Dhruv Chopra
Analyst · Lucrum
Thank you, Irene. Welcome to our fourth quarter 2018 earnings call. With me on the call today is our CEO, Herman Kotzé; and our CFO, Alex Smith. Our press release and a supplementary financial presentation are available for - on our Investor Relations website, ir.net1.com. We expect to file our Form 10-K in a couple of weeks or sooner. As a reminder, during this call, we will be making forward-looking statements, and I ask you to look at the cautionary language contained in our press release regarding the risks and uncertainties associated with forward-looking statements. In addition, during this call, we will be using certain non-GAAP financial measures, and we have provided a reconciliation of these non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures. We will discuss our results in South African Rand, which is a non-GAAP measure. We analyze our results of operations in our press release in Rand to assist investors in understanding the underlying trends of our business. As you know, the company's results can be significantly affected by currency fluctuations between the U.S. dollar and the South African Rand. We will have a Q&A session following our prepared remarks. So with that, let me turn the call over to Herman.
Herman Kotzé: Thank you, Dhruv. Good morning, and good afternoon to all of our shareholders. We are eagerly counting down the days to the expiration of our contract with SASSA, 32 days to be exact. While we are proud of our achievements and social upliftment to millions of underserved South Africans over the past 6.5 years, the unfounded media allegations, challenges by competitors and NGOs not to mention sometimes hostile political positioning has been very distractive to the company and its shareholders. We remain on track to exit the obligations to SASSA and the Concord as the number of beneficiaries paid during Q4 2018 declined by approximately 82%. Despite this reduction and our conservative revenue recognition policies on CPS revenues, our South African transaction processing and financial inclusion businesses have demonstrated that they are sustainable, differentiated and competitive, fueling our strategy to further expand our fintech offerings in South Africa and internationally. We are proudly South African and are incredibly privileged to have run one of the world's largest and most successful social grant distribution programs, paying on time and without disruption for the past 6.5 years, while using our biometric technology to save the South African treasury over ZAR 2 billion per year as recognized by SASSA in their annual reports. We will finally have the freedom and bandwidth to focus on our financial inclusion initiatives in South Africa and abroad that we expect will return it one, to being a consistently profitable growth company without being burdened by fixed-term contracts or with political or other motivations. With this in mind, and hopefully for the last part of our earnings call, I need to spend more than a few minutes on providing you with an update on our SASSA contract activities before I turn to the important aspects of the group's other activities and our future strategy. As we expected, the transition from CPS to SASSA and the South African Post Office, or SAPO, for the country's welfare grant payments has been complex and tumultuous thus far and given some events we've discovered in the last 48 hours or so, it may still get worse before it gets better. I would like to refer our listeners and investors to our recent South African media release, which is available on our website, where we have warned grant recipients and government officials of the potentially catastrophic potential of disruptions of service in the September pay cycle. We have also put SASSA and SAPO on notice for a new underhanded and potentially illegal conduct, where they are forcing unsuspecting grant recipients without their knowledge or consent to receive the grants through the new SASSA/SAPO card, in turn taking away their constitutional right to choose how and where they wish to be paid. Approximately 800,000 grant recipients with a valid current SASSA card, who used to receive the grants at our cash pay points will not receive the grants into these accounts in September and will soon find out that they have no other option, but to travel to a SASSA or SAPO office to resolve the issue and presumably be issued with a new SAPO card. Given SAPO's challenges to efficiently board new clients as highlighted in the expert panels of last report, the surge in volumes could have disastrous consequences for beneficiaries themselves. In addition, approximately 900,000 grant recipients, who elected to receive the grants into our EasyPay Everywhere accounts by completing the required documentation will not receive their grants into these accounts for September and will suffer a similar fate because SASSA has not processed the supporting documentation in certain instances and is forcing existing EPE clients to receive the grants through the new SASSA/SAPO card even though they have legitimately elected to be paid through EPE. We are concerned that a large amount of these grant recipients will arrive at our pay points and will have to be turned away, all attempts to access their grants through ATMs and point-of-sale devices with no success due to insufficient funds. To make matters worse, SASSA is aggressively closing down thousands of pay points and CPS has this week been instructed not to service any pay point in 4 of the 9 South African provinces. This will create further confusion amongst grant recipients. I have no doubt that SASSA and SAPO will yet again attempt to lay the blame at our door by portraying our criticism of and concerns about the dysfunctional phaseout process as an attempt to prolong our services as a social grant paymaster and that we only care about making money for as long as possible from this contract. I want to categorically state that we fully intend to end our contract with SASSA on 30 September in accordance with the Concord's order. In addition, the contract has been unprofitable for some time, and it is not in our commercial interest to continue, so the argument that it is all about the profits is simply unsustainable. As a proudly South African corporate citizen, we are deeply concerned about the unnecessary stress and hardship that SASSA and SAPO's actions have caused to grant recipients during the last two payment cycles, especially in July and will continue into September. It makes no sense that grant recipients are forced to utilize new accounts with being provided with the required -- without being provided with the required terms and conditions, appropriate education on the consequences of closing an actively used account and forcing them to use unsecured pin numbers instead of biometric verification when they are often old and illiterate. The SAPO distribution network comprising of post offices and ATMs in the national payment system is also wholly inadequate to service the large number of grant recipients in rural areas. We, therefore, expect these uncertain times to prevail for the next two quarters. But what is clear is that Net 1, while not playing a direct role in grant payments going forward, will continue to offer banking solutions to this market segment as we have built out and operate the only payments infrastructure in place to effectively and properly service these constituents in close proximity to where they live. We welcome any fair competition that ensures the best product at the best price to these constituents. The conclusion of this sordid affair will bring us to an exciting new chapter in Net 1's history. And starting in fiscal 2019, the transformation of our business into a sustainable and profitable global fintech company. I will now turn to our other businesses and strategy. Our strategy going forward will focus, primarily on the 3 following areas. One, in South Africa, where we intend to further expand our transaction processing and financial inclusion product and services to the unbanked and underbanked by leveraging our unparalleled last mile infrastructure and synergies with DNI, Cell C and Finbond. Two, IPG, or the International Payments Group, having aggressively consolidated our international assets under IPG during fiscal 2018. Starting in fiscal 2019, we will unveil our new go-to-market brand and end-to-end issuing, acquiring and processing solutions to underserved small businesses in the coming weeks. IPG will, in collaboration with Bank Frick, also continue to expand its blockchain and cryptocurrency processing and storage solutions. And third, international expansion of our payment solutions activities, including around UEPS/EMV, virtual card and other new payment technologies within Net 1 and in collaboration with our key strategic investment partners being Finbond, Bank Frick, MobiKwik and One Finance. Starting with South Africa. First, let me begin with EasyPay Everywhere, which is our independent consumer-focused card issuing strategy in South Africa through the provision of a low-cost transactional bank account. As we discussed previously, preparations for our post-SASSA contract strategy in South Africa actually began in May 2015 with the launch of EasyPay Everywhere, or EPE and the deployment of our interoperable card acquiring network in the form of ATMs and point-of-sale devices at strategic locations. Since that launch, over the past few years, we've added almost 3 million accounts with account growth reaccelerating in fiscal 2018. Importantly, over this period, we've had a negligible number of accounts closed or churned, further proof of the value of this mobile banking product and the access to other services that it provides. However, as I've just described, the recent campaign undertaken by SASSA and SAPO to reregister wealthy grant recipients to the new SAPO-issued SASSA debit cards has caused considerable confusion among this group of account holders, specifically been told by the minister and SASSA that they can only receive the grants if they have a newly issued SAPO card. Thus, while we continue to experience the same rapid level of new account growth. For the first time, we are also experiencing meaningful attrition in our base. Importantly, SASSA's insistence on the conversion of the entire grant recipient base to the new SASSA/SAPO card is not in line with regulations or a recipients constitutional rights to choose an account of their choice. Recipients can elect to receive their grant in any bank account they choose, and we are confident that benefits, accessibility, functionality and the additional services available from EPE will ultimately win adoption and continued loyalty once this option again becomes apparent to our customer base and the noise around the contract expiration subsides. We anticipate this situation to remediate itself quickly as SASSA and SAPO completes this registration process in the next few months and also as we increase our own marketing efforts. We now expect the number of net active EPE accounts to be between 2 million to 2.5 million during Q1 2019 and then grow modestly of that base through the remainder of fiscal 2019. We also expect ARPU for this account base to remain flat to up 5% for fiscal 2019. EPE remains a key driver of our South African consumer strategy and will further be supplemented by synergies with Cell C and DNI, which we believe will begin to fuel the addition of higher income EPE users. We fully expect to hit our targets of reaching more than 5 million EPE customers, though, given the recent actions by SASSA during the backend of the contract termination process, we believe it is prudent to push out the time line for our target by three months that is to December 2019. We will continue to articulate the progress we have made towards this every quarter. The synergies created by our investments in DNI, Cell C and Finbond create both new distribution channels and additional product offerings, as we redirect our significant resources away from our SASSA contract obligations to growing our EPE consumer products and financial inclusion platform. EPE provides access to our ATM and point-of-sale infrastructure, utilizing our last mile connectivity as well as access to the cheapest financial inclusion products. We have also identified an opportunity to expand our mobile ATM and proprietary point-of-sale acquiring business to accept cards from all other banks, which we believe will further supplement our transaction processing activities in South Africa. Since we commence this initiative, the number of non-Net 1 customers accessing our fixed ATM infrastructure has increased from 124,000 in March to 310,000 at the end of June. We believe the number of individuals utilizing our infrastructure will increase meaningfully, once we make our mobile ATM infrastructure interoperable. Our branch network has grown from 150 to 169 branches, and we expect this to grow further to 180 branches over the next 12 months. Similarly, our fixed ATMs are expected to grow from 1,100 to over 1,500 this fiscal year. And together with the interoperability of our mobile ATMs, another 800-plus ATMs will become accessible to customers of any bank. Our card acquiring initiative is, therefore, the important other part of our South African strategy. With Finbond, we have completed the development for them to become an issuer of UEPS/EMV cards, and we are waiting final certification from the card networks. We expect to commence with issuance of cards in the second quarter of 2019. Finbond themselves have over 450 branches in South Africa. Together with Finbond, we would have over 600 branches and 2,000 ATMs, giving us a combined network that will rival any of the large retail banks in South Africa. Our financial services offerings tie into and are an integral part and differentiator of our EPE offering and our loan book and insurance premiums continue to expand. Second, I wish to discuss the developments in our telecom-related investments, namely DNI and Cell C, and how they tie into our South African strategy. We consolidated DNI, effective the end of June 2018, and its operating performance will be consolidated in fiscal 2019 with after-tax minority interest of 45%. DNI posted profit after-tax of approximately ZAR 280 million, and far exceeded its projected financial targets of ZAR 230 million to ZAR 250 million for the full year ended June 30, 2018. Now that DNI is a group subsidiary, we will be able to accelerate our joint projects to leverage our complementary distribution networks, contracts and products to deliver comprehensive lifestyle products to our customers. DNI itself has some exciting and disruptive technologies, such as its micro-jobbing application that provides income generating opportunities to all South Africans and can become a lifeline for the many unemployed citizens and not only in South Africa but internationally as well. Finally, to Cell C, they recently announced tower-sharing agreement will be transformational for Cell C, DNI and Net 1 and the South African public as it removes one of the biggest barriers for our low-cost products, which was limited interest and overlap with our customers due to poor signal coverage. This tower-sharing initiative is expected to become fully operational by November 2018 and will seamlessly take up Cell C's 4G coverage from 33% to 80% of the country. This means that our customers will finally see Cell C as a dependable operator in their regions and together with our ability to create and price attractive lifestyle products will benefit consumers as well as all 3 organizations. Cell C last week reported interim results for the 6 months ending June 30, 2018. And while I will let Alex discuss the financials, I wanted to note that the operating metrics and performance continues to trend in the right direction, demonstrating returns on the investments they have been able to make following their recapitalization last year. Next, I will focus on the second component of our strategy being international and IPG, in particular. As a reminder, over the course of 2018, we have consolidated our various international assets, including T24, Masterpayment, Masterpayment Financial Services in Malta and our investments in Bank Frick under one entity currently called the International Payments Group. This entity, which will soon operate under a new brand has consolidated the various businesses closed down nonstrategic operations, such as working capital finance to nonpayment solutions customers and undergone various restructuring activities. We have appointed several new business development and sales executives to help drive the expansion of this business. Over the past quarter, IPG has made progress in identifying new bank partners, new products and channels and building on its newer blockchain and cryptocurrency processing initiatives. Development for its new multicurrency issuing platform called Atlas and a new card management system, [Kaleidoscope] is complete, and we expect MasterCard and Visa certification during the second quarter of 2019 -- fiscal 2019. In addition, IPG is working on a solution to consolidate all its processing offerings with single-point integration. The offering will include instant onboarding of merchants to accelerate scale and could meaningfully enhance its value proposition for small merchants, particularly in Europe. Net 1, in collaboration with Bank Frick, is exploring a new generation of crypto asset custodial products, addressing what is arguably one of the most significant and unresolved challenges that exist in the crypto industry. The objective is to deliver a holistic product that leverages Net 1's core cryptographic blockchain biometric verification and hardware security module knowhow, underpinned by a modern compliance and regulatory framework to offer the crypto asset storage solution of the future. Research and development is already underway, with the Net 1 blockchain division to deliver the best-in-class technology solutions to some of the most persistent security issues in the crypto industry today. IPG with its U.K. and EU regulatory licenses along with Net 1 India is also defining a new cross-border payment product to further leverage our strategic investment in MobiKwik. Bank Frick for its part has firmly established its position as one of the leading blockchain technology banks in Europe and has made significant investments in this area over the past 6 months. It has expanded the range of cryptocurrencies\ for which it to offers trading to institutional investors and custodian services and Liechtenstein has recently become one of the first countries in the world to publish progressive draft regulations for blockchain and cryptocurrency activities. In India, we launched our virtual card project with MobiKwik in late April this year. To date, we have controlled the number of users added daily due to a merger by our issuing bank partner. And earlier this week, we received approval to start accelerating new customer onboarding, resulting in a 15% increase in registered users this week alone. We have seen very positive trends in the take-up and usage among the registered user base, which currently stands at 65,000 users. For the three month period ending August 2018, we have processed approximately 75,000 transactions, which is a sequential increase of 176%, and transaction processing value was INR 2.1 billion or approximately $3 million, a sequential increase of 256%. Approximately 70% of the spend on virtual card is at locations where the MobiKwik wallet is not accepted, thereby adding meaningful value to their acceptance network. We are currently also evaluating the rollout of multiple other products, including the cross-border payment initiative with IPG. MobiKwik itself has rapidly transformed from being a pure digital wallet player to a digital financial services provider, which more closely aligns to Net 1 strategy. Their lending business launched about 6 months ago, has seen rapid adoption. And by number of loans issued daily, they have already become one of the largest digital lenders in the country. MobiKwik will continue to expand its range of offerings, including insurance, wealth management and remittances. In Nigeria, our investment company OneFi is the first neobank in sub-Saharan Africa offering loans, fixed savings and payment services to its customers via its proprietary 100% mobile app platform Paylater. In 2018 alone, so far the company has processed over 1 million loans using its machine learning algorithms that preclude the need for any human interaction. The company is expanding its product line to include credit cards, insurance and personal finance management in keeping with its mission to provide financial services to the next billion and will expand to 2 other countries in West Africa by the end of this calendar year. Net 1 continues to be excited by and support of all the expanded OneFi business model. Similar to the other major neobank platform, such as Revolut, N26 and Nubank, OneFi's ability to impact and revolutionize the financial services sectors in the markets in which it operates should not be underestimated. Let me now discuss the third aspect of strategy for the international deployment of our payment technologies. We are continuously analyzed the base go-to-market strategy for international UEPS/EMV opportunities. As you are aware, last year we decided to create a joint venture based in London and driven by season payment industry executives. Given the time and effort to build the pipeline of active and realizable project, we now believe that being based in a first-world environment significantly extends the potential time to market. Therefore, to remain proactive, to approach these opportunities, we believe we will be better served by working with people who are on the ground and already have partners and customers in specific emerging countries. To that effect, we have identified the provider of mobile payment solutions across multiple African countries, who is keen to expand their offerings in those markets, including card-based solutions, utilizing UEPS/EMV. We will provide more details on this effort as soon as we are able to finalize matters with our proposed partner. Turning to KSNET. The regulatory headwinds on our South Korean subsidiary and the resulting effect on our results, they have yielded many questions from our investors over the past year. I'm pleased to say that borrowing any further regulatory changes, we feel the worst is behind us as our EBITDA margins bottoms out in Q3 at around 16% and rebounded nicely to 20% in Q4. Revenues, driven mostly by transaction volumes, are also becoming -- beginning to recover as seen in Q3 and Q4, being relatively flat in local currency versus the prior year periods after several quarters of declines. The loss of the current pricing changes in South Korea took place in October 2017 and therefore, comparisons should get a little easier starting in Q2. It's this steady revenue and margin improvement that will move us back towards our previously stated goal of returning to our $40 million plus per year EBITDA run rate by fiscal 2020. We will also intend to invest in some expert advice to help us better navigate the opportunities and challenges presented by those new transaction processing landscape as well as to help us assist and explore our strategic alternatives with this valuable asset. Before I hand over to Alex, I want to comment on our investment portfolio, which I believe warrants meaningful attention by our current and potential shareholders. It is clearly undervalued by the investor community as it now represents almost 70% of our total market value despite minimal contribution to our overall EBITDA and fundamental earnings per share results. Cell C, Finbond, Bank Frick, MobiKwik and OneFi are all doing very well as seen in some metrics in our press release. We expect exciting corporate finance activities in most of these investment companies as they seek to expand their activities and optimize their capital structures, which in turn brings us to the topic of our own capital allocation. In fiscal 2018, we spend $291 million on new strategic investments, with each of these fitting nicely into our long-term strategy of A, reaching our full potential in South Africa and B, diversifying globally. In fiscal 2019, we may engage in a few small strategic investments. However, at current levels, we actually see great value in our own shares. We currently have approximately $76 million remaining on our existing share repurchase program, but we are restricted from using our current cash surplus and South African cash flows until we pay down our outstanding loans of approximately $50 million in full. Once our loans are repaid or if we find liquidity elsewhere, we will be in a position to consider opportunistically resuming our share repurchase program. To sustain our commitment to engage with our shareholders, we look forward to meeting some of you in the U.S. next month. The steps and actions we have taken to drive the new Net 1 are meaningful, and we expect to deliver tangible benefits of our strategy starting in fiscal 2019, which as I have said, but will reiterate is our transition year and also one that is likely to be the bottom of our earnings generation. We have positioned the company to navigate through the short-term challenges of exiting our contract with SASSA and positioned our South African business to drive increases in our financial inclusion businesses. While internationally, the restructuring and repositioning of IPG is expected to continue to sustain its recent growth trajectory. With our execution, we hope to rebuild the confidence and credibility in our business and strategy and return Net 1 to the echelon of leading international growth companies. Alex will now go over the financial performance and metrics in more detail before we will open up the session for Q&A.