Daniel Murphy
Analyst · Credit Suisse. Your line is open
Thanks, Rob. I will begin with a reflection on 2015, provide fourth quarter 2015 operational and financial highlights and finish with an update to our guidance. I would like to highlight four main operational accomplishments for 2015. Revenue increased 19% in constant currency to a record 239 million, which excludes 10 million impacts for foreign exchange. Sales productivity is improving as evidenced by record second half 2015 new contract signings, our largest of initial sale -- initial deals and a record number of large deals. We materially advanced the migration to LiveEngage and in 2015 with 45% of the customers on the platform. We will returned to margin expansion mode, increasing adjusted EBITDA margin 380 basis points to 10.8% in second half of 2015 from 7% in the first half of 2015. We are strongly encouraged by the traction we are seeing for our best-in-class LiveEngage platform and our unique vision for transforming customer care. With our first commitments for mobile only deployments, we think this is an important moment, not just for LivePerson, but for the consumer. The Company is focused on completing the migration to LiveEngage in 2016 as the platform underpins our ability to deliver our vision. As Rob discussed, with any migration there is and associated risk to revenue. The Company’s customer renewal rate was 84% for the trailing 12 months versus our target of 90% or better, reflecting our focus on migration. We had conversations across our customer base for past several months about renewal and migration plans and we’ve had a good handle on retention. We are confident that the migration impacts on revenue run-rate and renewal rate are temporary. We anticipate returning to 90% plus customer renewal rates as we convert more customers to LiveEngage. An indication of LivePerson’s overall customer relationships is our dollar retention rate, which represents the total recurring revenue retained in a period inclusive of attrition, down-sells and up-sells. Our dollar retention rate for the trailing 12 months was in the mid-90% range. Reflecting continued growth from brands that our customer experience focused and truly aligned with our vision. With that, I will turn your attention to our fourth quarter 2015 operating results. Revenue increased 2% year-over-year to 59.2 million leading our guidance range, excluding an approximate 2.1 million drag from foreign currency exchange. Total revenue would have increased 5%. B2B revenue advanced 2% to 55.2 million or 6% year-over-year in constant currency. Consumer revenue declined 5% to 4 million. Revenue from our international operations increased 17% in constant currency in the fourth quarter and accounted for approximately 34% of total revenue. We signed 122 customer contracts in the fourth quarter and 25 of those with new enterprise or mid-market brands. Although our average deals count was slightly down compared to last year, our average selling price for new contracts in the second half of 2015 increased 38% versus the year-ago period. Trailing 12-month average revenue for enterprise and mid-market customer increased 5% sequentially and 20% year-over-year to 197,000 in the fourth quarter of 2015 compared to 187,000 in the third quarter of 2015 and 164,000 in the fourth quarter of 2014. The trailing 12 months revenue figures are pro forma that exclude contributions from the previously disclosed customer contract that ended in the second quarter of 2015. Fourth quarter per share adjusted EBITDA of $0.11 at the high end of our guidance range, adjusted net income was $0.017 per share exceeded our guidance range. GAAP net loss per share of $0.33 was below guidance, but included a negative tax impact of $0.29 per share. LivePerson in consultation with its outside auditors determined that it was appropriate to book at 13.5 million valuation allowance against the deferred tax asset on the balance sheet due to the company’s current cumulative loss over an extended period. Fourth quarter gross margin of 67.5% included a $1.5 million impact from the reallocation of prior period continuing earn-out adjustments to G&A from cost of goods sold. For a simple comparison, the non-GAAP gross margin of 71.7%, which excludes non-cash items, was in line with the third quarter of non-GAAP margin of 71.8%. The company’s cash balance increased to 54.2 million at the end of the fourth quarter of 2015 from 46.2 million at the end of the third quarter. LivePerson generated solid cash flow from operating activities of 11 million. In the fourth quarter of 2015, cash flow from operations totaled 21.8 million for all of 2015. 2015 capital expenditures totaled 13 million, which included cost to build our data centers in Asia-Pacific region and cost to consolidate offices in Atlanta, Georgia. The company repurchased approximately 420,000 shares of stock for $4.2 million in 2015. Turning your attention to LivePerson’s 2016 outlook, they encouraged by the value of customer contracts generated in the second half of 2015, a solid pipeline entering 2016 and [indiscernible] of LiveEngage and our vision around mobile. Nearer term, however, we will continue with the soft start that we had in the first half of 2015 given the annualized revenue recognition of SaaS revenue and our focus on migrations. As such we expect 2016 adjusted revenue to be roughly flat year-over-year excluding foreign exchange impacts and the large customer relationship that ended in the second quarter of 2015. I will walk you through more specific guidance projections in a moment. Our first quarter outlook reflects the timing gap between the roll-off of revenue from attrition, to focus on migration and revenue recognition on some of our large recent wins which we expect to start in the second quarter. Despite the tempered revenue outlook we remain committed to increasing profitability in 2016 just as in the second half of 2015 we planned to optimize our operations and capitalizing the investments made in LiveEngage. Our 2016 guidance implies 8% to 22% growth in adjusted EBITDA as compared to 2015 and a 110 to 210 basis points improvement to our adjusted EBITDA margin. Our detailed 2016 financial expectations are as follows. For the first quarter of 2016 we expect revenue of $55 million to $56 million, adjusted EBITDA of $4 million to $4.9 million or $0.07 to $0.09 per share, adjusted net loss of $0.02 to $0.0 per share and a GAAP net loss per share of $0.08 to $0.06. For the full year 2016 our expectations are as follows. Revenue of $230 million to $235 million, revenue guidance includes a negative foreign currency drag of $1.5 million, adjusted EBITDA of $23 million to $26 million, or $0.40 to $0.45 per share, adjusted net income per share of $0.5 to $0.10 and a GAAP net loss per share of $0.17 to $0.12. Note that in 2016 and for future periods, we’ll be applying a standardized 35% tax rate to all non-GAAP add backs when calculating adjusted net income. For comparison, the tax rate on non-GAAP adds back is effectively 0% in 2015. This change has no effect on cash taxes but accounts for $0.12 per share decrease in our 2016 guidance – adjusted net income guidance as compared to our 2015 actuals. We expect to pay cash takes between 1 million and 3 million in 2016. Furthermore as a percent of revenue for the year, we anticipate gross profit to be approximately 70%, sales and marketing is 40%, G&A is 15%, and R&D is 16%. Please refer to LivePerson’s earnings release issued earlier today for details on our full year 2016 assumptions. We have also published a presentation on the Investor Relations page of our website that reviews key points from the earnings call. LivePerson is entering 2016 with a clear plan for migration of our customers to LiveEngage and for partnering with brands to create meaningful connections with consumers via mobile. We are navigating the final transitory impacts of our business from the platform migration all while delivering higher adjusted EBITDA margins. In fact, we expect to exit 2016 low to mid-teens of adjusted EBITDA margin and we are confident that the company is pursuing the correct long-term strategy. With that, I’ll open the call to questions. Operator?