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The Marcus Corporation (MCS)

Q3 2022 Earnings Call· Sat, Nov 5, 2022

$19.22

+0.29%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning, everyone and welcome to The Marcus Corporation Third Quarter Earnings Conference Call. My name is Nadia and I will be your operator for today. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. Joining us today are Greg Marcus, President and Chief Executive Officer and Chad Paris, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer of the Marcus Corporation. At this time, I’d like to turn the program over to Mr. Paris for his opening remarks. Please go ahead, sir.

Chad Paris

Analyst

Thank you and good morning and welcome to our fiscal 2022 third quarter conference call. I need to begin by stating that we plan to make a number of forward-looking statements on our call today, all of which we intend to qualify for the safe harbors from liability established by The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act. Our forward-looking statements may generally be identified by our use of the words such as, "We believe, anticipate, expect," or words of similar import. Our forward-looking statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties, which may cause our actual results to differ materially from those expected. Listeners are cautioned not to place undue reliance on our forward-looking statements. The risks and uncertainties which could impact our ability to achieve our expectations identified in our forward-looking statements, are included under the heading, "forward-looking statements," in the press release we issued this morning, announcing our fiscal 2022 third quarter results, and in the risk factor section of our fiscal 2021 annual report on form 10-K, which you can access on the SEC’s website. We will also post all Regulation G disclosures when applicable on our website at www.marcuscorp.com. The forward-looking statements made during this conference call are only made as of the date of this conference call, and we disclaim any obligation to publicly update such forward-looking statements to reflect subsequent events or circumstances. In addition, we routinely post news releases and other information regarding developments at our company that impact our investors, customers, vendors, and other stakeholders. You should look through our website marcuscorp.com as an important source of information regarding our company. We also refer you to the disclosures we provided in today’s earnings press release regarding the use of adjusted EBITDA, a non-GAAP measure used in evaluating our performance and its limitations. A…

Greg Marcus

Analyst

Thanks, Chad. Good morning. In our last update, we reported a quarter where both of our businesses had significant momentum, and we took a big step forward in our recovery. As we entered the third quarter, we saw the opportunity for continued year-over-year improvement. I am pleased to report that we delivered a quarter that met our overall expectations and in some cases, exceeded them. In hotels, we continue to see group business return and demand from leisure customers remain strong. In theaters, our customers continue to come out to see the movies that we’re playing, but our teams had to work hard to navigate a light film slate, particularly during the second half of the quarter. It is quarters like these that highlight the benefits of our diversified business strategy, which allows us to successfully manage around the bumps in the road in any one particular business. Since the pandemic began, I’ve said several times on these calls, that our recovery journey will not be a straight line, but we will continue to make progress over time. While not as fast as last quarter, we continue to make progress this quarter, and I’m pleased to share these results with you. I’ll start with our hotel division. Chad shared some of the numbers with you, including comparisons to our pre-pandemic fiscal 2019 numbers and the fact that the data indicates that we once again outperformed both our industry and our competitive sets this quarter. Our hotels team delivered another record quarter with $19.1 million of adjusted EBITDA for the fiscal third quarter, a record for any third quarter either pre or post pandemic. This follows a second – a record second fiscal quarter, making for a record summer season in which our hotels division delivered nearly $31 million of adjusted…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And our third question today comes from Jim Goss of Barrington Research. Jim, pleas go ahead. Your line is open.

Jim Goss

Analyst

Hi, thank you and good morning. I’d like to start with a couple of questions about the hotel sector. You’ve talked about the beginning of our surgeons in business travel. I’d like to get a few more comments on that. In terms of the – what trends you’re seeing and the price sensitivity for both the business and leisure travel and whether that makes a difference in how you’re setting your rates? And then I was also wondering about a couple of the more specialty type hotels, St. Kate and so the Kimpton Monaco, if you might talk about their experience relative to your group in general?

Chad Paris

Analyst

Yes. So maybe I’ll start with a question on the business traveler. And Greg talked a little bit about it in his remarks, meaning over the early part of the summer, we saw the business traveler back at, call it, 70% of 2019 levels, and we’ve got an outlook that, that – the industry has an outlook that that’s going to go to 80% hopefully, for next year. On the rate setting front, I don’t know that there is as much sensitivity to rate as there are just a different behavior about business travelers and the trips that they are taking. So the salespeople are back out on the road. But the group that hasn’t come back yet are the consultants and some of the professionals who in the past would go out on the road with a team of four or five people and go out on Sunday night and stay until Friday. Now that anecdotally seems like it maybe fewer folks and they are going out for a smaller number of days. So that’s the piece that’s lagging. But what we’re seeing instead is that demand is being picked up by first leisure travel, and that’s been strong, continues to be strong, and we’re not seeing the pushback on – any indication of pushback on rate at this point. And now we’ve seen this ongoing trend for two quarters with a healthy return of group business, which is, of course, filling up nights during the week. So it’s been really encouraging. And I’ll let Greg take the second part of the question around the St. Kate assets.

Greg Marcus

Analyst

Yes. And just – and actually, I’ll build a little bit on it. And I have no specific data at the point, too, Jim. Again, I just do not tip my hands. I can tell you, anecdotally, I do know that I heard some recently about some corporate rate setting that went on. And look, we are having to pass along the cost of the customers and they understand that. And so we’re not seeing – at least we’re not seeing pushback at – people negotiate, but we’re comfortable with where that’s going. As for performance, as I’ve talked about before, these hotels perform – have been very beneficial, having these special experiential hotels where we have the overlay of our experience with group business perform well, no matter who the traveler is, whether it’s – whether that’s the Kimpton or the St. Kate, we attract that leisure customer, but we also are attracting that business customer as well who has central city business and groups and who want to just have something different to have an experience to not just be a typical hotel room. And so we’re pleased with the strength we are seeing in those hotels.

Jim Goss

Analyst

Okay. And then on the theater side – and thanks for that, on the theater side, going into this year, it seemed like there was an expectation for almost to double up in terms of the slate that we could expect. And then sort of fell apart a little bit in, say, August, September and has been a little softer towards the end of the year with the exception of some really big potential movies like Avatar, Black Panther. And I’m just wondering how you’re looking at how you’d evaluate how the year developed relative to your own expectations? And what’s your thinking as you move into the New Year, maybe including a good start with rollover from Avatar?

Greg Marcus

Analyst

Jim, this is a business – but – I don’t really set expectations, to be honest. I mean I just – we deal with what’s coming in. We can’t – given all that’s happened with the pandemic and with what we talked about with postproduction backups I think they are dealing with the same labor issues we’re dealing with. And so look, in – we’re pleased by continued progress. And – but I’m not going to say, well, this was my – I just don’t set expectations. And we – as I said, we manage to what comes in the door to maximize what’s coming in the top line and then to maximize the bottom line after that in two stages, what’s play on both sides of the ball, but offense and defense. And so – and with that, and again, I – given all that’s going on. And then on top of that, it is a business. There is an old saying in this business that every film is R&D, except a sequel. So you never know what’s going to come in. Well, how something is going to do in any given – just until it shows up. I mean, I’ll tell you right now, if I would have said the Top Gun is going to be the fifth biggest movie of all time is going to play all summer. If I would have made that bet, I would have made a lot of money with people if I would have known that. Who would know? We just don’t know.

Chad Paris

Analyst

The only thing I’d add on, Jim, on the number of films in the slate is there is no doubt, it’s taking a little bit longer than many have expected to ramp back up the number of films after some of that inventory went to other channels during the pandemic. But I do think we are encouraged by what some of the studios are saying about what the pipeline looks like going further out in 2024, but it’s going to take a while to get there. And so it’s just going to take some time.

Jim Goss

Analyst

Okay. Maybe just one last addendum to those comments, has any of this affected your concession strategy or are those just parallel situations in your – the nature of the back office hasn’t really had an impact on what your offerings would be or any of those sorts of aspects?

Greg Marcus

Analyst

What are you thinking about? If you have a good idea, some years but...

Jim Goss

Analyst

No, I’m just thinking, would you have been more aggressive in bringing out additional products or something like that, if the consistency of the back office was a little greater or is that really not something that worked into the strategic elements?

Greg Marcus

Analyst

No. I mean, I think – look, our teams are always looking at what we can sell more of and gearing offers to who’s coming in the door. So no, I don’t think that there is anything. But I don’t think there is anything that’s shifting one way or the other because of what’s coming in the door, other than just how we – things that we’re trying to do, which is to – like one of the really interesting things we’re seeing is, as we move to online ordering, the ability to upsell. And so we were really ahead of the curve on developing the online ordering. And we think that benefits us in two ways. And then to now recently, we’ve added actually upselling to the technology. So now you automatically get – do you want an add-on or do you want to make that medium so to all large? We’ve got things to technology like that now. You can’t – we had sort of two issues just sort of dealing with humans that are sitting behind the concession stand. One is when there is a really long line. They are not thinking about upselling. They are thinking about getting the people through the line. Also, when you have new people and high turnover, which is just natural in this business anyway, training them is harder, making sure that they all again, upsell to do to drive more revenue. You’ve got – so having that built on, its technology is really helpful. So now as we have that, and focus on operationalizing that, and building up our percentage of people who order on the app. That’s the kind of thing that we’re looking at from how to – what are we doing going forward with our food and…

Jim Goss

Analyst

Okay, thanks very much for all your thoughts. Appreciate it.

Greg Marcus

Analyst

Thanks, Jim.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And the next question goes to Mike Hickey of The Benchmark Company. Mike, please go ahead your line is open.

Mike Hickey

Analyst

Hi, thank you. Hey, Greg, Chad. Good afternoon, guys. Nice quarter.

Greg Marcus

Analyst

Thanks.

Mike Hickey

Analyst

And congratulations on your recovery here. Very impressive and also great job to all of you. The – I guess, you gave some great data, Greg, on the hotel side. And I guess, thinking about ‘23 here, everyone’s telling us that we’re going to be in a recession. But looking at some of the momentum in your business, clearly that there is indications that, that will extend into ‘23 and where the supposed recession is. I guess, just as you sort of look back, maybe it’s sort of in a unique position here given that you so much of the reopening tailwind that could push you through more difficult economic scenarios. And I know you’re cautious on setting expectations and I respect that. But on the leisure side, I guess, specifically, I mean, is this – could we be looking at 23% where normally you expect to pull back and leisure travel? But just given what we’ve all gone through, I guess, that being out of home is so critical to our health and escapism that leisure could actually sustain levels or grow despite a more challenging economy. And then I guess the same question on the business travel. We’re only 70% of where we were pre-pandemic I think necessity to connect the people still there. Just curious, probably speaking to your thoughts there, tailwinds that reopening into a recession. And curious, Greg, what you’re hearing just anecdotally from when you talk to other business leaders, the necessity, appetite to continue to travel?

Greg Marcus

Analyst

Thanks for the question, Mike. That’s – it’s funny. I hope you’re right. And I have to admit – okay, I will start. I don’t know – we just don’t know, but the same thoughts have crossed my mind. Things – because you are right, typically, when you get into a recession, our hotel business isn’t really – again, this is about having multiple diversity. Hotels tend to see more GDP impact where theaters tend to actually go the other way because all of a sudden, what – it becomes cheap entertainment instead of going to a concert or going to a game, all of a sudden, well, let’s just go out and go see a movie. And so that can work to our benefit. But on the hotel side, yes, because the mix is so different than we have ever seen, we have sort of wondered, well, what will happen. I wish I could tell you I know. I hope you are absolutely right, because the consumer is in better shape than they have been in a long time going into something like this. And they do want to get out and they do want to travel. They do want experiences. And that is – we are seeing – if you see – I know anybody who is watching the economy is seeing stuff, where there was a big pull forward in demand. Goods and services – I mean, good not services goods. You are buying things for your home. There was big pull forward there, and that group is now seeing that sort of reversion of the mean. But then experiences are now – people are saying, I am okay, I have been stuck in my house. I can’t actually buy another bed for my house or I can’t buy another gutter to put on my house. I have done everything I can do to my house. I am going to get out and do stuff. And that’s why I think that travel has been robust. Frankly, while the movies we have played have been – people have responded to because they want to get out. So, that was a long winded answer saying, I really don’t know. I hope you are right.

Mike Hickey

Analyst

I guess there is so, right you are on the corner. Thanks for that. Second question from me, I guess recently from the investor community. I think there has been sort of, I guess of 3Q being weak in the theater side. There has been an inject sort of skepticism that maybe ‘23 won’t grow like we think. And I think broadly speaking a lot of numbers have come in and taken a more conservative approach on ‘23 growth. Curious, is – that sort of pessimism is also held by theater operators, the industry? I mean what is sort of the outlook from your peers on the theater side. I mean is there the feeling that it’s going to be a grind here for a few more years? Maybe there are too many screens, and it’s going to take a while to get product back. And if that’s the case, so maybe it’s healthy optimism and everything is great. But if it’s not, you feel like we are reaching an inflection point here. And obviously, we know Regal has got some screens for sales, all of them probably. I mean are we reaching a point where maybe there is some incremental motivation here to maybe do something else, theater operator to do something else in their lives and maybe try to sell an asset or two? And does that – given where you are in your recovery and your success historically you are building value through M&A, do you think you are also approaching a point here where you could be more inquisitive on the acquisition front? Thanks guys.

Greg Marcus

Analyst

Again, we wanted to say – there was nothing happening yet. There is nothing happening ye. The – obviously, the Regal thing going on, which I don’t know what’s going to happen with them. And look, they have rejected a few leases, but they haven’t really even done much that I can even respond to at this point. Those theaters are going to need a lot of work, though. I mean I am sure that they have had a lot of deferred maintenance, and that’s going to be – that’s a project. But to your point, I don’t know that anybody is actually started and saying, you know what, okay. I made the other side. And now, okay, it is – and I am ready go-first. I don’t think anybody actually really necessarily – I think they think – my guess is – well, again, to guess. They are not – no one has made a decision on what that might mean or have we reached an inflection point. I don’t think so, but again, as again it goes back to sort of like the consumer who is in pretty good shape. There was a lot of money to the guys and anyone who wasn’t public got these shuttered venue operator grants. That was significant money that the government put out, helped people get through the pandemic. And so it relieved a lot of pressure to actually do anything and got them to the other side. And so we are not getting – so I don’t get – we are just not seeing it yet where people say, okay, I am ready to hang it up. Let’s see what’s going on out there.

Chad Paris

Analyst

Yes. And then on the forecast for the 2023 part portion of your question and the outlook, we don’t provide guidance. But I would say, we share some of the conservatism that you have heard in the last couple of months on those – from those who follow the space. And I think that really comes from just looking at the film release calendar and the amount of content that we expect to see come through. And the push outs that we saw during the course of this year have had domino effects on what 2023 looks like. And so there has been a shift in a number of different areas. It just wasn’t like all of a sudden, we are going to have this surge when they get caught up. I think it extends out the entire release calendar. So, we are going to be cautious knowing that there is still a lot of movement in the schedule, and that will continue to be something that we will be dealing with until the studios get through their content pipelines. But as I have said earlier, we will see when you get further out.

Mike Hickey

Analyst

Alright. Great job. Thanks guys. Good luck.

Greg Marcus

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And our next question goes to Andrew Shapiro of Lawndale Capital Management. Andrew, please go ahead. Your line is open.

Andrew Shapiro

Analyst

Hi. Thank you. I got a few follow-up questions along the same theme as Mike’s questioning here at the end. And it’s a takeaway from your discussions with those in the industry, in particular, the studios, on whether the Halloween out of the quantity of middle-tier movies is something that’s secular or if it is something that’s a bit more temporary? Are you getting the takeaway that there is a lot of – there is post-production capacity issues, or was it a reduced amount of production – these are multiyear projects? Was it a reduced amount of production activity that obviously could not take place during the pandemic and that things will ramp up, or are we seeing a secular shift where economically, it makes more sense for the studios to put the middle tier direct into streaming, which I am not sure it does any more since the value per subscriber has been greatly readjusted with the decline of Netflix and the rise of interest rates?

Greg Marcus

Analyst

Yes. I mean you answered – I think you are exactly – I am not even sure if the value per subscriber – you have to make the assumption that you are not going to have subscribers because somebody saw a movie somewhere. Otherwise, all you have – all you are talking about is incremental. And the one thing that’s very different now that’s happening, the only – if you make a movie, somebody makes a movie, the only incremental cost they have now after the negative cost, which is the cost of making the movie, the only incremental cost they have is marketing. There is no more the – P&A is gone or going, virtually gone. And so now your only question, is at least get my marketing spend back and you probably will get that in more. And then can I get some benefit. Let’s assume all you got was your marketing spend back, at least you are marketing, for what ultimately is your exclusive IP on your streaming service. And so the only way someone can see it and see it – as to see it on the streaming services to go to be a subscriber. And we know that there is – I mean the research has shown over and over again that the people who are going to the movies tend to be high users of all media. And if you think about the cost of going to a movie, which cheaper – is the cheapest out-of-form entertainment. I have to admit, when I start comparing movies to streaming, I feel like I am comparing apples-to-oranges. If you want to talk about streaming versus something on linear, okay, that’s a Macintosh compared to a Gala apple, I get it. But the cost of going to…

Andrew Shapiro

Analyst

You are pricing the quarter, we both agree, I think on the economics and the model it makes sense. There is a few other reasons. Frankly, you want to milk the money out of the exclusive theater where piracy is a shaky iPhone versus pristine pirated versions that come the moment something hits streaming, etcetera. But the economics are clear to exhibitors, they are clear to exhibitor investors. Is your take-away from your contacts with the studios or they are greenlighting films and they are deciding their plans on distribution? Is your take-away that the middle tier will be coming back and that there has just been a kind of production shortage that’s existed?

Greg Marcus

Analyst

I don’t have so much of a takeaway so much as I just have – because it’s not what do you say, what do you do? And I just look at it, if you just look at what’s going on, you are seeing windows come back and you look year-over-year and you see more windows for stuff, is everything window, no. But like when you have a great partner, who has given a ton of product a theater and then you do something they can date, well, okay, that’s what you do for a great partner. You say, okay, I am going to help your – because again, I think – by the way, I do think that streaming and theatrical should be a virtuous circle and that again, more money in the kitty for everybody, then makes for more movies and then actually, the more movies you make and the more content you make, the more you avail – more stuff you can play on your streaming service. So again, the bigger the pie, the more robust the whole ecosystem is. It goes back to the thing about windows. And I think I talked about this on the last call. The definition of windows, we used to joke about that is sort of joking. The definition of windows is selling the same thing to the same person over and over again, little subversive, a little humorous. But the truth of the matter is, I came to this conclusion recently that I thought more and more about it. The reason that we are able to sell the same thing to the same person over and over again is because they want to buy it. And this idea of just taking one kick at the cat, I am having trouble seeing the math. I think that if you want to maximize the value of your IP, you want as many kicks at the cat as you can get, sell it to as many people as you can sell it to multiple times, because they will buy it from you and whether it’s a rom-com or a tent pole. And by the way, for the ecosystem to work, we need both. We can’t just be tent poles. It has to be – it has to apply to – we need a full slate of films for it to be optimized. And again, that’s good for them too, because when you are sitting in that and maybe that medium-sized film, you are watching a trailer for what the next giant tent pole is. Again, we know the most effective form of advertising. Studios know this too. They fight for the trailers, is sitting in that seat as seeing that ad being captive to it. And so it’s good for everybody to have a robust slate.

Andrew Shapiro

Analyst

Alright. And lastly, I noted even the streamers. Well, Amazon has been doing it for a while where they will show the movies exclusive in the theaters, and then they brought it out. Apple perhaps a little bit. But even now, Netflix who had a poured doing that is doing the Knives Out with a modest window of exclusivity into the theaters. Are you participating in that, I guess Thanksgiving period showing of Knives Out sequel?

Greg Marcus

Analyst

Yes, we are.

Andrew Shapiro

Analyst

Okay. Excellent. Alright. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. At this time, it appears there are no other questions. I would like to turn the call back to Mr. Paris for any additional or closing comments. End of Q&A:

Chad Paris

Analyst

We would like to thank you once again for joining us today, and we look forward to talking to you again in early March when we release our fourth quarter fiscal 2022 results. Until then, thank you and have a good day.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. That concludes today’s call. Thank you all for joining. You may now disconnect your lines.