Vincent Galifi
Analyst · Peter Sklar of BMO Capital Markets. Go ahead
Thank you, Swami. And good morning, everyone. I will provide a fairly high level summary of our quarterly results today. Rather than go through a lot of detail, including on our segment results, which you can find in our MD&A, particularly meaningful given the severe sales declines, I will spend some time addressing what are our outlook implies about the second half of this year. As Don mentioned, we experienced the worst year-over-year decline in vehicle production that we can recall during the second quarter of 2020. Global vehicle production declined 42% year-over-year, but more significantly defined 70% and 59% in North America and Europe, respectively, our most important production markets. We estimate that COVID-19 related shutdowns negatively impacted our second quarter results and sales in particular by approximately 5.5 billion and our adjusted EBIT by approximately 1.2 billion. This represents a detrimental margin of approximately 22% reflecting strong cost control across Magna's operations. We have included in our appendix a breakdown of estimated COVID-19 related sales and detrimental margins by segment. In addition, equity income was negatively impacted by the COVID-19 related shutdowns. Our second quarter, total sales were 4.3 billion, a decline of 5.8 billion or 58% from the second quarter of 2019. In addition to the COVID impacts, our sales in the second quarter of 2020 were negatively impacted by the end of production of certain programs, currency translation, which was a $76 million headwind and net customer price concessions. On an organic basis in Q2, our regional sales in North America, Europe and Asia, each outperformed vehicle production in their respective markets. However, as a result of regional production mix, our organic sales underperform, the change in global vehicles production in the quarter. Recalled that we far outperformed global production in Q1 impart due to significantly lower production in China, where Magna is relatively less represented. On a weighted basis our organic sales slightly outperformed global production. Adjusted EBIT decreased 1.3 billion to a loss of 600 million sustainably reflecting the decline in global vehicle production due to the COVID-19 related shutdowns. Also contribute to the decline in EBIT was lower tooling contribution in the quarter compared to the second quarter of 2019, higher engineering cost in our ADAS business including retroactive social tax costs, net provisions for customer claims in the quarter and higher net warranty costs. These were partially offset by lower spending for electrification and autonomy, as well as favorable assembly program mix and the benefit of cost cutting initiatives in our complete vehicles segment. Our tax recovery was booked at 16.9% income tax rate compared to 23.5% of pretax income. In the second quarter of 2019, the tax recovery was lower than our typical tax rate, primarily as a result of an increase in losses, not benefited in Europe. Net loss attributable to Magna was 511 million compared to income of 509 million in Q2 of 2019 reflecting the lower EBIT higher interest expense and the impact of the lower effective tax recovery rate. Diluted loss per share was a $71 for the quarter compared to EPS of a $59 last year. So the time reflects the lower net income and the negative impact of 7% fewer shares outstanding. We estimate that the lower tax recovery rate costs us about $0.15, assuming a tax rate of approximately 24.5% that we expected when we last provided an outlook in February. Now I’m going to review our cash flows and investment activities. During the second quarter of 2020 we used 1.2 billion in cash for operations, representing a 2.2 billion swing from the second quarter of 2019. 1.2 billion of the change is a result of reduced earnings due to the lower sales. 934 million as a result of an increase in non-cash working capital. You may remember from the first quarter that given the COVID related shutdowns and our corresponding sales decline, we generated cash from working capital in the quarter when we normally invest working capital through the first half of the year. We said on our Q1 calls that we expected this to reverse as we restarted production at various facilities around the world. Customer payment delays, the payout of our 2019 employee profit sharing plan, recoverable wage subsidies and a shift from a tax payable to a tax receivable balance, which all aggregated to about 500 million together with the ramp up of production represented most of the change in non-cash working capital in the quarter. However, we expect to recover much of our working capital investment by the end of this year. To the late customer amounts were collected shortly after the second quarter. Investment activities amounted to 243 million, including 169 million in fixed assets and 72 million in investments, other assets and intangible assets. Free cash flow was negative 1.5 billion in the second quarter. In addition, we returned 216 million to shareholders in the quarter through the payment of dividends. Despite the significant use of cash in the quarter, our balance sheet remains very strong. At the end of the second quarter, our liquidity stood at 4.1 billion, including over 600 million in cash. In June, we completed an offering a 750 million of 10 years senior unsecured notes during interest at 2.45%. This debt phrase provides additional financial flexibility at a very low rate at a time and then debt markets were highly receptive. Our adjusted debt, adjusted EBITDA at the end of the second quarter stands at 2.35 times. As anticipated this is above our target range given the severe decline and EBITDA particularly in the second quarter. We will likely stay above the target range in the short-term but expect the ratio to normalize back in range in the second half of 2021. Yesterday, our Board approved the second quarter dividend of $0.40, reflecting our collective confidence in our liquidity and our future. Now, let me turn to our outlook, which we reestablish this quarter. As always, our outlook is based on a set of vehicle production assumptions. Compared to other years, there is a higher degree of uncertainty surrounding future production, given risks associated with consumer demand, increasing COVID-19 infection rates, supply chain or other production challenges and other factors. If actual productions vary significantly from our assumptions, our results may also vary significantly. Rather than repeat the outlook already in our press releases, I will make a few observations regarding our implied second half outlook in comparison to the second half of 2019. Vehicle production is expected to be down approximately 5% and 10% in our key markets of North America and Europe respectively. Overall, we are also expecting global vehicle production down approximately 11%. We believe our expected second half stacks up well, particularly given these production declines. Our total sales range implies sales at worse, down 9%, and a best 2%. Our EBIT percentage range implies an EBIT dollar range of about 1.0 5 billion to 1.25 billion, compared to 1.15 billion in the second half of 2019. And our free cash flow range for 2020 is between 200 and 400 million, implying a range of 1.3 to 1.5 billion for the second half of 2020 compared to last year's very strong second half of 1.4 5 billion. Lastly, comparing this outlook to our February outlook, we now expect second half detrimental margins to be under 20%. This solid outlook reflects the combined actions we are taking across our business to mitigate the impact of the current environment we are facing. Thanks for your attention this morning. We would all be pleased to answer your questions at this time.