Matthew Audette
Analyst · Citigroup
Thank you, Dan and I'm glad to speak with everyone on today's call. Our business performed well again in Q2 and the macro environment remained strong. Equity markets continue to rise and interest rates increased following the fed rate hike in June. With this favorable backdrop, we grew assets, increased gross profit, stayed disciplined on expenses and drove operating leverage. This led to $0.74 of earnings per share in Q2. Looking at our progress over the past year, we're pleased to have delivered 11% year-over-year asset growth. 13% gross profit growth, 29% EBITDA growth and 40% EPS growth. These results reflect our focus on growing our core business and executing with excellence. Let's now go into our Q2 business results in greater depth, starting with brokerage and advisory assets. We finished the quarter at $542 billion, up $12 billion or 2% sequentially. Net new assets were $0.4 billion and we had another strong quarter of net new advisory assets at $5.9 billion, including $2 billion in conversions from brokerage. I also want to provide a final update on the anticipated departures we discussed over the last 2 quarters. As a reminder, we expected about $6 billion in mostly brokerage assets and 210 advisers to leave during the first half of 2017. In Q1, we had $3.9 billion in assets and 118 advisers to leave related to those departures. During Q2, we had an additional $1.7 billion in assets and 100 advisers depart. So in total, we had $5.6 billion in assets and 218 advisers depart and we do not anticipate any future material impact from those departures. Excluding those departures, net new assets were $2.1 billion or an annualized growth rate of 2% with advisory and net inflow of $6.1 billion. In brokerage, a net outflow of $4 billion. Also excluding the departures, advisor count increased by 2 and production retention was 97%. Before we walk through our Q2 financial results in greater depth, I want to highlight an update we made to our press release this quarter. To provide additional clarity into our financial performance. Our business model drives two primary types of revenue, commission and advisory revenues which have a payout to advisers; and attachment revenue which does not have a payout. To make this simpler, we updated our management P&L by moving commission and advisory expense up and adding a subtotal for net commission and advisory fees after payout. This view makes it easier to see the gross profit we keep and we hope you find this updated disclosure helpful. Turning to our Q2 financial results. Gross profit was $389 million, up 3% sequentially. This is primarily driven by higher advisory fees, cash sweep and sponsor revenues. Looking at commissions, there were $421 million, relatively flat sequentially. This is primarily driven by higher trailing commissions which increased along with equity markets and was mostly offset by slower sales commissions. As for advisory fees, they were $347 million, up $17 million or 5% from Q1. Advisory fees are mostly billed off prior quarter balances, so Q1 market growth and recruiting benefited these revenues. Turning to payout rate. It was 86.4% in Q2, up from 85.9% in Q1, primarily due to seasonally higher advisor production bonuses. Looking ahead to Q3, we anticipate advisor production bonus expense to continue increasing seasonally. And as a reminder, last year in Q3, the advisor production bonus payout rate increased by about 0.5 percentage point sequentially and the expense increased by about $4 million. Turning back to Q2, net commissions and advisory fees were $104 million, down $2 million sequentially. Net commission and advisory fees also represented about a quarter of our gross profit in Q2 and attachment revenue made up the remaining roughly 3 quarters. Moving on to asset-based fees which includes sponsor and cash sweep revenues. Sponsor revenues were $102 million, up $4 million from Q1. This increase is primarily due to higher market levels which drove up average billable assets. As for cash sweep revenues, they were $72 million, up $12 million from Q1. This growth was driven by higher yields following the March and June fed rate hikes, partially offset by lower balances. While client cash as a percent of assets has averaged about 6% over the long term, Q2 finished at 5.1%. This is down from 5.7% in the prior quarter as advisers put more money to work in the market for their clients. As we look forward, I want to highlight a couple updates on our cash sweep program. First, we launched our new business account ICA program which provides FDIC insurance for more clients. As such, we had about $1 billion in cash balances transfer from money market funds to ICA earlier in July. Next, the June fed rate hike was the third rate increase in the last year and market deposit rates increased modestly following that rate hike. So it made sense to move our deposit rates up as well. We increased our deposit rate slightly to a range of 2 basis points for smaller accounts to 10 basis points for larger accounts, effective August 1. This will increase payments to depositors by approximately $5 million annually. With those updates in mind, the main driver of our cash sweep revenue going forward remain short term interest rates, primarily the fed funds effective rate. For the last few rate hikes, we anticipated generating at least $40 million of annual gross profit benefit per rate hike, approximately $35 million from ICA and DCA and about $5 million from money market funds. In practice, the benefit has been higher than that as market deposit rates have not moved as much as we had assumed. Going forward, our money market fund balances have now reached their max yield of around 70 basis points as the business accounts that transfer to ICA had higher max yields. So we anticipate $35 million of annual gross profit benefit from future fed rate hikes driven by our ICA and DCA balances. Just remember that these balances can move up or down in any quarter, but $35 million is a good, rough estimate. As for Q3, we anticipate our ICA yield to be approximately 120 basis points. This includes the remaining impact of the June rate hike, the impact of our deposit rate increases and business accounts moving to ICA in July. This outlook also assumes no further fed rate hikes and no further changes to deposit rates in Q3. Now turning back to Q2 into transaction and fee revenues. They were $109 million, up $1 million or 1% sequentially. The increase was driven by a new account fee for alternative investments in nonretirement accounts, similar to what we already charge in retirement accounts. We implemented this fee in the second quarter effective at the beginning of 2016. So our Q2 results include approximately $5 million related to 2016 and Q1 2017 and we expect an ongoing benefit of about $1 million per quarter. Mostly offsetting this increase, transaction volumes were down sequentially and we had $2 million of account termination fees in Q1 that did not repeat. And as a reminder, our national advisor conference focus is in Q3. So we expect conference revenues will increase by approximately $6 million sequentially. Let's now move to expenses starting with core G&A. In Q2, core G&A expense was $176 million, down $1 million from Q1. So for the first half of the year, our run rate has been slightly below our 2017 core G&A outlook range of $710 million to $725 million. However, we do expect to increase our spending modestly in the second half of the year with our focus on DOL rule implementation, client works rollout and other enhancements. We also continue to look for efficiency opportunities. And in Q3, we're planning to reduce our real estate footprint in Boston. This will save us about $1 million of core G&A per year starting in Q4, while also increasing depreciation by about $1 million in Q3. Given our continued focus on opportunities like these and our progress on expenses through the first half of the year, we have narrowed our 2017 core G&A outlook to $710 million to $720 million. Moving on to Q2 promotional expenses. They were $32 million, down $5 million sequentially. This is primarily due to lower conference expense as we had 2 major advisor conferences in Q1, but none in Q2. Looking ahead to Q3, we expect conference expense to increase by approximately $14 million, as we have focused in Q3. And as a reminder, transition assistance which is based on our recruiting success and is somewhat more difficult to predict could also move promotional expense up or down on a quarterly basis. Moving to regulatory-related expenses for Q2. Our total is $5 million, relatively flat sequentially. Looking forward, regulatory expense remains difficult to predict especially on a quarterly basis, but we continue to expect our 2017 full year results will be closer to our 2016 total of $17 million rather than our 2015 total of $34 million. Looking at other expenses for Q2, interest expense was $26 million, up $1 million sequentially. Our March debt refinancing lowered our interest expense by about $1 million per quarter all else equal. At the same time, we have $1.7 billion of floating rate debt, while short term interest rate increases has benefited us overall, they have also increased our debt cost slightly by about $2 million sequentially. Next, let's turn to capital management. We remain focused on balance sheet strength and allocating capital to drive growth in shareholder returns. Our leverage ratio declined to 3.1x, due to our continued earnings growth. Cash available for corporate use decreased seasonally to $527 million, as we had 2 federal cash tax payments in Q2 following no federal payments in Q1. Our long term goal for cash available for corporate use is to be closer to $200 million and we're currently below our target leverage range of 3.25 to 3.5x. So we're in a strong financial position with significant capital available to deploy. We continue to see a number of opportunities that could drive growth and value for shareholders. We plan to stay flexible, strategic and disciplined in our approach investing for profitable long term growth. For capital deployment in Q2, we increased the pace of our share repurchases to $36 million, up from $22 million in Q1. Though our amount of repurchases will likely vary quarter-to quarter. We also paid $23 million in the form of regular dividends and had $28 million of CapEx mostly on technology. In closing, we're pleased to have delivered another quarter of strong business and financial results. We remain focused on growing assets and gross profit, staying disciplined on expenses to create operating leverage and deploying capital to drive growth and shareholder returns. With that, operator, please open the call for questions.