Bryan Stockton
Analyst · Needham & Company
Thank you, Drew, and good day, everyone. While our third-quarter results continue to reflect headwinds carried over from the 2013 holiday season, I'm encouraged with the progress made on our 2014 priorities to end the year with POS momentum and lower retail in Mattel owned inventories. While still not where it needs to be, global POS is far better than shipments and continues to improve. In the quarter our global POS was up low-single-digits with international POS up high-single-digits and domestic POS down slightly. We made substantial progress on retail inventories across the globe and particularly in North America where we ended the quarter with inventory down high teens. International retail inventories were also down with only a few pockets of higher inventory remaining. And excluding the impact of MEGA Brands, our owned inventories were also down about $50 million from prior year, a substantial improvement from where we started the year. We accomplished all of this as we shifted significant advertising and promotional spending from the first 3 quarters of the year to the fourth quarter to maximize its effectiveness. North America reflects the biggest shift where we look to spend 40% more in media spending in the all-important holiday season. So we are making progress and I feel we have put ourselves in a better position to deliver on our 2014 priorities and enter 2015 with positive momentum. But that said, I fully recognize this progress is not reflected in our third-quarter results and as we continue to have a significant gap between our shipping trends and our improving POS. There are a number of reasons why we continue to face revenue headwinds in the quarter. First, while core brand POS improved for many of our brands it still remains below expectations. Second, as a part of our strategy to shift spending to maximize the fourth quarter, we significantly reduced our support in many third-quarter retail promotion programs this year. Third, shipments in our Girls portfolio declined in the quarter as brands like Monster High continue to sell well, but shipments declined as it faced steep comparisons to prior year. Fourth, we saw some of our North American retail customers tighten their inventory management strategies. And finally, in select international markets many customers continue to work down pockets of higher inventory levels as well. So while our shipments were clearly challenged, our third-quarter results did reflect our commitment to financial discipline as we manage 2014 to realistic revenues and look to optimize the middle of the P&L. Specifically, gross margins, while down in the quarter, moved back above 50%. This improvement came despite the unfavorable impact of our MEGA Brands acquisition and our continued efforts to clean up inventory, both of which should have a smaller impact going forward. Our Operational Excellence 3.0 cost savings program delivered significant savings in the quarter and is on target to deliver on its 2-year goal of $175 million in gross sustainable savings. And in light of our current performance we tightly managed our SG&A spending down in the quarter. Let me walk through the quarter in a little more detail. Overall our Girls portfolio is down for the quarter. Global POS for the portfolio remains positive in the mid-teens and is significantly outpacing shipping. Disney's Frozen and our own Ever After High franchise drove incremental sales in the quarter, but it wasn't enough to offset declines in other brands. Barbie global POS continues to improve and be well above shipping. In the third quarter Barbie POS was down low-single-digits, Barbie shipping is down significantly in the quarter, largely as a result of the reasons I highlighted earlier. Monster High remains a strong global property. While we are seeing good results with our new fall product, we continue to work through some inventory pockets particularly in international markets. And Ever After High continues to do well as the number 5 fashion doll property in the US per NPD and looks to be building into a very strong doll brand. Unfortunately American Girl did not grow in the quarter. We think much of this can be explained given the success we had last year in the third quarter where American Girl grew 20%. Last year's growth was driven by 2 important events in the quarter – the successful opening of our retail store in Columbus, Ohio and a significant sales increase as we retired Molly, a very popular historical doll. This year in the third quarter we did not open any new stores and, while we're encouraged with early results, we didn't re-launch our new BeForever historical doll line until late September. As we look into the fourth quarter for American Girl, our international expansion continues to do well in Canada and we just opened our third shop-in-shop with Indigo Stores in Ottawa, Canada. And we have 2 new retail stores slated to open in the fourth quarter. The first store had a successful opening just last weekend in Charlotte, North Carolina. And the second store in Orlando, Florida will open later this quarter in November. And rounding out the Girls portfolio is Disney Princess which saw significant growth in the quarter driven entirely by the success of Disney's hit movie Frozen. We're happy to see the demand for this property extend beyond its movie launch and we're excited to have the opportunity to maximize Frozen for the next 2 holiday seasons. And while we're disappointed to lose the license in 2016 after so many years, we remain a major entertainment partner with Disney on a number of Boys and infant preschool properties. While higher this year because of Frozen, the Disney Princess business has averaged a little less than $300 million a year since we received the European rights in 2010. As a result we are working on plans to fill this 2016 revenue gap. We know girls love the Princess play pattern, we have deep experience with it and we've had great success with it ourselves in the past. Barbie alone has had a number of Princess themed executions with product, licensed merchandised and DVDs over the last decade. So we have some time and a number of ideas to fill this 2016 revenue gap and we will share these ideas with you as we get closer to their execution. Our overall Fisher-Price results are disappointing and show that we have more work to do. While we found some success in parts of our product and marketing execution, we will likely continue to face headwinds into the near future. Global POS for the brand is down slightly and, like many of our brands, POS is outpacing shipping. At a high level we continue to see pockets of strength in BabyGear and Laugh & Learn, but they're more than offset by our preschool results. We're seeing positive POS results internationally, which is a strategic priority for us. However, our results in the US are hampered by pockets of high inventory, a lack of POS momentum and softness in key brands like Little People and Imaginext. That said we are pleased with the strong results of Thomas & Friends, particularly in international markets. But the overall Friends business is down due to tough comps for some our licensed properties. We are encouraged with the POS and shipping strength in Hot Wheels, which is doing particularly well in international markets. Our basic car and track segments, which highlight the core play pattern for this brand, continue to show strength. We also like what we see with BOOMco, our differentiated entry in the blaster category. The consumer reviews are great, digital marketing and promotional plans are meeting expectations and we'll support the line with more product offerings in 2015. And finally, our MEGA Brands integration is doing well. We will talk more about this in a few weeks, but overall our new management has been on the ground since April and is making solid progress on a number of fronts. The construction category globally is growing and I our [indiscernible] is positive and improving. Shipping continues to be less than POS due to some pre-acquisition inventory carryover from 2013 as well as transition from third-party distributors to our own sales, marketing and distribution network in international markets. We will formally take over most of the international distribution globally on January 1, 2015. From a regional perspective, our North American business is down in the third quarter, partially the result of our decision to shift advertising and retail support to the fourth quarter, as well as evolving customer inventory management strategies. We had mixed results in international, which is also down for the quarter. Asia performance is up with strong gains in China and we also see improvements in Australia. Europe is down as solid gains in Russia did not offset softness in Western European POS and headwinds from pockets of higher retail inventory. Latin America is down as it continues to weather macroeconomic challenges and we made some progress working through our pockets of retail inventory which are impacting our 2 largest markets. Going forward the organization is focused to execute the fourth quarter and the all important holiday season. Our new fall products are hitting the shelves now and we have good representation on many of the hot holiday toys lists. We've been executing our path to purchase work and our spending mix model work and have significantly more advertising and retail promotion spending available in the fourth quarter. And we have significantly improved our inventory situation, both owned and at retail, which should ultimately help close the POS and shipping gap we have this year. And as Kevin will review with you in a few minutes, we remain committed to our total shareholder return objectives and our commitment to sound capital deployment, including the dividend. As we're keen on saying at Mattel, there will be a Christmas, it will come on or around December 25, and I'm confident there will be more Mattel toys under the tree than any other toy company in the world. And now I'd like to turn it over to Kevin Farr, Mattel's Chief Financial Officer. Kevin?