Kevin Farr
Analyst · SunTrust. Your line is now open
Thank you, Richard and good afternoon everyone. As Chris said we continue to make solid progress on our strategic priorities and our overall second quarter results were in line with our expectations. As a reminder to provide better visibility in the underlying business performance while we execute the turnaround, I will be discussing our results in constant currency and referring to adjusted financial measures that has got certain items related to our acquisition of MEGA as well as severance expense. In constant currency, world-wide sales were up 1% or down 6% as reported as foreign exchange translation continues to have a negative impact on revenues. Year-to-date world-wide sales gross sales were up 3% in constant currency or down 4% as reported and our overall global POS which was up low single digits was aligned with shipping and excluding MEGA in both time periods. From a brand perspective in constant currency, world-wide sales from Mattel girls and boys brands were down 3% in the quarter and down 1% year-to-date driven by declines in Monster High, certain license entertainment properties in Barbie which is partially offset by growth in Hot Wheels, Disney Princess and Minecraft. World-wide sales for Fisher-Price brands were up 9% in the quarter and up 7% year-to-date driven by continued strength of our Baby Co business which includes baby, newborn and infant toys and [indiscernible] as well as Thomas was up too, which was partially offset by other Fisher-Price brands properties. American Girl continues to gradually improve up 1% in the quarter and year-to-date driven by the relaunch of Be Forever historical lines late last year as well as the beginning of a refresh for the Truly Me product line. On a global basis, MEGA shipping was $65 million in the quarter and $103 million year-to-date as reported. The performance of the construction business was in line with our expectations for the first half of 2015. We are building a solid foundation in 2015 to drive growth in the construction industry on a global basis in terms of leveraging our brands, new licensing and our global supply chain as well as our marketing distribution and sales capabilities. However our RC Craft business was down as we deemphasized non-strategic lower margin product lines. As Chris mentioned, our overall growth is fairly broad based across geographies in constant currency. Sales in the North American region were down 2% in the quarter primarily due to lower sales of Monster High but up 3% year to date reflecting a much improved retail inventory position as we exited 2014. Sales in our European region were up 4% in the quarter and down 1% year to date, driven by strong growth in Russia in other emerging Europe, which was partially offset by core brand softness and some western European markets. We also made good progress against our European retail inventory over a hang in the quarter, and expect to have cream retail inventories heading into the holidays season. Sales in our Latin America region were down 3% in the quarter, and up 1% year to date in constant currency with growth in our two largest markets Mexico and Brazil, being offset by several smaller countries that face very difficult macro economic environments. Sales in our Asia Pacific region were up 22% in the quarter, and up 20% year to date in constant currency driven by fairly broad based growth which was lead by China. Looking at the P&L, we continue to invest in retail promotions and strategic pricing to improve top line momentum, and our adjusted gross margin remains solid at 47.9% in the quarter, up 70 basis points versus 47.2 in 2014. Our adjusted gross margin was 48.3% on year to date basis which was down 60 basis points versus 48.9% in the prior year. As it relates to the key drivers of gross margin in the quarter and year to date, our price increases and our cost savings initiatives were offset by a higher product related cost. Year-to-date adjusted gross margins were negatively impacted mixed primarily related to the acquisition of Mega. And our overall basket of product league cost is roughly consistent with our forecast as we enter peak production. Finally the currency impact of the timing of inventory movement and the hedging gains had a positive effect in gross margin rate in the quarter and year-to-date. We continue to anticipate a negative impact in the second half of 2015, related to foreign currency including the year-over-year impact on intercompany sales inventory from the significant strengthening of the U.S. dollar. Our advertising rate remains higher reflecting our investments to support key core brands throughout the year, including additional spending in China, in Russia, we’re investing ahead of growth in shipments and POS. SG&A was down versus the prior year in absolute dollars on both the reported and their adjusted basis, as we continue to streamline our organizations to facility faster decision making. Importantly, with [indiscernible] business for two months in 2014, the impact of our cost saving initiatives is becoming more apparent. And we continue to execute aggressively on our funding our future cost savings programs where we delivered $29 million in overall gross savings in the quarter in $48 million year-to-date, which was split roughly even between gross margin and SG&A and other. We are on track to deliver a $125 million of gross savings in 2015 waited to the second half, and remain committed delivering at the high end of our two year target of $250 million to $300 million. In the quarter, our adjusted operating profit was $23 million and $8 million year to date. Adjusted EPS for the quarter was one set and year to date was a negative $0.07 per share. Now let’s review our POS and shipping performance by core brand in more detail. Above is my remarks in the first half which we believe provides the best indication of underlying including in both time periods. Overall POS was up low-single digits with international POS was up mid single digits and U.S. POS down slightly. We are very early in the year, we’re encouraged to see continued positive global POS for all of our core brands with the exception of Monster High. For the first half, Barbie POS was up slightly on a global basis, with double digit gains in the US, partially offset by a mid single digit decline in international markets. Worldwide shipping from Barbie was down 8% in constant currency year to date with North America down 6% and international down 9%. We believe U.S. POS trends are aided by a better retail inventory situation and our ability to integrate our new brand campaigns more quickly in this market. We are pleased to see the continued improvement in Barbie particularly in the U.S. and we expect to see shipments and POS more closely aligned as the year progresses as retailers buy what is selling. International POS is still impacted by frozen, the slower rollout of our new brand campaign and less clearance activity in 2015 in Latin America. Overall international POS in shipping for Barbie are relatively aligned. As it relates to our high school franchises, monster high POS in shipping remains challenged as we continued to work to stabilize the business and ever after high continued to gain attraction in most existing international markets with global POS in shipping both up in the quarter in constant currency. Global POS for total Fisher-Price brands including Thomas was up mid single digits driven by positive POS for the baby biz in the U.S. and importantly double-digit gains in international markets. Global shipping for Fisher-Price brands were up 7% in constant currency with North America 5% and international up 9%. For Thomas we continued to see solid gains for POS and shipments in both the U.S. and international markets in constant currency and we saw similarly strong trends for Hot Wheels. Turning to the balance sheet our balance sheet continues to be strong, our owned inventory was down about $30 million year-over-year and consistent with our expectations we ended the quarter with about $300 million of cash in our balance sheet as we continued to tightly manage our seasonal working capital needs and reduced our owned inventory levels. Our second quarter results also reflect our ongoing commitment to discipline capital deployment. As Chris said dividends remain a first priority after reinvesting in the business and the board declared third quarter dividend $0.38 per share which is flat compared to the third quarter of 2014. As we continue to execute aggressive cost reduction initiatives we believe we can make the investments necessary to grow our business will continuing our current dividend, clearly as we done historically will evaluate capital deployment priorities quarterly with the board. Looking forward we continued to monitor the currency markets and macroeconomic outlook closely especially given the recent economic events in the year also. Overall based upon our year-to-date financial results we continued to believe that 2015 outlook that we provided in last quarter’s investment call remains achievable. In closing well we recognize we have got lot of work to do we continued to see signs of stabilization of revenues and POS on at underlying basis as well as improving financial performance across the P&L in the first half of 2015. We’re pleased that our turnaround remains untracked. With that we’ll now open the call to questions. Operator?