Greg Marcus
Analyst · Jim Goss with Barrington Research. Your line is now open. You may ask your question
Thanks, Doug. Before I make a few comments on our operating businesses, I want to briefly pick up where Doug just left off. You certainly have heard us refer to our balance sheet and our real estate holdings fairly often in the past. But I think our results this quarter warrant a couple of comments about what I believe are key differentiators for The Marcus Corporation. In fact, I would argue that today’s announced results are a poster child for the value we believe we’ve been able to gain from owning our real estate and having a diversified business portfolio. We’re thrilled to be reporting a return to profitability this quarter, and I think it’s fair to say this may have been faster than many had anticipated. So let’s talk about this for a moment. Starting with our diversified businesses. Marcus Hotels and Resorts reported a very strong third quarter, with overall revenues at nearly 90% of pre-COVID numbers in the third quarter of fiscal 2019. Our theater business gets a lot of attention as it should. But in this recovery, from an unprecedented time for our customers and our country as a whole, our hotels and resorts business has continued to surprise us and has accelerated our overall company-wide recovery. Those of you who have followed us for a long time know that we have had multiple legs at the proverbial stool over the years, and while our business mix has and still may change over time, our diversified business model has served us well and clearly differentiates us from our theater peers. Another differentiator is our substantial real estate holdings. By owning the majority of our theater real estate, not only do we believe it enables us to be more nimble and faster to market with new amenities and other changes to our business model, but it also has a direct impact on our financial results. There is no question in my mind that one of the reasons we’ve been able to return to profitability as quickly as we have is due to the fact that we have a more limited exposure to fixed monthly lease payments. And here’s the thing. Without leases, it might be reasonable to expect to find that we have more debt on the balance sheet than our peers, but that’s simply not the case. We have the lowest debt to capitalization ratio of any of our theater peers by far, and that’s even with the substantial hotel assets I just mentioned. Another benefit of our real estate is the fact that selected monetization of surplus and noncore real estate is provided and continues to provide an additional source of liquidity for us, further strengthening our balance sheet. Personally, I don’t think we always get enough credit for the value of our diversified business model, our significant real estate holdings, and our strong balance sheet provides, but I’ll leave that for the market to decide. We view the world through a long-term lens. As I said last quarter, the recovery journey we are on may not always be a straight-line, and we clearly are not back to pre-pandemic levels in either of our businesses yet. But I do believe unequivocally that the key differentiators for the Marcus Corporation are major strengths for our company and have contributed to both our short-term progress and our long-term success. This quarter was another step on that journey, and we’re pleased to be sharing these results with you today. So let me start my remarks with our hotel division. Doug shared some of the numbers with you, including comparisons to our pre-pandemic fiscal 2019 numbers and the fact that the data indicates that we once again significantly outperformed both the industry and our competitive sets this quarter. As you know, our hotels have consistently outperformed their markets in prior years as well, but the amount of our performance in recent quarters has widened significantly. And while an overall occupancy rate of approximately 66% during the third quarter is certainly still below where we were in 2019, I can honestly say that our performance in this division has continued to surprise us to the positive each and every month so far this year. The leisure customer was certainly out in force this summer, and as we noted in our press release, several special events particularly in Milwaukee, contributed to our higher average daily rate and our much stronger performance this quarter. And while you’ve heard me say this before, it bears repeating. Our outperformance is also a direct reflection on the quality of our hotels and resorts and the operational excellence of our outstanding teams, both in the corporate office and in each hotel. Stated simply, we’ve always had some of the best properties and best people in our respective markets, and it doesn’t surprise us that we’ve outperformed during this period of recovery. We certainly still have a ways to go with the business traveler and group business. But even there, there are a number of indicators suggesting that improvement may continue in these important segments. We’ve always believed that in order for the business travel to return to pre-pandemic levels, it all begins with employees returning to offices. That then can lead to businesses getting comfortable with their employees getting back on the road to see clients, potential clients, remote offices, plants, et cetera. Available data suggests that office occupancies have been gradually increasing and as a result, it appears travel intentions continue to rise as well. We’re beginning to see that in our markets, which is encouraging. Continued progress in the business traveler segment would be particularly helpful in the coming months as the weather worsens. Leisure travel returns to being more weekend focused, and we experienced our typical seasonality associated with primarily Midwestern based hotels and resorts. As for group business, we continue to have a very strong wedding season, and we’re experiencing increases in smaller group business as well. Our group room revenue bookings for fiscal 2022, commonly referred to in the hotels and resorts industry as group pace, is currently running approximately 20% behind where we would historically be at the same time in pre-pandemic years. But that’s quite an improvement from where we were earlier in the year and the increased amount of activity in leads we are experiencing suggests to us that we may end up better than that percentage by the time we get through 2022. Banquet and catering revenue pace for fiscal 2022 is also running behind where we would typically be at the same time in prior years, but not as much as group room revenues due in part to the strength of wedding bookings. Overall, we generally expect our revenue trends to track or hopefully continue to exceed the overall industry trends for our segment of the industry, particularly in our respective markets. As in the past, our results in this division will vary by quarter due to the seasonality our properties historically experienced. But on a relative year-over-year basis, we look for continued improvement during this ongoing recovery, and as I’ve said in the past, we believe we have special assets that make our portfolio unique and give us the ability to pivot to other customer segments where we wait for business travel to fully return. In the near term, I would be remiss if I didn’t note that our hotels continue to be challenged by the ongoing labor shortage that we and many other businesses, including our theaters are experiencing. An unusual twist, this challenge is likely helping our operating margins currently, but it is a challenge nonetheless. Our people are working extremely hard in both our businesses, and we continue to focus on opportunities to use technology to reduce our labor needs, but we will need to add staff as the recovery continues. Finally, as the press release notes, we officially took over the Hyatt Regency, Coralville Hotel and Conference Center during our fiscal 2021 third quarter, and we will continue to seek opportunities to strategically grow our hotel portfolio in the future. So let’s shift to our theater division. Doug went over the numbers with you. And as you saw, the steady improvement has continued in this division. We returned to positive adjusted EBITDA from this division during our third quarter, which was a major milestone for our team. And with virtually all of our theaters reopened and an increasing number of new films being released we continue to see good progress in the growth of our admission revenues as the recovery continues. And as Doug pointed out, we’re very pleased with the results from our concession and food and beverage portion of our business. I think the numbers really put this recovery path in perspective. It may seem like a long time ago, but we began this fiscal year with January box office results equal to only 16% of our fiscal 2019 pre-pandemic numbers. As more theaters opened, the vaccination rate increase and film studios began slowly releasing new product, our fiscal 2021 second quarter end with admission revenues during the month of June equal to approximately 48% of 2019. That improvement then continued into the third quarter with both August and September, producing admission revenues of 60% or more compared to 2019. And as our press release noted, that percentage relative to 2019 for both us and the industry increased quite a bit in October as more hit films were released at a faster pace, resulting in the single best month of the box office we’ve had since the pandemic began in March of 2020. Like our hotel division, one of the highlights of the quarter was our continued outperformance versus the industry. As Doug shared with you, based on industry data available to us, we believe we once again outperformed the industry during the third quarter, and for that matter, throughout fiscal 2021. Additional data received and compiled by us from Comscore indicates our admission revenues during the third quarter and first three quarters of fiscal 2021 represented approximately 3.5% and 3.6%, respectively, of the total admission revenues in the U.S. during the same two periods. This is commonly referred to as market share in our industry. This represents a material increase over our reported market share of approximately 3.1% during the comparable periods of fiscal 2019, prior to the pandemic. Once again, I want to call out our outstanding teams in our theaters in our corporate office, like their counterparts in their hotel division, they’ve had to navigate through an uncharted period of time while dealing with some of the same labor shortages most businesses are dealing with these days, and they’ve done so with incredible effort and dedication. So one of the obvious questions is, where does the business go from here? We have no illusions that we’re back to normal whatever that ultimately means, but several indicators do suggest we’re on the right path that the pace of recovery is accelerating. First off, the October box office results show that more and more movie are ready to return to seeing films the way they are meant to be seen, on a bigger screen, with incredible sound, recliner seating and some of the best concession in food and beverage options in the industry. Recent surveys by the National Association of Theater Owners backed this up. The percentage of those surveyed saying they are very or somewhat comfortable going to the movies is once again approaching 80% after dipping into mid- to high 60s a couple of months ago as concerns over the Delta variant took hold throughout the country. So while there’s still a portion of the movie going audience who needs a little more time it’s very encouraging to see this percentage increase once again. Of course, another major development during the quarter was an increased commitment seen from our film studio partners to stick with their film release schedule. And just as significant, reaffirm a commitment to the importance of an exclusive theatrical window. As we all know, there’s been a lot of experimenting by multiple studios during the pandemic. But as the smog clears we continue to believe the entire film ecosystem performs better when a film is first released exclusively in theaters. Theatrical exhibition still represents an important component of the financial model of a film and its distribution. In addition to other important benefits, theatrical exhibition spurs millions of people to collectively seek a shared experience on any given weekend. Theatrical exhibition is a film, Gravitas that can’t be achieved with a tile on a TV screen. Theatrical exhibition creates franchises like nothing else can. Theatrical exhibition makes piracy more difficult, and most importantly, theatrical exhibition makes money for the studios. Thus, we weren’t surprised when Warner Bros indicated it intends to return to an exclusive theatrical window with a significant number of films in 2022, when Disney announced the remainder of their 2021 films to receive an exclusive theatrical window after the success of Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings. And when it comes to positive indicators of future performance, last, but certainly not least is a really impressive upcoming film slate. We listed a number of films scheduled to be released during the remainder of the fourth quarter, beginning with Marvel’s, the Eternals this weekend, and the list of films scheduled for 2022 reads like a who’s who of successful film franchises. As a result, we’re excited about building upon the progress we’ve made so far in our theater division, and we look forward to continued improvement in the periods ahead. As I wrap up, I want to note that this week; we’re celebrating 86 years for the Marcus Corporation. Starting on November 1, 1935, with a single movie theater Ripon, Wisconsin. Our remarkably resilient company and collection of businesses has navigated and adapted to change for the entire 86 years of our existence. And I’m confident that we will continue to adapt and thrive in the months and years ahead. And as first said by my grandfather, Ben Marcus, when asked what he attributed to the company’s success to, it all starts and ends with our people. With Thanksgiving right around the corner, I want to publicly express how thankful my dad, our entire executive team and I am for our dedicated associates throughout our organization. They are simply the best and everything we’ve accomplished during this recovery and return to profitability are due to their extraordinary efforts. With that, at this time, Doug and I would be happy to open the call up for any questions you may have.