Dennis Story
Analyst · SunTrust Robinson. Your line is open
Thanks Eddie. Overall Manhattan's growth, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet metrics continue to be solid in our business transition. Q2 total revenue was $154.3 million, up 9% over prior year, excluding FX, total revenue was up 10%. Adjusted earnings per share was $0.42 and our GAAP earnings per share was $0.32 with stock-based compensation accounting for the difference between adjusted EPS and GAAP. License revenue was $11.7 million, exceeding the $9 million target discussed in our Q1 call. For Q3 and Q4 2019, we are targeting about $8 million in each quarter's revenue mix transitions to cloud subscriptions. Our target reflects the expected impact of our cloud transition. For full-year 2019, we are raising our license estimate range to $38 million to $42 million, with license gross margin of about 93%. Our previous range estimate was $36 million to $40 million. Q2 cloud revenue was $9 million up 68% over Q2 2018. For Q3 2019, we are estimating our cloud revenue to be about $12.8 million, up 98% over prior year and 42% sequentially on solid demand for cloud solutions. For full-year 2019, we are raising our cloud revenue recognized range from our previous estimate of $36 million to $40 million, up to $42 million to $44 million, representing 82% to 90% growth over 2018. For total software representing cloud and license revenue combined, we are raising our 2019 full-year estimate to $83 million versus our previous estimate of $76 million. We are pegging the midpoint of our cloud and license range estimates, resulting in a 21% year-over-year increase versus our previous estimate of 11%. Regarding bookings, as we have discussed remaining performance obligation or RPO is the leading proxy for our cloud bookings performance and represents the value of contractual obligations required to be performed, otherwise referred to as unearned revenue or bookings. Our RPO for this quarter totaled $120 million, up 106% over prior year and 20% sequentially over Q1 2019. For Manhattan, this disclosed value represents our cloud bookings value of unearned revenue under non-cancelable contracts greater than one-year. Contracts with a non-cancelable term of one-year or less are excluded from the reported amount. One last point on license and cloud, our performance continues to depend on the number and relative value of large deals we close in any quarter, as large license deals remain important, our markets are continuing to shift towards subscription models in 2019 and beyond. While this is positive, deal sizes maybe a bit smaller as subscription revenue is recognized over time. We also retain some caution around slow decision making by some clients and prospects, particularly retailers and potential global macro and geopolitical events that could impact business investment cycles. So shifting to maintenance, revenue for the quarter totaled $37 million, up 1% over prior year. Retention rates remained strong at greater than 95% plus. For 2019, we are estimating maintenance revenue to be about $145 million, down about 1% over 2018 impacted by our cloud transition. We estimate Q3 2019 maintenance to be about $36 million and overall our maintenance results will be influenced by perpetual license deals closed during the year, existing customer conversions to cloud, retention rates and timing of cash collection. Turning to services, consulting revenue for the quarter totaled $94 million, up 14% over Q1 2019 on strong global demand. We are targeting Q3 revenue growth of 8% to 10% over prior year with a midpoint target of $92 million. For Q4 with more active customer implementations entering the second half of 2019 versus 2018, we expect Q4 services revenue to decline sequentially from Q3 about 5% to 6% as customers idle implementations for the peak season holiday period. Overall, with strong services demand in Americas, Europe, and APAC, we are raising our full-year services growth estimate to 8.5% to 10.5% over prior year with a midpoint value of about $361.5 million. Our previous services growth estimate was 5.5% to 8%. Our consolidated subscription maintenance and services margin for the quarter was 51.2% driven by increased headcount investment in cloud and consulting services. For 2019, we expect Q3 subscription maintenance and services margin to be about 50% and Q4 margin to be about 48% due to the on-boarding of new hires and customers idling implementations during retail holiday peak season. We are targeting full-year services margins to be about 50%. Our 2019 services gross margin reflects our investment in cloud operations, performance-based compensation and increased services capacity to meet demand. Turning to our operating income and margin, Q2 operating income totaled $36.2 million with an operating margin of 23.4%. For Q3 2019, we are estimating operating income of $30 million to $31.5 million with a $30.7 million midpoint and an operating margin of 20% to 20.5% with a midpoint of 20.2%. Our license to cloud revenue mix shift combined with continued hiring across the organization, customers idling implementations for Q4 retail peak season and seasonal impact of cloud compute cost for Manhattan Active Omni customers is included in our operating margin estimates. Factoring these key elements in, we are targeting a Q4 operating margin of about 17% with a 2019 full-year operating margin of approximately 21.1%. For full-year operating income, our range estimate is $125 million to $129 million, up from our previous estimate of $122 million and $126 million. For full-year operating margin, we are estimating 21% to 21.2%, with operating income of nearly $127 million at the midpoint. That covers the operating results. Our Q2 adjusted effective income tax rate was 24.5% and we are estimating a 24.5% effective tax rate for both Q3 and full-year. Regarding capital structure, we invested $20 million in Q2 2019, share buybacks. Last week, our Board approved replenishing our repurchase authority limit to a total of $50 million. For Q3, Q4 and full-year, we are estimating about $65.3 million diluted shares full-year, which assumes no buyback activity. Turning to cash, we closed the quarter with cash and investments, totaling $119 million and zero debt. Our current deferred revenue balance totaled $98 million, up 20% from December 31, 2018 driven by maintenance and cloud billings. Q2 cash flow from operations totaled $37 million more than double 2018. And year-to-date operating cash flow was $72 million, up 6% over prior year. Year-to-date CapEx totaled $3.3 million for 2019 with the assumption of incremental facilities investments in both India and the U.S. We estimate capital expenditures to be approximately $12 million to $15 million. So I'll wrap up with our updated 2019 guidance and then turn it back to Eddie. As you know we provide annual guidance on total revenue operating margin and EPS. As we transition to a cloud first company, our view is the more success we have with subscription adoption, the impact of the revenue mix shift from license to cloud on our near-term income statement results will be effectively masking a significant level of underlying value creation. So for revenue, we are raising our 2019 total revenue guidance from our previous range of $582 million to $592 million to a new range of $598 million to $604 million, targeting 2019 revenue growth of 7% to 8% over prior year with a midpoint estimate of $601 million. Our previous guidance pegged year-over-year growth at 4% to 6%. We expect Q3 2019 total revenue growth in the range of 5% to 8% with a midpoint estimate of $152 million. For EPS, we're raising our adjusted EPS guidance to $1.46 to $1.50 with a midpoint estimate of $1.48. Our previous range was $1.42 to $1.46. And our GAAP EPS guidance is $1.08 to $1.12. Additionally, we estimate our Q3 2019, adjusted EPS to be about $0.36. For operating margin, we are targeting a full-year adjusted operating margin range of 21% to 21.2%, again with a midpoint of 21.1% and a GAAP operating margin range of 15.6% to 15.9%. Our margin objectives reflect our business transition to cloud continuing to ramp in 2019 including related incremental investments with the objective of driving long-term sustainable growth. That covers the financial update. Thank you very much. And back to Eddie for some closing comments.