Meghan Frank
Analyst · Telsey Group
Thanks, Andre. Let me now get into the Q1 financial review and our updated guidance outlook. For Q1, total net revenue rose 4% or 2% in constant currency to $2.5 billion and comparable sales decreased 2%. Within our regions and channels, results were as follows: North America revenue decreased 3% or 4% in constant currency. Comparable sales were down 6%. By country, revenue decreased 3% or 6% in constant currency in Canada and decreased 4% in the U.S. China Mainland revenue increased 30% or 23% in constant currency, with comparable sales increasing 13%. The shift of Chinese New Year into Q1 added 8 percentage points to the growth rate in the quarter. And in our Rest of World segment, revenue increased by 13% or 9% in constant currency, with comparable sales increasing 1%. In our store channel, total sales increased 3%, and we ended the quarter with 816 stores globally. Square footage increased 11% versus last year, driven by the addition of 46 net new lululemon stores since Q1 of 2025. During the quarter, we opened 5 net new stores and completed 6 optimizations. In our digital channel, revenues increased 4% and contributed $1 billion of top line or 40% of total revenue. And by category, men's revenue increased 7% versus last year and women's increased 4%, while accessories and other declined by 1%. Gross profit for the first quarter was $1.34 billion or 54.2% of net revenue compared to 58.3% in Q1 2025. Our gross margin decreased 410 basis points compared to last year and was driven primarily by the following: a 330 basis point decline in overall product margin driven predominantly by tariff impact and markdowns. Tariffs had a gross negative impact of 280 basis points in the quarter, offset by 100 basis points related to our enterprise efficiency initiatives. Markdowns increased 40 basis points. Deleverage on fixed costs was 140 basis points, driven by ongoing investments in our store fleet and regional mix, and foreign exchange had 60 basis points of favorable impact. Moving to SG&A. Our approach continues to be grounded in prudently managing our expenses while also strategically investing in our plans and strategies to improve sales trend in North America, while also strengthening our foundation and positioning lululemon for long-term growth. SG&A expenses were approximately $1.06 billion or 42.9% of net revenue compared to 39.8% of net revenue for the same period last year. The increase of 310 basis points relates to expenses that we've reduced last year, but layered back this year, including store labor hours and incentive comp, timing of certain brand activations and costs related to the proxy contest. These were partially offset by our ongoing initiatives to prudently manage costs across the enterprise. Operating income for the quarter was $277 million or 11.2% of net revenue compared to 18.5% of net revenue in Q1 2025. Tax expense for the quarter was $91 million or 31.8% of pretax earnings compared to an effective tax rate of 30.2% a year ago. The increase relates to lower stock-based compensation deductions compared to last year. Net income for the quarter was $195 million or $1.69 per diluted share compared to $2.60 for the first quarter of 2025. Capital expenditures were approximately $127 million for the quarter compared to approximately $152 million in the first quarter last year. Q1 spend relates primarily to investments to support business growth, including our multiyear distribution center project, store capital for new locations, relocations and renovations and technology investments. Turning to our balance sheet highlights. We ended the quarter with $1.5 billion in cash and cash equivalents and nearly $600 million of available capacity under our revolving credit facility. Inventory at the end of Q1 is $1.7 billion, an increase of 2% on a dollar basis. On a unit basis, inventory decreased approximately 4%. The difference between dollar inventory growth and unit inventory growth relates predominantly to higher tariff rates relative to last year and foreign exchange. We repurchased approximately 2.2 million shares at an average price of $165. Let me shift now to our guidance for Q2, which takes into account the business trends I spoke to earlier. We expect revenue in the range of $2.45 billion to $2.475 billion, representing a decline of 2% to 3%. We expect to open approximately 13 net new company-operated stores and complete 13 optimizations. By region, we expect North America to decline in the low double digits with the U.S. also in that range. We expect China Mainland to increase in the mid- to high teens and Rest of World to increase in the high single to low double digits. We expect gross margin in Q2 to decrease approximately 410 basis points compared to Q2 of 2025. This decrease will be driven predominantly by higher tariff costs, ongoing investments in store openings and optimizations and our distribution network. We expect increased tariffs to have a gross negative impact of approximately 150 basis points, with offsets of approximately 100 basis points. We expect markdowns to be up approximately 50 basis points versus last year. While we continue to expect markdowns to improve modestly year-over-year in the second half, the slower-than-expected top line trends in Q2 will necessitate additional seasonal clearance. In Q2, we expect our SG&A rate to deleverage by 500 basis points relative to Q2 2025. This increase will be driven in part by deleverage associated with lower sales than initially expected, discrete costs related to our proxy contest, increased marketing and expenses that we've reduced last year, but are layering back this year, including store labor hours. And we will continue to invest strategically in our growth initiatives and IT infrastructure. When looking at operating margin for Q2, we expect it to be approximately 11.6% versus 20.7% in Q2 2025 for the reasons I just mentioned. Turning to EPS. We expect earnings per share in the second quarter to be in the range of $1.76 to $1.81 versus EPS of $3.10 a year ago. We expect our effective tax rate in Q2 to be approximately 30%. Turning to our full year 2026 guidance outlook. We now expect revenue to be in the range of $11 billion to $11.15 billion, flat to down 1% relative to 2025. By region, we now expect revenue in North America to be down in the high single digits, with the U.S. slightly lower and Canada better. We continue to expect revenue in China Mainland to be up approximately 20%. And in Rest of World, we continue to expect revenue to increase in the mid-teens. Globally, we now expect to be closer to the low end of the 40 to 45 range for net new company-operated stores in 2026 and continue to expect to complete approximately 35 optimizations. This will contribute to overall square footage growth in the low double digits. Our new store openings in 2026 will include approximately 10 to 15 stores in North America, including 8 in Mexico and 25 to 30 in our international markets, with the majority of these planned for China. While we are taking a disciplined approach to capital spending and looking at all real estate deals on a case-by-case basis, we continue to see good returns from new store openings and store expansions as these strategies contribute to an improved shopping experience for existing guests, new guest acquisition, building brand awareness and community engagement. For the full year, we now expect gross margin to decrease approximately 90 basis points relative to last year, driven predominantly by deleverage on fixed costs and ongoing investment in new store openings, optimizations and our distribution center network. We expect markdowns for the full year to be flat to slightly improved and tariffs to have a gross impact of 30 basis points, of which we expect to be able to offset almost all of it. When looking at tariffs for the full year, our guidance now assumes an incremental rate of 10% for Q2. This is down from our prior assumption of approximately 20%. For the back half of 2026, we continue to assume a 20% incremental rate. In addition, while we are participating in the refund process, our guidance assumes no recovery of tariffs paid under IEEPA. Turning now to SG&A for the full year. While we intend to realize significant savings related to the enterprise enablement pillar of our action plan, we now expect deleverage of approximately 290 basis points versus 2025, including incentive comp, store labor hours and continued strategic investments in our business to support future growth. These investments include market expansion, improving the guest experience by enhancing our omni capabilities and growing brand awareness. As mentioned, we are absorbing additional costs relative to last year as we layered back on certain expenses and have onetime costs associated with the proxy contest. In addition, based on recent trends, we are increasing our marketing spend to drive brand heat. When looking at operating margin for the full year 2026, we now expect it to decrease by approximately 380 basis points versus last year. For the full year 2026, we expect our effective tax rate to be approximately 30% versus our 2025 effective tax rate of 29.5%. For the fiscal year 2026, we now expect diluted earnings per share in the range of $10.95 to $11.15 versus EPS of $13.26 in 2025. Our EPS guidance excludes the impact of any future share repurchases. When looking at inventory, we now expect dollar growth to be in the low to mid-single-digit range through 2026, with units slightly down. We have approximately $1 billion remaining on our share repurchase program, which we will continue to utilize. Share repurchases remain our preferred method of returning cash to shareholders, and we continue to expect our repurchase levels in 2026 to be in line with 2025. Finally, for the full year, we now expect capital expenditures to be approximately $700 million to $720 million. The spend reflects investments to support business growth, including capital for new locations, relocations and renovations, DC and technology investments. Before we open it up for Q&A, as we look at the second quarter and the back half, we will continue to be agile as we take actions that will drive our performance and engage with our guests. We are pleased that some of the recent distractions have been removed, and we remain sharply focused on returning the business to a position of strength in North America by chasing into strong performing styles, investing more in brand moments to engage with and excite our guests and continuing to execute on our action plan. There is significant potential ahead for lululemon, and we are taking the steps necessary to realize it. Operator?