Dennis B. Story
Analyst · Raymond James
Thanks, Pete. I'm going to cover our non-GAAP results for Q3 2012, then I'll review 2012 guidance and some preliminary thoughts on 2013. And then I'll turn the call back to Eddie Capel, our President, Chief Operating Officer, for our business update. For the quarter, we delivered another strong financial performance, posting Q3 total revenue of $95.8 million, increasing 12% over Q3 2011 on license and services growth of 19% and 13%, respectively. Year-to-date revenue has increased 14% to $281 million. For the quarter, Americas grew total revenue, 13%; EMEA, 5%; and APAC, 14% over Q3 last year as we continue to experience good demand in our target markets. Adjusted earnings per share in the quarter increased 12% to $0.75 over Q3 2011, and year-to-date adjusted earnings per share of $2.12 is up 23% over the prior year. Sequentially, from Q2 2012, FX losses and other income negatively impacted earnings per share leverage by about $0.035. Excluding currency impact, year-to-date revenue growth is 15% and adjusted earnings per share growth is 19%. Foreign exchange rate variances have positively impacted adjusted earnings per share by $0.01 in Q3 and $0.07 year-to-date versus prior year. Year-to-date, the positive FX impact is being driven by depreciation in the Indian rupee, which has generated a favorable $0.10 EPS benefit to operating earnings, partially offset by negative euro FX impact. For Q4 2012, we don't expect the rupee impact to be meaningful to operating results as the significant rupee depreciation started back in Q4 2011. License revenue for the quarter totaled $16.2 million, increasing 19% compared to $13.6 million in Q3 2011. While our pipeline remains solid, we continue to be cautious as sales cycles on large deals remain less predictable given the prolonged global macroeconomic challenges. Services revenue, which includes both consulting and maintenance revenue, for the quarter totaled $71.9 million, growing 13% over Q3 2011 and is up 15% year-to-date compared to last year. Consulting revenue increased 14% to $47.1 million on solid demand and maintenance revenue totaled $24.8 million, up 12% over Q3 2011. Our customer retention rates continue to run strong at 90-plus percent, and recall that we recognize maintenance renewal revenue on a cash basis. So the timing of cash collections can cause some inter-period lumpiness from quarter-to-quarter. Consistent with prior years, we expect our Q4 2012 total Services revenue will be down sequentially by about 5% as consulting services experiences its typical Q4 showdown due to the seasonal holiday period. Consolidated Services margins for the quarter were 55.1% compared to last year's 56.5%. With continued demand, we have added about 75 new associates in Q3, the vast majority in our Professional Services practice, and the full cost of these added resource will not manifest until Q4. With the timing of new hire additions and the seasonal impact to Q4 holidays on Services revenue, we expect Q4 2012 Services margin to be in the range of 52.8% to 53.2%. Regarding full-year 2012 Services margin, we are raising our range estimate about 50 basis points to 54.7% to 54.9%. Operating expenses, which includes sales and marketing, R&D, G&A and depreciation, were $31.2 million for Q3 2012, flat sequentially compared to Q2 2012, and 3% year-over-year increase compared to Q3 2011. Turning to operating profit, our Q3 adjusted operating income totaled $23.8 million with an operating margin of 24.9% benefiting from revenue growth, high services utilization, lower marketing expenses and the FX benefit from the weakened rupee. Our year-to-date adjusted operating income totaled $66.8 million with operating margin of 23.8%, up 300 basis points. Excluding the impact of foreign exchange rate variances, Q3 operating margin is 23.7% and year-to-date operating margin, 22.7%, up 190 basis points over 2011. Below the line and other income loss, we posted a net loss in the quarter of $247,000, which includes nearly $570,000 of FX losses compared to a Q2 2012 FX gain of about $600,000. As I've mentioned earlier, this swing negatively impacted earnings per share sequentially by about $0.035 versus Q2 2012. Year-to-date, we have recognized the FX loss of $363,000 in other income. Given challenges with forecasting currency, we do not forecast FX gains or losses as part of our updated guidance. Income taxes. Our effective income tax rate for the quarter was 35.6%. Currently, we expect our Q4 2012 effective tax rate to be 36%. Transitioning to diluted shares. For the quarter, diluted shares totaled 20,130,000 shares. In Q3, we repurchased about 419,000 shares of Manhattan common stock at an average share price of $50.61, totaling $21.2 million. Option exercises in the quarter totaled about 309,000 shares. For the remainder of 2012, we are estimating Q4 shares of about 20.2 million shares and our full-year diluted shares to be about 20.4 million shares. Our estimates do not assume any Q4 common stock repurchases. Also, after Q3's buyback activity, our board has approved raising our share repurchase authority limit to a total of $50 million. That covers the adjusted results. Our Q3 2012 GAAP diluted earnings per share was $0.69, representing a decrease of 1% compared to $0.70 we reported in Q3 2011. As you may recall, our Q3 2011 GAAP results included a $0.12 benefit from the recovery of a previously impaired investment security. On an apples-to-apples basis, net of this onetime event, our underlying GAAP results improved by 19%. A detailed reconciliation of our GAAP to non-GAAP results is included in our earnings release today. Now turning to cash flow and balance sheet metrics. For the quarter, we delivered cash flow from operations of $17.5 million, bringing our year-to-date total to $51.4 million, representing an increase of 25% over 2011 operating cash flow of $41 million. Our CapEx was $1.1 million in the quarter and $4.3 million year-to-date. And on a full year basis, we estimate capital expenditures to be about $6 million. Our balance sheet continues to support long-term strategic flexibility and stability with our cash and investments balance at September 30, 2012, totaling $107 million compared to $101 million at June 30, 2012. Our cash-to-asset ratio is at 39%, and we have no debt. Now that covers my Q3 remarks. Let's move on to our updated 2012 guidance and preliminary outlook for 2013. For 2012 revenue, we are updating our full year revenue guidance from our previous range of $365 million to $375 million to our new range of $370 million to $375 million, which represents 12% to 14% growth over 2011. In our Q2 call, I indicated we expected our full year total revenue percentage split to be about 50-50 first half versus second half. With Q3 actual revenue of $95.8 million, we see no reason to change the top end of our guidance. With stronger-than-expected Q3 license performance, we are currently estimating Q4 license revenue to be about in line with our Q3 result of $16.2 million. As I discussed earlier, due to the holiday season, we are also forecasting Q4 Services revenue to be about 5% lower than in Q3 2012, and hardware and other revenue to be flat to down sequentially. For 2012 adjusted earnings per share, given our better-than-expected Q3 earnings per share performance, we are raising our previous full year guidance. And with just one quarter remaining, we are tightening the range from our previous range of $2.65 to $2.75 to our new range of $2.75 to $2.80. The new range represents 19% to 21% growth over our 2011 adjusted EPS of $2.32. We continue to expect Q4 earnings per share to be lower than Q3 given the combined impact of seasonally lower Q4 services revenue and the full quarter impact of our Professional Services hiring activity in Q3. Full year GAAP EPS guidance is also raised to $2.49 to $2.54, representing 19% to 22% growth over our 2011 GAAP EPS of $2.09. For reference, a guidance table is provided in today's earnings release. Regarding adjusted operating margins, we're increasing our full year operating margin to a range of 23.3% to 23.5%, representing 190 to 210 basis point increase over 2011. So that's a lot to be said about 2012, but in summary, achieving the midpoint of our 2012 guidance, we should close out the year with total revenue growth of about 13%, operating profit growth of nearly 24% and adjusted earnings per share growth of 19% to 20%. The EPS growth rate is lower than the operating profit growth rate due to 2012 FX losses and our higher 2012 effective income tax rate. Shifting focus to 2013, we are in the early stages of our 2013 budgeting cycle, but here are a few early comments for adjusted EPS modeling purposes. Overall, we expect the competitive environment to be about the same and currently, are cautious on the global macro environment. We continue to focus on steady revenue growth at or above market with consistent earnings growth. So for revenue, we plan to grow our total revenue at about 1.5 to 2x and an expected market growth rate of about 5% to 7%, so low double-digit year-over-year growth of about 10% to 12%. Adjusted operating margins, given our strong operating performance in 2012, we are targeting operating margin expansion of about 50 basis points over our 2012 result. This improvement depends in part on the relative stability of forecasted FX rates for 2013 for the rupee in particular. For effective tax rate, our best estimate at this time is 36%. We should have better visibility post November elections, or at least hopefully. Diluted shares, we are currently forecasting about 20.4 million diluted shares per quarter for 2013 at this stage. Thank you for your time. Now I'll turn the call over to Eddie for the business update.