Doug Neis
Analyst · B. Riley. Your line is open, please go ahead
Thank you very much. Welcome everybody to our fiscal 2016 fourth quarter and year-end conference call. As usual you know, I need to begin by stating that we plan on making a number of forward-looking statements on our call today. Our forward-looking statements could include, but not be limited to statements about our future revenues and earnings expectations; our future RevPAR, occupancy rates, and room rate expectations for our hotels and resorts division; our expectations about the quality, quantity and audience appeal of film product expected to be made available to us in the future; our expectations about the future trends in the business group and leisure travel industry and in our markets; our expectations and plans regarding growth in the number and type of our properties and facilities; our expectations regarding various non-operating line items on our earnings statement and our expectations regarding future capital expenditures. Of course, our actual results could differ materially from those projected or suggested by our forward-looking statements. Factors, risks, and uncertainties which could impact our ability to achieve our expectations are included in the Risk Factors section of our 10-K and 10-Q filings, which can be obtained from the SEC or the company. We’ll also post all Regulation G disclosures when applicable on our website at www.marcuscorp.com. So, with that behind us, let’s talk about our fiscal 2016 fourth quarter and our completed fiscal year. As our press release noted, we’re reporting record revenues and operating income for both the quarter and the fiscal year, thanks to a record performance from our theatre division in both periods, once again significantly outperforming the industry. Results from our hotels and resorts division were down this quarter, but for the full fiscal year, we reported increased operating income versus last year and we're also outperforming in this division. So following our usual format for these calls, I'm going to take you through some of the detail behind the numbers, both on a consolidated basis and for each division and then turn the call over to Greg for his comments. And a logical place to start would be to acknowledge the fact that because we changed our fiscal year end last year to December, we're comparing our fiscal 2016 fourth quarter and full year results to recast comparable 2015 periods that included an extra week of operations. When comparing our 52-week fiscal 2016 results to last year’s comparable 53-week period, the extra week is essentially the week between Christmas 2014 and New Year's Day 2015. As you'd expect, that extra week particularly benefited our theatre division’s 2015 results, as that week is typically one of the busiest weeks of the year. And while that weakens not a particularly strong week overall for our hotel division, it does include New Year's Eve, which is very busy for many of our properties. And with our fiscal 2016 ending on December 29 this year, not only are we comparing our fiscal 2016 results to a year with two New Year's Eves in it, we don't have the benefit of a New Year's Eve at all in this year's results. Keeping in mind that the margin on this extra week of revenue is relatively high, through the fact that only incremental variable costs are added, fixed costs are already annualized over 12 periods during the year. So, the result of the fairly sizable favorable impact on our comparable numbers in 2015 as a result of this extra week. Now while determining the impact of one week on our operating results is not an exact science, we do estimate that this additional week in last year's 2015 results added approximately $14 million to our consolidated revenues and $4.6 million to our consolidated operating income. After interest expense and income taxes, we estimate the extra week of operations contributed approximately $2.6 million to our reported net earnings or $0.10 per diluted common share. So if you take $0.10 out of last year's numbers, our reported results for fiscal 2016 look even more impressive. Now at the risk of overly complicating matters, I do want to note that by definition, the additional week of operations in last year's results is different for the fourth quarter. When we compare our 13-week fiscal 2016 fourth quarter to the comparable 14-week quarter in 2015, we really want to get technical about the extra week actually consists of five days at the end of September and the last two days in December. So we estimate that the additional week in the fourth quarter last year added approximately $12.9 million to our consolidated revenues and 4 million to our consolidate operating income and after interest expense and income taxes, we estimate that the extra week of operations contributed approximately 2.2 million to our fourth quarter net earnings last year or $0.08 per diluted common share. So with that out of the way, I'll quickly comment on the line items below operating income. Starting with interest expense, which was down compared to last year, during both the quarter and fiscal year, due to having a lower average interest rate and due to the additional week in last year's numbers. And having said that, I think it warrants mentioning that we do expect interest expense to likely increase in fiscal 2017 for two reasons. First, we increased our borrowings at the end of - right at the end of fiscal 2016 as a result of the Wehrenberg theatre acquisition. Second, we closed this week, literally yesterday on the issuance of $50 million of a 4.32% 10-year senior notes. We use these proceeds to reduce our borrowings under our revolving credit facility. A substantial portion of our total assets consist of long term property, plant and equipment and as a result, we believe that the majority of our borrowings should have a fixed rate and longer-term associated with it. Based upon our expected increased borrowings and the increased average interest rate, we currently believe our interest expense may increase during fiscal 2017 by approximately $1.5 million to $2 million, assuming no other changes to our total borrowings. Now, of course, changes in our borrowing levels due to variations in our operating results, capital expenditures, share repurchases and asset sale proceeds among other items can certainly impact either favorably or unfavorably our actual reported interest expense in future periods as that changes in short term interest rates. Now, the other line items below operating income did not really change significantly. We had slightly less losses on disposition of property and equipment and slightly higher equity earnings from joint ventures, both of which helped our bottom line comparisons. We also had a slightly lower effective income tax rate in fiscal 2016, also contributing to our improved net earnings. Now before I dig into each division, I do want to briefly shift away from earnings statement and talk for a moment about capital expenditures, telling you that in fiscal 2016, we had total capital expenditures of approximately $84 million, excluding the Wehrenberg acquisition compared to approximately $85 million during last year's comparable period. Now, approximately 69 million of that total spend during fiscal 2016 was incurred in our theatre division, the majority of which related to the completion of multiple DreamLounger seating projects, UltraScreen DLX screens and new food and beverage outlets as well as costs related to two new theatres that are now under construction and the purchase and renovation of a closed theatre that now is open on the Southside of Chicago. As we look towards capital expenditures for fiscal 2017, we're currently estimating that our fiscal 2017 capital expenditures may be in the $100 million to $120 million range with approximately 80 million to 95 million estimated for our theatre division, including about 40 million in carryover from projects already approved and in some cases started in fiscal 2016. Greg will expand on some of our capital expenditure plans for the theatre division during his prepared remarks, but as you may guess, a portion of these dollars will go towards renovating some of the newly acquired Wehrenberg theatres. Another 20 million to 25 million is currently estimated for our hotels and resorts division, including ROI projects such as the Grand Geneva villas and the Chicago SafeHouse that are both referenced in our press release as well as some additional maintenance capital and dollars set aside for possible growth or ROI opportunities that would be evaluated during the year. As is always the case at this point of the year, the range of our potential capital spending is fairly large at this time, because either the timing on several of our planned projects is not finalized yet or because some of the dollars for several growth opportunities that may or may not come to fruition. As a result, our actual fiscal 2017 capital expenditures certainly could vary from this preliminary estimate. In addition, if another acquisition opportunity would arise, particularly in our theatre division, that would obviously impact our actual capital expenditures as well. So now, I’d like to provide some financial comments on our operations for the fourth quarter and fiscal year, beginning with theatres. Looking at the theatre segment revenues and operating income, the first thing we should do is address the fact that this year's results include two weeks of operations of the Wehrenberg theatres. And last year's results include the additional week of operations. It’s kind of messy. So let's start with revenues. While the segment totals show that theatre revenues increased 4.7% and 7% respectively during the fourth quarter and fiscal year, if you take out the Wehrenberg revenues from this year's results and the extra week of operations from last year's results, we find that our comparable fourth quarter and fiscal 2016 total revenues increased 7.9% during the fourth quarter and 9.1% for the full fiscal year. Shifting over to operating income, once again, the segment totals show that the theatre operating income increased 11.9% and 14.1% respectively during the fourth quarter and fiscal year, if you make those same adjustments and back out Wehrenberg this year and the extra week out of last year's, we find that our comparable fourth quarter and fiscal 2016 operating income increased 32.8% during the fourth quarter, 22.9% during the fiscal - full fiscal 2016, really great results. Now, as we expected, the operating income we made from Wehrenberg in the final two weeks of the year was completely offset by approximately $2 million of one-time acquisition costs that were expenses incurred during the fourth quarter. With the net result actually being a small about a $500,000 loss this year from the Wehrenberg properties, net of those acquisition costs. As we shared with you at the end of the third quarter, our fourth quarter revenues and operating income also benefited from a significant one-time incentive payment of approximately $3.3 million from our pre-show advertising provider Screenvision. And while it's true that this was a one-time payment, to ignore it as an anomaly in our numbers would, in my opinion, be a disservice to what we've been able to accomplish to earn this incentive payment. When we negotiated our agreement with Screenvision, we built in a mutually beneficial provision that was focused on increasing attendance at our theatres. Screenvision benefited by having more people see their advertising and all along the way, we were getting closer to reaching the hurdle necessary to earn this one-time payment. So while accounting guidelines required us to wait until we reach the hurdle before recognizing the income, the practical reality was that we were earning this payment for the last couple of years with all the strategies we’ve been putting in place to increase attendance at our theatres. And while we won’t be receiving a one-time special payment in 2017, reaching this attendance milestone did take us to a new level in our Screenvision contract, which we expect will provide additional financial benefits to our pre-show advertising revenues during fiscal 2017 and beyond, not even counting the addition of the Wehrenberg screens to our contract. All right. Now, let’s drill down to the theatre revenues a little bit. Looking at the numbers on the face of our earning statement, our box office revenues increased 0.5% and 6% respectively during the fourth quarter and fiscal year and our concession revenues decreased 0.5% and increased 5.1% respectively during those same periods, again both compared to last year. Obviously, the extra week last year and the addition of the Wehrenberg theatres for the last two weeks impacted those comparisons as well. So in order to try to once again give you a little better comparison to last year, if we take approximately $3 million of Wehrenberg box office revenues out of this year's numbers and we back out the additional week of operations from last year, we find that our comparable fourth quarter and fiscal 2016 box office revenues increased 3.2% and 8.2% respectively. Making those similar adjustments for concession revenues, we calculate that our concession revenues for our comparable theatres and comparable weeks increased 2.8% and 7.3% during the fourth quarter and fiscal year, which brings us to the comparison of our results at the US box office. Based upon US box office numbers compiled by us using data from Rentrak and National Box Office reporting service for the theatre industry, we find the national box office decreased by 5.8% during our fourth quarter and increased 1.8% during fiscal 2016. So if you use the number that is shared with you, that calculate our box office increases for comparable theatres in comparable 13 and 52- week periods, that means we outperformed the industry by nine percentage points during the fourth quarter and 6.4 percentage points during fiscal 2016. Means, we've now outperformed the industry during 12 of the last 13 reported interim periods or three plus years now, something we're very proud of. Wrapping up my theatre comments with a few statistics after adjusting for Wehrenberg and the extra week last year, the fourth quarter increase in our box office revenues is attributable to an increase in attendance at our comparable theatres of 1% and an increase in our average admission price of 2% for the fourth quarter. For fiscal 2016, again adjusting out Wehrenberg and the extra week, our increase in box office receipts is attributable to a 4.3% increase in attendance and a 3.9% increase in our average ticket price. Now, the fact that we've increased our number of premium large format screens with a corresponding price premium certainly contributed to our increased average ticket price during fiscal 2016 periods as did a modest price increase taken in January and again in November of 2016. Conversely, I’ll tell you that the growth in our average ticket price was tempered during fiscal 2016 by the fact that two of our three highest grossing films during the year were animated or family oriented films compared to none of our top three last year. Means that we had a much higher percentage of our box office mix coming from lower priced children's and matinee pricing. We also are very pleased to report an increase in our average concession and food and beverage revenues per person of 1.9% for the fourth quarter and 3.2% during fiscal 2016 compared to the same periods last year. Certainly, our investments in non-traditional food and beverage outlets continue to contribute to this performance, but once again, they've been tempered this year by the change in the film product mix as animated and family pictures tend not to draw as many people to those same non-traditional food and beverage outlets compared to more adult-oriented films. Finally, shifting over to our hotels and resorts division, if you do the math, you can see that our overall hotel revenues were down 11.7% for the fourth quarter and down 4.1% for fiscal 2016. But just like the theatres, we’ve got some apples and oranges here, so if you eliminate the extra week last year and the hotel that we sold in October 2015, the Hotel Phillips from last year's results and for the full year, the SafeHouse in Milwaukee was not open for all of last year. So eliminating the SafeHouse restaurant from both years for the full year results. You'll find that our same property revenues were actually only down 0.5% for the fourth quarter and actually increased 0.4% during fiscal 2016, both compared to last year. Our total RevPAR for eight comparable properties decreased 2.6% during the fiscal 2016 fourth quarter compared to the comparable period last year, but that decrease is accentuated by the fact that we're comparing 13 weeks to 14 weeks and that extra week last year was a strong fall week at our hotels. Our total RevPAR for eight comparable properties increased 3% during the full fiscal 2016 compared to the comparable period last year. And as we've noted in the past, our RevPAR performance did vary by market and type of property. According to data received from Smith Travel Research, compiled by us in order to compare our fiscal quarter results, comparable upper upscale hotels throughout the United States experienced increase in RevPAR of 0.6% during our fiscal 2016 fourth quarter, but competitive hotels in our collective markets experienced a decrease in RevPAR of 2.6% during the fiscal 2016 fourth quarter, exactly the same as ours. For fiscal 2016, the Smith Travel Research data indicates that upper upscale hotels experienced increase in RevPAR of 2% and competitive hotels in our markets experienced increase in RevPAR of 1.5%. Thus, you can see that we outperformed in this division as well during fiscal 2016, in fact, for a full fiscal 2016, we were twice as high - we doubled the competitive market. Breaking out our numbers more specifically, our fiscal 2016 fourth quarter overall RevPAR decrease was due to a 1.1% decrease in our average daily rate and a 1.1 percentage point decline in our overall occupancy rate. For fiscal 2016, our occupancy rate increased 0.8 percentage points and our average daily rate increased 1.9%. Lot of numbers at you. I'm now going to turn the call back over to Greg.