Craig Felenstein
Analyst · Stifel. Please go ahead
Thanks, Sven. As Sven mentioned, Lindblad generated strong growth during 2018, as our strategic investment in expanding our capacity and developing our sales and marketing capabilities, along with a proven track record of delivering high quality and authentic expedition experiences, allowed us to further capitalize on the growing demand for immersive adventure travel. With the launch of the National Geographic Venture in December and a strong booking environment, we are poised to build on this momentum in 2019. Bookings throughout 2018 for future travel increased by 20% versus 2017. And we already have over 10% more bookings for 2019 than we did at the same point a year ago for 2018 with broad demand across our growing fleet. For the full year 2018, total company revenue increased 16% to $309.7 million with 14% growth at the Lindblad segment and 28% growth at Natural Habitat. We also delivered significant operating leverage as the strong revenue increase resulted in adjusted EBITDA growth of 26% to $54.8 million with a 24% increase at the Lindblad segment and a 46% increase at Natural Habitat. Turning to each of the segments, the Lindblad segment generated revenues of $246.3 million during 2018, 14% growth over a year ago with increases across all key metrics. Available Guest Nights expanded 8% primarily due to a full year of operations for the National Geographic Quest, which launched in July of 2017 and to a lesser extent from the launch of the National Geographic Venture in December of 2018. The prior year did also include the impact of the voyage cancellations on the National Geographic Orion and Sea Lion that we have previously discussed, partially offset by a transatlantic voyage on the National Geographic Orion as the vessel travel from Portugal to Chile in October of 2017. This voyage was not repeated in the current year. Occupancy in 2018 increased to 91% from 87% a year ago, as we saw increased broad-based demand across our fleet and we further expanded our net yields with 6% growth to $1044 per night. Reflecting the strong occupancies and higher prices across our entire fleet for most of the year. Turning to the cost side of the Lindblad segment, operating expenses in 2018, increased 8% versus 2017, primarily reflecting a 9% increase in cost of tours due in large part to a full year of operations of the National Geographic Quest and launch costs related to the National Geographic Venture as well as higher fuel costs in the current year. Fuel costs in 2018 increased 32% versus the prior year, primarily due to the fleet expansion as well as from higher prices. Fuel was 3.7% of revenue in 2018, as compared to 3.2% in 2017. Overall, adjusted net cruise cost on a per-night basis increased 2% to $806 due predominantly to the launch related to the National Geographic Venture with a limited number of revenue days given the timing of the launch, as well as from higher overall fuel costs in the current year. Sales and marketing expense in 2018 increased 10% primarily due to higher commissions associated with the strong revenue growth while G&A expense was in line with 2017 as higher personnel and credit card costs to support our growth initiatives were offset by lower severance costs and a decline in stock-based compensation expense associated with shares granted under the CEO allocation plan a year ago and due to the majority of our outstanding options being fully expensed at the end of 2017. Depreciation and amortization increased 21% this past year primarily due to the launch of the new vessels. When you exclude the stock-based compensation, severance cost and DNA, total operating expenses at the Lindblad segment were 11% higher than 2017 with the majority of the increase associated with the new vessels. Overall, the Lindblad segment delivered significant operating leverage during 2018 with 14% revenue growth resulting in 24% adjusted EBITDA growth. Turning to the Natural Habitat segment, revenues for the full year grew 28% versus 2017 to 63.4 million due to additional departures and higher pricing. Natural Habitat also delivered real operating leverage this past year with adjusted EBITDA increasing 45% to 7 million as the revenue growth was partially offset by a 26% increase in operating expenses due to the higher marketing and personnel costs to drive long-term growth initiatives and as well as increased cost of tours for the additional departures this past year. Total company net income available to common stockholders in 2018 was 11.4 million or $0.24 a share versus 8.7 million or $0.19 per share of a net loss available for common shareholders in 2017. Due to the improved operating results as well as from lower tax expense primarily due to a $12.7 million impact from the enactment of the U.S. Tax Cuts and Jobs Act in December of 2017 that we discussed a year ago. Turning quickly to the fourth quarter of 2018. Total company revenue growth was 12% versus the fourth quarter of '17 while adjusted EBITDA declined by 0.7 million as the revenue growth was more than offset by higher costs, most notably from the timing of the launch of the National Geographic Venture as expected. The Lindblad segment generated 6% revenue growth to 51.8 million from the launch of the National Geographic Venture in December. Occupancy expansion to 91% versus 86% in the fourth quarter of 2017 and 16% net yield growth to $1071 per night, which was partially offset by a 9% decline in Available Guest Nights. The decline in Available Guest Nights versus the fourth quarter a year ago despite the launch of the Venture was primarily due to the trans-Atlantic voyage on the National Geographic Orion in Q4 that I mentioned earlier and increased drydock days due to the timing. The trans-Atlantic voyage also negatively impacted occupancy and net yields in Q4 a year ago. Lindblad segment operating expense increased 10% on a reported basis versus the [fourth] quarter of 2017 and increased 10% excluding stock-based compensation and depreciation and amortization. The year-on-year growth was primarily driven by cost from the launch of the Venture, increased commissions due to the revenue and booking growth we generated this year and higher drydock and personnel costs. Fuel costs in the fourth quarter were 9% above the prior year, due in large part to the additional operating nights from the Venture as well as from higher pricing, fuel was 4.5% of revenue, which was slightly higher than the fourth quarter of 2017. Adjusted net cruise costs on a per-night basis increased 20% due predominantly to the launch of the Venture with a limited number of revenue days given the timing of the launch, as well as from the higher overall drydock due to timing and personnel costs in the current year. Overall, the Lindblad segment 6% revenue growth in the fourth quarter was more than offset by higher costs, most notably from the launch of the National Geographic Venture which as expected resulted in adjusted EBITDA declining by $1.6 million compared with the fourth quarter a year ago. At the Natural Habitat segment, revenues in the fourth quarter grew 31% versus a year ago to $18.8 million due to additional departures and higher pricing, adjusted EBITDA increased 30% to $3.8 million with the revenue growth, partially offset by a 32% increase in operating expense due to higher marketing and personnel costs and increased cost of tours for the additional departures. In the fourth quarter, total company net loss available to common stockholders was $4.6 million or $0.10 a share versus a loss of $16 million or $0.36 a share reported in the fourth quarter a year ago. As the improved operating results and lower taxes improve the results, the taxes primarily improving due to the enactment of the U.S. Tax Cuts and Job Act in December of last year. Looking at our balance sheet, we remain extremely well positioned to invest in future growth opportunities. We ended the year with $113 million in unrestricted cash, free cash flow for 2018 was $2 million including $43 million spent on the new-builds if you include only maintenance CapEx, free cash flow was $45 million for 2018. We did spend $900,000 this past year under our $35 million stock and warrant repurchase plan and we have approximately $12 million remaining under the existing plan. We will continue to be opportunistic with our buyback program, but our first priority for capital allocation remains investing in our existing business and external growth opportunities that will enhance our long-term growth profile. Turning to our expectations for the full year of 2019. We anticipate significant growth driven by capacity expansion, as well as increased net yields. Available Guest Nights overall, are anticipated to increase in the high single-digit range in large part from a full year of operating the National Geographic Venture. The Lindblad segment for 2019 is currently pacing 10% of the -- same point a year ago with regards to bookings and we are already at 87% of our full year projected ticket revenues for 2019 despite the additional inventory, as compared with 89% of the 2018 full year ticket revenue at the same time a year ago. It is important to note that while our next new vessel, the National Geographic Endurance is scheduled for delivery in 2020. It will have a negative impact on EBITDA in 2019 as it will have startup costs this year ahead of its launch. We do also anticipate an increase in marketing spend in 2019 as we look to further capitalize in both the short and long-term on our increased capacity and the growing demand for expedition travel. Lastly, we will begin incurring operating costs associated with the rollout of our new CRM and reservation systems later this year, which given our average nine month booking window will help drive further revenue growth beginning predominantly in 2020. Factoring in these items, the impact of the additional capacity in the current year and the strong booking trends we are generating, we expect total company tour revenue in 2019 between $350 million and $358 million, 13% to 16% growth versus 2018. And adjusted EBITDA between $67 million and $70 million or 22% to 28% growth versus 2018. We also anticipate another year of strong free cash flow generation excluding the new vessel spend. Maintenance CapEx will increase this year to approximately $20 million primarily from the fleet expansion as well as development costs related to implementing a new CRM and reservation system later this year as well as scheduled additional spending on our international vessels. Growth CapEx in 2019 will primarily include two installment payments for the new blue water vessel that we announced this morning as well as spending in preparation for the delivery of the National Geographic Endurance in early 2020. Thank you for your time this morning and now Sven and I would be happy to answer any questions that you may have. Operator?