U.S. working in our kitchen. It's going to be very hard to find people as the economy gets better to find people willing to work at $10 an hour in our customers' kitchens. So the outlook for people coming into the restaurant industry has never been so bleak. In order to deliver the high levels of food quality that consumers expect when they eat out, restaurants have to improve talent management and to introduce automation. I believe that by 2020, which is five years from now, 50% of the kitchen jobs will be replaced by automation and Middleby is the clear winner and leader in this field. We have automated broilers, we have automated ovens, we have automated coffee machines. We have automated ventilation. We have a lot of automation that we've created over the past 25 years and we are going to see a major breakthrough in the next five years. So when I look at that basically the last one is food security. Food safety is a must to win consumer trust. There is no chain that can afford to have food safety issues within their system, especially in emerging countries and emerging markets where they are investing heavily in opening new stores. So what's happening there is we're going to continue to see the implementation of our Food Processing systems, where we're going to see that their suppliers are going to be required to invest in Food Processing equipment that will create a significant food safety and reduce food risk. So I'm very excited and I look forward to seeing you at the Investor Day. Thank you for listening to us and have a great day. That concludes my comments.