Doug Neis
Analyst · The Benchmark Company. Your line is open
Thank you, and welcome to our Fiscal 2018 Fourth Quarter and Year-End Conference Call. As usual, you know I need to begin by stating that we plan on making a number of forward-looking statements on our call today. And these forward-looking statements will include, but not be limited to, statements about our future revenue and earnings expectations; our future RevPAR, occupancy rates and room rate expectations for our Hotels and Resorts division; expectations about the quality, quantity and audience appeal of film products expected to be made available to us in the future; expectations about the future trends in the business group and leisure travel industry and in our markets; expectations and plans regarding growth in the number and type of properties and facilities; expectations regarding various non-operating line items on our earnings statement; and our expectations regarding future capital expenditures. Of course, our actual results could differ materially from those projected or suggested by our forward-looking statements. And factors, risks and uncertainties, which could impact our ability to achieve our expeditions are included in the Risk Factors section of our 10-K and 10-Q filings, which can be obtained from the SEC of the company. We'll also post our regulation G disclosures when applicable on our website at www.marcuscorp.com. So with that behind us, let's talk about our fiscal 2018 fourth quarter and our completed fiscal year. As our press release noted, we are reporting record revenues for the fourth quarter, and a record revenues in operating income for the fiscal year. Thanks to, here's the word again, record performance from our theater division in both periods. And that is despite significant acquisition and preopening expenses during the quarter related to the Movie Tavern acquisition. Our Hotels and Resorts division also reported record revenues during both periods. And if not for onetime cost related to the conversion of the InterContinental Milwaukee hotel into what will be Saint Kate -- The Arts Hotel, operating income from our Hotels and Resorts divisions would've been also been up for both the quarter and full year. Following the usual format of these calls, I'm going to take you through some of the details behind the numbers, both on a consolidated basis and for each division at first. I'm also going to share some thoughts on the financial implications of our recently completed Movie Tavern acquisition. Then I'll turn the call over to Greg for his comments. Now before I dig into these divisions, let's spend just a few minutes on a couple of the line items below operating income, as we had some variations this quarter. Our investment income declined during the quarter because of decreases in the value of market securities, as we all know in the fourth quarter was a pretty rough in the market. The increase in our interest expense during the fourth quarter is slightly deceiving, as last year during the quarter we made some adjustments to interest expense related to capital leases, as we finalized the purchase price allocation for the 2016 Wehrenberg acquisition. For the full fiscal 2018-year, our interest expense was higher than the prior year, primarily because of higher average interest rates, due to increased short-term interest rates. Looking again, despite an expected increase in our capital expenditures during fiscal 2019, you'll note that on our balance sheet that we're starting the year with lower overall total borrowings. Thus, we currently don't expect our interest expense to change materially during fiscal 2019. And in fact, it's even possible that it could decline slightly during the year. Conversely, any increases in short-term interest rates may offset some of the impact reduced borrowings may have on our interest expense. And of course, changes in our borrowing levels due to variations in our operating results, capital expenditures, share repurchases, and the assets of sales proceeds as well as the possibility of additional acquisitions among other items, may impact either favorable or unfavorably our actual reported interest expense in future periods, as may changes in the short-term interest rates or the mix of long-term and short-term debt in our portfolio. Another line item I'd highlight is our gains and disposition of property, equipment and other assets. Our fourth quarter results last year were favorably impacted by two significant gains, the largest of which was a gain of approximately $4.9 million last year from the sale of our Western Atlanta Hotel on which we had an 11% minority ownership interest. And partially offsetting these gains in both the quarter and the fiscal year was the continued write-off of disposed theater personal property, as we continued our extensive renovation program at multiple theaters. And the losses that we reported during the fiscal 2018 fourth quarter and fiscal year were, once again, primarily related to those same write-offs. Finally, as you would expect, the largest variation on line items below operating income may be found on the income tax line. Of course, last year's results are distorted by the $21 million reduction in deferred income taxes that we reported in conjunction with the new tax law that went into effect in late December 2017. And our fiscal 2018 income tax expense was certainly favorably impacted by the new lower tax rate as well as excess tax benefits on share-based compensation, and an additional reduction in deferred tax liabilities of approximately $1.9 million related to the tax accounting method changes that we made subsequent to the signing of the new tax act. Excluding the favorable adjusted income tax expense in each year, for the reduction in deferred tax liabilities, our effective income tax rate was 22.7% during fiscal 2018 compared to 36.2% during fiscal 2017. As we sit here right now, we currently anticipate that our fiscal 2019 effective income tax rate will return to that 24% to 26% range. Of course, depending upon the amount of excess tax benefits and share-based compensation that we might recognize, and that can vary by quarter, and excluding any potential further changes in federal or income -- state income tax rates. This might be a good time to point out that given the large number of unusual onetime items in both this year's and last year's fourth quarter and year-end results, the largest of which was the income tax items, we felt the need to include non-GAAP measures in our press release today in order to make it easier for you to compare this year's reported results to last year. We hope that was helpful. Now before I dig into each division. I will briefly shift gears away from the earnings statement for a minute and tell you that the total capital expenditures during fiscal 2018 came in right in the middle of the range we shared with you last quarter, totaling approximately $59 million, compared to approximately $115 million last year. Approximately $44 million of that total spend during fiscal '18 was incurred in our theater division, and on all the usual suspects, which are continuing DreamLounger seating projects, premium large-format conversions and new food and beverage outlets. We spent approximately $15 million in our Hotels and Resorts division this year, including costs associated with the renovations of the Madison Hilton Monona Terrace, and the conversion of the former Intercontinental Milwaukee Hotels into Saint Kate, The Arts Hotel. As well as other typical maintenance capital projects at our company-owned Hotels and Resorts. As we look towards capital expenditures for fiscal 2019, we're currently estimating that our total expenditures may be in the $75 million to $95 million range, and that's not including the approximately $30 million cash component of the Movie Tavern acquisition. Again, excluding that acquisition, we're currently estimating approximately $50 million to $60 million of our total fiscal 2019 capital spend will be in our theater division, and it will include expenditures related to one new theater that is currently under construction in Brookfield, Wisconsin, and expenditures for various amenities that we plan to add to our recently acquired Movie Tavern locations. Another $25 million to $35 million in CapEx is currently estimated for our Hotels and Resorts division, with the largest components being exactly where you'd expect it to be with the completion of the renovation of the Hilton Madison hotel, and the completion of our conversion of the Intercontinental Hotel into Saint Kate. As well as some additional maintenance capital dollars that we'll set aside for possible growth or ROI opportunities that could be evaluated during the year. And is always the case, at this point of the year, the range of potential capital spending is fairly large because either the timing or on several of our planned projects is not finalized yet, or because some of the dollars are for several growth opportunities that may or may not come to fruition. As a result, our actual fiscal 2019 capital expenditure certainly could vary from this preliminary estimate. And of course, if another acquisition opportunity would arise that would certainly impact our actual capital expenditure as well. So let me give you a couple comments now about the fourth quarter and fiscal year, we'll start with the theater division. Our reported admission revenues increased 0.8% and our concession revenues increased 8.2% during the fourth quarter, and increased 8.5% and 11.8%, respectively, for fiscal 2018. Now the fiscal 2018 full-year numbers did include the two new theaters that we opened during the second and third quarters last year as well as the revenue accounting change and how we handle our loyalty program, we've been talking about all the year, that generally negatively impacted admission revenues and favorably impacted concession revenues. Of course, where the accounting change becomes important is that when we attempt to compare our theater's results to the rest of the industry we've got to deal with that. The data that we receive from Rentrak, the National Box Office Reporting Service for the theater industry, represents gross box office receipts reported to it, and by definition would be before any such deferral of revenues for accounting purposes that we or any other exhibitor might record. Thus, we need to add back the impacts of that revenue recognition and accounting change to our reported admission revenues in order to get numbers that we can compare with the rest of the industry. And according to the data received from Rentrak and compiled by us to evaluate fiscal 2018 fourth quarter and year-end, U.S. box office receipts adjusted for new theaters for the top 10 circuits increased 0.6% during the fiscal 2018 fourth quarter and 6.8% during the 52 weeks that were included in our fiscal year. So after you adjust for the deferred revenue from our loyalty program, our comparable theater fourth quarter and fiscal 2018 admission revenues increased 0.5% and 8.6% compared to last year, meaning that our results -- our box office results for the fourth quarter were right in line with the industry, and our full-year results outperformed the nation by 1.8 percentage points. Greg will dissect our fourth quarter and fiscal 2018 performance in even greater detail during his prepared remarks, but suffice to say, we're very happy to be reporting what's essentially our fifth straight year of industry outperformance. Now the fourth quarter increase and our admission revenues was attributable to approximately 1.5% increase in attendance, partially offset by a decrease in our average admission price of 0.8%. For the full year, theater attendance at comparable theaters increased 4.7%, and our average ticket price increased 3.2% compared to last year. Now the increase in number of premium large format, or what we call them PLF screens, with a corresponding price premiums contributed to our increased average admission price during 2018. Conversely, we do believe that a change in the film product mix had an unfavorable impact in our average admission price during the fourth quarter of fiscal 2018 compared to last year. As our top film during the fourth quarter of this year was the Family-Friendly, the Grinch, while our top film during the fourth quarter of fiscal 2017 was Star Wars: The Last Jedi, which by the way had a particularly higher percentage of its admission revenues, according to our POF auditoriums. Now we're pleased to report the increase in our average concession and food and beverage revenues per person of 6.7% for the fourth quarter and 6.4% for fiscal 2018. Once again, the investment in our nontraditional food and beverage outlets continue to contribute to these higher per capita spending. And I'll also point out that our theater other revenues increased significantly during both the quarter and the year compared to the prior year's. Now a large portion of the increase relates to the fact that we now account for Internet ticketing fees on a gross basis, which has no impact on our bottom line. But a portion of these increases are also due to increased preshow ancillary revenues, and increased Internet ticketing fees, even after that change in accounting. Shifting now to operating income for a minute. Our theater division operating income reached record levels during both the fourth quarter and fiscal year, despite the fact that we incurred an expense nearly $1.7 million in acquisition and preopening expenses related to the Movie Tavern acquisition. It's also important to note that with the transaction closing on February 1, we do expect to report additional acquisition and preopening expenses during the first quarter of fiscal 2019 in an amount that actually may approach $1 million or so. I'm going to talk about Movie Tavern for a minute here. As long as I'm making a couple of forward-looking statements, let me share a couple of thoughts about Movie Tavern and its potential impact on our future financial results. We're still looking at then reviewing some information that we received from the seller, but we do still believe that the Movie Tavern annualized 2018 revenues were in the $145 million to $150 million range. I can also tell you that their admission revenues per screen are reasonably close to our existing theater circuit. Not surprisingly, where they differ from our current theaters is the relationship between admission revenues and concession revenues. If you do the math, you'll see that the average split between admission revenues and concession revenues in our legacy circuit is approximately 60-40, 60% admission, 40% concession. The Movie Tavern theaters are more likely to flip that relationship for those specific theaters, and end up closer to 40% admission revenues, 60% concession and food and beverage revenues. Now one of the results of the change in the revenue mix for those theaters will be a lower operating margin for the theater. As you would likely presume, both food and labor cost for a theater model that focuses on nontraditional theater food and beverage will be higher as a percentage of revenue, than it is for traditional concessions, reducing our overall margin. Correspondingly though, of course, we'll also expect an increase in our average concessions per person, and after all, we take dollars in the bank not percentages. Another difference you will notice, as we begin to report our results with Movie Tavern, will be a substantial increase in our rent expense, as all 22 of these newly acquired theaters are leased. On an annualized basis, and of course, we didn't acquire these theaters until February 1, but on an annualized basis, we're currently estimating that increase -- was estimating rent expense of $15 million to $16 million as a result of the new theaters. Keep in mind that we own the underlying real state of nearly 80% of our legacy circuit, and that has historically contributed to our higher operating margins, as depreciation expense is typically lower than rent expense. The fact that we historically haven't had a lot of rent expense has also contributed to our very high EBITDA margins. So adding Movie Tavern to our overall results will reduce both of those margins. Until we finalize the purchase price allocation, I will tell you it is difficult to project what our annualized depreciation and amortization expense will be from the new theaters. It certainly could be in the $10 million or more range on an annualized basis. As a result, maybe the best thing to do is to focus on EBITDA market impact. Our legacy circuit has been producing EBITDA margins in the 28% to 29% range. Given the high food and beverage component of the Movie Tavern business model, and then layering on the fact that all the theaters are leased, it's more likely that the incremental EBITDA margin from Movie Tavern business will be in the 10% to 15% range with at least in that first year. We obviously have plans to implement a number of our successful strategies and amenities as the year goes on, that we hope will favorably impact our margins from these theaters in the future. Shifting to our Hotels and Resorts division, excluding cost reimbursements, our overall hotel revenues were up 2.9% for the fourth quarter and 2.7% for the year. Thanks to increases in all three categories: room revenues, food and beverage revenues and other revenues. Room revenues increased due primarily to increased group business during fiscal 2018 compared to fiscal '17, and food and beverage revenues increased during fiscal '18 compared to '17, partially due to the SafeHouse restaurant and bar in Chicago, which opened in March of '17, and also due to increased catering and banquet revenues that also contributed to the -- to that overall increase. Other revenues increased during fiscal 2018 compared to 2017, due primarily to increased management fees and rental income. Our total RevPAR for 8 comparable properties increased 1.9% and 1.4%, respectively, during fiscal '18's fourth quarter and year-end compared to the comparable period last year. And as we've noted in the past, our RevPAR performance did vary by market and type of property. Breaking out our numbers a little more specifically, our fiscal 2018 fourth quarter overall RevPAR increase was due to 1.6% increase in our average daily rate, and a 0.2% -- percentage points increase in our overall occupancy rate. For fiscal 2018 full year, our occupancy rate increased 0.1 percentage points, and our average daily rate increased 1.3%. Now the division's operating income and operating margin decreased during the fiscal 2018 periods compared to 2017, entirely because of the two related onetime items that negatively impacted our fiscal 2018 fourth quarter. The first and the largest item was the $3.7 million of accelerated depreciation related to the InterContinental Milwaukee assets that could be -- that were to be disposed of in conjunction with the conversion of the hotel into Saint Kate – The Arts Hotel. Secondly, we also incurred over $500,000 in preopening expenses related to this project in the fourth quarter. Excluding the preopening expenses and accelerated depreciation expense from our fiscal 2018 operating income, and to be fair, the SafeHouse Chicago operating results from our fiscal 2017 numbers, as we also incurred preopening expenses of that property last year. Operating income for our comparable Hotels and Resorts division during fiscal '18, actually exceeded operating income during the fiscal '17, by math about $3.4 million or 23.2%. Excluding these same items, our operating margin during fiscal 2018 was 8%, 8.0% compared to 6.6% in fiscal 2017. Now look, I'd be remiss if I didn't point out that since the Saint Kate is scheduled to be closed during the first five months of fiscal 2019, our reported results during both the first and second quarters of fiscal 2019 will once again be negatively impacted by these non-reoccurring significant preopening expenses and carrying costs. The actual amounts are subject to change, but right now we're estimating that we may incur preopening expenses of $1.2 million to $1.4 million in each of the first 2 quarters as we prepare this hotel for what we hope to be a very exciting future. We'll be sure to highlight the negative impact that we report in the next 2 quarters in order to help with the comparability for prior periods. At this point, you've probably heard more numbers than you thought possible, so I'm going to be happy now to turn the call over to Greg for his comments.