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MFA Financial, Inc. (MFA)

Q3 2021 Earnings Call· Fri, Nov 5, 2021

$10.27

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by, and welcome to the MFA Financial, Inc. Third Quarter Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all lines are in a listen-only mode. Later, we will conduct a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] And as a reminder, today's conference call is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Mr. Hal Schwartz. Please go ahead.

Hal Schwartz

Analyst

Thank you, Operator, and good morning, everyone. The information discussed on this conference call today may contain or refer to forward-looking statements regarding MFA Financial, Inc., which reflect management's beliefs, expectations and assumptions as to MFA's future performance and operations. When used, statements that are not historical in nature, including those containing words such as will, believe, expect, anticipate, estimate, should, could, would or similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements. All forward-looking statements speak only as of the date on which they are made. These types of statements are subject to various known and unknown risks, uncertainties, assumptions and other factors, including those described in MFA's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2020, and other reports that it may file from time to time with the Securities and Exchange Commission. These risks, uncertainties and other factors could cause MFA's actual results to differ materially from those projected, expressed or implied in any forward-looking statement it makes. For additional information regarding MFA's use of forward-looking statements, please see the relevant disclosure in the press release announcing MFA's third quarter 2021 financial results. Thank you for your time. I would now like to turn the call over to MFA’s CEO and President, Craig Knutson.

Craig Knutson

Analyst

Thank you, Hal. Good morning, everyone. I'd like to thank you for your interest in and welcome you to MFA Financial’s third quarter 2021 financial results webcast. Also with me today are Steve Yarad, our CFO, Gudmundur Kristjansson and Bryan Wulfsohn, our Co-Chief Investment Officers and other members of Senior Management. The third quarter was a transformational quarter for MFA, and as we sit here today, we are excited about our company and enthusiastic about our future. We continue to execute on our strategy to grow our portfolio and reduce and term out liabilities. Our third quarter financial results featured strong earnings and book value growth. On the credit side, continued strong housing trends have bolstered the value of the underlying assets, securing the mortgages we own thus lowering LTVs. Robust housing prices have also created a strong tailwind for delinquent mortgages and REO properties as these trends lead to improved resolution and outcomes. MFA's tireless efforts to find new attractive investments were also rewarded in the third quarter as record asset acquisitions exceeded runoff and led the portfolio growth of $1.5 billion. Please turn to Page 4. We reported GAAP earnings of $0.28 per share for the third quarter, largely driven by gains of $43.9 million or $0.10 per share related to our acquisition of Lima One. These gains resulted from the difference between the fair value of our Lima One purchase relative to our basis in our previous investments, in both common equity and preferred equity of Lima One, both of which were impaired early on in the pandemic. Our net interest income from our loan portfolio increased by 15%, over the second quarter to $55 million from $48 million. GAAP book value was $4.82, up $0.17 or 3.7% from June 30 and economic book value was $5.27,…

Steve Yarad

Analyst

Thank you, Craig. Please turn to Slide 10 for an overview of our third quarter 2021 financial results. Craig has already noted, MFA delivered strong results for the quarter that were driven by record quarterly loan portfolio growth and certain purchase accounting adjustments related to the Lima One acquisition, as well as the inclusion of Lima One earnings in MFA's consolidated results. Before discussing the core portfolio results in more detail, I'd like to take a minute to discuss the impact of Lima One purchase accounting on our income statement for the third quarter, as well as on their quarter end balance sheet. Firstly, earnings include gains totaling $43.9 million that relate to the Lima One purchase transaction. This includes the following: $38.9 million gain arising from revealing our previously held investment of approximately 43% of Lima One's common equity. GAAP purchase accounting requires at the previously held interest is adjusted at closing to the fair value implied by the current transaction. We impaired the value of our prior investment by $21 million back in March of 2020, when valuations of mortgage originators were highly uncertain. Consequently, the $38.9 million gain includes a reversal of its prior impairment charge, while the remaining $18 million represents the incremental adjustment to reflect the prior investment at the fair value implied by the current transaction. An additional gain was recorded as Lima repaid its outstanding preferred equity in full, of which MFA held roughly half. The gain recorded reflects $5 million impairment reversal. That impairment was also initially recorded in March of 2020. Secondly, under the required GAAP purchase accounting to consolidate Lima One onto MFA's balance sheet, we recorded $28 million of intangible assets and $61.6 million of residual goodwill. Intangible assets include the value allocated to customer relationships, the Lima One…

Bryan Wulfsohn

Analyst

Thank you, Steve. Turning to Page 11, home prices showed continued strength over the quarter. We saw prices increased at year-over-year rate of 18%. We have however seen the pace of month-over-month increases moderate a bit, as of the dramatic increase in home prices have had a slight impact on affordability. All of the same fundamental factors remain at play, such as low inventory, demographic trends and historically low rates. The unemployment rate is now down below 5% as economic activity continues to increase. All of these factors combined with monetary and fiscal support, continue to keep mortgage credit performance strong and should bode well for continued credit performance in the near term. Turning to Page 12, Non-QM origination volume remained elevated over the quarter and we were able to purchase almost $700 million of loans, which represents another significant quarter-over-quarter increase. Prepayment speeds remain elevated over the quarter as the three month average CPR for the portfolio was 39%. We executed on our fifth securitization in the third quarter, bringing the total amount of collateral securitized to over $2 billion. And we expect to bring another securitization of Non-QM loans in the fourth quarter. These securitizations continue to lower our financing cost and at the same time, have provided additional stability to our borrowings. Securitizations combined with non-mark-to-market term facility have resulted in approximately 50% of our Non-QM portfolio funded with non-mark-to-market leverage at the end of the quarter. We expect to continue to be a programmatic issuer of securitizations as it’s currently the most efficient form of financing for our portfolio. Turning to Page 13. The Non-QM portfolio has exhibited strong performance coming back from the uncertainty created by the onset of the pandemic. We've seen steady improvement and delinquency percentages as our loss mitigation tactics employed have…

Gudmundur Kristjansson

Analyst

Thanks, Bryan. Turning to Page 17. We closed our acquisition of Lima One, a leading nationwide business purpose originator at the beginning of the quarter. This acquisition solidifies MFA's position as a leading capital provider to the BPL space, which we believe offers some of the most attractive opportunities to deploy capital in the residential mortgage space. Our teams wasted no time utilizing our collective strengths to take the business to new heights. Lima One originated over $400 million of business purpose loans in the third quarter, a record quarter for the company and a 34% increase over second quarter origination levels. We saw strong demand for all of Lima's products and continue to experience the benefits of Lima's diversified product offerings, which offer financing solution to residential real estate investors with short and long-term investment strategies in the single family and small balance multi-family markets. September origination of over $150 million was a record month for the company, but that record was short-lived as the fourth quarters off to a strong start with October volume setting a new record with origination of over $170 million. One of the key benefits of this transaction is Lima's ability to provide MFA with a reliable flow of high quality, high yielding assets that are difficult to source in the marketplace. When we announce the transaction in May, we also mentioned that we believe that Lima had the potential to grow substantially beyond the run rate at the time of $1.2 billion annual origination. We are already seeing that play out as we now expect full 2021 origination volume of between $1.4 billion to $1.5 billion. And the third and fourth quarter volume suggests continued growth in 2022. In addition to the benefit of adding assets to our balance sheet Lima as profitable…

Craig Knutson

Analyst

Thank you, Gudmundur. We are pleased with the results of the third quarter of 2021 and even more excited about the future at MFA. Our investment initiatives are picking up steam and contributing to portfolio growth. We're continuing to execute our strategic plan to securitize our assets and term out durable financing. Lima One is firing on all cylinders and the strength of the housing industry has obvious positive implications for our mortgage credit investments. Cynthia, please open up the line for questions.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And our first question will come from the line of Steve DeLaney with JMP Securities. And your line is open. And Steve check your mute button, your line is open.

Steve DeLaney

Analyst

My apologies. Thanks for everyone. I was on mute. Congratulations on not only a great quarter, but the integration of Lima. It's just an exciting future for you guys the way you're set up now. My question on that, and to Craig and I guess Steve Yarad, obviously with an acquisition, okay? You've got accounting – purchase accounting adjustment, so it makes things a little complex and then on an ongoing basis, of course, you're always going to have fair value. I was just curious, if you're going to consolidate Lima One, okay? Obviously, but I assume it's structured as a separate TRS and should we expect – you're going try to take a lot of loans, but do they have the ability to sell loans to third-parties beyond – originate and sell beyond your balance sheet capability, so that standalone you could see them as a profit center, somewhat on a standalone basis in terms of gain on sale, origination and servicing fees? Thanks.

Steve Yarad

Analyst

Thanks, David. Steve Yarad. I’d start and maybe Craig can add comment as well. Just in terms of the accounting, yes, with Lima One’s fully consolidated on our balance sheet now. And you'll note in our 10-Q that we released later today, we're not sort of showing it as a separate segment. It's fully integrated into MFA's operations as everyone. But you're right. There's some potential in the future for us to show it as a separate segment, depending on how we – when we get through this initial period of integration and we optimize the financing arrangements in the capital that we allocate to Lima. There's some potential for that for sure. I think, initially in this quarter, we've taken in almost all of the production of Lima in this quarter. And that's – it's been benefit obviously, as you've seen the portfolio growth that we've been able to enjoy. I’ll let Gudmundur and Craig speak to the future more specifically, but it doesn't have to be that way in the future going forward. So…

Steve DeLaney

Analyst

Interesting. Okay. Thanks.

Craig Knutson

Analyst

So Steve, answer to your question, yes. Lima certainly has the ability to sell loans. I think at this point, I think, we're happy taking the production on our balance sheet. But that could change in the future. In terms of how we present it, right, because they're consolidated the loans and the best example is the rental loans. So the rental loans we used to pay a significant premium for. So we'd probably pay as much as $104 million, or even $105 million for the rental loans. And Lima would book a gain on scale, because they're consolidated. We actually buy those loans at par now, but because we elected fair value, we then mark the value of those loans to the market value. So if they're worth $105 million, they get marked back to $105 million. So we preserve that origination economics, if you will, that Lima used to have. It used to be in the form of gain on sale. Now it comes in through other income for a fair value mark, but we do try to preserve those economics. And as Gudmundur said, Lima made a significant contribution to our net income of over $10 million in the third quarter. So it's a profitable. Yes, the – some of the geography changes a little bit. But suffice to say, it's not just a source of loans. It's a source of income as well.

Steve Yarad

Analyst

Steve, just to reiterate Craig's comment there, in my comments, I noted that of the $21.8 million of fair value gains that we had in the third quarter about $11.3 million of that was these fair value marks on originated lines of Lima One, where we've marked them from their power origination to the fair value at quarter end.

Steve DeLaney

Analyst

Great. And Steve, I know taxes is an entire different animal. But is it possible that as we go forward, just in terms of retaxable income and TRS income, is it possible that over the – as we move forward, that there may be some residual retained after tax income that at the Lima One TRS level that could help boost book value rather than all earnings having to be paid out as dividends to shareholders.

Steve Yarad

Analyst

Yes, Steve. That's a great point. I mean, certainly with the TRS structure, the ability to retain earnings in TRS, which could potentially grow book value. You have to it's very complicated though. It depends a lot on the way you structure your TRS the way it's capitalized. And the like, and one of the things you have to manage in terms of managing a TRS is there are certain retax tests that limit the amount of capital you can have in TRS. And sometimes you have to make the distributions out of your TRS to manage the asset test at the rate level, and as you do that, that those distributions cause income to be generated at the rate level. So it is certainly possible to grow book value through retaining only to TRS, but I would just say subject to managing the overall retax test.

Steve DeLaney

Analyst

Understood, helpful. Thank you for the comments.

Operator

Operator

Our next question will come from the line of Stephen Laws with Raymond James. One moment, and your line is open.

Stephen Laws

Analyst

Good morning. Congrats on a very nice quarter and a lot of progress you guys have made here this quarter. Can you talk about -- Hey, can you talk about where you're seeing the best opportunities kind of across these business segments? I mean, it seems like a lot of strength. I know you did mention that the agency eligible with the changing caps or caps being lifted or taper off some, but where are you seeing the best most attractive ROEs as you look to put money out the door here in the coming quarters?

Craig Knutson

Analyst

Sure. Thanks for the question, Stephen. Clearly on the business purpose side, Gudmundur went through some of the yields there and we see fantastic ROEs on really the entire business purpose sector. Non-QM as well, I mean, that's also been a big horse for us. We've done five securitizations now of Non-QM loans. So we're a known securitize or known name in the marketplace. So I think, we've got a good machine set up there as well. As you said on the agency eligible investor loans with the cap being lifted again, it remains to be seen, where that, where that opportunity is. But I will say that that opportunity existed before that cap went into place as well. So it really depends on, it really depends on where the loans trade, where the securitization execution gets done. But that could be an opportunity going forward, but we don't necessarily expect that that's maybe our highest opportunity right now

Stephen Laws

Analyst

I appreciate the color there. I’ll touch on the REO, $7 million of gain, I think through the 151 sales there and I think the remaining REO balance just shy of $200 million. Can you talk about timing or how you think about the ability or opportunity to continue to sell down those REO assets?

Craig Knutson

Analyst

Well, the housing market has certainly been a big tailwind for REO. I mean, as Ed Fay who runs Fay Servicing will always tell you, right, your REO properties are generally not your winners. But I think, our team has done a fantastic job of taking advantage of strong real estate prices to continue to liquidate those. And one of the places that REO holdings eat into -- become losses is through un-reimbursable expenses, right? So it's the taxes and insurance that you pay on the property while you're trying to maybe get it fixed up to sell. And I think given what's happened with home prices, most of those advances or many of those advances are now recoverable. So I think that's part of how you see some of the profit there is, it's just taking advantage of strong housing prices. So we'll continue to try to move those out as best we can and take advantage of this market.

Stephen Laws

Analyst

Right. And switching to financing costs [Audio Dip] the press release really lays it out pretty clearly across the segments, but you've made a really reduced it without a dramatic shift and yield from [Audio Dip] up at. So how much work is there, or how much more opportunity to continue to reduce the financing cost and in different segments or any additional legacy transactions you can collapse and if so. How much opportunity is there to do that?

Craig Knutson

Analyst

So I don't know that we have all that much of legacy re-securitization. We did a couple of those in 2021. But I think certainly on the business purpose side, as Gudmundur talked about and on the Non-QM side, there's still an opportunity to securitize now. We've seen short rates pick up a little bit since the end of September, the two year gut went from basically 25 basis points to 50 basis points. So that does cut into the savings and the securitization market ebbs and flows as well. I think, right now, there's a lot of securitization activity. And so spreads widen a little bit, but spreads wide and spreads tighten. I think we view it as – yes, it's been a significant savings for much of this year. Because you can remember we've sold AAAs at 1% or less than 1% yield and we knew that was great at the time. That's not necessarily the case today, but I think the securitization still makes a lot of sense, even if the savings aren't as significant as they used to be, because it does term out that financing. Again, it's non-recourse non-mark-to-market, so it's that durable financing that we're looking for. So I think, we'll continue to do it, but the savings may not be as significant as they were on some of the earlier transactions this year.

Stephen Laws

Analyst

Right. Well, as you mentioned, a lot of positive characteristics of that type of financing. So thanks for the comments this morning, Craig. Have a good weekend.

Craig Knutson

Analyst

Thank you, Stephen. You too.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Next, we'll go to the line of Bose George with KBW. And your line is open.

Mike Smith

Analyst

Hey guys, this is actually Mike Smith on for Bose. Congrats on a really strong quarter. Just another question, it sounds like the economics on the loans are purchasing from Lima One, are a bit better. So I'm just wondering if there's any appetite for another strategic transaction, maybe in the Non-QM or a different area just to continue to shore up some of your loan sourcing channel.

Craig Knutson

Analyst

Sure. Thanks for the question, Mike. I guess the short answer is we always take the phone calls. I think, we're really happy with our Lima One transaction. You know that in the past, we've taken minority equity, stake interests in, originators that was sort of the strategic approach that we had to originators. And in the case of Lima One that turned into a corporate acquisition. So the possibility certainly exists. But these transactions are – they're pretty complicated. I think in the case of Lima One, that was a really compelling transaction for us. But like I say, we take all the phone calls.

Mike Smith

Analyst

Great, great. Thanks a lot for taking the question.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And at this time, I'm showing no further questions in queue. And actually we do have a question now from the line of Eric Hagen with BTIG. And your line is open.

Eric Hagen

Analyst

Hey, thanks. Good morning. I have a couple of questions. First one is -- a couple of questions here. Can you borrow against the unrealized fair value market that you have in the loans that are held at carrying value? And then typically, MFA has managed in agency portfolio as a liquidity offset to the credit risk that you're taking. Is there an intention to do that going forward?

Craig Knutson

Analyst

So on the loans that are carrying value that depending on whether they're on a mark-to-market line or a non-mark-to-market line, there's certainly a capacity to have additional borrowing capacity of value of those assets appreciate.

Steve Yarad

Analyst

Right. So any sort of traditional financing that we do, right away from securitization is based on the value of the asset. So the lender doesn't care what the carrying value is. They care what the market value is. So that's really the only relevant number. And in terms of agencies, yes, we've owned agencies in the past. And at some point in the future, we may own agencies again. I think, at least as we look at it right now, we see better opportunities in credit. And most of the investments that we're making, or we're probably shorter in terms of duration than what we see in the agency market, but, just because we don’t own agencies, doesn't mean we're not – doesn't mean that we're allergic to them.

Craig Knutson

Analyst

And also just Steve, it better from a liquidity perspective, as you alluded to that. I mean, our leverage is very low around two times and we have tremendous amount of cash to our balance sheet. So if you think about from a liquidity perspective, that's really not why we would – we don't agencies at this time. And so as Craig pointed out, because we're finding a lot better opportunities away from that, it doesn't seem to be a lot of point owning on.

Eric Hagen

Analyst

Thanks. The other – the latter half of what you said, I think addressed really what I was getting at, which is the liquidity rather than the investment opportunity per se. But it feels like the risk-adjusted opportunity are getting in a stock where – which is taking credit risk at least ties back to some form of liquidity other than just borrowing against the value of a somewhat, a liquid credit asset. Maybe two on the Fix and Flip, you guys noted that a couple of other transactions in the space recently, I think those originators typically focused on higher balance Fix and Flips, like high-end style homes and on the east and west coast, can you guys sort of classify the types of loans that Lima One is doing and how you guys see yourself as competitive in that, what kind of zone are the markets? Thanks.

Steve Yarad

Analyst

Yes. No, that's a great point. Yes, so Lima has historically been fairly diversified in their approach to originate the BPL space. And they really are all across the country, but they don't really have a heavy presence in California where you have larger loan balances. And so on average, the loan sizes for Lima’s Fix and Flip are probably around $300,000, as opposed to some of these other companies that refer to are substantially higher. And so one of the benefits that we see from Lima is that they have incredibly high operational capacity to produce a large number of loans in a very diversified forearm phase. And so what that means is that, at least from our perspective, the way we see it, it's a lot easier to scale up Lima by either increasing a number of units or go after higher loan balances to get more volume, as opposed to on the opposite side, if you're targeting high loan balances in a small number of clients, it feels harder to scale up from there. So we feel pretty good about Lima and where they sit. And it provides tremendous amount of opportunity to scale it up in various ways.

Eric Hagen

Analyst

Got it. Thank you very much.

Craig Knutson

Analyst

Thanks, Eric.

Operator

Operator

And at this time, I'm showing no further questions in queue. Please continue.

Craig Knutson

Analyst

All right. Thank you everyone for your interest in MFA Financial, we like to wish everyone happy holidays, and we'll look forward to our next update when we announced fourth quarter results in February.

Operator

Operator

Thank you, ladies and gentlemen, that does conclude your conference call for today. Thank you for your participation and for using AT&T Executive Teleconference Service. You may now disconnect.