Jack McGinnis
Analyst · Andrew Steinerman of JPMorgan. Your line is now open
Thanks, Jonas. As a result of the COVID-19 related impacts, on March 18 we disclosed we're withdrawing our previous guidance for the first quarter. Revenue in the quarter represented a reported decline of 8% year-over-year and on a constant currency basis represented a decrease of 6%. Acquisitions offset the impact of dispositions in the quarter and did not have a significant impact on the revenue trend in the quarter and more billing days this year contributed to about 1% of additional revenue. This results in an organic, constant currency days adjusted revenue decline of 7% in the first quarter and compares to the fourth quarter decline of 1.5% on a similar basis. Our revenue trend during the quarter on a billings day adjusted basis included the monthly year-over-year constant currency revenue decline of 17% in March. In March, the majority of the decline was driven by our European businesses during the last two weeks of the month as government's issued states of emergency and related lockdown requirements. Our gross profit margin was down 30 basis points year-over-year and reflected lower permanent recruitment fees and higher sickness and absenteeism in certain countries, as well as increased direct costs associated with early termination of client contracts during the COVID-19 crisis in March. Our first quarter performance resulted in operating profit decline after restructuring costs of 41% or 39% on a constant currency basis. This reflects a significant and sudden operational deleveraging experienced in March. This resulted in operating profit margin of 1.9%, excluding restructuring costs. On a reported basis, earnings per share was $0.03, which included restructuring costs, which had a $0.68 negative impact and a previously disclosed pension settlement charge, which had an $0.11 negative impact. Excluding these costs, earnings per share was $0.82. Regarding our effective tax rate, previously, we had guided to a full-year estimated rate at 34%. As we have discussed in the past, our effective tax rate is significantly impacted by the French business tax. Although this French business tax is primarily calculated based on revenues and not pre-tax earnings, it is considered income tax for US GAAP purposes. In the normal -- in normal economic periods, the French business tax is represented about 7% of our effective tax rate, meaning a 34% to 35% estimate was comprised of an underlying 27% to 28% corporate tax rate component based on blended country income tax rates globally, plus the 7% impact on the French business tax component. Although corporate income taxes in France would be scaled downward due to lower pre-tax income, the French business tax will not see as comparable level of decrease since it remains calculated on revenue levels. As a result, the French business tax component will become a more significant portion of our total income tax expense in 2020, as our underlying corporate income tax amount will decrease on lower taxable income, but the French business tax amount will not decrease as significantly as derived from revenues of our French business, which will not be as reduced as significantly as pre-tax income. This incremental French business tax weighting within our overall tax expense increased our effective tax rate about 7% in the quarter and we will provide further updates as the year progresses as result is dependent on revenues in France. Separately, the first quarter tax expense included a discrete favorable benefit of $4.3 million, which lowered the effective rate by about 6%.The effective tax rate for the first quarter, excluding restructuring and pension settlement costs represented 36.3%. Looking at our gross profit margin in detail, our gross margin came in at 15.7%. The staffing interim margin increase of 10 basis points year-over-year was offset by a decline in permanent recruitment fees year-over-year as a result of the COVID-19 impact in March, as well as lower talent based outcome activity within the Manpower business. We anticipate the ongoing material decline in higher margin permanent recruitment activity during the duration of government lockdowns in most of our markets as the COVID-19 crisis continues into the second quarter. Next, let's review our gross profit by business line. During the quarter, the Manpower brand comprised 62% of gross profit, our Experis Professional business comprised 23% and our newly launched Talent Solutions brand comprised 15%. As part of our year-end 2019 earnings release, we discussed our brand updates. Our year-over-year comparisons reflect the restatement of our brands for the prior year period. During the quarter, our Manpower brand report on organic constant currency gross profit decrease of 10%. Gross profit in our experience brand declined 6% year-over-year during the quarter on an organic constant currency basis. In our two largest Experis markets, this reflects flat gross profit in the U.K and a decrease of 2% in the U.S. This was offset by declines in Sweden, Germany, the Netherlands and Australia. Talent Solutions includes our global market leading RPO, MSP and Right Management offering. Organic gross profit growth in the quarter increased 5% in constant currency, which was driven by MSP and RPO activity in the first two months of the quarter. We experienced a sharp reduction in RPO activity during March as many client programs initiated hiring freezes in light of the COVID-19 crisis. Our Right Management business experienced a decline in gross profit of 3% in organic constant currency during the quarter. Although Right Management has historically experienced an increase in outplacement activity during economic downturns, we are not seeing an increase in outplacement activity at this time as we believe clients are uncertain as to the duration of the downturn. Our reported SG&A expense in the quarter was $686 million, including the $48 million of restructuring costs. SG&A expense was $638 million, a decrease of $21 million from the prior year after excluding restructuring costs from both years. On a constant currency basis, excluding restructuring costs, SG&A expenses were down 1% compared to the prior year. Excluding the restructuring costs, SG&A expenses as a percentage of revenue in the quarter represented 13.8%, which reflected the significant deleveraging on the sudden drop of revenues in March. As the drop in activity in mid-March was significant and sudden, we were not able to meaningfully scale down SG&A in this very short time period. However, we have taken significant actions in late March and early April, which will allow us to reduce SG&A to a much greater degree to better offset the significant gross profit declines anticipated in the second quarter. This includes leveraging government unemployment related benefits, which allowed us to move unutilized staff and associates quickly onto these programs. We expect to recover the restructuring costs of $48 million through cost savings over the next 12 months with full run rate savings beginning in the third quarter. As we've previously announced, the geographical segments now include the results of Right Management and prior periods have been restated for comparative purposes. I'll now turn to cash flow and balance sheet. I move these slides up in the order as a result of current market conditions. Free cash flow defined as cash from operation plus capital expenditures equal to $172 million. This represented strong growth compared to free cash flow in the prior year of $92 million. We have historically experienced increase in free cash flow as we enter a downturn, as we begin to collect out our receivables, while we incur lower payroll costs and lower activity. This contributed to a strong free cash flow effect in March. We would expect a similar underlying trend through the beginning of the second quarter provided that we experience consistent client payment patterns. At quarter end, day sales outstanding decreased slightly year-over-year. In this environment, one of our top priorities is maintaining strong cash flows from collection activities. To date, we have not experienced a significant decrease in cash receipts from clients and are watching this very carefully and ensuring our collection teams are appropriately staffed to diligently pursue payments as per original payment terms. Capital expenditures represented $9 million during the quarter. During the quarter, we purchased 871,000 shares of stock for $64 million. As of March 31, we have 5.9 million shares remaining for repurchase under the 6 million share program approved in August of 2019. Our balance sheet was strong at quarter end with cash of $1.1 billion and total debt of $1.04 billion, resulting in a net cash position of $56 million. Our debt ratios are very comfortable at quarter end with total gross debt to trailing 12 months EBITDA of 1.42 and a total debt to total capitalization at 28%. Our debt and credit facilities did not change in the quarter, and the earliest euro note maturity is not for another 2.5 years. In addition, a revolving credit agreement for $600 million remained unused. Now I will turn to the segment results. The Americas segment comprised 22% of consolidated revenue. Revenue in the quarter was $1 billion, an increase of 1% in constant currency. OUP, including restructuring costs, equals $17 million. This represented a decrease of 26% in constant currency from the prior year, excluding restructuring costs. Of the $13 million of restructuring costs, $11 million related to the U.S., where we consolidated branches and other facilities and optimized front and back office processes and the balance related to Canada and other countries in the Americas where we continue to simplify our operations. The U.S is the largest country in the Americas segment, comprising 60% of segment revenues. Revenue in the U.S was $611 million, down 2% compared to the prior year. Adjusting for billing days and franchise acquisitions, this represented a 6% decrease year-over-year, which included a 12% decrease in the month of March. The impacts of the COVID-19 crisis became more significant in the U.S. as we ended the quarter. During the quarter, OUP for our U.S. business decreased 44% to $13 million excluding restructuring. SG&A costs included $4 million of one-off items, including a bad debt charge and a state sales tax related charge. Excluding restructuring charges, OUP margin was 2.2%, a decrease of 160 basis points from the prior year. Within the U.S., which now includes Right Management as part of Talent Solutions, the Manpower brand comprised 34% of gross profit during the quarter. Revenue for the Manpower brand in the U.S. was down 5% in the quarter or down 12% when adjusted for billing days and franchise acquisitions. The Experis brand in the U.S. comprise 33% of gross profit in the quarter. With an Experis in the U.S., IT skills comprised approximately 70% of revenues. During the quarter, our Experis revenues declined 1% from the prior year and after adjusting for billing days, this represented a decline of 3%.Our Experis business in the U.S has held up well during the COVID-19 crisis. Talent Solutions in the U.S contributed 34% of gross profit, experienced a 9% of revenue increase in the quarter, or a 7% increase on a days adjusted basis. As indicated earlier, our RPO business has experienced significant client hiring freezes in late March into April as a result of the COVID-19 crisis. On overall basis, based on April activity to date, our U.S. business is experiencing a revenue decline of about 20%. And that reflects the Manpower and Talent Solutions businesses are both down significantly in double-digit declines and the Experis business is in the mid-single digit decline. It is uncertain when COVID-19 related restrictions will be lifted in different parts of the U.S and how those developments will impact our revenue trends. Our Mexico operation had flat revenue growth in the quarter and constant currency in the month of March. And the month of March was in line with the quarter overall. The business in Mexico performed well in the quarter in a difficult environment. The government of Mexico issued lockdown requirements at the beginning of April, which is having an impact on our business. During April, our Mexico business is currently experiencing percentage revenue declines in the mid to high single digits. The Mexico government has extended COVID-19 restrictions through May 30. Revenue in Canada was up 9% in constant currency, or 7% on a days adjusted basis. And this included a 3% revenue decline in the month of March. We're very pleased with the performance of our Canada business as they continue to lead the market. During April activity to date, Canada's current rate of revenue decline is in the low double-digit percentage range. Canada has extended their COVID-19 restrictions through May 12 in large parts of the country. Revenue growth in the other countries within Americas was up 10% in constant currency. Southern Europe revenue comprise 42% of consolidated revenue in the quarter. Revenue in Southern Europe came in at $1.9 billion, a decrease of 5% in constant currency. OUP including restructuring costs equal $53 million. Excluding restructuring costs, OUP decreased 26% from the prior year on constant currency and OUP margin was down 100 basis points, driven by France and Italy as a result of the severe impacts of the COVID-19 crisis in March. Of the $13 million of restructuring costs in the region, about a third relates to Portugal, where we are significantly reducing our less profitable call center operations. 20% relates to Spain for front office centralization and organizational simplification, and about 15% each relates to Italy and Switzerland for front office delivery changes, including branches and back office optimization. And the balance primarily relates to simplification of our Israel and Eastern European operations. France revenue comprise 56% of Southern Europe segment in the quarter and was down 14% from the prior year in constant currency, or down 15% on a days adjusted basis. In March, France experienced a days adjusted constant currency decrease of 34%, driven by the government's declaration of a state of emergency mid-month. During April activity to date, our business has been experiencing a year-over-year decline of approximately 65%. OUP was $38 million, a decrease of 29% in constant currency and OUP margin was down 70 basis points in constant currency at 3.5%. We have taken significant actions in France to reduce our costs during this period of materially reduced activity. We have moved about a quarter to a third of our full time equivalent through government, temporary unemployment programs and other initiatives and have cut virtually all discretionary spend. These actions should reduce France's SG&A significantly in April as we manage through the crisis. Improvement in the rate of revenue decline is dependent on the timing of the government's actions to ease the lockdown requirements. As of today, France has announced that their COVID-19 restrictions will be extended through May 11. Revenue in Italy equaled $328 million, representing a decrease of 5% in constant currency, which included a 17% days adjusted decline in March. At the end of March, the government imposed additional significant restrictions due to the crisis, and April activity to date has been down approximately 20% to 25% year-over-year. Permanent recruitment has been an important component of our Italy business and has declined materially during the crisis. We experienced a 50% decline in permanent recruitment gross profit in March and April activity to date is down approximately 70% year-over-year. Excluding restructuring costs, OUP declined 28% in constant currency to $16 million and OUP margin decreased 150 basis points to 4.8%, largely driven by lower gross profit margin on a lower perm contribution. We have taken significant action in Italy to reduce costs during this crisis, which also involves moving FTEs onto temporary unemployment programs. This combined with the benefits of the restructuring actions, should allow our Italian business to significantly reduce their SG&A in April. As of today, Italy's broader restrictions have been extended through May 3 and there may be some businesses opening before that date. Revenue in Spain increased 4% on a days adjusted basis in constant currency from the prior year in the quarter, which includes a days adjusted decrease of 5% in March as the impact of the crisis took hold. During April activity to date, Spain is currently operating at an estimated year-over-year revenue decline of about 25%. Although Spain has recently eased certain work related restrictions, the government has announced they intend to extend their broader lockdown through May 9. We acquire the remaining interest in our Manpower Switzerland franchise at the beginning of the second quarter last year. This business represented 5% of Southern Europe's revenues and experienced trends similar to the other countries in the region due to the COVID-19 crisis. Our Northern Europe segment comprise 23% of consolidated revenue in the quarter. Revenue declined 8% in constant currency to $1.1 billion. OUP including restructuring costs represented a loss of $14 million. Excluding restructuring costs, OUP was $5 million, representing a decline of 72% in constant currency and OUP margin was down 120 basis points. The decline was driven by Germany, the Netherlands and Sweden. Of the $20 million of restructuring costs, two-thirds relates to Germany, where we are taking significant actions to reduce finance and shared services back office costs with the balance relating to the Nordics, the Netherlands and Belgium where we continue to simplify our operations. The largest market in Northern Europe segment is the U.K., which represented 36% of segment revenue in the quarter. During the quarter, U.K revenues were flat in constant currency and down 2% on a days adjusted basis, which included the days adjusted decline of 6% in March. And April activity to date, our U.K business experienced an estimated year-over-year revenue decline of approximately 20%. As of today, the U.S government has imposed COVID-19 restrictions through at least May 7. In Germany, revenues declined 15% on a constant currency basis or 16% on a days adjusted basis in the first quarter, which includes a days adjusted decline of 23% in March. In April activity to date, we estimate a year-over-year revenue decline of 30% to 35%. As Germany is a bench market, meaning our temporary workers are staffed is full time employees for which we absorb the cost of unutilized time and sickness. Our ability to utilize government unemployment benefits for our bench associates and full time equivalents is critical to being able to preserve gross profit margin and minimize operating losses in the current environment. The German program is subject to certain conditions and is providing 60% of loss after tax wages due to the COVID-19 crisis. We anticipate this program will allow us to avoid absorbing substantial levels of unutilized bench costs preserve gross margin. In addition to the restructuring actions I mentioned, the business is also taking significant SG&A actions to reduce the costs of running operations, also utilizing the government program, which is allowing us to reduce SG&A costs significantly in April. Germany has announced they will start to gradually lift certain provisions that they are locked down beginning May 4. In the Nordics, revenues declined 11% on a days adjusted basis and constant currency, which includes a 50% decline in March. The two primary business of Nordics are Norway and Sweden, which are both bench model businesses. During April activity to date, our Nordic businesses estimate a total revenue decline of approximately 20%. Government programs for unemployment benefits for our bench associates and FTEs running the operations are also critical in these markets, and we expect this will allow us to minimize the impact of gross profit margin erosion and reduce SG&A significantly in Sweden and Norway during these steep declines in activity. Revenue in the Netherlands decreased 18% in constant currency on a days adjusted basis during the first quarter, which includes a decline of 21% in March. In April activity to date, we are currently experiencing a year-over-year revenue decline of 30%. We previously mentioned new legislation increasing the cost of temporary work in Netherlands effective at the beginning of the quarter. And this did not appear to have a significant impact on our revenue trends as we experienced an improvement in the rate of revenue at the beginning of the first quarter. Netherlands also has significant bench operations related to our Experis business and current government programs will be utilized to compensate for wages pretending to bench associates as well as our FTEs running operations. Belgium experienced today's adjusted revenue decline of 15% in constant currency during the first quarter, which includes a decline of 30% in March. During April activity to date, we are currently experience a year-over-year revenue decline of 45%. Other markets in northern Europe had a revenue increase of 6% in constant currency, primarily driven by January and February results and involve year-year-over-year growth in Poland and Ireland. We expect these markets to experience a high single-digit revenue decline approaching a double-digit decline in April. The Asia Pacific Middle East segment comprises 13% of total company revenue. In the quarter, revenue decreased 14% in constant currency to $595 million. Adjusting for the deconsolidation of our greater China operations, following their initial public offering in July 2019. This represented an organic constant currency revenue increase of 1% in the first quarter. OUP, including restructuring costs equal $70 million in the quarter. Excluding restructuring costs, this represented a constant currency reduction in OUP of 21%, and after adjusting for the greater China deconsolidation, represented an organic constant currency, OUP decline of 6%. OUP margin decreased 30 basis points excluding restructuring costs. All of the restructuring costs of about $3 million involve Australia, where we continue to simplify the business after exiting certain low margin clients. Revenue growth in Japan was up 8% constant currency basis during the quarter, which includes a days adjusted revenue increase of 6% in March. The government of Japan initiated more restrictive COVID-19 measures in April in Tokyo and other large districts, which will be in place through May. In April activity to date, we are experiencing a year-over-year revenue in the low single-digit percentage range, but this trend could be negatively impacted as result of the recent restrictions. Revenues in Australia declined 22% in constant currency adjusted for billing days, and includes a decline of 31% in March as the COVID-19 crisis took hold. In April activity to date, we are currently experiencing a year-over-year revenue Decline of 30%. Revenue in other markets in Asia Pacific, Middle East were down 26% in constant currency and adjusting for dispositions this represented a 7% growth rate. The largest market in the group includes our India business, which is experiencing double-digit revenue declines in April as the country has imposed various COVID-19 restrictions. We estimate that other markets overall will experience double-digit revenue declines in April. As Jonas mentioned previously, our business is impacted significantly by the COVID-19 restrictions in place in the markets in which we operate. We cannot forecast when and to what extent these restrictions will be lifted throughout the world or the change in demand for our services as restrictions are lifted. And as a result, we cannot forecast our second quarter earnings and will not be providing guidance. I will cover a couple of quick administrative items. The impact of net dispositions in Q2 represents a year-over-year net revenue reduction of about $100 million in the second quarter, largely representing the deconsolidation of Greater China for one last full quarter. As I mentioned, the French business tax, which is recorded as income tax expense for US GAAP, will have an impact on our tax rate in 2020, as is based on revenues and not earnings. We estimate that our weighted average shares to be 58.5 million, reflecting share repurchases through March 31. In summary, as we manage a very difficult environment during the second quarter, we are taking significant actions to scale back our SG&A to respond to the immediate significant gross profit reduction. We enter this environment with significant liquidity and balance sheet strength and are laser focused on optimizing cash flow through strong collections and balance sheet management activity in the second quarter. Although we have outlined the significant immediate actions we are taking, we are also continuing to move our strategic programs forward. We believe this will allow us to capitalize on new business opportunities when we enter a recovery phase and will make us a stronger, more efficient and more productive enterprise. With that, I'd like to turn it back to Jonas.